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Toulouse vs Lyon Result & Analysis

Date: 10/05/2026
Time: 19:00
Final 2-1
Toulouse
Toulouse
Vs
26%
26%
48%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Lyon
Lyon
France: Ligue 1
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toulouse win✓ Hit
25.7%
Avg Implied 21.7% · @ 4.29
Edge
+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.1%
Avg Implied 24.7% · @ 3.78
Edge
+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lyon win✗ Miss
48.2%
Avg Implied 53.6% · @ 1.74
Edge
-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ToulouseToulouse

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D01L43W10W13L04L23L14L22D21WA·MAR04/03H·MAR07/03A·MET15/03H·LOR21/03A·PAR03/04H·LIL12/04A·LEN17/04A·LEN21/04H·MON25/04A·STR03/05
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.371.211.071.501.62
vs Stronger (7)1.002.140.672.331.252.00
vs Similar (22)1.501.181.400.801.581.50
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyon) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LyonLyon

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D11D00D02L12L00D20W21W32W42WH·PAR08/03A·CEL12/03A·LE 15/03H·CEL19/03H·MON22/03A·ANG05/04H·LOR12/04A·PAR19/04H·AUX25/04H·REN03/05
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.900.932.060.941.710.93
vs Stronger (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
vs Similar (13)2.311.312.141.292.501.33
vs Weaker (16)1.560.622.000.671.000.57
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Toulouse) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.9%
Under 1.5
20.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.7%
@ 1.75+2.6%
Under 2.5
44.3%
@ 1.98-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.3%
Under 3.5
66.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.4%
No
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
8.2%
0-2
8.0%
2-1 ✓
6.7%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
5.7%
1-3
5.5%
Toulouse goals ↓
Lyon goals →
01234
06.5%8.2%8.0%4.5%1.9%
15.4%12%9.6%5.5%2.3%
23.9%6.7%5.7%3.3%1.4%
31.6%2.7%2.3%1.3%0.6%
40.5%0.8%0.7%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Toulouse goals (down), columns = Lyon goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Paris Saint Germain
2.24
Lens
2.06
Rodez
2.00
Lille
1.79
Lyon
1.76
Rennes
1.74
Marseille
1.74
Monaco
1.59
Strasbourg
1.56
Toulouse
1.33
Lorient
1.32
Paris FC
1.29
Stade Brestois 29
1.15
Angers
1.06
Le Havre
1.03
Auxerre
1.00
Nice
1.00
Nantes
0.70
Saint Etienne
0.67
Metz
0.50
RED Star FC 93
0.00
Toulouse is 0.43 points worse than Lyon in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.76).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Paris Saint Germain
2.18
RED Star FC 93
2.00
Lens
1.94
Marseille
1.85
Monaco
1.76
Rennes
1.74
Strasbourg
1.71
Lyon
1.56
Lille
1.53
Rodez
1.50
Toulouse
1.42
Lorient
1.41
Paris FC
1.38
Stade Brestois 29
1.26
Nice
1.14
Auxerre
1.00
Metz
0.94
Le Havre
0.94
Nantes
0.88
Angers
0.85
Saint Etienne
0.33
Toulouse is 0.13 goals worse than Lyon in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 1.56).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Paris Saint Germain
0.85
Rodez
1.00
Lens
1.03
Lille
1.09
Lyon
1.18
Auxerre
1.29
Le Havre
1.29
Marseille
1.32
Saint Etienne
1.33
Strasbourg
1.38
Toulouse
1.39
Angers
1.41
Rennes
1.47
Paris FC
1.47
Lorient
1.50
Nantes
1.58
Monaco
1.59
Stade Brestois 29
1.62
Nice
1.69
Metz
2.24
RED Star FC 93
3.00
Toulouse is 0.22 goals worse than Lyon in terms of goals conceded per game (1.39 vs 1.18).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Paris Saint Germain
69%
RED Star FC 93
63%
Marseille
57%
Lille
56%
Lyon
55%
Monaco
54%
Strasbourg
54%
Rennes
54%
Saint Etienne
52%
Lens
51%
Paris FC
50%
Metz
49%
Le Havre
47%
Nice
47%
Lorient
45%
Auxerre
44%
Stade Brestois 29
43%
Toulouse
42%
Nantes
42%
Angers
42%
Rodez
38%
Toulouse is 12.4 percentage points worse than Lyon in terms of average possession (42% vs 55%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ToulouseToulouse

For 2.9 · Against 5.3 · Total 8.2

🚩 Corners

150384261144225144442661166156758612A·STRH·MONA·LENA·LENH·LILA·PARH·LORA·METH·MARA·MAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.2 · Total 3.5

🟨 Cards

5031322213123323224523315354A·STRH·MONA·LENA·LENH·LILA·PARH·LORA·METH·MARA·MAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 9.5 · Total 22.8

⚠️ Fouls

2901571710121015913121349101310151411922272224251719232920A·STRH·MONA·LENA·LENH·LILA·PARH·LORA·METH·MARA·MAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LyonLyon

For 4.9 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.5

🚩 Corners

18075635134673261622782129181010874710H·RENH·AUXA·PARH·LORA·ANGH·MONH·CELA·LE A·CELH·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 3.0 · Total 4.8

🟨 Cards

90312154131345322623365349582H·RENH·AUXA·PARH·LORA·ANGH·MONH·CELA·LE A·CELH·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 13.3 · Total 25.1

⚠️ Fouls

31010141115810171413141119112016714117924261831273031232516H·RENH·AUXA·PARH·LORA·ANGH·MONH·CELA·LE A·CELH·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ToulouseToulouse

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.18.89.44.34.04.625.125.924.4
vs Stronger (14)8.57.39.73.93.34.424.124.723.6
vs Similar (35)9.49.59.34.64.54.625.426.324.8
vs Weaker (1)10.010.0-2.02.0-28.028.0-
% over line46%48%44%66%61%70%82%78%85%
% under line54%52%56%34%39%30%18%22%15%
This opponent (Lyon) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LyonLyon

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.79.79.74.74.05.425.424.726.3
vs Stronger (2)14.010.018.07.59.06.018.018.018.0
vs Similar (25)9.19.28.94.83.85.826.525.227.8
vs Weaker (23)10.010.19.94.33.94.924.924.925.0
% over line40%48%30%70%63%78%78%78%78%
% under line60%52%70%30%37%22%22%22%22%
This opponent (Toulouse) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Rennes
10.3
Nice
10.2
Rodez
10.0
Stade Brestois 29
9.9
Lens
9.8
Lille
9.7
Lyon
9.7
Auxerre
9.7
Paris FC
9.5
Saint Etienne
9.5
Nantes
9.5
Monaco
9.5
Metz
9.4
Le Havre
9.3
Paris Saint Germain
9.2
Strasbourg
9.2
Toulouse
9.1
Angers
9.0
Marseille
9.0
Lorient
8.8
RED Star FC 93
8.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Lyon
4.8
Auxerre
4.7
Lens
4.6
Nantes
4.6
Marseille
4.5
Strasbourg
4.4
Rennes
4.4
Lille
4.4
Toulouse
4.3
Monaco
4.3
Nice
4.3
Rodez
4.3
Le Havre
4.1
Paris FC
4.1
Lorient
4.0
Saint Etienne
4.0
Stade Brestois 29
3.8
RED Star FC 93
3.7
Metz
3.7
Angers
3.5
Paris Saint Germain
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Nantes
26.6
RED Star FC 93
26.5
Le Havre
26.5
Saint Etienne
26.1
Auxerre
25.7
Rodez
25.7
Lyon
25.4
Lens
25.4
Toulouse
25.1
Stade Brestois 29
25.1
Rennes
24.1
Nice
24.0
Monaco
24.0
Strasbourg
23.8
Lille
23.8
Lorient
23.3
Marseille
23.2
Metz
23.1
Paris FC
22.8
Angers
22.7
Paris Saint Germain
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
47.1%
Under 9.5
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
65.3%
Under 3.5
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
75.6%
Under 21.5
24.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ToulouseToulouse

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L32W00D12L01L20W13L02L11DA·MAR04/03H·MAR07/03A·MET15/03H·LOR21/03A·PAR03/04H·LIL12/04A·LEN17/04A·LEN21/04H·MON25/04A·STR03/05
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.630.430.430.940.81
vs Stronger (7)0.431.140.001.330.751.00
vs Similar (22)0.770.500.500.201.000.75
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyon) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LyonLyon

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L00D00D10W00D00D20W11D21WH·PAR08/03A·CEL12/03A·LE 15/03H·CEL19/03H·MON22/03A·ANG05/04H·LOR12/04A·PAR19/04H·AUX25/04H·REN03/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.400.690.381.070.43
vs Stronger (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
vs Similar (13)1.080.540.860.571.330.50
vs Weaker (16)0.620.310.560.220.710.43
Clean sheet %63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Toulouse) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Toulouse over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyon over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyon over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyon over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ToulouseToulouse

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D11D10W01L03L03L01L20W10WA·MAR04/03H·MAR07/03A·MET15/03H·LOR21/03A·PAR03/04H·LIL12/04A·LEN17/04A·LEN21/04H·MON25/04A·STR03/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.730.790.640.560.81
vs Stronger (7)0.571.000.671.000.501.00
vs Similar (22)0.730.680.900.600.580.75
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyon) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LyonLyon

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W00D02L02L00D20W01L21W21WH·PAR08/03A·CEL12/03A·LE 15/03H·CEL19/03H·MON22/03A·ANG05/04H·LOR12/04A·PAR19/04H·AUX25/04H·REN03/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.531.380.560.640.50
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (13)1.230.771.290.711.170.83
vs Weaker (16)0.940.311.440.440.290.14
Clean sheet %63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Toulouse) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Toulouse over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyon over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyon over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyon over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls86.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards82.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.579.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners75.7%-------✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls75.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards70.8%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Toulouse
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Frank Magri24%
Yann Gboho23%
Emersonn23%
Aron Dønnum16%
Santiago Hidalgo16%
Julian Vignolo13%
Charlie Cresswell12%
Djibril Sidibé9%
Seny Koumbassa8%
Jacen Russell-Rowe7%
Dayann Methalie7%
Cristian Cásseres Jr.6%
Pape Diop5%
Alexis Vossah4%
Warren Kamanzi4%
Mario Sauer3%
Rasmus Nicolaisen3%
Kjetil Haug0%
Mark McKenzie0%
Abu Francis0%
Guillaume Restes0%
Rafik Messali0%
Noah Edjouma0%
Ilyas Azizi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kjetil Haug33%
Dayann Methalie33%
Aron Dønnum28%
Cristian Cásseres Jr.26%
Abu Francis25%
Charlie Cresswell25%
Rafik Messali21%
Mark McKenzie21%
Pape Diop21%
Alexis Vossah20%
Emersonn19%
Frank Magri18%
Mario Sauer17%
Santiago Hidalgo16%
Rasmus Nicolaisen11%
Guillaume Restes9%
Seny Koumbassa8%
Warren Kamanzi4%
Djibril Sidibé3%
Yann Gboho3%
Jacen Russell-Rowe0%
Noah Edjouma0%
Julian Vignolo0%
Ilyas Azizi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Santiago Hidalgo19%
Aron Dønnum16%
Pape Diop11%
Emersonn10%
Charlie Cresswell9%
Cristian Cásseres Jr.9%
Djibril Sidibé9%
Yann Gboho9%
Mark McKenzie6%
Frank Magri6%
Alexis Vossah4%
Warren Kamanzi4%
Dayann Methalie3%
Rasmus Nicolaisen3%
Kjetil Haug0%
Abu Francis0%
Jacen Russell-Rowe0%
Mario Sauer0%
Guillaume Restes0%
Rafik Messali0%
Noah Edjouma0%
Julian Vignolo0%
Ilyas Azizi0%
Seny Koumbassa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Emersonn26%
Frank Magri18%
Pape Diop16%
Santiago Hidalgo12%
Aron Dønnum9%
Charlie Cresswell9%
Yann Gboho9%
Noah Edjouma8%
Jacen Russell-Rowe7%
Dayann Methalie3%
Cristian Cásseres Jr.3%
Rasmus Nicolaisen3%
Djibril Sidibé0%
Kjetil Haug0%
Mark McKenzie0%
Abu Francis0%
Warren Kamanzi0%
Mario Sauer0%
Guillaume Restes0%
Rafik Messali0%
Julian Vignolo0%
Ilyas Azizi0%
Seny Koumbassa0%
Alexis Vossah0%
Lyon
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Corentin Tolisso33%
Roman Yaremchuk29%
Endrick29%
Rémi Himbert27%
Pavel Šulc26%
Alejandro Gomes Rodriguez25%
Afonso Moreira19%
Abner Vinícius14%
Noah Nartey13%
Malick Fofana12%
Martín Satriano11%
Adam Karabec9%
Ruben Kluivert8%
Tanner Tessmann5%
Ainsley Maitland-Niles5%
Tyler Morton5%
Khalis Merah3%
Moussa Niakhaté2%
Clinton Mata0%
Nicolás Tagliafico0%
Rachid Ghezzal0%
Rémy Descamps0%
Orel Mangala0%
Hans Hateboer0%
Dominik Greif0%
Ernest Nuamah0%
Mathys de Carvalho0%
Enzo Molebe0%
Tiago Gonçalves0%
Adil Hamdani0%
Steeve Kango0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nicolás Tagliafico30%
Ruben Kluivert25%
Alejandro Gomes Rodriguez25%
Endrick24%
Tyler Morton21%
Steeve Kango17%
Clinton Mata16%
Ainsley Maitland-Niles14%
Abner Vinícius14%
Afonso Moreira14%
Pavel Šulc13%
Corentin Tolisso13%
Mathys de Carvalho10%
Adam Karabec9%
Rémy Descamps8%
Tanner Tessmann7%
Roman Yaremchuk7%
Moussa Niakhaté7%
Malick Fofana6%
Martín Satriano5%
Khalis Merah3%
Dominik Greif3%
Rachid Ghezzal0%
Orel Mangala0%
Hans Hateboer0%
Ernest Nuamah0%
Noah Nartey0%
Enzo Molebe0%
Rémi Himbert0%
Tiago Gonçalves0%
Adil Hamdani0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Endrick29%
Alejandro Gomes Rodriguez25%
Afonso Moreira22%
Pavel Šulc16%
Adil Hamdani14%
Corentin Tolisso13%
Ainsley Maitland-Niles10%
Rémi Himbert9%
Abner Vinícius8%
Rachid Ghezzal8%
Ruben Kluivert8%
Rémy Descamps8%
Roman Yaremchuk7%
Tyler Morton7%
Nicolás Tagliafico7%
Malick Fofana6%
Khalis Merah6%
Adam Karabec6%
Martín Satriano5%
Mathys de Carvalho5%
Moussa Niakhaté5%
Dominik Greif3%
Clinton Mata2%
Orel Mangala0%
Hans Hateboer0%
Tanner Tessmann0%
Ernest Nuamah0%
Noah Nartey0%
Enzo Molebe0%
Tiago Gonçalves0%
Steeve Kango0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Endrick48%
Rémi Himbert27%
Roman Yaremchuk21%
Afonso Moreira16%
Martín Satriano16%
Malick Fofana12%
Tanner Tessmann12%
Pavel Šulc11%
Corentin Tolisso10%
Abner Vinícius3%
Ainsley Maitland-Niles2%
Clinton Mata0%
Nicolás Tagliafico0%
Rachid Ghezzal0%
Rémy Descamps0%
Orel Mangala0%
Moussa Niakhaté0%
Hans Hateboer0%
Dominik Greif0%
Tyler Morton0%
Ruben Kluivert0%
Adam Karabec0%
Ernest Nuamah0%
Noah Nartey0%
Alejandro Gomes Rodriguez0%
Mathys de Carvalho0%
Enzo Molebe0%
Khalis Merah0%
Tiago Gonçalves0%
Adil Hamdani0%
Steeve Kango0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (26)
€1477m
MON (26)
€326m
LIL (27)
€312m
STR (32)
€304m
LYO (32)
€293m
REN (26)
€241m
MAR (22)
€225m
LEN (27)
€187m
PF (37)
€176m
NIC (28)
€152m
TOU (24)
€115m
SE (30)
€93m
LOR (24)
€87m
AUX (29)
€84m
NAN (25)
€82m
ANG (23)
€73m
SB2 (20)
€64m
LH (25)
€55m
MET (26)
€43m
ROD (23)
€15m
RSF (22)
€15m
Toulouse's squad is €179m less valuable than Lyon's (€115m vs €293m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (10)
€638m
MON (9)
€148m
LIL (13)
€133m
LYO (9)
€122m
STR (13)
€112m
MAR (9)
€91m
REN (8)
€87m
NIC (8)
€62m
PF (13)
€59m
SE (10)
€54m
LEN (8)
€52m
NAN (8)
€31m
ANG (9)
€30m
TOU (7)
€30m
SB2 (6)
€25m
AUX (11)
€23m
LOR (8)
€20m
MET (11)
€17m
LH (10)
€9m
RSF (6)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
Toulouse's attack is €92m less valuable than Lyon's (€30m vs €122m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (5)
€430m
LIL (4)
€102m
MON (5)
€84m
LYO (8)
€82m
MAR (5)
€68m
STR (6)
€56m
PF (7)
€54m
REN (5)
€44m
TOU (7)
€39m
LOR (5)
€32m
NIC (9)
€31m
AUX (5)
€28m
LEN (5)
€24m
LH (5)
€23m
SB2 (6)
€20m
MET (5)
€18m
NAN (7)
€16m
ANG (3)
€11m
SE (7)
€11m
ROD (6)
€4m
RSF (5)
€3m
Toulouse's midfield is €43m less valuable than Lyon's (€39m vs €82m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (11)
€409m
STR (13)
€136m
LEN (14)
€112m
REN (13)
€109m
MON (12)
€93m
LYO (15)
€89m
LIL (10)
€76m
MAR (8)
€66m
PF (17)
€62m
NIC (11)
€60m
TOU (10)
€46m
LOR (11)
€35m
NAN (10)
€34m
AUX (13)
€33m
ANG (11)
€32m
SE (13)
€28m
LH (10)
€23m
SB2 (8)
€19m
MET (10)
€8m
ROD (10)
€7m
RSF (11)
€7m
Toulouse's defence is €43m less valuable than Lyon's (€46m vs €89m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
TOU wins
2
Draws
5
LYO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Toulouse vs Lyon · H/A from TOU
DateH/AGameScore
05/10/25ALyon Vs TOU1-2
18/01/25ALyon Vs TOU0-0
29/09/24HTOU Vs Lyon1-2
15/03/24HTOU Vs Lyon2-3
10/12/23ALyon Vs TOU3-0
14/04/23HTOU Vs Lyon1-2
07/10/22ALyon Vs TOU1-1
26/01/20ALyon Vs TOU3-0

ToulouseToulouse

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/05/26AStrasbourg Vs TOU1-2
25/04/26HTOU Vs Monaco2-2
21/04/26ALens Vs TOU4-1
17/04/26ALens Vs TOU3-2
12/04/26HTOU Vs Lille0-4
03/04/26AParis Saint Germain Vs TOU3-1
21/03/26HTOU Vs Lorient1-0
15/03/26AMetz Vs TOU3-4
07/03/26HTOU Vs Marseille0-1
04/03/26AMarseille Vs TOU2-2

LyonLyon

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/05/26HLYO Vs Rennes4-2
25/04/26HLYO Vs Auxerre3-2
19/04/26AParis Saint Germain Vs LYO1-2
12/04/26HLYO Vs Lorient2-0
05/04/26AAngers Vs LYO0-0
22/03/26HLYO Vs Monaco1-2
19/03/26HLYO Vs Celta Vigo0-2
15/03/26ALe Havre Vs LYO0-0
12/03/26ACelta Vigo Vs LYO1-1
08/03/26HLYO Vs Paris FC1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Toulouse
Toulouse
France: Ligue 1
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDW1.28
HomeDLWLD1.26
AwayWLLLW1.30
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%30%37%
AVG goals2.902.783.00
Over 1.5 %70%65%74%
Over 2.5 %56%48%63%
Over 3.5 %36%35%37%
Scored1.461.351.56
Conceded1.441.431.44
BTTS56%48%63%
Clean Sheet24%30%19%
Corners9.148.839.41
Cards4.324.044.56
Lyon
Lyon
France: Ligue 1
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWW1.96
HomeLLWWW2.30
AwayLDDDW1.57
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%74%43%
AVG goals2.742.892.57
Over 1.5 %72%85%57%
Over 2.5 %50%56%43%
Over 3.5 %28%22%35%
Scored1.742.001.43
Conceded1.000.891.13
BTTS46%48%43%
Clean Sheet46%48%43%
Corners9.729.749.70
Cards4.784.195.43

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain3476
71%
2.2
7429+45
3.0
76%
62%
32%
9.5
41%
2.9
26%
18.6
26%
1477
6384304092.20.9
69%
2LensLens3470
65%
2.1
6635+31
3.0
82%
65%
29%
10.4
53%
4.6
70%
24.7
59%
187
52241121.91.0
51%
3LilleLille3461
53%
1.8
5237+15
2.6
65%
38%
21%
9.5
44%
4.5
68%
24.2
68%
312
133102761.51.1
56%
4LyonLyon3460
53%
1.8
5340+13
2.7
65%
56%
32%
10.9
50%
4.8
71%
26.4
79%
293
12282891.61.2
55%
5MarseilleMarseille3459
53%
1.7
6345+18
3.2
74%
62%
41%
8.8
38%
4.4
73%
23.7
56%
225
9168661.91.3
57%
6RennesRennes3459
50%
1.7
5950+9
3.2
82%
71%
50%
10.6
62%
4.3
66%
24.4
71%
241
87441091.71.5
54%
7MonacoMonaco3454
47%
1.6
6054+6
3.4
74%
65%
53%
9.4
47%
4.2
62%
23.8
65%
326
14884931.81.6
54%
8StrasbourgStrasbourg3453
44%
1.6
5847+11
3.1
76%
65%
35%
8.9
44%
3.8
56%
24.1
74%
304
112561361.71.4
54%
9LorientLorient3445
32%
1.3
4851-3
2.9
88%
44%
35%
8.9
47%
4.1
55%
22.8
50%
87
2032351.41.5
45%
10ToulouseToulouse3344
36%
1.3
4746+1
2.8
67%
55%
33%
9.6
55%
4.5
70%
25.5
82%
115
3039461.41.4
42%
11Paris FCParis FC3444
32%
1.3
4750-3
2.9
74%
56%
32%
9.9
59%
3.9
47%
21.4
50%
176
5954621.41.5
50%
12Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 293439
29%
1.1
4355-12
2.9
82%
50%
29%
9.7
47%
3.8
55%
24.4
65%
64
2520191.31.6
43%
13AngersAngers3436
26%
1.1
2948-19
2.3
65%
29%
18%
8.8
41%
3.2
45%
22.4
53%
73
3011320.91.4
42%
14NiceNice3636
22%
1.0
4161-20
2.8
75%
50%
42%
10.8
67%
4.0
56%
23.6
53%
152
6231601.11.7
47%
15Le HavreLe Havre3435
21%
1.0
3244-12
2.2
62%
32%
18%
9.1
44%
4.2
65%
27.8
94%
55
923230.91.3
47%
16AuxerreAuxerre3434
24%
1.0
3444-10
2.3
62%
44%
26%
9.5
41%
4.9
74%
27.2
85%
84
2328331.01.3
44%
17NantesNantes3323
15%
0.7
2952-23
2.5
67%
45%
21%
9.4
48%
4.7
73%
26.8
85%
82
3116340.91.6
42%
18MetzMetz3417
9%
0.5
3276-44
3.2
74%
62%
41%
9.5
41%
3.5
53%
22.6
59%
43
171880.92.2
49%
19RodezRodez24
50%
2.0
32+1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
8.0
50%
3.5
50%
24.5
100%
15
4471.51.0
38%
20Saint EtienneSaint Etienne32
0%
0.7
14-3
1.7
33%
33%
33%
11.0
100%
1.7
0%
19.3
33%
93
5411280.31.3
52%
21RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 9310
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
5.0
0%
5.0
100%
23.0
100%
15
4372.03.0
63%
France: Ligue 1 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 1 stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches