PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Telavi vs Sioni Result & Analysis

Date: 03/05/2022
Time: 17:00
Final 2-0
Telavi
Telavi
Vs
52%
28%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sioni
Sioni
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Telavi are tipped to edge Sioni, with a 52% chance of victory, a 28% draw probability and a 21% chance for the visitors, making a home win the model’s pick. The match is expected to see about 2.5 goals, with the most probable total being two goals at 27%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.1% chance. Telavi, playing at home against a stronger side, average 0.33 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Sioni, on a two-game winning streak, will try to maintain that form away. The model’s selections include an 75.6% chance of Under 3.5 goals and a 72.6% chance of Over 1.5 goals. Each of these picks is presented with its own probability, and no other outcome is assigned a win probability.

Results analysis

The model’s prediction proved accurate as Telavi secured a 2-0 home win, extending their recent form after a defeat. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was chosen with a 52% probability and the outcome matched the model’s pick. The most likely total of 2 goals, with a 27% chance, also came to pass. The model’s selections were strong: Under 3.5, with a 75.6% probability, hit; Over 1.5, with a 72.6% probability, hit. Telavi’s victory, their first in five matches, confirms the model’s confidence in the home side’s performance.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Telavi win✓ Hit
51.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sioni win✗ Miss
20.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

TelaviTelavi

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W20W22D01L00D11D00D12L02L50WA·LOK26/02A·SIO05/03A·GAG15/03A·DIN02/04H·SAM06/04H·DIN10/04H·TOR14/04A·DIL18/04H·SAB23/04H·LOK29/04
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.801.200.601.201.00
vs Stronger (6)0.671.000.331.001.001.00
vs Similar (4)2.000.502.500.001.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Sioni) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SioniSioni

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L02L01L11D12L21W33D11D21W11DA·DIN25/02H·TEL05/03A·DIN09/03A·SAM14/03A·DIL19/03H·GAG03/04A·SAB10/04H·TOR18/04A·LOK23/04H·DIN29/04
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.701.001.251.172.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.121.751.001.001.172.00
vs Weaker (2)1.001.501.001.50--
Clean sheet %0% (-28pp vs league)
This opponent (Telavi) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.6%
Under 1.5
27.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.8%
Under 2.5
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.4%
Under 3.5
75.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.0%
No
51.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-0 ✓
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
9.3%
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
5.4%
Telavi goals ↓
Sioni goals →
01234
09.3%6.3%3.4%1.1%0.2%
112%13%5.5%1.7%0.4%
210%9.4%4.3%1.3%0.3%
35.4%5.0%2.3%0.7%0.2%
42.2%2.0%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Telavi goals (down), columns = Sioni goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Samtredia
3.00
Dinamo Tbilisi
2.22
Dinamo Batumi
2.14
Dila
1.64
Samgurali
1.58
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.50
Spaeri
1.50
Saburtalo
1.31
Telavi
1.08
Gagra
1.03
Sioni
0.95
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
0.22
Telavi is 0.14 points better than Sioni in terms of average points per game (1.08 vs 0.95).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dinamo Batumi
2.42
Dinamo Tbilisi
2.03
Samgurali
1.53
Samtredia
1.50
Saburtalo
1.42
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.33
Dila
1.33
Sioni
1.00
Gagra
1.00
Spaeri
1.00
Telavi
0.81
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
0.78
Telavi is 0.19 goals worse than Sioni in terms of goals scored per game (0.81 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Samtredia
0.00
Dinamo Tbilisi
0.81
Dinamo Batumi
0.94
Dila
0.97
Telavi
1.00
Spaeri
1.00
Samgurali
1.22
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.33
Saburtalo
1.36
Gagra
1.55
Sioni
1.66
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
2.81
Telavi is 0.66 goals better than Sioni in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.66).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

TelaviTelavi

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

SioniSioni

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

TelaviTelavi

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (10)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (6)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (4)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Sioni) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SioniSioni

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (10)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (8)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (2)---0.00.0----
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Telavi) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Not collected for this league yet.

🟨 Total Cards

Not collected for this league yet.

⚠️ Total Fouls

Not collected for this league yet.
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

TelaviTelavi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D00D21W01L00D11D00D00D01L40WA·LOK26/02A·SIO05/03A·GAG15/03A·DIN02/04H·SAM06/04H·DIN10/04H·TOR14/04A·DIL18/04H·SAB23/04H·LOK29/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.401.000.400.400.40
vs Stronger (6)0.170.500.330.670.000.33
vs Similar (4)1.500.252.000.001.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Sioni) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SioniSioni

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D01L00D11D20W11D11D01LA·DIN25/02H·TEL05/03A·DIN09/03A·SAM14/03A·DIL19/03H·GAG03/04A·SAB10/04H·TOR18/04A·LOK23/04H·DIN29/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.600.500.750.500.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.500.620.501.000.500.50
vs Weaker (2)0.500.500.500.50--
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Telavi) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Telavi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Telavi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Telavi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sioni over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sioni over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sioni over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

TelaviTelavi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W01L00D00D00D00D12L01L10WA·LOK26/02A·SIO05/03A·GAG15/03A·DIN02/04H·SAM06/04H·DIN10/04H·TOR14/04A·DIL18/04H·SAB23/04H·LOK29/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.400.200.200.800.60
vs Stronger (6)0.500.500.000.331.000.67
vs Similar (4)0.500.250.500.000.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Sioni) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SioniSioni

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L02L01L10W12L10W13L00D10W10WA·DIN25/02H·TEL05/03A·DIN09/03A·SAM14/03A·DIL19/03H·GAG03/04A·SAB10/04H·TOR18/04A·LOK23/04H·DIN29/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.100.500.500.671.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.621.120.500.000.671.50
vs Weaker (2)0.501.000.501.00--
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Telavi) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Telavi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Telavi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Telavi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sioni over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sioni over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sioni over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.575.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (26)
€7m
TK (22)
€7m
DB (25)
€6m
SAB (22)
€6m
DIL (23)
€4m
SAM (24)
€3m
GAG (23)
€3m
SPA (20)
€2m
SAM (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DB (9)
€3m
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (7)
€3m
TK (7)
€2m
DIL (8)
€2m
SAM (9)
€1m
GAG (8)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
SAM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TK (5)
€2m
SAB (5)
€2m
DB (6)
€1m
SAM (5)
€1m
GAG (6)
€1m
DT (4)
€1m
DIL (6)
€1m
SPA (4)
€0m
SAM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (10)
€2m
TK (10)
€2m
DIL (9)
€2m
DB (10)
€2m
SAM (10)
€1m
GAG (9)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
SAM (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
TEL wins
0
Draws
0
SIO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Telavi vs Sioni · H/A from TEL
DateH/AGameScore
05/03/22ASioni Vs TEL0-2

TelaviTelavi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/04/22HTEL Vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi5-0
23/04/22HTEL Vs Saburtalo0-2
18/04/22ADila Vs TEL2-1
14/04/22HTEL Vs Torpedo Kutaisi0-0
10/04/22HTEL Vs Dinamo Tbilisi1-1
06/04/22HTEL Vs Samgurali0-0
02/04/22ADinamo Batumi Vs TEL1-0
15/03/22AGagra Vs TEL2-2
05/03/22ASioni Vs TEL0-2
26/02/22ALokomotivi Tbilisi Vs TEL0-1

SioniSioni

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/04/22HSIO Vs Dinamo Batumi1-1
23/04/22ALokomotivi Tbilisi Vs SIO1-2
18/04/22HSIO Vs Torpedo Kutaisi1-1
10/04/22ASaburtalo Vs SIO3-3
03/04/22HSIO Vs Gagra2-1
19/03/22ADila Vs SIO2-1
14/03/22ASamgurali Vs SIO1-1
09/03/22ADinamo Tbilisi Vs SIO1-0
05/03/22HSIO Vs Telavi0-2
25/02/22ADinamo Batumi Vs SIO4-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Telavi
Telavi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLLW1.30
HomeDDDLW1.20
AwayWWDLL1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%20%40%
AVG goals2.001.802.20
Over 1.5 %60%60%60%
Over 2.5 %30%20%40%
Over 3.5 %20%20%20%
Scored1.201.201.20
Conceded0.800.601.00
BTTS30%20%40%
Clean Sheet50%60%40%
Corners---
Cards---
Sioni
Sioni
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDWD1.00
HomeLWDD1.25
AwayLDLDW0.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%25%17%
AVG goals2.802.253.17
Over 1.5 %90%100%83%
Over 2.5 %50%25%67%
Over 3.5 %20%0%33%
Scored1.101.001.17
Conceded1.701.252.00
BTTS70%75%67%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi3680
67%
2.2
7329+44
2.8
75%
56%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3132.00.8
-
2Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi3677
64%
2.1
8734+53
3.4
83%
64%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.40.9
-
3DilaDila3659
47%
1.6
4835+13
2.3
67%
53%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.31.0
-
4SamguraliSamgurali3657
42%
1.6
5544+11
2.8
86%
58%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.51.2
-
5Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi3654
42%
1.5
4848+0
2.7
75%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2221.31.3
-
6SaburtaloSaburtalo3647
36%
1.3
5149+2
2.8
72%
53%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3221.41.4
-
7TelaviTelavi3639
22%
1.1
2936-7
1.8
61%
22%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.0
-
8GagraGagra3839
26%
1.0
3859-21
2.6
74%
39%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.6
-
9SioniSioni3836
21%
0.9
3863-25
2.7
76%
50%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
10Lokomotivi TbilisiLokomotivi Tbilisi368
3%
0.2
28101-73
3.6
86%
61%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.8
-
11SamtrediaSamtredia26
100%
3.0
30+3
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.50.0
-
12SpaeriSpaeri23
50%
1.5
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.0
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga stats & trends →

← all matches