Trabzonspor, coming off a draw, hosts BaÅŸakÅŸehir, who are on a 3-game winning run. The model predicts a home win, with a 42% probability of Trabzonspor emerging victorious, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability of BaÅŸakÅŸehir winning. The expected total number of goals is 2.7, with 2 being the most likely total number of goals. The most likely score is a 1-1 draw, with a 13.5% probability.
Trabzonspor's home form is similar to BaÅŸakÅŸehir's strength, scoring 1 goal on average while conceding 1. In contrast, BaÅŸakÅŸehir scores 1.5 goals on average while conceding 0.5 when playing away against similar opponents.
The model's selections include Over 21.5 fouls (84.2%), Over 1.5 (75.8%), Home or Away (73.4%), and Under 3.5 (72.1%), with a 7% edge. Home win is the model's pick, with a 42% probability. The percentages for each possible result are 42% for a home win, 28% for a draw, and 30% for an away win.
Results analysis
The win extends Trabzonspor’s recent run, and the model’s pick of a Home win with a 40 % probability proved correct as the final score was 2-1. The favourite’s 40 % pre-match probability is reflected in the 2-1 result, confirming the model’s call. Every suggested selection hit: Under 7.5 at 98.9 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.1 %, Under 6.5 at 97.0 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.2 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.2 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 95.3 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 94.7 %, and Under 5.5 at 92.2 %. Each probability is expressed as a percentage, and every pick’s outcome is noted without repetition. The match confirmed the model’s selections and the predicted 2-1 scoreline.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Trabzonspor win✓ Hit
39.6%
Avg Implied 47.3% · @ 1.98
Edge
-7.8%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.12
888Sport
2.05
Unibet
2.02
1xBet
2.01
Dafabet
1.99
Draw✗ Miss
28.1%
Avg Implied 26.1% · @ 3.58
Edge
+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.74
Pinnacle
3.73
BetVictor
3.70
Dafabet
3.70
Başakşehir win✗ Miss
32.3%
Avg Implied 26.6% · @ 3.51
Edge
+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.82
1xBet
3.76
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.62
Betano
3.60
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Trabzonspor
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
1.17
1.57
1.21
2.12
1.12
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
2.00
2.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.86
1.14
1.33
1.67
2.25
0.75
vs Weaker (21)
1.86
1.10
1.56
0.89
2.08
1.25
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Başakşehir) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Başakşehir
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.03
1.10
2.25
1.12
1.79
1.07
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
2.20
1.50
2.00
0.33
2.33
vs Similar (7)
2.14
1.57
2.50
2.25
1.67
0.67
vs Weaker (18)
2.33
0.61
2.30
0.50
2.38
0.75
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Trabzonspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.5%
@ 1.19-2.3%
Under 1.5
23.5%
@ 4.40+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
888Sport
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Under
Pinnacle
4.74
BetVictor
4.60
Superbet
4.60
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.8%
@ 1.65-6.4%
Under 2.5
49.2%
@ 2.21+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.72
1xBet
1.69
Pinnacle
1.68
Betano
1.67
888Sport
1.67
Under
Betfair
2.30
1xBet
2.28
Pinnacle
2.28
Betano
2.25
Superbet
2.25
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.7%
@ 2.58-7.5%
Under 3.5
71.3%
@ 1.47+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.65
10Bet
2.65
888Sport
2.63
Betfair
2.63
Betano
2.62
Under
Betano
1.52
Superbet
1.51
Pinnacle
1.51
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.1%
@ 1.55-3.8%
No
43.9%
@ 2.31+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
888Sport
1.57
William Hil
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.57
Superbet
1.56
No
Betfair
2.45
Superbet
2.35
1xBet
2.32
Betano
2.32
BetVictor
2.30
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%@ 6.69+6.7%
2-1 ✓
8.7%@ 7.85+3.0%
1-0
8.3%@ 8.83+3.2%
0-0
7.9%@ 12.89+4.4%
1-2
7.8%@ 10.98+3.7%
0-1
7.3%@ 12.28+3.6%
2-0
6.8%@ 10.47+2.5%
2-2
5.6%@ 11.13+1.5%
Trabzonspor goals ↓
Başakşehir goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.9%
7.3%
5.4%
2.3%
0.7%
1
8.3%
13%
7.8%
3.3%
1.1%
2
6.8%
8.7%
5.6%
2.4%
0.8%
3
3.3%
4.2%
2.7%
1.1%
0.4%
4
1.2%
1.5%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Trabzonspor goals (down), columns = Başakşehir goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Galatasaray
2.26
Fenerbahçe
2.18
Trabzonspor
2.03
Beşiktaş
1.76
Başakşehir
1.68
Göztepe
1.62
Samsunspor
1.50
Rizespor
1.21
Konyaspor
1.18
Gaziantep FK
1.09
Kocaelispor
1.09
Alanyaspor
1.09
Amed
1.05
Kasımpaşa
1.03
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.00
Eyüpspor
0.97
Erzurumspor FK
0.96
Çorum FK
0.95
Trabzonspor is 0.35 points better than Başakşehir in terms of average points per game (2.03 vs 1.68).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Fenerbahçe
2.26
Galatasaray
2.26
Trabzonspor
1.79
Beşiktaş
1.74
Başakşehir
1.71
Samsunspor
1.35
Rizespor
1.35
Gaziantep FK
1.26
Konyaspor
1.26
Göztepe
1.24
Alanyaspor
1.21
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.06
Amed
1.03
Eyüpspor
0.97
Kasımpaşa
0.97
Erzurumspor FK
0.94
Çorum FK
0.93
Kocaelispor
0.76
Trabzonspor is 0.09 goals better than Başakşehir in terms of goals scored per game (1.79 vs 1.71).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Galatasaray
0.88
Göztepe
0.94
Başakşehir
1.03
Fenerbahçe
1.09
Kocaelispor
1.12
Trabzonspor
1.15
Beşiktaş
1.18
Alanyaspor
1.21
Samsunspor
1.32
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.38
Eyüpspor
1.41
Kasımpaşa
1.44
Konyaspor
1.47
Rizespor
1.53
Gaziantep FK
1.71
Amed
1.71
Erzurumspor FK
1.88
Çorum FK
1.89
Trabzonspor is 0.12 goals worse than Başakşehir in terms of goals conceded per game (1.15 vs 1.03).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Galatasaray
62%
Fenerbahçe
59%
Beşiktaş
56%
Trabzonspor
55%
Başakşehir
54%
Samsunspor
54%
Konyaspor
52%
Rizespor
50%
Gaziantep FK
50%
Kocaelispor
50%
Alanyaspor
48%
Eyüpspor
48%
Kasımpaşa
44%
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
43%
Göztepe
38%
Trabzonspor is 0.3 percentage points better than Başakşehir in terms of average possession (55% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Trabzonspor
For 5.7 · Against 4.3 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 3.3 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 16.3 · Total 27.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Başakşehir
For 4.6 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 12.5 · Total 25.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Trabzonspor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.8
10.0
3.9
3.8
4.0
26.6
25.9
27.2
vs Stronger (6)
11.6
12.3
10.5
5.2
5.2
5.0
25.6
25.7
25.5
vs Similar (10)
10.8
11.6
9.8
4.8
5.4
4.2
25.8
22.6
29.8
vs Weaker (34)
9.3
8.5
9.9
3.4
2.9
3.8
27.0
27.3
26.8
% over line
51%
50%
52%
46%
44%
48%
79%
80%
78%
% under line
49%
50%
48%
54%
56%
52%
21%
20%
22%
This opponent (Başakşehir) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Başakşehir
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.2
10.7
4.4
4.6
4.2
26.6
27.0
26.1
vs Stronger (9)
11.1
10.8
11.5
4.6
5.5
3.8
23.1
24.2
22.0
vs Similar (13)
9.5
8.8
10.2
4.3
5.0
3.5
26.5
26.5
26.5
vs Weaker (28)
9.8
8.9
10.7
4.4
4.2
4.6
27.7
28.0
27.3
% over line
53%
48%
59%
64%
72%
56%
87%
91%
82%
% under line
47%
52%
41%
36%
28%
44%
13%
9%
18%
This opponent (Trabzonspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Fenerbahçe
10.9
Beşiktaş
10.2
Samsunspor
9.8
Başakşehir
9.7
Konyaspor
9.7
Gaziantep FK
9.6
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
9.5
Trabzonspor
9.5
Rizespor
9.3
Çorum FK
9.2
Göztepe
9.2
Eyüpspor
9.1
Amed
9.0
Galatasaray
8.9
Kasımpaşa
8.8
Erzurumspor FK
8.4
Kocaelispor
8.2
Alanyaspor
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Gaziantep FK
5.9
Fenerbahçe
5.7
Göztepe
5.1
Konyaspor
5.1
Çorum FK
5.0
Alanyaspor
5.0
Kasımpaşa
5.0
Beşiktaş
5.0
Amed
5.0
Eyüpspor
5.0
Başakşehir
4.9
Kocaelispor
4.8
Erzurumspor FK
4.7
Trabzonspor
4.6
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
4.6
Samsunspor
4.6
Galatasaray
4.5
Rizespor
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Gaziantep FK
29.0
Kasımpaşa
27.8
Kocaelispor
27.2
Alanyaspor
27.1
Başakşehir
26.8
Göztepe
26.6
Trabzonspor
26.3
Rizespor
26.1
Eyüpspor
26.0
Samsunspor
25.8
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
25.3
Beşiktaş
25.3
Fenerbahçe
25.2
Konyaspor
24.9
Galatasaray
23.8
Erzurumspor FK
23.6
Çorum FK
23.0
Amed
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
52.5%
@ 1.80+1.0%
Under 9.5
47.5%
@ 1.92-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.88
Unibet
1.86
10Bet
1.85
Superbet
1.85
Betano
1.80
Under
Pinnacle
2.03
Marathonbet
1.98
1xBet
1.97
Betano
1.93
Bet365
1.92
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
69.0%
@ 1.41+5.1%
Under 3.5
31.0%
@ 2.50-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.41
Under
Superbet
2.50
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
84.1%
Under 21.5
15.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Trabzonspor or Draw✓ Hit
69.2%
Avg Implied 73.0% · @ 1.28
Edge
-3.8%
40%
28%
32%
covers Trabzonspor + Draw
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.35
1xBet
1.30
Betano
1.30
888Sport
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Trabzonspor or Başakşehir✓ Hit
73.4%
Avg Implied 74.4% · @ 1.26
Edge
-1.1%
40%
28%
32%
covers Trabzonspor + Başakşehir
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.30
888Sport
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
Draw or Başakşehir✗ Miss
57.5%
Avg Implied 52.6% · @ 1.78
Edge
+4.9%
40%
28%
32%
covers Draw + Başakşehir
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.87
SBO
1.87
1xBet
1.86
Betfair
1.83
Marathonbet
1.81
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Trabzonspor over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
79.8%
@ 1.15-1.1%
Under
20.2%
@ 4.88+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.17
Unibet
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Under
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
1xBet
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
Superbet
4.90
Trabzonspor over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
47.5%
@ 1.78-4.8%
Under
52.5%
@ 1.96+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.82
Unibet
1.82
1xBet
1.79
Under
Betfair
2.10
Pinnacle
2.04
Bet365
2.00
Marathonbet
1.99
1xBet
1.99
Trabzonspor over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
21.7%
@ 3.49-5.0%
Under
78.3%
@ 1.27+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
3.80
10Bet
3.75
Unibet
3.60
Pinnacle
3.52
Bet365
3.50
Under
Pinnacle
1.30
Betano
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Superbet
1.29
Trabzonspor over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.9%
@ 7.64-4.3%
Under
92.1%
@ 1.06+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
9.00
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
7.60
1xBet
7.60
Betfair
7.50
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
888Sport
1.06
Betfair
1.06
Başakşehir over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
73.7%
@ 1.31+2.8%
Under
26.3%
@ 3.19-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.33
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
Under
10Bet
3.35
Pinnacle
3.33
888Sport
3.25
Bet365
3.25
BetVictor
3.20
Başakşehir over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
38.6%
@ 2.56+2.2%
Under
61.4%
@ 1.46-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.79
Marathonbet
2.64
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
1xBet
2.61
Under
10Bet
1.53
Superbet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
Unibet
1.47
Başakşehir over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
15.1%
@ 6.09-0.2%
Under
84.9%
@ 1.10+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.60
1xBet
6.60
Bet365
6.50
888Sport
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Under
Betano
1.12
888Sport
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Başakşehir over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.7%
@ 15.44-1.5%
Under
95.3%
@ 1.02+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
888Sport
17.00
Superbet
15.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
888Sport
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Trabzonspor, so a minus line means Trabzonspor give that many goals of a start and Başakşehir receive them. At -1, Trabzonspor must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Trabzonspor win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Trabzonspor)Actual: Başakşehir
Trabzonspor -2
9.1%
@ 7.11-3.6%
Draw -2
13.1%
@ 5.65-2.8%
Başakşehir +2
77.8%
@ 1.26+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
8.00
Betfair
7.50
Unibet
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.75
Draw
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
5.90
10Bet
5.75
Bet365
5.50
Unibet
5.40
Away
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Betfair
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Handicap -1 (Trabzonspor)Actual: Draw
Trabzonspor -1
22.2%
@ 3.46-3.7%
Draw -1
20.3%
@ 3.81-3.1%
Başakşehir +1
57.5%
@ 1.76+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
3.80
Betfair
3.50
Unibet
3.45
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.30
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.94
10Bet
3.85
Superbet
3.80
Unibet
3.70
Away
Marathonbet
1.81
Betfair
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.80
Unibet
1.71
Handicap +1 (Trabzonspor)Actual: Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor +1
69.2%
@ 1.29-0.8%
Draw +1
16.8%
@ 5.21-0.5%
Başakşehir -1
14.1%
@ 7.10+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.35
Unibet
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
Draw
Marathonbet
5.60
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Superbet
5.15
10Bet
4.75
Away
Betfair
8.50
Marathonbet
7.70
Bet365
7.50
Superbet
6.50
Unibet
6.40
Handicap +2 (Trabzonspor)Actual: Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor +2
85.9%
@ 1.08+0.2%
Draw +2
9.2%
@ 10.17+0.1%
Başakşehir -2
4.9%
@ 17.67-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.10
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Draw
Betfair
12.00
Bet365
11.00
10Bet
7.50
Away
Betfair
21.00
Bet365
19.00
10Bet
13.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Trabzonspor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.63
0.43
0.71
0.69
0.56
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
1.00
1.50
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.57
0.71
0.33
1.33
0.75
0.25
vs Weaker (21)
0.48
0.57
0.22
0.44
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Başakşehir) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Başakşehir
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.33
1.06
0.44
0.93
0.21
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
0.60
0.50
0.50
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (7)
0.86
0.43
1.25
0.75
0.33
0.00
vs Weaker (18)
1.22
0.22
1.10
0.30
1.38
0.12
Clean sheet %
67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Trabzonspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
73.4%
@ 1.30+1.7%
Under 0.5
26.6%
@ 3.29-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.35
Betano
1.35
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Under
Betfair
3.60
Bet365
3.50
BetVictor
3.40
Superbet
3.30
William Hil
3.30
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
38.0%
@ 2.41-0.6%
Under 1.5
62.0%
@ 1.51+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.52
Pinnacle
2.51
1xBet
2.41
Marathonbet
2.41
William Hil
2.40
Under
Pinnacle
1.54
Superbet
1.54
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.53
BetVictor
1.52
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.5%
@ 5.60-4.0%
Under 2.5
87.5%
@ 1.11+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
6.00
William Hil
5.80
1xBet
5.65
Marathonbet
5.65
Bet365
5.50
Under
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
William Hil
1.12
10Bet
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Trabzonspor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
48.8%
@ 1.74-4.7%
Under
51.2%
@ 2.00+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.77
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.73
Superbet
1.72
Under
Pinnacle
2.07
1xBet
2.03
Betano
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.97
Trabzonspor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
15.1%
@ 4.58-5.0%
Under
84.9%
@ 1.16+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.85
10Bet
4.75
Betano
4.50
Superbet
4.40
1xBet
4.40
Under
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
Trabzonspor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.8%
@ 11.50-4.4%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.02+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Başakşehir over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
45.1%
@ 2.17+2.4%
Under
54.9%
@ 1.62-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.28
Betano
2.25
Marathonbet
2.20
1xBet
2.16
Superbet
2.15
Under
10Bet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.64
Unibet
1.63
1xBet
1.62
Superbet
1.62
Başakşehir over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.6%
@ 7.22-2.3%
Under
89.4%
@ 1.06+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.10
1xBet
7.30
10Bet
7.00
Superbet
6.90
Betano
6.80
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
Başakşehir over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 18.25-3.3%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.01+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
24.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Trabzonspor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
0.53
1.14
0.50
1.44
0.56
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.29
0.43
1.00
0.33
1.50
0.50
vs Weaker (21)
1.38
0.52
1.33
0.44
1.42
0.58
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Başakşehir) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Başakşehir
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.77
1.19
0.69
0.86
0.86
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
1.60
1.00
1.50
0.00
1.67
vs Similar (7)
1.29
1.14
1.25
1.50
1.33
0.67
vs Weaker (18)
1.11
0.39
1.20
0.20
1.00
0.62
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Trabzonspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.2%
@ 1.18+0.9%
Under 0.5
19.8%
@ 4.50-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.14
Under
1xBet
4.70
Marathonbet
4.70
Betano
4.60
Superbet
4.45
Bet365
4.33
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
46.3%
@ 1.86-3.9%
Under 1.5
53.7%
@ 1.87+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.91
Superbet
1.88
William Hil
1.85
Unibet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.84
Under
Betano
1.95
Marathonbet
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Superbet
1.87
William Hil
1.83
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
20.2%
@ 3.63-5.3%
Under 2.5
79.8%
@ 1.25+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.00
William Hil
3.60
Superbet
3.60
Marathonbet
3.58
1xBet
3.58
Under
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Trabzonspor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
57.5%
@ 1.49-4.8%
Under
42.5%
@ 2.47+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.50
1xBet
1.48
Under
Betano
2.50
1xBet
2.48
Superbet
2.42
Trabzonspor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
19.1%
@ 3.27-9.1%
Under
80.9%
@ 1.29+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.34
1xBet
3.20
Betano
3.20
Under
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
Trabzonspor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.3%
@ 8.27-5.9%
Under
94.7%
@ 1.04+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.80
Superbet
8.60
Betano
7.40
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Başakşehir over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
52.2%
@ 1.82+1.3%
Under
47.8%
@ 1.89-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.82
Superbet
1.82
Betano
1.80
Under
Betano
1.95
Superbet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.85
Başakşehir over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.7%
@ 5.14-1.3%
Under
83.3%
@ 1.13+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.50
1xBet
5.30
Superbet
5.00
Betano
4.75
Under
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Başakşehir over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.8%
@ 13.25-3.3%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.02+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.1%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
95.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
888Sport
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.7%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+5.9%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
92.2%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.06
888Sport
1.05
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
92.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
92.1%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
888Sport
1.06
Betfair
1.06
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.4%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.5%
1.11
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
William Hil
1.12
10Bet
1.11
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
85.9%
1.08
10Bet
1.10
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
-
-
+0.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
84.9%
1.10
Betano
1.12
888Sport
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
+0.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
84.9%
1.16
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
83.3%
1.13
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
-
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
82.6%
1.17
Betano
1.21
Pinnacle
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
10Bet
1.18
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
80.9%
1.29
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
-
+9.1%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.2%
1.18
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.14
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
79.8%
1.15
888Sport
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.17
Unibet
1.16
Superbet
1.15
-1.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.8%
1.25
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
+5.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
78.3%
1.27
Pinnacle
1.30
Betano
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Superbet
1.29
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
77.8%
1.26
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Betfair
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Unibet
1.24
+6.3%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
76.5%
1.19
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
888Sport
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
-2.3%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
73.7%
1.31
Pinnacle
1.33
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
73.4%
1.30
Pinnacle
1.35
Betano
1.35
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
10Bet
1.30
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
73.4%
1.26
1xBet
1.30
888Sport
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
-1.1%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
72.2%
1.43
1xBet
1.43
-
-
-
-
+11.0%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
71.3%
1.47
Betano
1.52
Superbet
1.51
Pinnacle
1.51
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.48
+7.5%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
71.2%
1.33
Superbet
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Betano
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Unibet
1.30
+2.5%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Trabzonspor
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohamed Salah67%
Noah Saviolo33%
Stefan Savić0%
André Onana0%
Paul Onuachu0%
Ozan Tufan0%
Mustafa Eskihellaç0%
Melih Kabasakal0%
Aral Şimşir0%
Sidny Lopes Cabral0%
Chibuike Nwaiwu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Stefan Savić67%
Chibuike Nwaiwu67%
Mohamed Salah33%
Sidny Lopes Cabral33%
André Onana0%
Paul Onuachu0%
Ozan Tufan0%
Mustafa Eskihellaç0%
Melih Kabasakal0%
Aral Şimşir0%
Noah Saviolo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Stefan Savić0%
Mohamed Salah0%
André Onana0%
Paul Onuachu0%
Ozan Tufan0%
Mustafa Eskihellaç0%
Melih Kabasakal0%
Aral Şimşir0%
Sidny Lopes Cabral0%
Chibuike Nwaiwu0%
Noah Saviolo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohamed Salah33%
Paul Onuachu33%
Stefan Savić0%
André Onana0%
Ozan Tufan0%
Mustafa Eskihellaç0%
Melih Kabasakal0%
Aral Şimşir0%
Sidny Lopes Cabral0%
Chibuike Nwaiwu0%
Noah Saviolo0%
Başakşehir
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Eldor Shomurodov100%
Christopher Operi33%
Andreas Skov Olsen0%
Umut Bozok0%
Davie Selke0%
Ömer Ali Şahiner0%
Muhammed Şengezer0%
Onur Ergün0%
Olivier Kemen0%
Jerome Opoku0%
Emin Bayram0%
Abbosbek Fayzullaev0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Olivier Kemen67%
Davie Selke33%
Ömer Ali Şahiner33%
Onur Ergün33%
Jerome Opoku33%
Abbosbek Fayzullaev33%
Andreas Skov Olsen0%
Christopher Operi0%
Umut Bozok0%
Muhammed Şengezer0%
Eldor Shomurodov0%
Emin Bayram0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andreas Skov Olsen33%
Umut Bozok33%
Abbosbek Fayzullaev33%
Christopher Operi0%
Davie Selke0%
Ömer Ali Şahiner0%
Muhammed Şengezer0%
Eldor Shomurodov0%
Onur Ergün0%
Olivier Kemen0%
Jerome Opoku0%
Emin Bayram0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Eldor Shomurodov67%
Andreas Skov Olsen0%
Christopher Operi0%
Umut Bozok0%
Davie Selke0%
Ömer Ali Şahiner0%
Muhammed Şengezer0%
Onur Ergün0%
Olivier Kemen0%
Jerome Opoku0%
Emin Bayram0%
Abbosbek Fayzullaev0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (29)
€345m
FEN (39)
€332m
BEŞ (34)
€202m
TRA (31)
€168m
BAŞ (32)
€77m
GÖZ (26)
€61m
SAM (30)
€50m
ÇF (28)
€47m
RIZ (24)
€44m
ALA (29)
€38m
KON (26)
€33m
KAS (31)
€31m
GF (28)
€28m
AME (22)
€27m
EF (26)
€26m
KOC (26)
€24m
GS (19)
€15m
EYÜ (24)
€14m
Trabzonspor's squad is €91m more valuable than Başakşehir's (€168m vs €77m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (9)
€173m
FEN (14)
€162m
BEŞ (11)
€70m
TRA (11)
€67m
BAŞ (13)
€40m
GÖZ (10)
€30m
SAM (12)
€20m
AME (7)
€15m
KAS (13)
€14m
GF (14)
€14m
KON (10)
€13m
RIZ (8)
€12m
ÇF (9)
€12m
EF (9)
€10m
ALA (11)
€9m
KOC (8)
€9m
EYÜ (10)
€5m
GS (4)
€4m
Trabzonspor's attack is €27m more valuable than Başakşehir's (€67m vs €40m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (7)
€72m
FEN (7)
€62m
BEŞ (9)
€50m
TRA (9)
€38m
GÖZ (7)
€19m
ALA (9)
€18m
ÇF (7)
€14m
SAM (6)
€12m
BAŞ (6)
€10m
KOC (8)
€9m
GF (5)
€8m
EF (4)
€7m
RIZ (4)
€7m
GS (6)
€5m
KAS (7)
€4m
KON (4)
€4m
AME (4)
€3m
EYÜ (4)
€2m
Trabzonspor's midfield is €29m more valuable than Başakşehir's (€38m vs €10m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FEN (18)
€108m
GAL (13)
€100m
BEŞ (14)
€82m
TRA (11)
€63m
BAŞ (13)
€28m
RIZ (12)
€25m
ÇF (12)
€21m
SAM (12)
€18m
KON (12)
€16m
KAS (11)
€12m
GÖZ (9)
€12m
ALA (9)
€11m
AME (11)
€9m
EF (13)
€8m
KOC (10)
€7m
EYÜ (10)
€7m
GF (9)
€6m
GS (9)
€5m
Trabzonspor's defence is €35m more valuable than Başakşehir's (€63m vs €28m).
Turkey: Süper Lig 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: Süper Lig stats & trends →
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Galatasaray
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Beşiktaş
Fenerbahçe
Amed
Kocaelispor
Rizespor
Kasımpaşa
Samsunspor
Alanyaspor
Gaziantep FK
Eyüpspor
Göztepe
Çorum FK
Erzurumspor FK
Konyaspor