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Trakai II vs Žalgiris II Result & Analysis

Date: 09/10/2023
Time: 17:00
Final 1-1
Trakai II
Trakai II
Vs
52%
26%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Žalgiris II
Žalgiris II
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trakai II win✗ Miss
52.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
25.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Žalgiris II win✗ Miss
21.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Trakai IITrakai II

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W21W30W12L10W30W40W22D11D11DH·NEV31/07A·NEP06/08H·JON14/08H·TRA20/08H·KAU27/08H·MIN31/08A·ŠIL06/09A·FA 16/09H·GAR23/09A·PAN02/10
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.231.471.331.531.13
vs Stronger (2)0.500.501.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (9)1.670.891.751.001.600.80
vs Weaker (19)1.531.471.401.501.671.44
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Žalgiris II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-601L22D32W23L16L21W60W01L14L14LA·GAR10/06A·PAN23/06A·KAU26/06H·EKR28/07H·BFA07/08H·BAB12/08H·ŠIL21/08H·BE128/08A·NEV31/08H·NEP16/09
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.901.712.210.941.62
vs Stronger (14)1.212.071.832.000.752.12
vs Similar (10)1.002.101.672.670.001.25
vs Weaker (6)2.001.171.501.502.251.00
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Trakai II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.0%
Under 1.5
22.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.0%
Under 2.5
47.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.7%
Under 3.5
69.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.9%
No
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-0
9.3%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
3-1
5.7%
3-0
5.4%
Trakai II goals ↓
Žalgiris II goals →
01234
07.2%5.3%3.4%1.2%0.3%
19.5%12%5.9%2.1%0.5%
29.3%9.8%5.1%1.8%0.5%
35.4%5.7%3.0%1.1%0.3%
42.3%2.5%1.3%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Trakai II goals (down), columns = Žalgiris II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
TransINVEST Vilnius
2.31
Be1 NFA
1.83
Babrungas
1.70
Minija
1.66
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.66
Nevėžis
1.66
Šilas
1.52
Trakai II
1.48
Garliava
1.33
Ekranas
1.30
BFA
1.27
FA Šiauliai II
1.10
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.07
Panevėžys II
1.03
Žalgiris II
0.93
Jonava
0.41
Trakai II is 0.55 points better than Žalgiris II in terms of average points per game (1.48 vs 0.93).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
TransINVEST Vilnius
2.76
Babrungas
2.00
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.86
Be1 NFA
1.66
Trakai II
1.59
FA Šiauliai II
1.57
Žalgiris II
1.53
Nevėžis
1.52
Panevėžys II
1.50
Minija
1.45
Garliava
1.43
Ekranas
1.40
BFA
1.33
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.33
Šilas
1.17
Jonava
0.86
Trakai II is 0.05 goals better than Žalgiris II in terms of goals scored per game (1.59 vs 1.53).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.00
Be1 NFA
1.03
Nevėžis
1.10
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.14
Trakai II
1.14
Garliava
1.23
Minija
1.28
BFA
1.37
Ekranas
1.63
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.63
Babrungas
1.63
Šilas
1.87
Panevėžys II
1.97
Žalgiris II
2.20
FA Šiauliai II
2.20
Jonava
2.62
Trakai II is 1.06 goals better than Žalgiris II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 2.20).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Trakai IITrakai II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D11D20W11D10W20W11D01L10WH·BAB11/06H·NEV31/07A·NEP06/08H·JON14/08H·TRA20/08H·KAU27/08H·MIN31/08A·FA 16/09H·GAR23/09A·PAN02/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.630.870.470.730.80
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (9)0.560.670.750.500.400.80
vs Weaker (19)1.000.631.000.401.000.89
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Žalgiris II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L02L00D12L11D30W00D02L10WA·GAR10/06A·PAN23/06A·KAU26/06H·EKR28/07H·BFA07/08H·BAB12/08H·ŠIL21/08H·BE128/08A·NEV31/08H·NEP16/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.870.790.860.120.88
vs Stronger (14)0.361.070.671.000.121.12
vs Similar (10)0.700.801.171.000.000.50
vs Weaker (6)0.170.500.000.000.250.75
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Trakai II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Trakai II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trakai II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trakai II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žalgiris II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žalgiris II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žalgiris II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Trakai IITrakai II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W10W10W01L00D10W11D10W01LH·BAB11/06H·NEV31/07A·NEP06/08H·JON14/08H·TRA20/08H·KAU27/08H·MIN31/08A·FA 16/09H·GAR23/09A·PAN02/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.630.600.870.600.40
vs Stronger (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (9)0.780.331.000.500.600.20
vs Weaker (19)0.530.840.401.100.670.56
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Žalgiris II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D21W30W23L04L10W30W01L12L04LA·GAR10/06A·PAN23/06A·KAU26/06H·EKR28/07H·BFA07/08H·BAB12/08H·ŠIL21/08H·BE128/08A·NEV31/08H·NEP16/09
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.030.931.360.810.75
vs Stronger (14)0.861.001.171.000.621.00
vs Similar (10)0.301.300.501.670.000.75
vs Weaker (6)1.830.671.501.502.000.25
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Trakai II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Trakai II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trakai II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trakai II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žalgiris II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žalgiris II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žalgiris II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (24)
€5m
ŽI (6)
€1m
MIN (3)
€0m
FŠI (4)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
BFA (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (8)
€2m
NK (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (5)
€1m
FŠI (2)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (11)
€2m
ŽI (3)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
BFA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
TI wins
1
Draws
1
ŽI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Trakai II vs Žalgiris II · H/A from TI
DateH/AGameScore
22/05/23AŽalgiris II Vs TI0-3
12/08/22HTI Vs Žalgiris II1-2
03/04/22AŽalgiris II Vs TI1-1

Trakai IITrakai II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/10/23APanevėžys II Vs TI1-1
23/09/23HTI Vs Garliava1-1
16/09/23AFA Šiauliai II Vs TI2-2
06/09/23AŠilas Vs TI0-4
31/08/23HTI Vs Minija3-0
27/08/23HTI Vs Kauno Žalgiris II1-0
20/08/23HTI Vs TransINVEST Vilnius1-2
14/08/23HTI Vs Jonava3-0
06/08/23ANeptūną Klaipėda Vs TI1-2
31/07/23HTI Vs Nevėžis2-0

Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/09/23HŽI Vs Neptūną Klaipėda1-4
31/08/23ANevėžis Vs ŽI4-1
28/08/23HŽI Vs Be1 NFA0-1
21/08/23HŽI Vs Šilas6-0
12/08/23HŽI Vs Babrungas2-1
07/08/23HŽI Vs BFA1-6
28/07/23HŽI Vs Ekranas2-3
26/06/23AKauno Žalgiris II Vs ŽI2-3
23/06/23APanevėžys II Vs ŽI2-2
10/06/23AGarliava Vs ŽI1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Trakai II
Trakai II
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDDD1.30
HomeWLWWD1.46
AwayDWWDD1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%38%29%
AVG goals2.782.922.62
Over 1.5 %80%85%75%
Over 2.5 %56%54%58%
Over 3.5 %26%27%25%
Scored1.481.581.38
Conceded1.301.351.25
BTTS64%65%62%
Clean Sheet26%27%25%
Corners---
Cards---
Žalgiris II
Žalgiris II
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLL1.06
HomeLWWLL1.04
AwayLLDWL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%29%27%
AVG goals3.343.543.15
Over 1.5 %82%83%81%
Over 2.5 %66%71%62%
Over 3.5 %44%46%42%
Scored1.421.501.35
Conceded1.922.041.81
BTTS54%58%50%
Clean Sheet20%25%15%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius2967
72%
2.3
8029+51
3.8
90%
79%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.81.0
-
2Be1 NFABe1 NFA2953
55%
1.8
4830+18
2.7
76%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.0
-
3BabrungasBabrungas3051
50%
1.7
6049+11
3.6
93%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.6
-
4Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda2948
45%
1.7
5433+21
3.0
76%
55%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.1
-
5NevėžisNevėžis2948
45%
1.7
4432+12
2.6
72%
52%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.1
-
6MinijaMinija2948
48%
1.7
4237+5
2.7
83%
59%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
7Trakai IITrakai II2943
41%
1.5
4633+13
2.7
83%
55%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.1
-
8GarliavaGarliava3040
30%
1.3
4337+6
2.7
80%
43%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.2
-
9EkranasEkranas3039
37%
1.3
4249-7
3.0
77%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
10BFABFA3038
33%
1.3
4041-1
2.7
80%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
11ŠilasŠilas2335
48%
1.5
2743-16
3.0
78%
57%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.9
-
12FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II3033
30%
1.1
4766-19
3.8
90%
77%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.2
-
13Kauno Žalgiris IIKauno Žalgiris II3032
27%
1.1
4049-9
3.0
73%
53%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
14Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II3031
27%
1.0
4559-14
3.5
83%
70%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.0
-
15Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II3028
23%
0.9
4666-20
3.7
90%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.52.2
-
16JonavaJonava2912
10%
0.4
2576-51
3.5
93%
72%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.6
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Lithuania: 1 Lyga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: 1 Lyga stats & trends →

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