This opponent (Almeria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Almeria
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.77
1.53
0.60
0.87
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
1.13
0.73
1.25
0.50
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (15)
1.27
0.80
1.86
0.71
0.75
0.88
Clean sheet %
37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Tenerife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
59.0%
Under 1.5
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
30.6%
Under 2.5
69.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
13.2%
Under 3.5
86.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
39.3%
No
60.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
15.7%
1-1
14.7%
1-0
14.3%
0-1
11.0%
2-0
8.5%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
5.3%
Tenerife goals ↓
Almeria goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
16%
11%
5.3%
1.5%
0.3%
1
14%
15%
5.7%
1.6%
0.3%
2
8.5%
7.2%
3.1%
0.9%
0.2%
3
3.1%
2.6%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.8%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Tenerife goals (down), columns = Almeria goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Osasuna
2.07
Granada CF
1.88
Malaga
1.76
Albacete
1.69
Mallorca
1.64
Deportivo La Coruna
1.62
Cadiz
1.52
Oviedo
1.50
Sporting Gijon
1.45
Almeria
1.43
Elche
1.31
Las Palmas
1.29
Extremadura UD
1.26
Alcorcon
1.24
Zaragoza
1.21
Tenerife
1.19
Numancia
1.17
Lugo
1.12
Rayo Majadahonda
1.07
Gimnastic
0.86
Cordoba
0.81
Reus Deportiu
0.50
Tenerife is 0.24 points worse than Almeria in terms of average points per game (1.19 vs 1.43).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Osasuna
1.40
Albacete
1.29
Cadiz
1.26
Mallorca
1.26
Granada CF
1.24
Malaga
1.21
Almeria
1.21
Deportivo La Coruna
1.19
Elche
1.17
Zaragoza
1.17
Cordoba
1.14
Las Palmas
1.14
Oviedo
1.14
Rayo Majadahonda
1.10
Numancia
1.05
Sporting Gijon
1.02
Extremadura UD
1.02
Lugo
1.02
Tenerife
0.95
Alcorcon
0.86
Gimnastic
0.71
Reus Deportiu
0.38
Tenerife is 0.26 goals worse than Almeria in terms of goals scored per game (0.95 vs 1.21).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Granada CF
0.67
Malaga
0.74
Deportivo La Coruna
0.76
Osasuna
0.83
Cadiz
0.86
Mallorca
0.88
Sporting Gijon
0.90
Albacete
0.90
Almeria
0.93
Alcorcon
1.00
Extremadura UD
1.12
Reus Deportiu
1.14
Oviedo
1.14
Tenerife
1.19
Numancia
1.19
Las Palmas
1.19
Lugo
1.21
Zaragoza
1.21
Elche
1.24
Rayo Majadahonda
1.45
Gimnastic
1.50
Cordoba
1.88
Tenerife is 0.26 goals worse than Almeria in terms of goals conceded per game (1.19 vs 0.93).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Tenerife
For 4.5 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 4.3 · Against 2.7 · Total 7.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.8 · Against 15.4 · Total 31.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Almeria
For 4.2 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.3 · Against 15.0 · Total 32.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Tenerife
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
10.2
9.3
5.9
6.0
5.7
30.4
30.3
30.5
vs Stronger (6)
10.3
11.0
10.0
6.2
8.0
5.2
31.2
32.5
30.5
vs Similar (38)
9.5
9.8
9.2
6.0
5.8
6.2
30.7
29.9
31.4
vs Weaker (6)
11.2
12.7
9.0
4.8
6.0
3.7
27.4
31.3
21.5
% over line
53%
64%
42%
78%
80%
76%
94%
96%
92%
% under line
47%
36%
58%
22%
20%
24%
6%
4%
8%
This opponent (Almeria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Almeria
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
9.4
10.8
5.6
5.4
5.8
31.1
30.4
31.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
9.5
9.2
9.8
5.7
5.8
5.7
31.2
31.2
31.2
vs Weaker (24)
10.8
9.6
11.8
5.5
4.9
5.9
31.0
29.5
32.2
% over line
59%
54%
64%
76%
67%
85%
92%
92%
92%
% under line
41%
46%
36%
24%
33%
15%
8%
8%
8%
This opponent (Tenerife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lugo
11.1
Zaragoza
10.3
Numancia
10.3
Deportivo La Coruna
10.1
Almeria
10.1
Sporting Gijon
10.0
Alcorcon
9.9
Tenerife
9.8
Mallorca
9.7
Cordoba
9.7
Cadiz
9.7
Las Palmas
9.7
Extremadura UD
9.6
Rayo Majadahonda
9.6
Osasuna
9.5
Granada CF
9.5
Albacete
9.3
Oviedo
9.2
Gimnastic
9.2
Elche
8.9
Malaga
8.8
Reus Deportiu
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Extremadura UD
6.7
Cordoba
6.3
Osasuna
6.3
Elche
6.2
Las Palmas
6.1
Sporting Gijon
6.1
Tenerife
6.0
Gimnastic
6.0
Lugo
5.9
Oviedo
5.8
Alcorcon
5.8
Almeria
5.7
Rayo Majadahonda
5.6
Numancia
5.5
Cadiz
5.4
Malaga
5.4
Albacete
5.3
Mallorca
5.2
Granada CF
5.0
Zaragoza
5.0
Deportivo La Coruna
4.9
Reus Deportiu
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Cordoba
33.1
Elche
32.7
Las Palmas
32.1
Alcorcon
32.0
Osasuna
31.9
Oviedo
31.4
Almeria
31.2
Gimnastic
31.0
Sporting Gijon
30.9
Extremadura UD
30.8
Malaga
30.4
Lugo
30.3
Tenerife
30.3
Albacete
29.6
Rayo Majadahonda
29.6
Granada CF
29.5
Mallorca
28.8
Numancia
28.3
Cadiz
27.9
Reus Deportiu
27.8
Deportivo La Coruna
27.6
Zaragoza
27.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
56.3%
Under 9.5
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
87.6%
Under 3.5
12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
97.1%
Under 21.5
2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Tenerife
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
0.63
0.31
0.56
0.21
0.71
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.50
0.50
1.50
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (23)
0.22
0.52
0.25
0.50
0.18
0.55
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.33
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Almeria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Almeria
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.33
0.73
0.27
0.40
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.38
0.31
0.38
0.12
0.38
0.50
vs Weaker (14)
0.79
0.36
1.14
0.43
0.43
0.29
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Tenerife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Tenerife over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tenerife over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tenerife over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Tenerife
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.53
0.75
0.31
0.57
0.79
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
vs Similar (23)
0.52
0.61
0.58
0.25
0.45
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.67
0.50
1.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Almeria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Almeria
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.53
0.80
0.33
0.47
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.75
0.56
0.88
0.38
0.62
0.75
vs Weaker (14)
0.50
0.50
0.71
0.29
0.29
0.71
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Tenerife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Tenerife over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tenerife over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tenerife over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
93.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
86.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 25.5 fouls
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 4.5 cards
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Tenerife · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Enric Gallego67%
Jesús Álvarez33%
Dani Martín0%
Nacho Gil0%
José León0%
Juanjo Sánchez0%
Martin Pečar0%
David Rodríguez Ramos0%
Noel Lopez0%
Anes Krdzalic0%
Víctor Moreno0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jesús Álvarez67%
David Rodríguez Ramos67%
Dani Martín0%
Nacho Gil0%
Enric Gallego0%
José León0%
Juanjo Sánchez0%
Martin Pečar0%
Noel Lopez0%
Anes Krdzalic0%
Víctor Moreno0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nacho Gil67%
Anes Krdzalic33%
Dani Martín0%
Enric Gallego0%
José León0%
Jesús Álvarez0%
Juanjo Sánchez0%
Martin Pečar0%
David Rodríguez Ramos0%
Noel Lopez0%
Víctor Moreno0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Enric Gallego67%
Dani Martín0%
Nacho Gil0%
José León0%
Jesús Álvarez0%
Juanjo Sánchez0%
Martin Pečar0%
David Rodríguez Ramos0%
Noel Lopez0%
Anes Krdzalic0%
Víctor Moreno0%
Almeria · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Federico Bonini33%
Nicolás Melamed33%
Stefan Džodić33%
Andrés Fernández0%
Léo Baptistão0%
Álex Muñoz0%
Mikel Vesga0%
Miguel de la Fuente0%
Adrián Embarba0%
Jorge Pulido0%
Brian Cipenga0%
Daijiro Chirino0%
Marcos Luna0%
Quim Junyent0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Adrián Embarba33%
Nicolás Melamed33%
Stefan Džodić33%
Andrés Fernández0%
Léo Baptistão0%
Federico Bonini0%
Álex Muñoz0%
Mikel Vesga0%
Miguel de la Fuente0%
Jorge Pulido0%
Brian Cipenga0%
Daijiro Chirino0%
Marcos Luna0%
Quim Junyent0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Miguel de la Fuente33%
Nicolás Melamed33%
Andrés Fernández0%
Léo Baptistão0%
Federico Bonini0%
Álex Muñoz0%
Mikel Vesga0%
Adrián Embarba0%
Jorge Pulido0%
Brian Cipenga0%
Daijiro Chirino0%
Stefan Džodić0%
Marcos Luna0%
Quim Junyent0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Miguel de la Fuente33%
Stefan Džodić33%
Andrés Fernández0%
Léo Baptistão0%
Federico Bonini0%
Álex Muñoz0%
Mikel Vesga0%
Adrián Embarba0%
Jorge Pulido0%
Nicolás Melamed0%
Brian Cipenga0%
Daijiro Chirino0%
Marcos Luna0%
Quim Junyent0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DLC (29)
€84m
ELC (27)
€79m
OSA (22)
€71m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (26)
€48m
MAL (27)
€41m
OVI (23)
€30m
LP (27)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
CAD (29)
€27m
ALB (27)
€18m
GC (18)
€17m
COR (26)
€16m
TEN (28)
€12m
ZAR (20)
€9m
Tenerife's squad is €42m less valuable than Almeria's (€12m vs €54m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DLC (9)
€49m
ALM (11)
€38m
ELC (13)
€34m
MAL (11)
€26m
OSA (8)
€25m
MAL (11)
€23m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
LP (12)
€14m
CAD (12)
€11m
ALB (10)
€8m
GC (5)
€6m
TEN (13)
€5m
ZAR (8)
€4m
COR (9)
€4m
Tenerife's attack is €33m less valuable than Almeria's (€5m vs €38m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DLC (7)
€13m
OSA (4)
€12m
ELC (5)
€12m
MAL (5)
€9m
MAL (5)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
COR (5)
€4m
ALB (7)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
CAD (5)
€3m
GC (3)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
ZAR (4)
€2m
Tenerife and Almeria have a similar midfield value (both €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OSA (10)
€33m
ELC (9)
€33m
DLC (13)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
LP (10)
€13m
CAD (12)
€12m
ALM (11)
€11m
OVI (8)
€10m
MAL (11)
€9m
SG (10)
€9m
GC (10)
€9m
COR (12)
€7m
ALB (10)
€5m
TEN (10)
€3m
ZAR (8)
€3m
Tenerife's defence is €8m less valuable than Almeria's (€3m vs €11m).
Spain: Segunda División 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
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Osasuna
Granada CF
Malaga
Albacete
Mallorca
Deportivo La Coruna
Cadiz
Oviedo
Sporting Gijon
Elche
Las Palmas
Alcorcon
Zaragoza
Numancia
Lugo
Rayo Majadahonda
Gimnastic
Cordoba