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TB vs Hoyvík Prediction & Stats

Date: 19/09/2026
Time: 13:00
TB
TB
Vs
57%
21%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Hoyvík
Hoyvík
Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

TB are set to dominate at home, with a 57% chance of victory, a 21% draw probability and a 22% chance for Hoyvík to win. The model favours a 2-1 scoreline, the most likely result with an 8.9% chance. The match is expected to see 3.8 goals on average, with 3 goals the most probable total at 20%. TB’s home form shows they average 0.71 goals scored and concede 5.0 against stronger opposition, while Hoyvík, playing away, averages 1.33 goals scored and 1.5 conceded against weaker teams. The suggested selections include Under 7.5 (95.8%), Away under 3.5 goals (93.9%), Home over 0.5 goals (90.7%), Under 6.5 (90.5%), Over 1.5 (90.3%), Home +2 handicap (90.0%), Away under 2.5 goals (81.8%) and Under 5.5 (81.0%). TB’s recent win over NSÍ II (5-1) fuels optimism, whereas Hoyvík’s three-match losing streak and a 0-3 loss to Suduroy suggest a cautious approach.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TB win
57.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
20.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík win
22.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

TBTB

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-611D22D12L16L31W31W03L43W22D51WH·B6825/10A·SUD19/06H·HB 24/06H·B7128/06H·EB 04/07A·HB 01/08H·ÍF 08/08A·B3615/08A·EB 22/08H·NSÍ29/08← Meistaradeildin1. Deild →
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.333.271.403.131.273.40
vs Stronger (14)0.714.570.715.000.714.14
vs Similar (8)1.252.501.001.001.403.40
vs Weaker (8)2.501.752.601.802.331.67
Clean sheet %3% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Hoyvík) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HoyvíkHoyvík

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D01L10W12L31W02L10W03L05L03LA·B3619/10H·TB25/10A·HB 20/06H·ÍF 27/06A·B3603/07A·VÍK01/08H·SUD08/08H·B7115/08A·HB 22/08H·SUD29/08
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.830.882.001.071.64
vs Stronger (4)0.751.750.502.001.001.50
vs Similar (10)0.802.200.752.750.831.83
vs Weaker (16)1.121.621.001.701.331.50
Clean sheet %17% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (TB) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%15%20%3%07%117%220%319%415%519%6+
The model estimates around 3.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
90.3%
Under 1.5
9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
73.8%
Under 2.5
26.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
53.5%
Under 3.5
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
70.4%
No
29.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
8.9%
1-1
8.2%
3-1
7.1%
2-2
6.5%
2-0
6.1%
1-2
5.5%
3-2
5.2%
3-0
4.8%
TB goals ↓
Hoyvík goals →
01234
02.9%2.4%2.3%1.1%0.4%
14.4%8.2%5.5%2.7%1.0%
26.1%8.9%6.5%3.2%1.2%
34.8%7.1%5.2%2.5%0.9%
42.9%4.2%3.1%1.5%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = TB goals (down), columns = Hoyvík goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
B71
2.75
Víkingur II
2.62
Suduroy
2.38
ÍF II
2.14
TB
1.56
Hoyvík
1.12
HB II
0.78
B36 II
0.75
NSÍ II
0.43
EB / Streymur II
0.12
TB is 0.43 points better than Hoyvík in terms of average points per game (1.56 vs 1.12).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
B71
3.88
ÍF II
3.43
Víkingur II
3.12
Suduroy
2.88
TB
2.33
B36 II
2.00
HB II
1.33
EB / Streymur II
1.00
NSÍ II
0.86
Hoyvík
0.75
TB is 1.58 goals better than Hoyvík in terms of goals scored per game (2.33 vs 0.75).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Suduroy
0.62
B71
1.00
Víkingur II
1.25
Hoyvík
2.00
ÍF II
2.00
HB II
2.11
TB
2.33
B36 II
3.12
EB / Streymur II
3.50
NSÍ II
3.71
TB is 0.33 goals worse than Hoyvík in terms of goals conceded per game (2.33 vs 2.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
TB or Draw
77.9%
Avg Implied -
57%
21%
22%
covers TB + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
TB or Hoyvík
79.3%
Avg Implied -
57%
21%
22%
covers TB + Hoyvík
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Hoyvík
42.8%
Avg Implied -
57%
21%
22%
covers Draw + Hoyvík
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
TB over/under 0.5
Over
90.7%
Under
9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 1.5
Over
68.7%
Under
31.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 2.5
Over
42.5%
Under
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 3.5
Over
21.7%
Under
78.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 0.5
Over
76.8%
Under
23.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 1.5
Over
42.9%
Under
57.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 2.5
Over
18.1%
Under
81.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 3.5
Over
6.1%
Under
93.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to TB, so a minus line means TB give that many goals of a start and Hoyvík receive them. At -1, TB must win by two or more to land; a one-goal TB win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (TB)
TB -2
20.0%
Draw -2
17.0%
Hoyvík +2
63.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (TB)
TB -1
37.0%
Draw -1
20.2%
Hoyvík +1
42.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (TB)
TB +1
77.9%
Draw +1
12.1%
Hoyvík -1
10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (TB)
TB +2
90.0%
Draw +2
6.4%
Hoyvík -2
3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

TBTB

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D11D02L04L20W11D00D12L01L41WH·B6825/10A·SUD19/06H·HB 24/06H·B7128/06H·EB 04/07A·HB 01/08H·ÍF 08/08A·B3615/08A·EB 22/08H·NSÍ29/08← Meistaradeildin1. Deild →
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.530.731.670.471.40
vs Stronger (14)0.292.000.292.570.291.43
vs Similar (8)0.381.000.000.000.601.60
vs Weaker (8)1.381.251.801.400.671.00
Clean sheet %30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Hoyvík) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HoyvíkHoyvík

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D00D12L30W01L00D01L01L02LA·B3619/10H·TB25/10A·HB 20/06H·ÍF 27/06A·B3603/07A·VÍK01/08H·SUD08/08H·B7115/08A·HB 22/08H·SUD29/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.770.380.880.710.64
vs Stronger (4)0.250.500.500.500.000.50
vs Similar (10)0.401.200.251.500.501.00
vs Weaker (16)0.690.560.400.701.170.33
Clean sheet %40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (TB) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
TB over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

TBTB

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D11D10W12L11D20W03L31W21W10WH·B6825/10A·SUD19/06H·HB 24/06H·B7128/06H·EB 04/07A·HB 01/08H·ÍF 08/08A·B3615/08A·EB 22/08H·NSÍ29/08← Meistaradeildin1. Deild →
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.730.671.470.802.00
vs Stronger (14)0.432.570.432.430.432.71
vs Similar (8)0.881.501.001.000.801.80
vs Weaker (8)1.120.500.800.401.670.67
Clean sheet %20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Hoyvík) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HoyvíkHoyvík

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L01L10W00D01L01L10W02L04L01LA·B3619/10H·TB25/10A·HB 20/06H·ÍF 27/06A·B3603/07A·VÍK01/08H·SUD08/08H·B7115/08A·HB 22/08H·SUD29/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.431.070.501.120.361.00
vs Stronger (4)0.501.250.001.501.001.00
vs Similar (10)0.401.000.501.250.330.83
vs Weaker (16)0.441.060.601.000.171.17
Clean sheet %37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (TB) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
TB over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.595.8%-------
Away under 3.5 goals93.9%-------
Home over 0.5 goals90.7%-------
Under 6.590.5%-------
Over 1.590.3%-------
Home +2 handicap90.0%-------
Away under 2.5 goals81.9%-------
Under 5.581.0%-------
Home or Away79.3%-------
Home under 3.5 goals78.3%-------
Home or Draw77.9%-------
Home +1 handicap77.9%-------
Away over 0.5 goals76.8%-------
Over 2.573.8%-------
BTTS Yes70.4%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BI (6)
€0m
VI (5)
€0m
E/S (7)
€0m
NI (4)
€0m
HI (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BI (3)
€0m
HI (1)
€0m
VI (1)
€0m
E/S (0)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
E/S (6)
€0m
NI (3)
€0m
HI (2)
€0m
BI (1)
€0m
VI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VI (3)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
NI (1)
€0m
HI (1)
€0m
E/S (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
2
TB wins
1
Draws
0
HOY wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

TB vs Hoyvík · H/A from TB
DateH/AGameScore
25/10/24AHoyvík Vs TB0-1
29/06/24AHoyvík Vs TB1-1
07/04/24HTB Vs Hoyvík3-0

TBTB

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HTB Vs NSÍ II5-1
22/08/26AEB / Streymur II Vs TB2-2
15/08/26AB36 II Vs TB3-4
08/08/26HTB Vs ÍF II0-3
01/08/26AHB II Vs TB1-3
04/07/26HTB Vs EB / Streymur II3-1
28/06/26HTB Vs B711-6
24/06/26HTB Vs HB II1-2
19/06/26ASuduroy Vs TB2-2
25/10/25HTB Vs B681-1

HoyvíkHoyvík

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HHOY Vs Suduroy0-3
22/08/26AHB II Vs HOY5-0
15/08/26HHOY Vs B710-3
08/08/26HHOY Vs Suduroy1-0
01/08/26AVíkingur II Vs HOY2-0
03/07/26AB36 II Vs HOY1-3
27/06/26HHOY Vs ÍF II1-2
20/06/26AHB II Vs HOY0-1
25/10/24HHOY Vs TB0-1
19/10/24AB36 II Vs HOY2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

TB
TB
Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDW0.98
HomeLLWLW1.04
AwayLDWWD0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%27%17%
AVG goals3.683.773.58
Over 1.5 %88%88%88%
Over 2.5 %66%69%62%
Over 3.5 %48%46%50%
Scored1.261.381.12
Conceded2.422.382.46
BTTS66%73%58%
Clean Sheet6%0%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Hoyvík
Hoyvík
Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLL1.10
HomeLLWLL1.07
AwayDWWLL1.13
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%30%30%
AVG goals3.102.933.30
Over 1.5 %84%81%87%
Over 2.5 %58%59%57%
Over 3.5 %36%30%43%
Scored1.221.111.35
Conceded1.881.811.96
BTTS56%56%57%
Clean Sheet16%15%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1B71B71822
88%
2.8
318+23
4.9
100%
100%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.91.0
-
2Víkingur IIVíkingur II821
88%
2.6
2510+15
4.4
100%
75%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.11.2
-
3SuduroySuduroy819
75%
2.4
235+18
3.5
88%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.90.6
-
4ÍF IIÍF II715
71%
2.1
2414+10
5.4
100%
100%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.42.0
-
5TBTB914
44%
1.6
2121+0
4.7
100%
100%
78%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.32.3
-
6HoyvíkHoyvík89
38%
1.1
616-10
2.8
75%
62%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.0
-
7HB IIHB II97
22%
0.8
1219-7
3.4
89%
78%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.1
-
8B36 IIB36 II86
25%
0.8
1625-9
5.1
88%
88%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.03.1
-
9NSÍ IINSÍ II73
14%
0.4
626-20
4.6
86%
86%
86%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.93.7
-
10EB / Streymur IIEB / Streymur II81
0%
0.1
828-20
4.5
100%
88%
88%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.5
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Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild stats & trends →

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