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Trakai II vs FA Šiauliai II Result & Analysis

Date: 23/04/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 1-1
Trakai II
Trakai II
Vs
44%
25%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FA Šiauliai II
FA Šiauliai II
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trakai II win✗ Miss
43.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
25.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FA Šiauliai II win✗ Miss
31.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Trakai IITrakai II

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-731W27L12L00D01L32W20W12L41W01LH·MIN23/10H·NEP28/10A·FA 07/11A·BAB12/11A·NEV11/03H·NEP17/03A·JON25/03A·TRA02/04A·KAU10/04A·MIN16/04
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.501.471.731.071.27
vs Stronger (2)0.500.501.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (10)1.401.601.751.751.171.50
vs Weaker (18)1.281.561.401.801.121.25
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (FA Šiauliai II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L21W01L23L21W01L11D20W03LH·ŽAL25/10H·NEV30/10H·TRA07/11H·DAI12/11H·ŠIL12/03H·BE120/03A·NEV24/03H·NEP02/04A·JON07/04H·TRA16/04
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.900.941.691.142.14
vs Stronger (18)1.061.891.201.700.882.12
vs Similar (9)0.891.890.601.401.252.50
vs Weaker (3)1.332.000.003.002.001.50
Clean sheet %7% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Trakai II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.3%
Under 1.5
15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
62.7%
Under 2.5
37.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
40.4%
Under 3.5
59.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
64.8%
No
35.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
11.3%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.5%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
6.1%
1-0
5.9%
3-1
5.3%
0-0
5.0%
Trakai II goals ↓
FA Šiauliai II goals →
01234
05.0%4.8%4.3%2.1%0.8%
15.9%11%7.5%3.7%1.4%
26.1%9.0%6.6%3.3%1.2%
33.6%5.3%3.9%1.9%0.7%
41.6%2.3%1.7%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Trakai II goals (down), columns = FA Šiauliai II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
TransINVEST Vilnius
2.31
Be1 NFA
1.83
Babrungas
1.70
Minija
1.66
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.66
Nevėžis
1.66
Šilas
1.52
Trakai II
1.48
Garliava
1.33
Ekranas
1.30
BFA
1.27
FA Šiauliai II
1.10
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.07
Panevėžys II
1.03
Žalgiris II
0.93
Jonava
0.41
Trakai II is 0.38 points better than FA Šiauliai II in terms of average points per game (1.48 vs 1.10).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
TransINVEST Vilnius
2.76
Babrungas
2.00
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.86
Be1 NFA
1.66
Trakai II
1.59
FA Šiauliai II
1.57
Žalgiris II
1.53
Nevėžis
1.52
Panevėžys II
1.50
Minija
1.45
Garliava
1.43
Ekranas
1.40
BFA
1.33
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.33
Šilas
1.17
Jonava
0.86
Trakai II is 0.02 goals better than FA Šiauliai II in terms of goals scored per game (1.59 vs 1.57).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.00
Be1 NFA
1.03
Nevėžis
1.10
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.14
Trakai II
1.14
Garliava
1.23
Minija
1.28
BFA
1.37
Ekranas
1.63
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.63
Babrungas
1.63
Šilas
1.87
Panevėžys II
1.97
Žalgiris II
2.20
FA Šiauliai II
2.20
Jonava
2.62
Trakai II is 1.06 goals better than FA Šiauliai II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 2.20).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Trakai IITrakai II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W22D02L00D01L21W00D12L31W00DH·MIN23/10H·NEP28/10A·FA 07/11A·BAB12/11A·NEV11/03H·NEP17/03A·JON25/03A·TRA02/04A·KAU10/04A·MIN16/04
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.630.870.600.530.67
vs Stronger (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (10)0.500.800.750.500.331.00
vs Weaker (18)0.830.610.900.700.750.50
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (FA Šiauliai II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L20W00D12L00D00D01L10W02LH·ŽAL25/10H·NEV30/10H·TRA07/11H·DAI12/11H·ŠIL12/03H·BE120/03A·NEV24/03H·NEP02/04A·JON07/04H·TRA16/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.870.380.810.360.93
vs Stronger (18)0.440.780.500.700.380.88
vs Similar (9)0.331.000.200.800.501.25
vs Weaker (3)0.001.000.002.000.000.50
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Trakai II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Trakai II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trakai II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trakai II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FA Šiauliai II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FA Šiauliai II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FA Šiauliai II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Trakai IITrakai II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D05L10W00D00D11D20W00D10W01LH·MIN23/10H·NEP28/10A·FA 07/11A·BAB12/11A·NEV11/03H·NEP17/03A·JON25/03A·TRA02/04A·KAU10/04A·MIN16/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.870.601.130.530.60
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (10)0.900.801.001.250.830.50
vs Weaker (18)0.440.940.501.100.380.75
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (FA Šiauliai II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L01L11D21W01L10W10W01LH·ŽAL25/10H·NEV30/10H·TRA07/11H·DAI12/11H·ŠIL12/03H·BE120/03A·NEV24/03H·NEP02/04A·JON07/04H·TRA16/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.030.560.880.791.21
vs Stronger (18)0.611.110.701.000.501.25
vs Similar (9)0.560.890.400.600.751.25
vs Weaker (3)1.331.000.001.002.001.00
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Trakai II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Trakai II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trakai II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trakai II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FA Šiauliai II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FA Šiauliai II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FA Šiauliai II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (24)
€5m
ŽI (6)
€1m
MIN (3)
€0m
FŠI (4)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
BFA (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (8)
€2m
NK (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (5)
€1m
FŠI (2)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (11)
€2m
ŽI (3)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
BFA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
TI wins
0
Draws
1
FŠI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Trakai II vs FA Šiauliai II · H/A from TI
DateH/AGameScore
07/11/22AFA Šiauliai II Vs TI2-1
30/06/22HTI Vs FA Šiauliai II2-0

Trakai IITrakai II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/04/23AMinija Vs TI1-0
10/04/23AKauno Žalgiris II Vs TI1-4
02/04/23ATransINVEST Vilnius Vs TI2-1
25/03/23AJonava Vs TI0-2
17/03/23HTI Vs Neptūną Klaipėda3-2
11/03/23ANevėžis Vs TI1-0
12/11/22ABabrungas Vs TI0-0
07/11/22AFA Šiauliai II Vs TI2-1
28/10/22HTI Vs Neptūną Klaipėda2-7
23/10/22HTI Vs Minija3-1

FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/04/23HFŠI Vs TransINVEST Vilnius0-3
07/04/23AJonava Vs FŠI0-2
02/04/23HFŠI Vs Neptūną Klaipėda1-1
24/03/23ANevėžis Vs FŠI1-0
20/03/23HFŠI Vs Be1 NFA2-1
12/03/23HFŠI Vs Šilas2-3
12/11/22HFŠI Vs Dainava0-1
07/11/22HFŠI Vs Trakai II2-1
30/10/22HFŠI Vs Nevėžis0-1
25/10/22HFŠI Vs Žalgiris II0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Trakai II
Trakai II
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWL1.14
HomeLDWLW1.44
AwayLWLWL0.90
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%38%20%
AVG goals2.943.382.60
Over 1.5 %75%88%65%
Over 2.5 %56%62%50%
Over 3.5 %33%44%25%
Scored1.421.691.20
Conceded1.531.691.40
BTTS67%75%60%
Clean Sheet22%19%25%
Corners---
Cards---
FA Šiauliai II
FA Šiauliai II
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDWL1.06
HomeLLWDL0.94
AwayLDLLW1.19
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%28%38%
AVG goals2.912.613.25
Over 1.5 %82%78%88%
Over 2.5 %59%61%56%
Over 3.5 %26%17%38%
Scored1.090.941.25
Conceded1.821.672.00
BTTS50%50%50%
Clean Sheet9%6%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius2967
72%
2.3
8029+51
3.8
90%
79%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.81.0
-
2Be1 NFABe1 NFA2953
55%
1.8
4830+18
2.7
76%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.0
-
3BabrungasBabrungas3051
50%
1.7
6049+11
3.6
93%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.6
-
4Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda2948
45%
1.7
5433+21
3.0
76%
55%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.1
-
5NevėžisNevėžis2948
45%
1.7
4432+12
2.6
72%
52%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.1
-
6MinijaMinija2948
48%
1.7
4237+5
2.7
83%
59%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
7Trakai IITrakai II2943
41%
1.5
4633+13
2.7
83%
55%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.1
-
8GarliavaGarliava3040
30%
1.3
4337+6
2.7
80%
43%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.2
-
9EkranasEkranas3039
37%
1.3
4249-7
3.0
77%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
10BFABFA3038
33%
1.3
4041-1
2.7
80%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
11ŠilasŠilas2335
48%
1.5
2743-16
3.0
78%
57%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.9
-
12FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II3033
30%
1.1
4766-19
3.8
90%
77%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.2
-
13Kauno Žalgiris IIKauno Žalgiris II3032
27%
1.1
4049-9
3.0
73%
53%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
14Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II3031
27%
1.0
4559-14
3.5
83%
70%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.0
-
15Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II3028
23%
0.9
4666-20
3.7
90%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.52.2
-
16JonavaJonava2912
10%
0.4
2576-51
3.5
93%
72%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.6
-
Lithuania: 1 Lyga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: 1 Lyga stats & trends →

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