TB’s recent draw and a 2-2 scoreline against a weaker side suggest a solid home attack, while NSÍ II’s away form against stronger opponents shows a higher concession rate. The model projects a high-scoring affair with an expected 4.6 goals and the most likely total of 6+, 31% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 2-1 for TB, with a 7.2% chance. The favoured result is a home win, with a 61% chance, a draw at 18%, and an away win at 21%. TB averages two goals scored and conceded at home, whereas NSÍ II averages 1.73 scored and 2.91 conceded away. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.3%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.4%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 95.7%, Over 1.5 at 94.8%, Home over 0.5 goals at 94.2%, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 91.9%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 90.9%, and Under 7.5 at 90.7%.
Results analysis
The win extends TB’s recent run, adding a decisive 5-1 triumph over NSÍ II. The model’s favourite, a home win, was correct, and the final score matched that prediction. With a pre-match probability of 61%, the model called the right outcome. The suggested selections largely hit: Away under 2.5 HT goals at 97.9% hit, Over 1.5 at 94.8% hit, Home over 0.5 goals at 94.2% hit, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 92.7% hit, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 91.7% hit, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 91.3% hit, and Under 7.5 at 90.7% hit. The only miss was Home under 2.5 HT goals, which was 95.6% but did not materialise. The model’s overall performance remained strong.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
TB win✓ Hit
60.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
18.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II win✗ Miss
21.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
TB
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
2.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
3.27
1.20
3.13
1.27
3.40
vs Stronger (14)
0.71
4.57
0.71
5.00
0.71
4.14
vs Similar (9)
1.33
2.33
1.25
1.00
1.40
3.40
vs Weaker (7)
2.14
1.86
2.00
2.00
2.33
1.67
Clean sheet %
3% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (NSÍ II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NSÍ II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.7
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
2.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
2.53
1.40
2.40
2.20
2.67
vs Stronger (21)
1.52
2.90
1.30
2.90
1.73
2.91
vs Similar (9)
2.44
1.67
1.60
1.40
3.50
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (TB) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 4.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (31%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
94.8%
Under 1.5
5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
83.5%
Under 2.5
16.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
67.0%
Under 3.5
33.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
77.9%
No
22.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
7.2%
3-1
6.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-2
5.9%
1-1
5.6%
4-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
4-2
4.2%
TB goals ↓
NSÍ II goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
1.5%
1.3%
1.5%
0.9%
0.4%
1
2.4%
5.6%
4.4%
2.5%
1.1%
2
4.2%
7.2%
6.2%
3.6%
1.5%
3
4.0%
6.9%
5.9%
3.4%
1.5%
4
2.9%
4.9%
4.2%
2.4%
1.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = TB goals (down), columns = NSÍ II goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
B71
2.75
Víkingur II
2.62
Suduroy
2.38
ÍF II
2.14
TB
1.56
Hoyvík
1.12
HB II
0.78
B36 II
0.75
NSÍ II
0.43
EB / Streymur II
0.12
TB is 1.13 points better than NSÍ II in terms of average points per game (1.56 vs 0.43).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
B71
3.88
ÍF II
3.43
Víkingur II
3.12
Suduroy
2.88
TB
2.33
B36 II
2.00
HB II
1.33
EB / Streymur II
1.00
NSÍ II
0.86
Hoyvík
0.75
TB is 1.48 goals better than NSÍ II in terms of goals scored per game (2.33 vs 0.86).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Suduroy
0.62
B71
1.00
Víkingur II
1.25
Hoyvík
2.00
ÍF II
2.00
HB II
2.11
TB
2.33
B36 II
3.12
EB / Streymur II
3.50
NSÍ II
3.71
TB is 1.38 goals better than NSÍ II in terms of goals conceded per game (2.33 vs 3.71).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
TB or Draw✓ Hit
78.7%
Avg Implied -
61%
18%
21%
covers TB + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
TB or NSÍ II✓ Hit
82.0%
Avg Implied -
61%
18%
21%
covers TB + NSÍ II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or NSÍ II✗ Miss
39.3%
Avg Implied -
61%
18%
21%
covers Draw + NSÍ II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
TB over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
94.2%
Under
5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
77.8%
Under
22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
54.3%
Under
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
32.0%
Under
68.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
82.1%
Under
17.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
51.4%
Under
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
24.9%
Under
75.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
9.7%
Under
90.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to TB, so a minus line means TB give that many goals of a start and NSÍ II receive them. At -1, TB must win by two or more to land; a one-goal TB win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (TB)Actual: TB
TB -2
25.0%
Draw -2
17.0%
NSÍ II +2
58.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (TB)Actual: TB
TB -1
42.0%
Draw -1
18.7%
NSÍ II +1
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (TB)Actual: TB
TB +1
78.7%
Draw +1
11.1%
NSÍ II -1
10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (TB)Actual: TB
TB +2
89.8%
Draw +2
6.2%
NSÍ II -2
4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
TB
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
1.53
0.53
1.67
0.47
1.40
vs Stronger (14)
0.29
2.00
0.29
2.57
0.29
1.43
vs Similar (9)
0.44
1.00
0.25
0.25
0.60
1.60
vs Weaker (7)
1.00
1.29
1.25
1.50
0.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (NSÍ II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NSÍ II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.23
0.67
1.00
1.20
1.47
vs Stronger (21)
0.76
1.48
0.70
1.10
0.82
1.82
vs Similar (9)
1.33
0.67
0.60
0.80
2.25
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (TB) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
75.8%
Under 0.5
24.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
42.2%
Under 1.5
57.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
18.4%
Under 2.5
81.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
TB over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
56.1%
Under
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
22.9%
Under
77.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
4.4%
Under
95.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
38.9%
Under
61.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.7%
Under
91.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.1%
Under
97.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
TB
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.73
0.67
1.47
0.80
2.00
vs Stronger (14)
0.43
2.57
0.43
2.43
0.43
2.71
vs Similar (9)
0.89
1.33
1.00
0.75
0.80
1.80
vs Weaker (7)
1.14
0.57
0.75
0.50
1.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (NSÍ II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NSÍ II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.30
0.73
1.40
1.00
1.20
vs Stronger (21)
0.76
1.43
0.60
1.80
0.91
1.09
vs Similar (9)
1.11
1.00
1.00
0.60
1.25
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (TB) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
81.3%
Under 0.5
18.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
56.0%
Under 1.5
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
26.6%
Under 2.5
73.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
TB over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
62.5%
Under
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
28.5%
Under
71.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
8.3%
Under
91.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
46.6%
Under
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.0%
Under
86.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSÍ II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.3%
Under
92.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
94.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
94.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
90.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
90.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
89.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
BTTS Yes
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 1.5 goals
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild stats & trends →