TB hosts IF II in the Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild, with the model predicting a home win as the most likely outcome. The expected total goals is 4.0, suggesting a high-scoring match. TB has been on a 2-game winning run, having beaten HB II 3-1 in their last outing. They average 1.43 goals scored and 1.57 conceded at home, particularly against similar-strength opponents. IF II, meanwhile, average 1.83 goals scored and 2.0 conceded when away to similar-strength opponents. The model's selection is the home win, with a 42% chance of TB taking the three points. The model also suggests Over 1.5 (91.5%), Over 2.5 (76.1%), and BTTS Yes (75.4%) as its selections. TB has a 42% chance of winning, a 22% chance of drawing, and a 36% chance of losing. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 8.1% probability.
Results analysis
TB's 0-3 loss extends their losing streak, coming off a defeat and having a similar strength of opponent at home. The away team, ÍF II, capitalized on this, securing a 3-0 win to end their 2-game winning run. The Pythia prediction model correctly called ÍF II the favourite, with a pre-match probability of 41%. The model's selection, Away win, was correct. The model also suggested ÍF II's Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals selections, both of which hit, with probabilities of 91.1% and 75.2% respectively. However, the BTTS Yes selection, with a 74.7% probability, missed. The most likely score was a 1-1 draw, but the actual final score was 0-3.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
TB win✗ Miss
36.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
ÍF II win✓ Hit
40.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
TB
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
3.23
1.19
3.12
0.93
3.36
vs Stronger (15)
0.73
4.47
0.75
4.75
0.71
4.14
vs Similar (8)
1.00
2.25
1.25
1.00
0.75
3.50
vs Weaker (7)
1.86
1.71
2.00
2.00
1.67
1.33
Clean sheet %
3% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (ÍF II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ÍF II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.10
2.00
2.33
1.80
1.87
2.20
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
2.67
1.00
3.00
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (7)
1.86
2.29
2.00
2.33
1.75
2.25
vs Weaker (20)
2.40
1.80
2.55
1.55
2.22
2.11
Clean sheet %
10% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (TB) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
91.1%
Under 1.5
8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
75.2%
Under 2.5
24.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
55.4%
Under 3.5
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
74.7%
No
25.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-2
7.3%
2-1
7.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-2
4.7%
3-1
4.6%
TB goals ↓
ÍF II goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.7%
3.2%
4.0%
2.7%
1.4%
1
3.0%
8.3%
7.6%
5.1%
2.6%
2
3.6%
7.2%
7.3%
4.9%
2.5%
3
2.3%
4.6%
4.7%
3.1%
1.6%
4
1.1%
2.2%
2.2%
1.5%
0.8%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = TB goals (down), columns = ÍF II goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
B71
2.75
Víkingur II
2.62
Suduroy
2.38
ÍF II
2.14
TB
1.56
Hoyvík
1.12
HB II
0.78
B36 II
0.75
NSÍ II
0.43
EB / Streymur II
0.12
TB is 0.59 points worse than ÍF II in terms of average points per game (1.56 vs 2.14).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
B71
3.88
ÍF II
3.43
Víkingur II
3.12
Suduroy
2.88
TB
2.33
B36 II
2.00
HB II
1.33
EB / Streymur II
1.00
NSÍ II
0.86
Hoyvík
0.75
TB is 1.10 goals worse than ÍF II in terms of goals scored per game (2.33 vs 3.43).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Suduroy
0.62
B71
1.00
Víkingur II
1.25
Hoyvík
2.00
ÍF II
2.00
HB II
2.11
TB
2.33
B36 II
3.12
EB / Streymur II
3.50
NSÍ II
3.71
TB is 0.33 goals worse than ÍF II in terms of goals conceded per game (2.33 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
TB
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
1.57
0.50
1.81
0.43
1.29
vs Stronger (15)
0.27
2.13
0.25
2.75
0.29
1.43
vs Similar (8)
0.38
0.88
0.25
0.25
0.50
1.50
vs Weaker (7)
1.00
1.14
1.25
1.50
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (ÍF II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ÍF II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.80
0.73
0.60
1.07
1.00
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (7)
0.57
0.57
0.33
0.33
0.75
0.75
vs Weaker (20)
1.05
0.95
0.82
0.73
1.33
1.22
Clean sheet %
47% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (TB) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
TB over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ÍF II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ÍF II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ÍF II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
TB
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.67
0.69
1.31
0.50
2.07
vs Stronger (15)
0.47
2.33
0.50
2.00
0.43
2.71
vs Similar (8)
0.62
1.38
1.00
0.75
0.25
2.00
vs Weaker (7)
0.86
0.57
0.75
0.50
1.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (ÍF II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ÍF II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.20
1.60
1.20
0.80
1.20
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
2.33
0.00
3.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (7)
1.29
1.71
1.67
2.00
1.00
1.50
vs Weaker (20)
1.35
0.85
1.73
0.82
0.89
0.89
Clean sheet %
33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (TB) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
TB over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ÍF II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ÍF II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ÍF II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
91.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
BTTS Yes
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
B71
Víkingur II
Suduroy
Hoyvík
HB II
B36 II
NSÍ II
EB / Streymur II