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TransINVEST Vilnius vs Panevėžys II Result & Analysis

Date: 14/06/2025
Time: 11:00
Final 7-0
TransINVEST Vilnius
TransINVEST Vilnius
Vs
75%
16%
9%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Panevėžys II
Panevėžys II
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TransINVEST Vilnius win✓ Hit
74.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
16.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys II win✗ Miss
8.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W13L31W21W50W20W21W30W01L50WH·NEP05/04A·TAU19/04H·NEV26/04A·ATM03/05A·SIR06/05H·EKR10/05A·BFA17/05H·KAU21/05H·HEG27/05A·HEG01/06
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.071.500.882.001.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.591.351.401.101.861.71
vs Weaker (13)1.920.691.670.502.140.86
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Panevėžys II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L41W20W22D42W12L01L04L02L03LH·NEV15/03A·ATM29/03H·EKR04/04A·BFA18/04H·KAU28/04A·HEG03/05A·JON09/05H·FA 20/05A·MIN24/05H·ŽAL02/06
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.232.071.132.001.332.13
vs Stronger (2)0.503.000.003.001.003.00
vs Similar (8)0.752.500.601.801.003.67
vs Weaker (20)1.501.801.562.001.451.64
Clean sheet %10% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (TransINVEST Vilnius) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%010%120%222%319%413%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.9%
Under 1.5
14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
65.8%
Under 2.5
34.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
43.9%
Under 3.5
56.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.8%
No
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.3%
3-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.0%
3-1
7.8%
1-1
7.7%
4-0
6.3%
4-1
5.1%
TransINVEST Vilnius goals ↓
Panevėžys II goals →
01234
04.1%2.0%1.1%0.3%0.1%
18.0%7.7%2.8%0.8%0.2%
211%9.1%3.7%1.0%0.2%
39.7%7.8%3.1%0.8%0.2%
46.3%5.1%2.0%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = TransINVEST Vilnius goals (down), columns = Panevėžys II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
TransINVEST Vilnius
2.63
Neptūną Klaipėda
2.23
Tauras
2.07
Babrungas
1.93
BFA
1.83
Atmosfera
1.60
Jonava
1.40
Žalgiris II
1.40
Minija
1.20
Hegelmann II
1.03
Be1 NFA
1.00
Ekranas
0.97
FA Šiauliai II
0.94
Kauno Žalgiris II
0.90
Nevėžis
0.87
Panevėžys II
0.70
Sveikata
0.50
TransINVEST Vilnius is 1.93 points better than Panevėžys II in terms of average points per game (2.63 vs 0.70).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
TransINVEST Vilnius
2.90
Neptūną Klaipėda
2.27
Babrungas
2.13
Tauras
1.87
Atmosfera
1.73
Žalgiris II
1.67
BFA
1.57
FA Šiauliai II
1.50
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.43
Ekranas
1.23
Be1 NFA
1.17
Hegelmann II
1.17
Nevėžis
1.07
Sveikata
1.00
Panevėžys II
1.00
Minija
0.90
Jonava
0.87
TransINVEST Vilnius is 1.90 goals better than Panevėžys II in terms of goals scored per game (2.90 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
TransINVEST Vilnius
0.73
Tauras
0.73
Jonava
0.83
Neptūną Klaipėda
0.90
Atmosfera
1.13
BFA
1.20
Babrungas
1.43
Minija
1.53
Žalgiris II
1.60
Be1 NFA
1.70
Hegelmann II
1.70
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.90
Ekranas
1.93
Nevėžis
1.93
FA Šiauliai II
2.28
Panevėžys II
2.70
Sveikata
3.50
TransINVEST Vilnius is 1.97 goals better than Panevėžys II in terms of goals conceded per game (0.73 vs 2.70).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D03L11D00D20W00D10W10W01L20WH·NEP05/04A·TAU19/04H·NEV26/04A·ATM03/05A·SIR06/05H·EKR10/05A·BFA17/05H·KAU21/05H·HEG27/05A·HEG01/06
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.500.500.310.790.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.710.650.700.400.711.00
vs Weaker (13)0.540.310.170.170.860.43
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Panevėžys II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W10W01L10W01L00D02L00D01LH·NEV15/03A·ATM29/03H·EKR04/04A·BFA18/04H·KAU28/04A·HEG03/05A·JON09/05H·FA 20/05A·MIN24/05H·ŽAL02/06
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.970.270.930.601.00
vs Stronger (2)0.002.000.003.000.001.00
vs Similar (8)0.381.250.200.600.672.33
vs Weaker (20)0.500.750.330.890.640.64
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (TransINVEST Vilnius) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W10W20W21W30W20W11D20W00D30WH·NEP05/04A·TAU19/04H·NEV26/04A·ATM03/05A·SIR06/05H·EKR10/05A·BFA17/05H·KAU21/05H·HEG27/05A·HEG01/06
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.571.000.561.210.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.880.710.700.701.140.71
vs Weaker (13)1.380.381.500.331.290.43
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Panevėžys II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L21W10W21W32W11D01L02L02L02LH·NEV15/03A·ATM29/03H·EKR04/04A·BFA18/04H·KAU28/04A·HEG03/05A·JON09/05H·FA 20/05A·MIN24/05H·ŽAL02/06
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.100.871.070.731.13
vs Stronger (2)0.501.000.000.001.002.00
vs Similar (8)0.381.250.401.200.331.33
vs Weaker (20)1.001.051.221.110.821.00
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (TransINVEST Vilnius) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.9%-------✓ Hit
Home win74.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (24)
€5m
ŽI (6)
€1m
HI (4)
€0m
MIN (3)
€0m
FŠI (4)
€0m
TAU (2)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
BFA (2)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (8)
€2m
TAU (1)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (2)
€0m
HI (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (5)
€1m
FŠI (2)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
HI (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
TAU (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (11)
€2m
ŽI (3)
€0m
HI (2)
€0m
TAU (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
BFA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
2
TV wins
0
Draws
0
PI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

TransINVEST Vilnius vs Panevėžys II · H/A from TV
DateH/AGameScore
24/09/23HTV Vs Panevėžys II6-1
30/04/23APanevėžys II Vs TV0-3

TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/06/25AHegelmann II Vs TV0-5
27/05/25HTV Vs Hegelmann Litauen0-1
21/05/25HTV Vs Kauno Žalgiris II3-0
17/05/25ABFA Vs TV1-2
10/05/25HTV Vs Ekranas2-0
06/05/25ASirijus Klaipėda Vs TV0-5
03/05/25AAtmosfera Vs TV1-2
26/04/25HTV Vs Nevėžis3-1
19/04/25ATauras Vs TV3-1
05/04/25HTV Vs Neptūną Klaipėda3-0

Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/06/25HPI Vs Žalgiris II0-3
24/05/25AMinija Vs PI2-0
20/05/25HPI Vs FA Šiauliai II0-4
09/05/25AJonava Vs PI1-0
03/05/25AHegelmann II Vs PI2-1
28/04/25HPI Vs Kauno Žalgiris II4-2
18/04/25ABFA Vs PI2-2
04/04/25HPI Vs Ekranas2-0
29/03/25AAtmosfera Vs PI1-4
15/03/25HPI Vs Nevėžis0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

TransINVEST Vilnius
TransINVEST Vilnius
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 8 Wins / 0 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLW1.48
HomeWWWWL1.58
AwayLWWWW1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%50%42%
AVG goals2.822.653.00
Over 1.5 %74%73%75%
Over 2.5 %52%62%42%
Over 3.5 %26%27%25%
Scored1.641.541.75
Conceded1.181.121.25
BTTS38%38%38%
Clean Sheet32%35%29%
Corners---
Cards---
Panevėžys II
Panevėžys II
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL1.10
HomeLWWLL1.21
AwayWDLLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%33%27%
AVG goals3.282.963.58
Over 1.5 %82%88%77%
Over 2.5 %64%62%65%
Over 3.5 %42%38%46%
Scored1.341.251.42
Conceded1.941.712.15
BTTS50%42%58%
Clean Sheet16%21%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius3079
87%
2.6
8722+65
3.6
90%
77%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.90.7
-
2Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda3067
70%
2.2
6827+41
3.2
80%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.30.9
-
3TaurasTauras3062
60%
2.1
5622+34
2.6
73%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.90.7
-
4BabrungasBabrungas3058
57%
1.9
6443+21
3.6
83%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.4
-
5BFABFA3055
53%
1.8
4736+11
2.8
70%
53%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.2
-
6AtmosferaAtmosfera3048
47%
1.6
5234+18
2.9
70%
53%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.1
-
7Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II3042
37%
1.4
5048+2
3.3
83%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.6
-
8JonavaJonava3042
37%
1.4
2625+1
1.7
57%
23%
7%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.90.8
-
9MinijaMinija3036
37%
1.2
2746-19
2.4
67%
47%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
10Hegelmann IIHegelmann II3031
27%
1.0
3551-16
2.9
80%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.7
-
11Be1 NFABe1 NFA3030
27%
1.0
3551-16
2.9
80%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.7
-
12FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II3230
28%
0.9
4873-25
3.8
91%
78%
59%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.3
-
13EkranasEkranas3029
30%
1.0
3758-21
3.2
83%
60%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.9
-
14Kauno Žalgiris IIKauno Žalgiris II3027
27%
0.9
4357-14
3.3
83%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.9
-
15NevėžisNevėžis3026
23%
0.9
3258-26
3.0
73%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.9
-
16Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II3021
20%
0.7
3081-51
3.7
90%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.7
-
17SveikataSveikata21
0%
0.5
27-5
4.5
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.5
-
Lithuania: 1 Lyga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: 1 Lyga stats & trends →

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