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Triglav vs Rudar Result & Analysis

Date: 19/04/2024
Time: 17:00
Final 1-1
Triglav
Triglav
Vs
51%
25%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Rudar
Rudar
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Triglav win✗ Miss
50.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
24.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rudar win✗ Miss
24.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

TriglavTriglav

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L12L21W13L20W31W01L21W20W00DH·TAB04/11A·DRA11/11H·BEL18/11A·KRK01/03H·TOL09/03A·BIS17/03H·BRI25/03A·ILI29/03H·BIL07/04A·GOR13/04
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.131.501.071.691.19
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.611.111.441.441.780.78
vs Weaker (12)1.581.171.600.401.571.71
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RudarRudar

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-515L21W02L31W13L10W01L31W20W12LA·BIS06/11H·ILI12/11A·GOR18/11H·FUŽ02/03A·PRI10/03H·TAB17/03A·BEL23/03H·TOL29/03A·BRI06/04H·BIL12/04
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.771.071.201.472.33
vs Stronger (6)0.831.500.751.751.001.00
vs Similar (24)1.381.831.181.001.542.54
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Triglav) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%012%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.0%
Under 1.5
17.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
60.6%
Under 2.5
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.3%
Under 3.5
61.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.7%
No
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.6%
1-0
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-1
6.0%
0-0
5.4%
Triglav goals ↓
Rudar goals →
01234
05.4%4.5%3.5%1.5%0.5%
17.1%11%6.5%2.7%0.9%
27.6%9.6%6.1%2.6%0.8%
34.7%6.0%3.8%1.6%0.5%
42.2%2.8%1.8%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Triglav goals (down), columns = Rudar goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Primorje
2.00
Nafta
1.93
Beltinci
1.87
Gorica
1.77
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.73
Triglav
1.60
Bistrica
1.47
Rudar
1.23
Dekani
1.20
Bilje
1.13
Tolmin
1.13
Dravinja
1.13
Krka
1.10
Tabor Sežana
1.00
Ilirija
1.00
Fužinar
0.80
Triglav is 0.37 points better than Rudar in terms of average points per game (1.60 vs 1.23).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Nafta
1.83
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.73
Gorica
1.70
Beltinci
1.63
Primorje
1.63
Bistrica
1.50
Bilje
1.47
Triglav
1.47
Krka
1.33
Tabor Sežana
1.27
Dekani
1.13
Tolmin
1.13
Fužinar
1.10
Rudar
1.10
Ilirija
1.03
Dravinja
0.97
Triglav is 0.37 goals better than Rudar in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 1.10).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Beltinci
0.80
Primorje
0.83
Gorica
0.93
Nafta
1.03
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.17
Triglav
1.17
Dekani
1.23
Dravinja
1.40
Ilirija
1.47
Tolmin
1.50
Bistrica
1.53
Krka
1.63
Rudar
1.63
Bilje
1.70
Tabor Sežana
1.97
Fužinar
2.03
Triglav is 0.47 goals better than Rudar in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.63).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

TriglavTriglav

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D11D01L01L20W10W01L10W10W00DH·TAB04/11A·DRA11/11H·BEL18/11A·KRK01/03H·TOL09/03A·BIS17/03H·BRI25/03A·ILI29/03H·BIL07/04A·GOR13/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.570.640.570.810.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.720.610.560.890.890.33
vs Weaker (12)0.750.500.800.000.710.86
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RudarRudar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L20W01L21W02L10W01L00D00D02LA·BIS06/11H·ILI12/11A·GOR18/11H·FUŽ02/03A·PRI10/03H·TAB17/03A·BEL23/03H·TOL29/03A·BRI06/04H·BIL12/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.830.530.670.471.00
vs Stronger (6)0.170.830.251.000.000.50
vs Similar (24)0.580.830.640.550.541.08
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Triglav) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Triglav over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Triglav over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Triglav over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

TriglavTriglav

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L20W12L00D21W00D11D10W00DH·TAB04/11A·DRA11/11H·BEL18/11A·KRK01/03H·TOL09/03A·BIS17/03H·BRI25/03A·ILI29/03H·BIL07/04A·GOR13/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.570.860.500.880.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.890.500.890.560.890.44
vs Weaker (12)0.830.670.800.400.860.86
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RudarRudar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L01L01L10W11D00D00D31W20W10WA·BIS06/11H·ILI12/11A·GOR18/11H·FUŽ02/03A·PRI10/03H·TAB17/03A·BEL23/03H·TOL29/03A·BRI06/04H·BIL12/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.930.530.531.001.33
vs Stronger (6)0.670.670.500.751.000.50
vs Similar (24)0.791.000.550.451.001.46
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Triglav) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Triglav over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Triglav over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Triglav over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (24)
€3m
NAF (18)
€2m
TRI (19)
€2m
TS (17)
€2m
BEL (17)
€2m
ILI (15)
€1m
DRA (16)
€1m
DEK (18)
€1m
BIL (17)
€1m
RUD (17)
€1m
KRK (12)
€1m
BIS (14)
€1m
PRI (10)
€1m
Triglav and Rudar have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAF (8)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
ILI (7)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
BIL (5)
€1m
KRK (5)
€0m
BIS (6)
€0m
DRA (4)
€0m
DEK (3)
€0m
RUD (3)
€0m
PRI (3)
€0m
Triglav and Rudar have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (7)
€1m
TS (5)
€1m
RUD (8)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
DEK (6)
€0m
BEL (3)
€0m
PRI (2)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
ILI (2)
€0m
DRA (2)
€0m
BIL (4)
€0m
KRK (1)
€0m
Triglav and Rudar have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (10)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
DRA (10)
€1m
TS (8)
€1m
KRK (6)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
BIL (8)
€1m
DEK (9)
€1m
RUD (6)
€0m
ILI (6)
€0m
PRI (5)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
Triglav and Rudar have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
2
TRI wins
0
Draws
1
RUD wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Triglav vs Rudar · H/A from TRI
DateH/AGameScore
30/09/23ARudar Vs TRI0-2
14/04/23HTRI Vs Rudar1-2
02/10/22ARudar Vs TRI0-2

TriglavTriglav

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/04/24AGorica Vs TRI0-0
07/04/24HTRI Vs Bilje2-0
29/03/24AIlirija Vs TRI1-2
25/03/24HTRI Vs Brinje-Grosuplje0-1
17/03/24ABistrica Vs TRI1-3
09/03/24HTRI Vs Tolmin2-0
01/03/24AKrka Vs TRI3-1
18/11/23HTRI Vs Beltinci2-1
11/11/23ADravinja Vs TRI2-1
04/11/23HTRI Vs Tabor Sežana1-2

RudarRudar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/04/24HRUD Vs Bilje1-2
06/04/24ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs RUD0-2
29/03/24HRUD Vs Tolmin3-1
23/03/24ABeltinci Vs RUD1-0
17/03/24HRUD Vs Tabor Sežana1-0
10/03/24APrimorje Vs RUD3-1
02/03/24HRUD Vs Fužinar3-1
18/11/23AGorica Vs RUD2-0
12/11/23HRUD Vs Ilirija2-1
06/11/23ABistrica Vs RUD5-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Triglav
Triglav
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWD1.56
HomeLWWLW1.40
AwayLLWWD1.72
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%44%48%
AVG goals2.682.682.68
Over 1.5 %76%72%80%
Over 2.5 %54%56%52%
Over 3.5 %26%20%32%
Scored1.381.281.48
Conceded1.301.401.20
BTTS50%44%56%
Clean Sheet28%20%36%
Corners---
Cards---
Rudar
Rudar
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWL1.16
HomeWWWWL1.50
AwayLLLLW0.79
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%42%17%
AVG goals3.102.274.00
Over 1.5 %78%65%92%
Over 2.5 %56%42%71%
Over 3.5 %40%23%58%
Scored1.321.081.58
Conceded1.781.192.42
BTTS58%42%75%
Clean Sheet22%35%8%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PrimorjePrimorje3060
57%
2.0
4925+24
2.5
70%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.60.8
-
2NaftaNafta3058
60%
1.9
5531+24
2.9
77%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.81.0
-
3BeltinciBeltinci3056
57%
1.9
4924+25
2.4
67%
47%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.60.8
-
4GoricaGorica3053
50%
1.8
5128+23
2.6
67%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.9
-
5Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje3052
50%
1.7
5235+17
2.9
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.71.2
-
6TriglavTriglav3048
47%
1.6
4435+9
2.6
80%
60%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.2
-
7BistricaBistrica3044
43%
1.5
4546-1
3.0
73%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.5
-
8RudarRudar3037
33%
1.2
3349-16
2.7
67%
43%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.11.6
-
9DekaniDekani3036
30%
1.2
3437-3
2.4
60%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.2
-
10BiljeBilje3034
30%
1.1
4451-7
3.2
83%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.51.7
-
11TolminTolmin3034
27%
1.1
3445-11
2.6
73%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
12DravinjaDravinja3034
30%
1.1
2942-13
2.4
63%
50%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.4
-
13KrkaKrka3033
30%
1.1
4049-9
3.0
80%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.31.6
-
14IlirijaIlirija3030
23%
1.0
3144-13
2.5
77%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.01.5
-
15Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana3030
23%
1.0
3859-21
3.2
83%
60%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.32.0
-
16FužinarFužinar3024
20%
0.8
3361-28
3.1
80%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.0
-
Slovenia: 2. SNL 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

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