This opponent (Vilafranquense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vilafranquense
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.25
1.17
1.33
1.33
1.17
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
1.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (10)
1.10
1.20
1.00
1.20
1.20
1.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Torreense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
57.2%
Under 1.5
42.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
28.9%
Under 2.5
71.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
12.1%
Under 3.5
87.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
36.7%
No
63.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
16.6%
0-1 ✓
16.1%
1-1
14.2%
1-0
10.0%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
4.8%
2-0
4.2%
Torreense goals ↓
Vilafranquense goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
17%
16%
9.9%
3.8%
1.1%
1
10%
14%
7.3%
2.8%
0.8%
2
4.2%
4.8%
2.7%
1.0%
0.3%
3
1.0%
1.2%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Torreense goals (down), columns = Vilafranquense goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Moreirense
2.32
Farense
2.03
Vilaverdense
2.00
Estrela
1.85
Academico Viseu
1.56
FC Porto B
1.50
Mafra
1.38
Vilafranquense
1.35
Feirense
1.35
Torreense
1.29
Oliveirense
1.26
Tondela
1.18
Penafiel
1.15
Leixoes
1.15
Nacional
1.15
Benfica B
1.12
Belenenses
1.00
Trofense
0.94
SC Covilha
0.82
Torreense is 0.06 points worse than Vilafranquense in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 1.35).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Moreirense
2.26
Farense
1.68
Estrela
1.62
Benfica B
1.53
Oliveirense
1.50
Academico Viseu
1.50
FC Porto B
1.41
Mafra
1.35
Feirense
1.26
Vilafranquense
1.24
Belenenses
1.17
Leixoes
1.12
Torreense
1.12
Penafiel
1.06
Tondela
1.03
Nacional
1.03
Vilaverdense
1.00
SC Covilha
0.91
Trofense
0.91
Torreense is 0.12 goals worse than Vilafranquense in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 1.24).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Vilaverdense
0.50
Farense
1.00
Tondela
1.03
Estrela
1.03
Vilafranquense
1.06
Feirense
1.09
Moreirense
1.12
FC Porto B
1.18
Torreense
1.21
Academico Viseu
1.32
Nacional
1.35
Penafiel
1.38
Leixoes
1.44
Mafra
1.44
Oliveirense
1.47
Trofense
1.50
SC Covilha
1.68
Belenenses
1.69
Benfica B
1.71
Torreense is 0.15 goals worse than Vilafranquense in terms of goals conceded per game (1.21 vs 1.06).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Oliveirense
56%
Estrela
54%
Farense
53%
Mafra
53%
Moreirense
53%
Benfica B
52%
Vilafranquense
52%
Academico Viseu
51%
Torreense
51%
Penafiel
50%
FC Porto B
50%
Tondela
48%
Feirense
47%
SC Covilha
47%
Leixoes
46%
Belenenses
46%
Nacional
46%
Trofense
40%
Torreense is 1.0 percentage points worse than Vilafranquense in terms of average possession (51% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Torreense
For 6.7 · Against 4.3 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 4.3 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 18.7 · Against 16.7 · Total 35.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Vilafranquense
For 6.7 · Against 3.7 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 4.3 · Against 2.7 · Total 7.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 21.7 · Against 13.3 · Total 35.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Torreense
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (12)
11.0
12.0
10.5
2.1
1.0
3.2
35.3
30.0
38.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
11.5
12.0
11.0
1.6
1.5
1.8
35.0
30.0
40.0
vs Weaker (4)
10.0
-
10.0
3.0
0.0
6.0
36.0
-
36.0
% over line
100%
100%
100%
25%
17%
33%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
0%
0%
0%
75%
83%
67%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Vilafranquense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vilafranquense
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (12)
10.3
8.5
14.0
1.8
2.5
1.0
35.0
40.0
25.0
vs Stronger (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
10.3
8.5
14.0
2.1
3.0
1.2
35.0
40.0
25.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
33%
0%
100%
25%
33%
17%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
67%
100%
0%
75%
67%
83%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Torreense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Estrela
14.0
FC Porto B
13.0
Leixoes
13.0
SC Covilha
12.3
Trofense
12.3
Academico Viseu
11.3
Oliveirense
11.3
Nacional
11.1
Torreense
11.0
Penafiel
11.0
Farense
10.8
Benfica B
10.7
Vilafranquense
10.3
Belenenses
10.3
Feirense
10.0
Moreirense
10.0
Tondela
9.7
Mafra
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Torreense
8.3
Leixoes
8.0
Vilafranquense
7.0
Moreirense
6.6
Benfica B
6.3
Oliveirense
6.3
Mafra
6.3
Belenenses
6.1
FC Porto B
6.0
Academico Viseu
6.0
Tondela
5.9
Penafiel
5.7
Farense
5.6
Estrela
5.5
Trofense
5.3
Nacional
5.3
Feirense
5.0
SC Covilha
4.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Feirense
35.6
Torreense
35.3
Vilafranquense
35.0
Penafiel
34.3
Oliveirense
34.0
Farense
32.9
Leixoes
31.7
Nacional
31.2
Belenenses
30.9
Estrela
30.5
Tondela
29.8
Mafra
29.7
FC Porto B
29.3
Moreirense
29.0
Academico Viseu
26.7
Trofense
26.0
SC Covilha
24.7
Benfica B
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
74.4%
Under 9.5
25.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
87.4%
Under 3.5
12.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
94.7%
Under 21.5
5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Torreense
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.25
0.83
0.00
0.83
0.50
0.83
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.25
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (4)
0.25
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
42% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Vilafranquense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vilafranquense
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.75
0.67
1.00
0.33
0.50
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
2.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (10)
0.40
0.70
0.40
0.80
0.40
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
42% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Torreense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Torreense over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torreense over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torreense over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vilafranquense over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vilafranquense over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vilafranquense over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Torreense
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.50
0.17
0.33
0.50
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.25
0.62
0.25
0.25
0.25
1.00
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.25
0.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Vilafranquense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vilafranquense
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.75
0.42
0.67
0.33
0.83
0.50
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (10)
0.70
0.50
0.60
0.40
0.80
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Torreense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Torreense over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torreense over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torreense over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vilafranquense over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vilafranquense over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vilafranquense over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
94.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
88.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 25.5 fouls
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 4.5 cards
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 2.5
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Torreense · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kévin Zohi38%
Dany Jean20%
Stopira11%
Musa Drammeh10%
Javi Vázquez9%
Lucas Paes0%
Costinha0%
Pité0%
David Bruno0%
Guilherme Liberato0%
Manuel Pozo Guerrero0%
Arnau Casas0%
Alejandro Alfaro0%
Luis Quintero0%
Andre Simões0%
Ismaïl Seydi0%
Mohamed Ali Diadié0%
Leo Azevedo0%
Arielson0%
Danilo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Guilherme Liberato33%
Alejandro Alfaro29%
Arnau Casas25%
Andre Simões25%
Manuel Pozo Guerrero20%
Musa Drammeh20%
Ismaïl Seydi20%
Leo Azevedo20%
Javi Vázquez18%
Pité17%
Stopira11%
Dany Jean10%
David Bruno9%
Lucas Paes0%
Kévin Zohi0%
Costinha0%
Luis Quintero0%
Mohamed Ali Diadié0%
Arielson0%
Danilo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Manuel Pozo Guerrero20%
Alejandro Alfaro14%
Dany Jean10%
Musa Drammeh10%
Ismaïl Seydi10%
Leo Azevedo10%
Javi Vázquez9%
Stopira0%
Lucas Paes0%
Kévin Zohi0%
Costinha0%
Pité0%
David Bruno0%
Guilherme Liberato0%
Arnau Casas0%
Luis Quintero0%
Andre Simões0%
Mohamed Ali Diadié0%
Arielson0%
Danilo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kévin Zohi25%
Musa Drammeh20%
Alejandro Alfaro14%
Dany Jean10%
Javi Vázquez0%
Stopira0%
Lucas Paes0%
Costinha0%
Pité0%
David Bruno0%
Guilherme Liberato0%
Manuel Pozo Guerrero0%
Arnau Casas0%
Luis Quintero0%
Andre Simões0%
Ismaïl Seydi0%
Mohamed Ali Diadié0%
Leo Azevedo0%
Arielson0%
Danilo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Portugal: Segunda Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Segunda Liga stats & trends →