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Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali Result & Analysis

Date: 26/09/2024
Time: 17:00
Final 1-0
Torpedo Kutaisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
Vs
49%
26%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Samgurali
Samgurali
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Torpedo Kutaisi win✓ Hit
49.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Samgurali win✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W13L12L21W21W15L11D20W21W30WA·TIR18/07A·OMO25/07H·OMO01/08H·SAM05/08A·DIN18/08H·DIL25/08A·DIN01/09H·KOL14/09H·SAB18/09A·GAG22/09
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.201.731.201.671.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.291.591.121.501.441.67
vs Weaker (13)2.230.692.430.862.000.50
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Samgurali) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SamguraliSamgurali

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L13L21W10W01L00D30W31W22D22DA·TEL24/05H·TOR28/05A·SAB01/06A·DIN03/08H·DIL11/08A·DIN18/08H·KOL24/08A·GAG01/09A·SAM15/09H·TEL22/09
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.271.711.141.191.38
vs Stronger (17)1.001.291.251.500.781.11
vs Similar (9)1.891.112.000.801.751.50
vs Weaker (4)2.251.504.000.001.672.00
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.8%
Under 1.5
20.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.6%
Under 2.5
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.2%
Under 3.5
66.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.1%
No
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
1-0 ✓
8.3%
2-0
8.1%
0-0
6.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
5.5%
Torpedo Kutaisi goals ↓
Samgurali goals →
01234
06.6%5.3%3.8%1.5%0.4%
18.3%12%6.6%2.6%0.8%
28.1%9.6%5.7%2.2%0.7%
34.7%5.5%3.3%1.3%0.4%
42.0%2.4%1.4%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Torpedo Kutaisi goals (down), columns = Samgurali goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Saburtalo
2.08
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.94
Dila
1.89
Dinamo Batumi
1.53
Rustavi
1.50
Samgurali
1.22
Kolkheti Poti
1.14
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.08
Gagra
1.05
Sioni
1.00
Telavi
0.97
Samtredia
0.75
Torpedo Kutaisi is 0.72 points better than Samgurali in terms of average points per game (1.94 vs 1.22).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Saburtalo
2.06
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.61
Dila
1.61
Samgurali
1.42
Kolkheti Poti
1.33
Dinamo Batumi
1.17
Gagra
1.00
Rustavi
1.00
Sioni
1.00
Samtredia
0.92
Dinamo Tbilisi
0.92
Telavi
0.89
Torpedo Kutaisi is 0.19 goals better than Samgurali in terms of goals scored per game (1.61 vs 1.42).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Dila
0.83
Rustavi
1.00
Sioni
1.00
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.11
Dinamo Batumi
1.14
Telavi
1.18
Dinamo Tbilisi
1.22
Saburtalo
1.28
Samgurali
1.36
Gagra
1.45
Kolkheti Poti
1.61
Samtredia
1.69
Torpedo Kutaisi is 0.25 goals better than Samgurali in terms of goals conceded per game (1.11 vs 1.36).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

SamguraliSamgurali

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.211.59.00.40.30.528.0-28.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (27)10.211.59.00.70.50.928.0-28.0
vs Weaker (23)---0.00.00.0---
% over line75%100%50%6%4%8%100%-100%
% under line25%0%50%94%96%92%0%-0%
This opponent (Samgurali) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SamguraliSamgurali

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (28)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (16)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (6)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Torpedo Kutaisi
10.2
Saburtalo
10.2
Dila
8.9
Dinamo Tbilisi
7.8
Dinamo Batumi
7.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Torpedo Kutaisi
6.3
Dila
5.2
Saburtalo
5.0
Dinamo Batumi
4.5
Dinamo Tbilisi
3.2

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Dila
30.7
Torpedo Kutaisi
28.0
Dinamo Tbilisi
25.0
Dinamo Batumi
24.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L01L11D21W12L01L00D00D10WA·TIR18/07A·OMO25/07H·OMO01/08H·SAM05/08A·DIN18/08H·DIL25/08A·DIN01/09H·KOL14/09H·SAB18/09A·GAG22/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.600.670.600.800.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.710.760.500.500.891.00
vs Weaker (13)0.770.380.860.710.670.00
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Samgurali) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SamguraliSamgurali

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D10W00D00D00D10W11D21W01LA·TEL24/05H·TOR28/05A·SAB01/06A·DIN03/08H·DIL11/08A·DIN18/08H·KOL24/08A·GAG01/09A·SAM15/09H·TEL22/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.631.000.430.560.81
vs Stronger (17)0.470.530.620.500.330.56
vs Similar (9)0.890.561.000.400.750.75
vs Weaker (4)1.751.254.000.001.001.67
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samgurali over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samgurali over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samgurali over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D12L11D10W00D03L10W20W21W20WA·TIR18/07A·OMO25/07H·OMO01/08H·SAM05/08A·DIN18/08H·DIL25/08A·DIN01/09H·KOL14/09H·SAB18/09A·GAG22/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.601.070.600.870.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.590.820.621.000.560.67
vs Weaker (13)1.460.311.570.141.330.50
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Samgurali) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SamguraliSamgurali

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W13L11D10W01L00D20W20W01L21WA·TEL24/05H·TOR28/05A·SAB01/06A·DIN03/08H·DIL11/08A·DIN18/08H·KOL24/08A·GAG01/09A·SAM15/09H·TEL22/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.630.710.710.620.56
vs Stronger (17)0.530.760.621.000.440.56
vs Similar (9)1.000.561.000.401.000.75
vs Weaker (4)0.500.250.000.000.670.33
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Kutaisi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Kutaisi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samgurali over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samgurali over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Samgurali over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.8%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (26)
€7m
TK (22)
€7m
DB (25)
€6m
SAB (22)
€6m
DIL (23)
€4m
SAM (24)
€3m
GAG (23)
€3m
RUS (22)
€2m
KP (3)
€0m
SAM (4)
€0m
Torpedo Kutaisi's squad is €4m more valuable than Samgurali's (€7m vs €3m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DB (9)
€3m
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (7)
€3m
TK (7)
€2m
DIL (8)
€2m
SAM (9)
€1m
GAG (8)
€1m
RUS (8)
€1m
KP (2)
€0m
SAM (1)
€0m
Torpedo Kutaisi's attack is €1m more valuable than Samgurali's (€2m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TK (5)
€2m
SAB (5)
€2m
DB (6)
€1m
SAM (5)
€1m
GAG (6)
€1m
DT (4)
€1m
DIL (6)
€1m
RUS (4)
€0m
SAM (1)
€0m
KP (0)
€0m
Torpedo Kutaisi's midfield is €1m more valuable than Samgurali's (€2m vs €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (10)
€2m
TK (10)
€2m
DIL (9)
€2m
DB (10)
€2m
SAM (10)
€1m
RUS (10)
€1m
GAG (9)
€1m
SAM (2)
€0m
KP (1)
€0m
Torpedo Kutaisi and Samgurali have a similar defence value (both €2m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
TK wins
4
Draws
1
SAM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali · H/A from TK
DateH/AGameScore
28/05/24ASamgurali Vs TK1-3
11/04/24HTK Vs Samgurali3-1
03/11/23HTK Vs Samgurali0-0
27/08/23ASamgurali Vs TK0-0
14/05/23HTK Vs Samgurali1-3
19/03/23ASamgurali Vs TK0-0
06/11/22ASamgurali Vs TK2-2
01/09/22HTK Vs Samgurali3-2

Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/09/24AGagra Vs TK0-3
18/09/24HTK Vs Saburtalo2-1
14/09/24HTK Vs Kolkheti Poti2-0
01/09/24ADinamo Batumi Vs TK1-1
25/08/24HTK Vs Dila1-5
18/08/24ADinamo Tbilisi Vs TK1-2
05/08/24HTK Vs Samtredia2-1
01/08/24HTK Vs Omonia Nicosia1-2
25/07/24AOmonia Nicosia Vs TK3-1
18/07/24ATirana Vs TK0-1

SamguraliSamgurali

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/09/24HSAM Vs Telavi2-2
15/09/24ASamtredia Vs SAM2-2
01/09/24AGagra Vs SAM1-3
24/08/24HSAM Vs Kolkheti Poti3-0
18/08/24ADinamo Batumi Vs SAM0-0
11/08/24HSAM Vs Dila0-1
03/08/24ADinamo Tbilisi Vs SAM0-1
01/06/24ASaburtalo Vs SAM1-2
28/05/24HSAM Vs Torpedo Kutaisi1-3
24/05/24ATelavi Vs SAM2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Torpedo Kutaisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWW1.92
HomeLWLWW2.00
AwayWLWDW1.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%60%48%
AVG goals3.003.362.64
Over 1.5 %74%80%68%
Over 2.5 %60%68%52%
Over 3.5 %38%44%32%
Scored1.862.121.60
Conceded1.141.241.04
BTTS62%60%64%
Clean Sheet34%36%32%
Corners10.2511.509.00
Cards6.337.006.00
Samgurali
Samgurali
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWDD1.32
HomeWLLWD1.50
AwayWWDWD1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%42%27%
AVG goals2.802.712.88
Over 1.5 %72%71%73%
Over 2.5 %54%54%54%
Over 3.5 %40%38%42%
Scored1.381.541.23
Conceded1.421.171.65
BTTS52%46%58%
Clean Sheet28%29%27%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SaburtaloSaburtalo3675
64%
2.1
7446+28
3.3
86%
69%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3222.11.3
-
2Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi3670
58%
1.9
5840+18
2.7
69%
53%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2221.61.1
-
3DilaDila3668
53%
1.9
5830+28
2.4
67%
42%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.60.8
-
4Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi3655
42%
1.5
4241+1
2.3
61%
42%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.21.1
-
5SamguraliSamgurali3644
31%
1.2
5149+2
2.8
72%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.4
-
6Kolkheti PotiKolkheti Poti3641
25%
1.1
4858-10
2.9
83%
56%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
7GagraGagra3840
29%
1.1
3855-17
2.4
76%
42%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.4
-
8Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi3639
25%
1.1
3344-11
2.1
67%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3130.91.2
-
9TelaviTelavi3837
24%
1.0
3445-11
2.1
55%
39%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.2
-
10SamtrediaSamtredia3627
14%
0.8
3361-28
2.6
75%
56%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.7
-
11RustaviRustavi23
50%
1.5
22+0
2.0
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.0
-
12SioniSioni22
0%
1.0
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga stats & trends →

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