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Tilikratis vs Kalamata Result & Analysis

Date: 12/02/2024
Time: 13:00
Final 0-2
Tilikratis
Tilikratis
Vs
29%
30%
41%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kalamata
Kalamata
Greece: Super League 2
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tilikratis win✗ Miss
29.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kalamata win✓ Hit
41.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

TilikratisTilikratis

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D03L12L00D01L03L01L32W22D20WH·PAN19/11A·KAL25/11A·PAN03/12H·GIO10/12A·EGA19/12H·KIS07/01A·ILI14/01H·ION21/01H·OLY27/01A·DIA04/02
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.821.711.251.380.442.00
vs Stronger (3)0.003.000.003.000.003.00
vs Similar (14)1.001.431.431.140.571.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %24% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Kalamata) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KalamataKalamata

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L00D10W01L00D11D10W11D01L00DH·DIA19/11A·OLY26/11H·PAN03/12A·KAL10/12H·PAN16/12A·GIO07/01H·EGA13/01A·KIS21/01A·ILI28/01H·ION05/02
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.300.701.190.621.430.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.070.801.110.671.001.00
vs Weaker (15)1.530.601.290.571.750.62
Clean sheet %47% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Tilikratis) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.2%
Under 1.5
28.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
43.9%
Under 2.5
56.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.8%
Under 3.5
77.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.4%
No
49.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
0-1
10.5%
0-0
10.1%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.3%
0-2 ✓
7.9%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.2%
Tilikratis goals ↓
Kalamata goals →
01234
010%10%7.9%3.5%1.2%
18.3%14%8.6%3.9%1.3%
25.2%7.0%4.7%2.1%0.7%
31.9%2.6%1.7%0.8%0.3%
40.5%0.7%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Tilikratis goals (down), columns = Kalamata goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Levadiakos
2.47
Kallithea
2.13
Larisa
1.97
Kissamikos
1.90
Ionikos
1.57
Ilioupoli
1.53
PAOK II
1.53
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.38
Iraklis 1908
1.38
Niki Volos
1.37
Makedonikos Neapolis
1.33
Egaleo
1.31
Diagoras
1.31
AEK Athens II
1.27
Kalamata
1.27
Panachaiki FC
1.25
Kampaniakos Chalastra
1.25
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.22
Kozani
1.19
Giouchtas
1.00
Panathinaikos II
0.94
Tilikratis
0.82
Aiolikos
0.75
Apollon Pontou
0.50
Tilikratis is 0.45 points worse than Kalamata in terms of average points per game (0.82 vs 1.27).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kissamikos
1.93
Levadiakos
1.77
Kallithea
1.63
PAOK II
1.62
Larisa
1.60
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.50
Ionikos
1.43
Niki Volos
1.37
Makedonikos Neapolis
1.23
Iraklis 1908
1.09
Panachaiki FC
1.09
AEK Athens II
1.07
Ilioupoli
1.03
Kalamata
0.97
Kampaniakos Chalastra
0.94
Diagoras
0.91
Giouchtas
0.88
Anagennisi Karditsas
0.88
Aiolikos
0.84
Panathinaikos II
0.78
Kozani
0.78
Egaleo
0.78
Tilikratis
0.77
Apollon Pontou
0.55
Tilikratis is 0.19 goals worse than Kalamata in terms of goals scored per game (0.77 vs 0.97).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Levadiakos
0.47
Kallithea
0.63
Larisa
0.87
Iraklis 1908
0.88
Kozani
0.91
Kissamikos
0.93
Egaleo
0.94
Ionikos
0.97
Kalamata
1.00
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.06
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.06
Diagoras
1.12
AEK Athens II
1.17
Niki Volos
1.17
Makedonikos Neapolis
1.27
Kampaniakos Chalastra
1.28
Panachaiki FC
1.31
Giouchtas
1.34
PAOK II
1.38
Ilioupoli
1.40
Panathinaikos II
1.47
Aiolikos
1.59
Tilikratis
1.68
Apollon Pontou
2.05
Tilikratis is 0.68 goals worse than Kalamata in terms of goals conceded per game (1.68 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

TilikratisTilikratis

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L10W00D00D00D01L12L11D00DH·PAN19/11A·KAL25/11A·PAN03/12H·GIO10/12A·EGA19/12H·KIS07/01A·ILI14/01H·ION21/01H·OLY27/01A·DIA04/02
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.410.760.620.500.221.00
vs Stronger (3)0.000.670.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (14)0.500.790.710.570.291.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Kalamata) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KalamataKalamata

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D00D00D00D00D00D10W01L00DH·DIA19/11A·OLY26/11H·PAN03/12A·KAL10/12H·PAN16/12A·GIO07/01H·EGA13/01A·KIS21/01A·ILI28/01H·ION05/02
Avg total
0.2
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.130.380.120.790.14
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.400.070.220.000.670.17
vs Weaker (15)0.730.200.570.290.880.12
Clean sheet %87% (+52pp vs league)
This opponent (Tilikratis) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Tilikratis over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tilikratis over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tilikratis over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kalamata over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kalamata over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kalamata over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

TilikratisTilikratis

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L01L02L00D01L03L00D20W11D20WH·PAN19/11A·KAL25/11A·PAN03/12H·GIO10/12A·EGA19/12H·KIS07/01A·ILI14/01H·ION21/01H·OLY27/01A·DIA04/02
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.410.940.620.880.221.00
vs Stronger (3)0.002.330.003.000.002.00
vs Similar (14)0.500.640.710.570.290.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %41% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Kalamata) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KalamataKalamata

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L00D10W01L00D11D10W01L00D00DH·DIA19/11A·OLY26/11H·PAN03/12A·KAL10/12H·PAN16/12A·GIO07/01H·EGA13/01A·KIS21/01A·ILI28/01H·ION05/02
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.570.810.500.640.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.670.730.890.670.330.83
vs Weaker (15)0.800.400.710.290.880.50
Clean sheet %53% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Tilikratis) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Tilikratis over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tilikratis over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tilikratis over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kalamata over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kalamata over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kalamata over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.577.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.571.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEV (24)
€16m
KAL (28)
€11m
I1 (25)
€9m
EGA (40)
€6m
NV (24)
€6m
PI (21)
€5m
KAL (27)
€5m
LAR (23)
€5m
AK (25)
€4m
OPI (22)
€4m
ILI (31)
€4m
MN (29)
€3m
KC (26)
€2m
AP (16)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEV (11)
€5m
KAL (8)
€4m
EGA (19)
€3m
I1 (6)
€2m
PI (9)
€2m
NV (7)
€2m
OPI (9)
€2m
LAR (7)
€2m
KAL (9)
€2m
AK (7)
€1m
ILI (10)
€1m
MN (10)
€1m
AP (6)
€1m
KC (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEV (4)
€5m
I1 (7)
€3m
KAL (6)
€2m
NV (6)
€1m
PI (4)
€1m
EGA (6)
€1m
ILI (6)
€1m
AK (6)
€1m
KC (7)
€1m
LAR (3)
€1m
KAL (4)
€1m
AP (4)
€1m
MN (4)
€0m
OPI (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEV (9)
€5m
KAL (14)
€5m
I1 (12)
€4m
KAL (14)
€3m
NV (11)
€3m
EGA (15)
€2m
LAR (13)
€2m
PI (8)
€2m
OPI (10)
€2m
AK (12)
€2m
ILI (15)
€2m
MN (15)
€1m
KC (11)
€1m
AP (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
TIL wins
0
Draws
1
KAL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Tilikratis vs Kalamata · H/A from TIL
DateH/AGameScore
11/11/23AKalamata Vs TIL3-0

TilikratisTilikratis

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/02/24ADiagoras Vs TIL0-2
27/01/24HTIL Vs Olympiakos Piraeus II2-2
21/01/24HTIL Vs Ionikos3-2
14/01/24AIlioupoli Vs TIL1-0
07/01/24HTIL Vs Kissamikos0-3
19/12/23AEgaleo Vs TIL1-0
10/12/23HTIL Vs Giouchtas0-0
03/12/23APanathinaikos II Vs TIL2-1
25/11/23AKallithea Vs TIL3-0
19/11/23HTIL Vs Panachaiki FC2-2

KalamataKalamata

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/02/24HKAL Vs Ionikos0-0
28/01/24AIlioupoli Vs KAL1-0
21/01/24AKissamikos Vs KAL1-1
13/01/24HKAL Vs Egaleo1-0
07/01/24AGiouchtas Vs KAL1-1
16/12/23HKAL Vs Panathinaikos II0-0
10/12/23AKallithea Vs KAL1-0
03/12/23HKAL Vs Panachaiki FC1-0
26/11/23AOlympiakos Piraeus II Vs KAL0-0
19/11/23HKAL Vs Diagoras1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Tilikratis
Tilikratis
Greece: Super League 2
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWDW0.88
HomeDDLWD1.50
AwayLLLLW0.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%38%11%
AVG goals2.532.622.44
Over 1.5 %65%62%67%
Over 2.5 %59%62%56%
Over 3.5 %24%38%11%
Scored0.821.250.44
Conceded1.711.382.00
BTTS35%50%22%
Clean Sheet24%38%11%
Corners---
Cards---
Kalamata
Kalamata
Greece: Super League 2
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDLD1.62
HomeLWDWD1.57
AwayDLDDL1.68
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%43%45%
AVG goals1.891.782.00
Over 1.5 %60%57%64%
Over 2.5 %31%30%32%
Over 3.5 %9%9%9%
Scored1.221.171.27
Conceded0.670.610.73
BTTS33%22%45%
Clean Sheet49%57%41%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LevadiakosLevadiakos3074
77%
2.5
5314+39
2.2
70%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
5551.80.5
-
2KallitheaKallithea3064
63%
2.1
4919+30
2.3
67%
47%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2131.60.6
-
3LarisaLarisa3059
53%
2.0
4826+22
2.5
83%
40%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.60.9
-
4KissamikosKissamikos3057
57%
1.9
5828+30
2.9
80%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.90.9
-
5PAOK IIPAOK II3249
47%
1.5
5244+8
3.0
78%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.4
-
6IonikosIonikos3047
40%
1.6
4329+14
2.4
63%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.0
-
7IlioupoliIlioupoli3046
47%
1.5
3142-11
2.4
57%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.01.4
-
8Olympiakos Piraeus IIOlympiakos Piraeus II3244
34%
1.4
4834+14
2.6
66%
47%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2021.51.1
-
9Iraklis 1908Iraklis 19083244
31%
1.4
3528+7
2.0
59%
28%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2341.10.9
-
10EgaleoEgaleo3242
34%
1.3
2530-5
1.7
47%
22%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3120.80.9
-
11DiagorasDiagoras3242
34%
1.3
2936-7
2.0
59%
31%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.1
-
12Niki VolosNiki Volos3041
40%
1.4
4135+6
2.5
77%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.41.2
-
13Makedonikos NeapolisMakedonikos Neapolis3040
30%
1.3
3738-1
2.5
73%
47%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.21.3
-
14Panachaiki FCPanachaiki FC3240
31%
1.2
3542-7
2.4
69%
44%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.3
-
15Kampaniakos ChalastraKampaniakos Chalastra3240
38%
1.2
3041-11
2.2
56%
34%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.91.3
-
16Anagennisi KarditsasAnagennisi Karditsas3239
31%
1.2
2834-6
1.9
59%
31%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.91.1
-
17KalamataKalamata3038
33%
1.3
2930-1
2.0
53%
30%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
4251.01.0
-
18AEK Athens IIAEK Athens II3038
30%
1.3
3235-3
2.2
63%
40%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
19KozaniKozani3238
28%
1.2
2529-4
1.7
44%
19%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.9
-
20GiouchtasGiouchtas3232
25%
1.0
2843-15
2.2
62%
44%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.3
-
21Panathinaikos IIPanathinaikos II3230
25%
0.9
2547-22
2.2
69%
41%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.5
-
22AiolikosAiolikos3224
16%
0.8
2751-24
2.4
75%
47%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.6
-
23TilikratisTilikratis2218
23%
0.8
1737-20
2.5
68%
55%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.7
-
24Apollon PontouApollon Pontou2211
14%
0.5
1245-33
2.6
59%
55%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.52.0
-
25AlmoposAlmopos00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Greece: Super League 2 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 2 stats & trends →

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