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TransINVEST Vilnius vs Panevėžys II Result & Analysis

Date: 24/09/2023
Time: 12:00
Final 6-1
TransINVEST Vilnius
TransINVEST Vilnius
Vs
76%
14%
10%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Panevėžys II
Panevėžys II
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TransINVEST Vilnius win✓ Hit
75.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
14.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys II win✗ Miss
10.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius

Last 10 – goals for & against
100-1031W50W21W31W40W30W21W01L100W11DH·ŠIL10/06A·BE124/06H·NEV01/07H·NEP29/07A·JON05/08H·KAU12/08A·TRA20/08A·MIN26/08H·FA 30/08A·GAR16/09
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
3.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.820.823.090.732.550.91
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)2.830.672.331.003.330.33
vs Weaker (16)2.810.883.380.622.251.12
Clean sheet %45% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Panevėžys II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-541W22D12L11D25L01L13L20W22D41WA·KAU08/06H·ŽAL23/06H·EKR01/07H·BFA31/07A·BAB04/08H·ŠIL14/08A·BE120/08H·NEV28/08A·NEP06/09H·JON17/09
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.831.201.731.731.93
vs Stronger (9)1.002.440.832.001.333.33
vs Similar (9)1.781.002.001.001.601.00
vs Weaker (12)1.582.001.002.002.002.00
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (TransINVEST Vilnius) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%2%05%113%218%319%417%525%6+
The model estimates around 4.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
93.0%
Under 1.5
7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
79.6%
Under 2.5
20.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
61.4%
Under 3.5
38.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.6%
No
34.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
3-1
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-0
7.1%
2-0
6.9%
4-1
6.4%
1-1
5.6%
4-0
5.5%
3-2
4.7%
TransINVEST Vilnius goals ↓
Panevėžys II goals →
01234
01.9%1.1%0.9%0.4%0.1%
13.9%5.6%2.9%1.1%0.3%
26.9%7.9%4.5%1.7%0.5%
37.1%8.2%4.7%1.8%0.5%
45.5%6.4%3.6%1.4%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = TransINVEST Vilnius goals (down), columns = Panevėžys II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
TransINVEST Vilnius
2.31
Be1 NFA
1.83
Babrungas
1.70
Minija
1.66
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.66
Nevėžis
1.66
Šilas
1.52
Trakai II
1.48
Garliava
1.33
Ekranas
1.30
BFA
1.27
FA Šiauliai II
1.10
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.07
Panevėžys II
1.03
Žalgiris II
0.93
Jonava
0.41
TransINVEST Vilnius is 1.28 points better than Panevėžys II in terms of average points per game (2.31 vs 1.03).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
TransINVEST Vilnius
2.76
Babrungas
2.00
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.86
Be1 NFA
1.66
Trakai II
1.59
FA Šiauliai II
1.57
Žalgiris II
1.53
Nevėžis
1.52
Panevėžys II
1.50
Minija
1.45
Garliava
1.43
Ekranas
1.40
BFA
1.33
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.33
Šilas
1.17
Jonava
0.86
TransINVEST Vilnius is 1.26 goals better than Panevėžys II in terms of goals scored per game (2.76 vs 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.00
Be1 NFA
1.03
Nevėžis
1.10
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.14
Trakai II
1.14
Garliava
1.23
Minija
1.28
BFA
1.37
Ekranas
1.63
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.63
Babrungas
1.63
Šilas
1.87
Panevėžys II
1.97
Žalgiris II
2.20
FA Šiauliai II
2.20
Jonava
2.62
TransINVEST Vilnius is 0.97 goals better than Panevėžys II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.97).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W30W01L10W00D20W11D01L50W10WH·ŠIL10/06A·BE124/06H·NEV01/07H·NEP29/07A·JON05/08H·KAU12/08A·TRA20/08A·MIN26/08H·FA 30/08A·GAR16/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.090.271.270.270.910.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.170.501.000.671.330.33
vs Weaker (16)1.060.191.380.120.750.25
Clean sheet %73% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Panevėžys II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W01L10W02L00D12L00D11D21WA·KAU08/06H·ŽAL23/06H·EKR01/07H·BFA31/07A·BAB04/08H·ŠIL14/08A·BE120/08H·NEV28/08A·NEP06/09H·JON17/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.800.530.730.600.87
vs Stronger (9)0.331.000.330.670.331.67
vs Similar (9)0.780.440.750.750.800.20
vs Weaker (12)0.580.920.600.800.571.00
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (TransINVEST Vilnius) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W20W20W21W40W10W10W00D50W01LH·ŠIL10/06A·BE124/06H·NEV01/07H·NEP29/07A·JON05/08H·KAU12/08A·TRA20/08A·MIN26/08H·FA 30/08A·GAR16/09
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.730.551.820.451.640.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.670.171.330.332.000.00
vs Weaker (16)1.750.692.000.501.500.88
Clean sheet %64% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Panevėžys II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W12L11D01L23L01L01L20W11D20WA·KAU08/06H·ŽAL23/06H·EKR01/07H·BFA31/07A·BAB04/08H·ŠIL14/08A·BE120/08H·NEV28/08A·NEP06/09H·JON17/09
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.030.671.001.131.07
vs Stronger (9)0.671.440.501.331.001.67
vs Similar (9)1.000.561.250.250.800.80
vs Weaker (12)1.001.080.401.201.431.00
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (TransINVEST Vilnius) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.593.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.579.6%-------✓ Hit
Home win75.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (24)
€5m
ŽI (6)
€1m
MIN (3)
€0m
FŠI (4)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
BFA (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (8)
€2m
NK (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (5)
€1m
FŠI (2)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (11)
€2m
ŽI (3)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
BFA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
TV wins
0
Draws
0
PI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

TransINVEST Vilnius vs Panevėžys II · H/A from TV
DateH/AGameScore
30/04/23APanevėžys II Vs TV0-3

TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/09/23AGarliava Vs TV1-1
30/08/23HTV Vs FA Šiauliai II10-0
26/08/23AMinija Vs TV1-0
20/08/23ATrakai II Vs TV1-2
12/08/23HTV Vs Kauno Žalgiris II3-0
05/08/23AJonava Vs TV0-4
29/07/23HTV Vs Neptūną Klaipėda3-1
01/07/23HTV Vs Nevėžis2-1
24/06/23ABe1 NFA Vs TV0-5
10/06/23HTV Vs Šilas3-1

Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/09/23HPI Vs Jonava4-1
06/09/23ANeptūną Klaipėda Vs PI2-2
28/08/23HPI Vs Nevėžis2-0
20/08/23ABe1 NFA Vs PI3-1
14/08/23HPI Vs Šilas0-1
04/08/23ABabrungas Vs PI5-2
31/07/23HPI Vs BFA1-1
01/07/23HPI Vs Ekranas1-2
23/06/23HPI Vs Žalgiris II2-2
08/06/23AKauno Žalgiris II Vs PI1-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

TransINVEST Vilnius
TransINVEST Vilnius
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWD2.45
HomeWWWWW2.82
AwayWWWLD2.09
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %77%91%64%
AVG goals3.643.823.45
Over 1.5 %91%91%91%
Over 2.5 %82%82%82%
Over 3.5 %41%36%45%
Scored2.823.092.55
Conceded0.820.730.91
BTTS50%55%45%
Clean Sheet45%45%45%
Corners---
Cards---
Panevėžys II
Panevėžys II
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWDW1.14
HomeLDLWW1.08
AwayDWLLD1.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%31%33%
AVG goals3.603.583.62
Over 1.5 %94%92%96%
Over 2.5 %78%69%88%
Over 3.5 %46%46%46%
Scored1.541.501.58
Conceded2.062.082.04
BTTS70%58%83%
Clean Sheet10%12%8%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius2967
72%
2.3
8029+51
3.8
90%
79%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.81.0
-
2Be1 NFABe1 NFA2953
55%
1.8
4830+18
2.7
76%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.0
-
3BabrungasBabrungas3051
50%
1.7
6049+11
3.6
93%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.6
-
4Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda2948
45%
1.7
5433+21
3.0
76%
55%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.1
-
5NevėžisNevėžis2948
45%
1.7
4432+12
2.6
72%
52%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.1
-
6MinijaMinija2948
48%
1.7
4237+5
2.7
83%
59%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
7Trakai IITrakai II2943
41%
1.5
4633+13
2.7
83%
55%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.1
-
8GarliavaGarliava3040
30%
1.3
4337+6
2.7
80%
43%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.2
-
9EkranasEkranas3039
37%
1.3
4249-7
3.0
77%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
10BFABFA3038
33%
1.3
4041-1
2.7
80%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
11ŠilasŠilas2335
48%
1.5
2743-16
3.0
78%
57%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.9
-
12FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II3033
30%
1.1
4766-19
3.8
90%
77%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.2
-
13Kauno Žalgiris IIKauno Žalgiris II3032
27%
1.1
4049-9
3.0
73%
53%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
14Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II3031
27%
1.0
4559-14
3.5
83%
70%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.0
-
15Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II3028
23%
0.9
4666-20
3.7
90%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.52.2
-
16JonavaJonava2912
10%
0.4
2576-51
3.5
93%
72%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.6
-
Lithuania: 1 Lyga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: 1 Lyga stats & trends →

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