Teplice are likely to emerge victorious in this match against Zbrojovka Brno, with a 48% chance of winning at home. The draw percentage stands at 28% and the away win percentage at 24%. The model predicts a home win as the most likely outcome. With an expected total of 2.6 goals, this match is expected to be a low-scoring affair. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a probability of 13.2%.
In terms of recent form, Teplice are coming off a defeat against Sparta Praha, while Zbrojovka Brno suffered a loss to Slovan Liberec. At home, Teplice have scored an average of 1.17 goals and conceded 0.33. Zbrojovka Brno have scored an average of 1.17 goals while away to opponents of similar strength, and conceded 0.5.
The model suggests Over 21.5 fouls (85.1%), Over 1.5 goals (74.6%), and Under 3.5 goals (73.5%) as its selections. Home win percentage is 48%, draw percentage is 28%, and away win percentage is 24%.
Results analysis
The upset came early as Teplice failed to convert their home advantage, losing 0-2 to Zbrojovka Brno and extending the streak of defeats that had already seen them drop points in their last five outings. The pre-match favourite, the model’s Home win call at 47 %, proved wrong, with the away side taking the victory. The model’s other selections all hit: Under 7.5 at 99.5 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.7 %, Under 6.5 at 98.3 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.7 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.7 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.5 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 95.6 %, and Under 5.5 at 95.1 %. All figures appear only once, reflecting the model’s accurate low-goal predictions despite the wrong outcome on the main pick.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Teplice win✗ Miss
47.4%
Avg Implied 41.0% · @ 2.25
Edge
+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.33
Betfair
2.30
Pinnacle
2.30
Dafabet
2.29
William Hil
2.25
Draw✗ Miss
27.9%
Avg Implied 27.5% · @ 3.35
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.53
Betfair
3.50
Marathonbet
3.45
1xBet
3.45
Dafabet
3.45
Zbrojovka Brno win✓ Hit
24.7%
Avg Implied 31.5% · @ 2.93
Edge
-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.10
10Bet
3.10
Superbet
3.05
Pinnacle
3.04
Betano
3.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Teplice
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.17
1.31
1.12
1.43
1.21
vs Stronger (7)
1.71
2.57
1.75
2.50
1.67
2.67
vs Similar (23)
1.26
0.74
1.17
0.67
1.36
0.82
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Zbrojovka Brno) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zbrojovka Brno
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
0.73
2.00
0.75
1.64
0.71
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
1.00
3.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (18)
1.67
0.44
1.70
0.70
1.62
0.12
vs Weaker (10)
2.10
1.20
2.40
0.80
1.80
1.60
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Teplice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.5%
@ 1.24-0.8%
Under 1.5
25.5%
@ 3.77+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.28
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
4.08
Marathonbet
3.92
1xBet
3.92
BetVictor
3.90
Betano
3.85
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.1%
@ 1.79-4.4%
Under 2.5
51.9%
@ 1.98+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.87
Unibet
1.87
888Sport
1.83
Bet365
1.80
Betfair
1.80
Under
Betano
2.07
Marathonbet
2.06
1xBet
2.05
Pinnacle
2.05
10Bet
2.00
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.4%
@ 2.92-5.4%
Under 3.5
73.6%
@ 1.37+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.15
Betfair
3.10
Bet365
3.00
888Sport
3.00
Pinnacle
2.97
Under
Betano
1.44
10Bet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
BetVictor
1.36
Superbet
1.36
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.5%
@ 1.62-4.8%
No
47.5%
@ 2.17+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.68
Bet365
1.67
Betfair
1.65
Superbet
1.65
888Sport
1.62
No
1xBet
2.26
BetVictor
2.25
Betano
2.25
Marathonbet
2.22
Betfair
2.20
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%@ 6.16+6.0%
1-0
10.3%@ 8.23+4.8%
2-1
9.3%@ 8.41+4.0%
2-0
8.9%@ 11.12+4.8%
0-0
8.6%@ 10.91+4.5%
0-1
6.6%@ 9.63+2.0%
1-2
6.4%@ 9.83+1.8%
2-2
4.9%@ 11.73+1.1%
Teplice goals ↓
Zbrojovka Brno goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.6%
6.6%
4.1%
1.5%
0.4%
1
10%
13%
6.4%
2.3%
0.6%
2
8.9%
9.3%
4.9%
1.7%
0.5%
3
4.6%
4.8%
2.5%
0.9%
0.2%
4
1.8%
1.9%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Teplice goals (down), columns = Zbrojovka Brno goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Slavia Praha
2.33
Mlada Boleslav
2.20
Slovan Liberec
2.17
Zbrojovka Brno
2.17
FK Jablonec
2.00
Baník Ostrava
1.80
Sigma Olomouc
1.67
Teplice
1.67
Sparta Praha
1.50
Hradec Králové
1.40
Plzen
1.20
Bohemians 1905
1.20
Artis
0.67
Slovácko
0.33
Pardubice
0.17
Zlin
0.00
Teplice is 0.50 points worse than Zbrojovka Brno in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 2.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha
2.83
Plzen
2.20
Mlada Boleslav
2.20
Teplice
2.00
Sparta Praha
2.00
Zbrojovka Brno
1.67
Sigma Olomouc
1.67
Slovan Liberec
1.33
Bohemians 1905
1.20
FK Jablonec
1.20
Artis
1.00
Zlin
0.83
Pardubice
0.83
Slovácko
0.83
Hradec Králové
0.80
Baník Ostrava
0.80
Teplice is 0.33 goals better than Zbrojovka Brno in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Slovan Liberec
0.50
FK Jablonec
0.80
Slavia Praha
0.83
Zbrojovka Brno
0.83
Hradec Králové
1.00
Bohemians 1905
1.20
Mlada Boleslav
1.20
Baník Ostrava
1.20
Sigma Olomouc
1.33
Sparta Praha
1.67
Pardubice
2.00
Teplice
2.00
Slovácko
2.00
Artis
2.17
Zlin
2.17
Plzen
2.40
Teplice is 1.17 goals worse than Zbrojovka Brno in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 0.83).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Sparta Praha
65%
Plzen
59%
Sigma Olomouc
58%
Slavia Praha
54%
Hradec Králové
54%
FK Jablonec
52%
Mlada Boleslav
50%
Teplice
49%
Slovácko
48%
Slovan Liberec
47%
Baník Ostrava
47%
Bohemians 1905
47%
Zbrojovka Brno
45%
Zlin
43%
Artis
42%
Pardubice
40%
Teplice is 4.2 percentage points better than Zbrojovka Brno in terms of average possession (49% vs 45%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Teplice
For 5.7 · Against 5.6 · Total 11.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.9 · Against 13.6 · Total 28.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Zbrojovka Brno
For 3.7 · Against 6.3 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 9.0 · Total 20.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Teplice
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
8.7
9.6
4.1
3.8
4.3
28.5
28.1
28.9
vs Stronger (9)
8.2
6.2
10.2
3.4
4.2
2.8
25.4
29.5
21.2
vs Similar (39)
9.4
9.2
9.6
4.3
3.8
4.8
29.1
27.9
30.7
vs Weaker (2)
8.5
-
8.5
3.0
-
3.0
30.0
-
30.0
% over line
40%
36%
45%
54%
56%
52%
87%
88%
86%
% under line
60%
64%
55%
46%
44%
48%
13%
12%
14%
This opponent (Zbrojovka Brno) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zbrojovka Brno
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
11.5
7.0
0.2
0.2
0.2
20.0
18.0
24.0
vs Stronger (2)
11.0
15.0
7.0
2.0
0.0
4.0
20.5
17.0
24.0
vs Similar (33)
8.0
8.0
-
0.2
0.4
0.0
19.0
19.0
-
vs Weaker (15)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
33%
50%
0%
4%
4%
4%
33%
0%
100%
% under line
67%
50%
100%
96%
96%
96%
67%
100%
0%
This opponent (Teplice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Mlada Boleslav
11.2
Slavia Praha
10.8
Zbrojovka Brno
10.7
Bohemians 1905
10.3
Slovácko
10.3
Baník Ostrava
10.0
Pardubice
9.9
Slovan Liberec
9.8
FK Jablonec
9.8
Sparta Praha
9.7
Hradec Králové
9.7
Plzen
9.5
Zlin
9.3
Sigma Olomouc
9.2
Teplice
9.2
Artis
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Slovan Liberec
5.3
Plzen
5.2
Sparta Praha
4.8
Teplice
4.5
Slavia Praha
4.5
Pardubice
4.3
Baník Ostrava
4.2
Sigma Olomouc
4.1
Mlada Boleslav
4.1
FK Jablonec
4.1
Zlin
3.9
Slovácko
3.9
Bohemians 1905
3.7
Hradec Králové
3.7
Zbrojovka Brno
3.6
Artis
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Slovan Liberec
28.9
Zlin
28.7
Teplice
28.3
Sigma Olomouc
26.8
Slavia Praha
26.7
Slovácko
26.6
Artis
26.4
FK Jablonec
26.4
Plzen
25.5
Mlada Boleslav
25.5
Pardubice
25.4
Baník Ostrava
24.6
Sparta Praha
24.4
Bohemians 1905
22.9
Hradec Králové
22.7
Zbrojovka Brno
22.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
42.5%
@ 1.76-10.1%
Under 9.5
57.5%
@ 1.95+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.82
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.78
Marathonbet
1.75
Under
Unibet
2.06
Pinnacle
1.98
1xBet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.94
Betano
1.93
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
55.1%
@ 1.55-3.6%
Under 3.5
44.9%
@ 2.20+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.55
Under
Superbet
2.20
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
86.2%
Under 21.5
13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Teplice or Draw✗ Miss
75.3%
Avg Implied 68.5% · @ 1.36
Edge
+6.7%
47%
28%
25%
covers Teplice + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.40
Betfair
1.40
BetVictor
1.36
Unibet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
Teplice or Zbrojovka Brno✓ Hit
72.1%
Avg Implied 72.6% · @ 1.28
Edge
-0.5%
47%
28%
25%
covers Teplice + Zbrojovka Brno
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
888Sport
1.30
Draw or Zbrojovka Brno✓ Hit
52.6%
Avg Implied 58.9% · @ 1.58
Edge
-6.2%
47%
28%
25%
covers Draw + Zbrojovka Brno
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.65
10Bet
1.65
William Hil
1.60
888Sport
1.60
1xBet
1.59
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Teplice over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
78.6%
@ 1.21+2.2%
Under
21.4%
@ 3.95-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.25
Betano
1.23
Betfair
1.22
888Sport
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Under
Pinnacle
4.27
1xBet
4.25
BetVictor
4.10
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Teplice over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
45.7%
@ 2.09+1.1%
Under
54.3%
@ 1.68-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.25
Betfair
2.20
Pinnacle
2.12
Bet365
2.10
888Sport
2.10
Under
10Bet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.73
1xBet
1.73
Pinnacle
1.72
Betano
1.72
Teplice over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
20.2%
@ 4.45-0.6%
Under
79.8%
@ 1.17+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.00
Unibet
4.80
888Sport
4.60
Bet365
4.50
BetVictor
4.50
Under
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Teplice over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.1%
@ 10.47-1.9%
Under
92.9%
@ 1.03+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
888Sport
12.00
Betfair
10.00
1xBet
10.00
Superbet
9.80
Under
Betano
1.06
888Sport
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
65.2%
@ 1.30-6.4%
Under
34.8%
@ 3.26+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.32
Unibet
1.32
Betano
1.31
888Sport
1.30
Pinnacle
1.30
Under
Pinnacle
3.45
1xBet
3.40
Marathonbet
3.40
Bet365
3.40
BetVictor
3.30
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
28.5%
@ 2.47-9.2%
Under
71.5%
@ 1.49+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.57
Superbet
2.52
Bet365
2.50
Betfair
2.50
Unibet
2.50
Under
1xBet
1.52
Betano
1.52
Marathonbet
1.52
Pinnacle
1.51
Betfair
1.50
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.1%
@ 5.72-7.1%
Under
90.9%
@ 1.11+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
888Sport
6.00
Superbet
5.80
Marathonbet
5.75
10Bet
5.75
Under
Betfair
1.13
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.3%
@ 15.31-4.0%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.02+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
19.00
Bet365
17.00
Superbet
15.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
888Sport
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Teplice, so a minus line means Teplice give that many goals of a start and Zbrojovka Brno receive them. At -1, Teplice must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Teplice win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Teplice)Actual: Zbrojovka Brno
Teplice -2
10.1%
@ 9.62+0.8%
Draw -2
14.8%
@ 6.56+1.1%
Zbrojovka Brno +2
75.2%
@ 1.16-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
11.00
Bet365
10.00
Unibet
9.50
Marathonbet
9.20
Superbet
8.40
Draw
Betfair
7.00
Marathonbet
6.80
Bet365
6.50
Unibet
6.50
Superbet
6.00
Away
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Unibet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Handicap -1 (Teplice)Actual: Zbrojovka Brno
Teplice -1
24.8%
@ 4.30+4.1%
Draw -1
22.5%
@ 3.98+0.1%
Zbrojovka Brno +1
52.6%
@ 1.57-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.20
Superbet
4.10
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.10
Betfair
4.00
Superbet
3.90
10Bet
3.80
Away
10Bet
1.65
Superbet
1.61
Marathonbet
1.59
Unibet
1.53
Betfair
1.53
Handicap +1 (Teplice)Actual: Zbrojovka Brno
Teplice +1
75.3%
@ 1.36+9.4%
Draw +1
15.0%
@ 4.64-4.2%
Zbrojovka Brno -1
9.7%
@ 5.99-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.38
Superbet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.33
Draw
Marathonbet
4.80
Bet365
4.75
10Bet
4.75
Superbet
4.70
Unibet
4.20
Away
10Bet
6.50
Marathonbet
6.05
Bet365
6.00
Superbet
5.80
Unibet
5.60
Handicap +2 (Teplice)Actual: Draw
Teplice +2
90.3%
@ 1.10+7.9%
Draw +2
6.9%
@ 8.20-4.2%
Zbrojovka Brno -2
2.8%
@ 14.00-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Draw
Bet365
8.50
Superbet
7.90
Away
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
13.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Teplice
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.67
0.62
0.50
0.43
0.86
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
1.29
1.00
1.25
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (23)
0.43
0.48
0.50
0.25
0.36
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Zbrojovka Brno) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zbrojovka Brno
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.17
0.88
0.06
0.71
0.29
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.78
0.00
0.80
0.00
0.75
0.00
vs Weaker (10)
0.90
0.40
1.00
0.20
0.80
0.60
Clean sheet %
90% (+63pp vs league)
This opponent (Teplice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
69.6%
@ 1.33+0.1%
Under 0.5
30.4%
@ 3.05-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.35
BetVictor
1.35
Unibet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Under
Pinnacle
3.26
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
William Hil
3.10
Marathonbet
3.05
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
28.9%
@ 2.58-7.0%
Under 1.5
71.1%
@ 1.45+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.70
Unibet
2.70
Pinnacle
2.66
Bet365
2.62
Betfair
2.60
Under
10Bet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.47
Betano
1.47
BetVictor
1.46
1xBet
1.45
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
9.4%
@ 6.33-5.3%
Under 2.5
90.6%
@ 1.08+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Unibet
6.25
1xBet
6.15
Marathonbet
6.15
Under
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Unibet
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Teplice over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
46.9%
@ 1.91-1.7%
Under
53.1%
@ 1.81+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.00
Unibet
1.96
Betano
1.93
Pinnacle
1.91
Superbet
1.90
Under
10Bet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathonbet
1.82
Betano
1.82
Superbet
1.80
Teplice over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.4%
@ 5.53-5.5%
Under
88.6%
@ 1.12+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.00
Marathonbet
5.90
Superbet
5.45
Betano
5.30
10Bet
5.00
Under
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Teplice over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.3%
@ 14.75-4.1%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.01+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
18.00
10Bet
15.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
37.1%
@ 2.13-6.6%
Under
62.9%
@ 1.65+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.18
Betano
2.15
Superbet
2.15
Unibet
2.12
1xBet
2.10
Under
Pinnacle
1.68
10Bet
1.67
1xBet
1.67
Betano
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.3%
@ 6.74-3.5%
Under
89.7%
@ 1.08+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.40
Superbet
6.80
10Bet
6.50
Betano
6.50
1xBet
6.50
Under
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.3%
@ 20.83-3.3%
Under
98.7%
@ 1.01+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
24.00
Betano
12.50
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Teplice
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.50
0.69
0.62
1.00
0.36
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
1.29
0.75
1.25
1.00
1.33
vs Similar (23)
0.83
0.26
0.67
0.42
1.00
0.09
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Zbrojovka Brno) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zbrojovka Brno
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.57
1.12
0.69
0.93
0.43
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
0.50
2.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (18)
0.89
0.44
0.90
0.70
0.88
0.12
vs Weaker (10)
1.20
0.80
1.40
0.60
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Teplice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
77.3%
@ 1.19-0.5%
Under 0.5
22.7%
@ 4.17+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.15
Under
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.33
1xBet
4.33
Betano
4.25
Superbet
3.90
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
43.0%
@ 1.97-4.0%
Under 1.5
57.0%
@ 1.75+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.08
Superbet
2.02
Bet365
2.00
William Hil
1.95
Betano
1.93
Under
Betano
1.83
Marathonbet
1.81
1xBet
1.81
William Hil
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.8%
@ 4.05-7.2%
Under 2.5
84.2%
@ 1.21+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
William Hil
4.20
Superbet
4.15
Marathonbet
3.90
1xBet
3.90
Under
Betano
1.26
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Teplice over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
54.0%
@ 1.62-3.4%
Under
46.0%
@ 2.18+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.65
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.59
Under
Betano
2.22
1xBet
2.20
Superbet
2.12
Teplice over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
18.9%
@ 3.94-4.6%
Under
81.1%
@ 1.21+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.10
Marathonbet
4.10
1xBet
3.80
Betano
3.75
Under
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Teplice over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.4%
@ 10.38-4.7%
Under
95.6%
@ 1.03+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.02
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
46.3%
@ 1.79-5.5%
Under
53.7%
@ 1.92+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.83
Superbet
1.82
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.75
Under
Betano
2.00
Marathonbet
1.94
Superbet
1.88
1xBet
1.87
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.5%
@ 4.92-6.3%
Under
87.5%
@ 1.14+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.10
Marathonbet
5.05
Superbet
5.00
Betano
4.55
Under
Betano
1.18
Marathonbet
1.13
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.5%
@ 13.12-4.7%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.02+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.7%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.7%
1.02
Betano
1.03
888Sport
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.6%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
95.1%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Betfair
1.04
888Sport
1.04
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.04
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
93.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
92.9%
1.03
Betano
1.06
888Sport
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
90.9%
1.11
Betfair
1.13
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
10Bet
1.10
+7.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.6%
1.08
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Unibet
1.08
+5.3%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
90.3%
1.10
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
-
-
-
+7.9%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.7%
1.08
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.6%
1.12
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
+5.5%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
87.7%
1.12
Betano
1.17
Pinnacle
1.15
Betfair
1.13
888Sport
1.13
Superbet
1.12
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
87.5%
1.14
Betano
1.18
Marathonbet
1.13
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
-
+6.3%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
84.2%
1.21
Betano
1.26
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
+7.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
81.1%
1.21
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
-
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
79.8%
1.17
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
+0.6%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
79.7%
1.27
Superbet
1.27
-
-
-
-
+9.5%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
79.4%
1.36
Unibet
1.43
Superbet
1.38
1xBet
1.34
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
+11.6%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
78.6%
1.21
Unibet
1.25
Betano
1.23
Betfair
1.22
888Sport
1.22
Bet365
1.22
+2.2%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.3%
1.19
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.15
-0.5%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
75.3%
1.36
Betano
1.40
Betfair
1.40
BetVictor
1.36
Unibet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
+6.7%
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
75.3%
1.36
Unibet
1.38
Superbet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.33
+9.4%
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
75.2%
1.16
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Unibet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
-1.9%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
74.5%
1.24
Unibet
1.28
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Betfair
1.25
-0.8%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
73.6%
1.37
Betano
1.44
10Bet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
BetVictor
1.36
Superbet
1.36
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
72.1%
1.28
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
888Sport
1.30
-0.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
71.5%
1.49
1xBet
1.52
Betano
1.52
Marathonbet
1.52
Pinnacle
1.51
Betfair
1.50
+9.2%
✗ Miss
Under 1.5 HT goals
71.1%
1.45
10Bet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.47
Betano
1.47
BetVictor
1.46
1xBet
1.45
+7.0%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Teplice
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
John Auta60%
Lukáš Mareček40%
Matej Radosta40%
Matej Pulkrab20%
Jan Fortelný20%
Marcel Čermák20%
Matouš Trmal0%
Daniel Mareček0%
Michal Bílek0%
Oskars Vientiess0%
Tomas Zlatohlavek0%
Dalibor Večerka0%
Josef Švanda0%
Matej Riznič0%
Jakub Jakubko0%
Idris Hopi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Matej Radosta40%
Jan Fortelný40%
Tomas Zlatohlavek33%
Idris Hopi33%
Josef Švanda25%
Lukáš Mareček20%
Michal Bílek20%
Matej Riznič20%
Matej Pulkrab0%
Matouš Trmal0%
Daniel Mareček0%
Oskars Vientiess0%
Marcel Čermák0%
Dalibor Večerka0%
Jakub Jakubko0%
John Auta0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lukáš Mareček20%
Matej Pulkrab20%
Matej Radosta20%
Oskars Vientiess20%
Matouš Trmal0%
Daniel Mareček0%
Michal Bílek0%
Jan Fortelný0%
Marcel Čermák0%
Tomas Zlatohlavek0%
Dalibor Večerka0%
Josef Švanda0%
Matej Riznič0%
Jakub Jakubko0%
John Auta0%
Idris Hopi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Matej Pulkrab40%
Matej Riznič40%
Lukáš Mareček20%
Matouš Trmal0%
Matej Radosta0%
Daniel Mareček0%
Michal Bílek0%
Jan Fortelný0%
Oskars Vientiess0%
Marcel Čermák0%
Tomas Zlatohlavek0%
Dalibor Večerka0%
Josef Švanda0%
Jakub Jakubko0%
John Auta0%
Idris Hopi0%
Zbrojovka Brno
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
D. Vašulín67%
Lucky Ezeh33%
T. Vachoušek20%
A. Vaníček17%
F. Vedral17%
J. Zmrhal0%
J. Janetzký0%
J. Klíma0%
P. Čavoš0%
B. Kanakimana0%
O. Velich0%
Amadou Dante0%
Štěpán Langer0%
M. Rymarenko0%
A. Hrdina0%
Lukáš Penxa0%
Kauan Carneiro Kaka0%
Lukáš Saal0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
A. Vaníček33%
Amadou Dante33%
J. Janetzký20%
P. Čavoš20%
Lukáš Saal20%
F. Vedral17%
J. Zmrhal0%
J. Klíma0%
D. Vašulín0%
B. Kanakimana0%
O. Velich0%
Štěpán Langer0%
M. Rymarenko0%
T. Vachoušek0%
A. Hrdina0%
Lucky Ezeh0%
Lukáš Penxa0%
Kauan Carneiro Kaka0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
T. Vachoušek40%
Amadou Dante33%
A. Vaníček17%
F. Vedral17%
J. Zmrhal0%
J. Janetzký0%
J. Klíma0%
P. Čavoš0%
D. Vašulín0%
B. Kanakimana0%
O. Velich0%
Štěpán Langer0%
M. Rymarenko0%
A. Hrdina0%
Lucky Ezeh0%
Lukáš Penxa0%
Kauan Carneiro Kaka0%
Lukáš Saal0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
D. Vašulín33%
B. Kanakimana33%
T. Vachoušek20%
A. Vaníček17%
J. Zmrhal0%
J. Janetzký0%
J. Klíma0%
P. Čavoš0%
F. Vedral0%
O. Velich0%
Amadou Dante0%
Štěpán Langer0%
M. Rymarenko0%
A. Hrdina0%
Lucky Ezeh0%
Lukáš Penxa0%
Kauan Carneiro Kaka0%
Lukáš Saal0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (38)
€123m
SP (35)
€92m
PLZ (28)
€57m
SO (32)
€30m
SL (30)
€27m
BO (31)
€19m
HK (27)
€14m
FJ (28)
€14m
PAR (29)
€14m
MB (28)
€11m
ZB (31)
€10m
ART (30)
€9m
TEP (28)
€8m
SLO (29)
€8m
B1 (24)
€7m
ZLI (27)
€7m
Teplice's squad is €1m less valuable than Zbrojovka Brno's (€8m vs €10m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (14)
€43m
SP (10)
€27m
SL (10)
€17m
PLZ (8)
€15m
SO (10)
€7m
BO (10)
€5m
FJ (10)
€4m
HK (8)
€4m
PAR (9)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
TEP (10)
€3m
ZB (10)
€3m
ART (9)
€2m
ZLI (8)
€2m
SLO (7)
€2m
B1 (6)
€2m
Teplice and Zbrojovka Brno have a similar attack value (both €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (8)
€35m
SP (10)
€27m
PLZ (8)
€22m
SO (9)
€10m
BO (9)
€7m
PAR (8)
€4m
FJ (6)
€4m
SL (7)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
HK (6)
€3m
SLO (9)
€3m
B1 (7)
€2m
ZLI (6)
€2m
TEP (8)
€2m
ZB (8)
€2m
ART (8)
€2m
Teplice and Zbrojovka Brno have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (20)
€61m
SP (11)
€22m
PLZ (12)
€20m
SO (13)
€12m
BO (12)
€7m
HK (13)
€7m
FJ (12)
€6m
PAR (12)
€5m
SL (13)
€5m
ART (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
SLO (13)
€4m
B1 (11)
€3m
TEP (10)
€3m
MB (10)
€3m
ZLI (13)
€2m
Teplice's defence is €1m less valuable than Zbrojovka Brno's (€3m vs €5m).
Czech-Republic: Czech Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: Czech Liga stats & trends →
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Slavia Praha
Slovan Liberec
Mlada Boleslav
Sigma Olomouc
FK Jablonec
Sparta Praha
Baník Ostrava
Hradec Králové
Bohemians 1905
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Zlin