A high-scoring encounter is projected, with an average of 4.6 goals and the most likely total exceeding six. The model favours an away win, giving 42% for V Íkingur II, 38% for TB, and 20% for a draw. The single most probable scoreline is 2-2, with a 7% chance. TB, playing at home against a similar-strength side, averages one goal scored and one conceded, while V Íkingur II, on the road, averages 1.6 scored and 2.4 conceded. The suggested selections are: Home under 2.5 HT goals96.7%, Home under 2.5 2H goals95.6%, Over 1.595.0%, Away under 2.5 HT goals93.9%, Away over 0.5 goals90.7%, Under 7.590.3%, Home over 0.5 goals89.4%, and Away under 2.5 2H goals88.7%. Both sides finish the week on a win, with TB having just beaten NS Í II 5-1 and V Íkingur II overcoming HB II 2-0.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
TB win
37.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
20.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Víkingur II win
42.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
TB
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
3.27
1.40
3.13
1.27
3.40
vs Stronger (14)
0.71
4.57
0.71
5.00
0.71
4.14
vs Similar (8)
1.25
2.50
1.00
1.00
1.40
3.40
vs Weaker (8)
2.50
1.75
2.60
1.80
2.33
1.67
Clean sheet %
3% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Víkingur II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Víkingur II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.40
1.60
2.19
1.38
2.64
1.86
vs Stronger (10)
2.10
2.00
2.60
2.00
1.60
2.00
vs Similar (8)
1.38
1.75
1.60
1.20
1.00
2.67
vs Weaker (12)
3.33
1.17
2.33
1.00
4.33
1.33
Clean sheet %
27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (TB) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 4.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (32%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
95.0%
Under 1.5
5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
83.9%
Under 2.5
16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
67.7%
Under 3.5
32.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
81.6%
No
18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-2
7.0%
1-2
6.3%
2-1
5.9%
1-1
5.8%
2-3
5.5%
3-2
5.2%
1-3
4.9%
3-1
4.4%
TB goals ↓
Víkingur II goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
1.5%
1.8%
2.8%
2.2%
1.3%
1
1.7%
5.8%
6.3%
4.9%
2.9%
2
2.5%
5.9%
7.0%
5.5%
3.3%
3
1.9%
4.4%
5.2%
4.1%
2.5%
4
1.0%
2.5%
2.9%
2.3%
1.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = TB goals (down), columns = Víkingur II goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
B71
2.75
Víkingur II
2.62
Suduroy
2.38
ÍF II
2.14
TB
1.56
Hoyvík
1.12
HB II
0.78
B36 II
0.75
NSÍ II
0.43
EB / Streymur II
0.12
TB is 1.07 points worse than Víkingur II in terms of average points per game (1.56 vs 2.62).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
B71
3.88
ÍF II
3.43
Víkingur II
3.12
Suduroy
2.88
TB
2.33
B36 II
2.00
HB II
1.33
EB / Streymur II
1.00
NSÍ II
0.86
Hoyvík
0.75
TB is 0.79 goals worse than Víkingur II in terms of goals scored per game (2.33 vs 3.12).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Suduroy
0.62
B71
1.00
Víkingur II
1.25
Hoyvík
2.00
ÍF II
2.00
HB II
2.11
TB
2.33
B36 II
3.12
EB / Streymur II
3.50
NSÍ II
3.71
TB is 1.08 goals worse than Víkingur II in terms of goals conceded per game (2.33 vs 1.25).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
TB or Draw
57.8%
Avg Implied -
38%
20%
42%
covers TB + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
TB or Víkingur II
79.8%
Avg Implied -
38%
20%
42%
covers TB + Víkingur II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Víkingur II
62.4%
Avg Implied -
38%
20%
42%
covers Draw + Víkingur II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
TB over/under 0.5
Over
89.4%
Under
10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 1.5
Over
65.6%
Under
34.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 2.5
Over
38.9%
Under
61.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 3.5
Over
18.9%
Under
81.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Víkingur II over/under 0.5
Over
90.7%
Under
9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Víkingur II over/under 1.5
Over
68.5%
Under
31.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Víkingur II over/under 2.5
Over
42.3%
Under
57.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Víkingur II over/under 3.5
Over
21.5%
Under
78.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to TB, so a minus line means TB give that many goals of a start and Víkingur II receive them. At -1, TB must win by two or more to land; a one-goal TB win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (TB)
TB -2
10.5%
Draw -2
11.2%
Víkingur II +2
78.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (TB)
TB -1
21.7%
Draw -1
15.9%
Víkingur II +1
62.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (TB)
TB +1
57.8%
Draw +1
16.9%
Víkingur II -1
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (TB)
TB +2
74.6%
Draw +2
12.5%
Víkingur II -2
12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
TB
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.53
0.73
1.67
0.47
1.40
vs Stronger (14)
0.29
2.00
0.29
2.57
0.29
1.43
vs Similar (8)
0.38
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.60
1.60
vs Weaker (8)
1.38
1.25
1.80
1.40
0.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Víkingur II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Víkingur II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
0.70
1.38
0.81
1.29
0.57
vs Stronger (10)
1.00
0.80
1.40
1.20
0.60
0.40
vs Similar (8)
0.75
0.75
0.80
0.60
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (12)
2.00
0.58
1.83
0.67
2.17
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (TB) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
75.4%
Under 0.5
24.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
41.8%
Under 1.5
58.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
17.9%
Under 2.5
82.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
TB over/under 0.5 HT
Over
48.2%
Under
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 1.5 HT
Over
13.4%
Under
86.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 2.5 HT
Over
4.5%
Under
95.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Víkingur II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
56.9%
Under
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Víkingur II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
17.5%
Under
82.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Víkingur II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
6.1%
Under
93.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
TB
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.73
0.67
1.47
0.80
2.00
vs Stronger (14)
0.43
2.57
0.43
2.43
0.43
2.71
vs Similar (8)
0.88
1.50
1.00
1.00
0.80
1.80
vs Weaker (8)
1.12
0.50
0.80
0.40
1.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Víkingur II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Víkingur II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.90
0.81
0.56
1.36
1.29
vs Stronger (10)
1.10
1.20
1.20
0.80
1.00
1.60
vs Similar (8)
0.62
1.00
0.80
0.60
0.33
1.67
vs Weaker (12)
1.33
0.58
0.50
0.33
2.17
0.83
Clean sheet %
40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (TB) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
83.9%
Under 0.5
16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
54.5%
Under 1.5
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
28.5%
Under 2.5
71.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
TB over/under 0.5 2H
Over
54.9%
Under
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 1.5 2H
Over
22.0%
Under
78.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.3%
Under
95.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Víkingur II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
65.0%
Under
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Víkingur II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
34.2%
Under
65.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Víkingur II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
8.8%
Under
91.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
93.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
91.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
90.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
89.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
BTTS Yes
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild stats & trends →