This opponent (Torreense) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Torreense
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.54
1.31
0.14
1.14
1.00
1.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.44
1.56
0.20
1.20
0.75
2.00
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.75
0.00
1.00
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Trofense) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
78.9%
Under 1.5
21.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.3%
Under 2.5
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.0%
Under 3.5
68.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.2%
No
43.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
0-1 ✓
9.0%
0-2
8.9%
0-0
6.9%
2-1
6.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-2
5.4%
Trofense goals ↓
Torreense goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.9%
9.0%
8.9%
5.2%
2.3%
1
5.2%
12%
9.7%
5.7%
2.5%
2
3.5%
6.1%
5.4%
3.1%
1.4%
3
1.3%
2.2%
2.0%
1.1%
0.5%
4
0.4%
0.6%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Trofense goals (down), columns = Torreense goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Moreirense
2.32
Farense
2.03
Vilaverdense
2.00
Estrela
1.85
Academico Viseu
1.56
FC Porto B
1.50
Mafra
1.38
Vilafranquense
1.35
Feirense
1.35
Torreense
1.29
Oliveirense
1.26
Tondela
1.18
Penafiel
1.15
Leixoes
1.15
Nacional
1.15
Benfica B
1.12
Belenenses
1.00
Trofense
0.94
SC Covilha
0.82
Trofense is 0.35 points worse than Torreense in terms of average points per game (0.94 vs 1.29).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Moreirense
2.26
Farense
1.68
Estrela
1.62
Benfica B
1.53
Oliveirense
1.50
Academico Viseu
1.50
FC Porto B
1.41
Mafra
1.35
Feirense
1.26
Vilafranquense
1.24
Belenenses
1.17
Leixoes
1.12
Torreense
1.12
Penafiel
1.06
Tondela
1.03
Nacional
1.03
Vilaverdense
1.00
SC Covilha
0.91
Trofense
0.91
Trofense is 0.21 goals worse than Torreense in terms of goals scored per game (0.91 vs 1.12).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Vilaverdense
0.50
Farense
1.00
Tondela
1.03
Estrela
1.03
Vilafranquense
1.06
Feirense
1.09
Moreirense
1.12
FC Porto B
1.18
Torreense
1.21
Academico Viseu
1.32
Nacional
1.35
Penafiel
1.38
Leixoes
1.44
Mafra
1.44
Oliveirense
1.47
Trofense
1.50
SC Covilha
1.68
Belenenses
1.69
Benfica B
1.71
Trofense is 0.29 goals worse than Torreense in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.21).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Oliveirense
56%
Estrela
54%
Farense
53%
Mafra
53%
Moreirense
53%
Benfica B
52%
Vilafranquense
52%
Academico Viseu
51%
Torreense
51%
Penafiel
50%
FC Porto B
50%
Tondela
48%
Feirense
47%
SC Covilha
47%
Leixoes
46%
Belenenses
46%
Nacional
46%
Trofense
40%
Trofense is 10.5 percentage points worse than Torreense in terms of average possession (40% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Trofense
For 7.0 · Against 5.0 · Total 12.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.6 · Against 2.8 · Total 6.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 15.6 · Total 28.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Torreense
For 5.2 · Against 4.8 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.8 · Against 4.2 · Total 8.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 18.5 · Against 17.2 · Total 35.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Trofense
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (13)
12.0
11.0
12.7
2.5
1.7
3.1
28.8
28.5
29.0
vs Stronger (6)
10.7
9.0
11.5
3.3
1.3
5.3
31.7
29.0
33.0
vs Similar (7)
14.0
13.0
15.0
1.7
2.0
1.5
24.5
28.0
21.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
80%
50%
100%
38%
33%
43%
80%
100%
67%
% under line
20%
50%
0%
62%
67%
57%
20%
0%
33%
This opponent (Torreense) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Torreense
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (13)
10.0
9.5
10.5
2.5
1.9
3.2
35.8
33.5
38.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
10.0
9.5
11.0
2.2
2.6
1.8
35.7
33.5
40.0
vs Weaker (4)
10.0
-
10.0
3.0
0.0
6.0
36.0
-
36.0
% over line
75%
50%
100%
31%
29%
33%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
25%
50%
0%
69%
71%
67%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Trofense) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Estrela
13.7
SC Covilha
12.2
Trofense
12.0
FC Porto B
11.8
Leixoes
11.8
Academico Viseu
11.8
Oliveirense
11.8
Nacional
11.0
Farense
10.8
Belenenses
10.4
Moreirense
10.1
Feirense
10.0
Torreense
10.0
Tondela
9.8
Penafiel
9.2
Benfica B
8.6
Vilafranquense
8.2
Mafra
7.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Torreense
8.0
Vilafranquense
7.2
Academico Viseu
6.8
Moreirense
6.6
Oliveirense
6.5
Leixoes
6.4
Benfica B
6.4
Trofense
6.4
Penafiel
6.2
Belenenses
6.2
FC Porto B
6.2
Mafra
6.2
Tondela
6.0
Estrela
6.0
Farense
5.7
Nacional
5.4
Feirense
5.0
SC Covilha
5.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Torreense
35.8
Feirense
35.6
Vilafranquense
34.6
Penafiel
33.5
Farense
33.0
Oliveirense
33.0
FC Porto B
32.2
Nacional
31.4
Belenenses
30.9
Leixoes
30.6
Mafra
30.6
Estrela
30.3
Tondela
30.1
Moreirense
28.9
Trofense
28.8
Academico Viseu
27.0
Benfica B
25.0
SC Covilha
24.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
58.7%
Under 9.5
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
91.4%
Under 3.5
8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
96.6%
Under 21.5
3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Trofense
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.31
0.69
0.33
0.83
0.29
0.57
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.67
0.33
0.67
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (7)
0.29
0.71
0.33
1.00
0.25
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
31% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Torreense) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Torreense
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.23
0.77
0.00
0.71
0.50
0.83
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.22
0.89
0.00
0.80
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (4)
0.25
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
46% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Trofense) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Trofense over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trofense over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trofense over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torreense over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torreense over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torreense over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Trofense
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.38
1.38
0.50
1.83
0.29
1.00
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
1.67
0.00
2.00
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (7)
0.57
1.14
1.00
1.67
0.25
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Torreense) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Torreense
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.31
0.54
0.14
0.43
0.50
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.22
0.67
0.20
0.40
0.25
1.00
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.25
0.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
46% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Trofense) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Trofense over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trofense over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trofense over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torreense over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torreense over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torreense over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
96.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
96.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
92.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
91.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
85.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 4.5 cards
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Torreense · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kévin Zohi38%
Dany Jean20%
Stopira11%
Musa Drammeh10%
Javi Vázquez9%
Lucas Paes0%
Costinha0%
Pité0%
David Bruno0%
Guilherme Liberato0%
Manuel Pozo Guerrero0%
Arnau Casas0%
Alejandro Alfaro0%
Luis Quintero0%
Andre Simões0%
Ismaïl Seydi0%
Mohamed Ali Diadié0%
Leo Azevedo0%
Arielson0%
Danilo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Guilherme Liberato33%
Alejandro Alfaro29%
Arnau Casas25%
Andre Simões25%
Manuel Pozo Guerrero20%
Musa Drammeh20%
Ismaïl Seydi20%
Leo Azevedo20%
Javi Vázquez18%
Pité17%
Stopira11%
Dany Jean10%
David Bruno9%
Lucas Paes0%
Kévin Zohi0%
Costinha0%
Luis Quintero0%
Mohamed Ali Diadié0%
Arielson0%
Danilo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Manuel Pozo Guerrero20%
Alejandro Alfaro14%
Dany Jean10%
Musa Drammeh10%
Ismaïl Seydi10%
Leo Azevedo10%
Javi Vázquez9%
Stopira0%
Lucas Paes0%
Kévin Zohi0%
Costinha0%
Pité0%
David Bruno0%
Guilherme Liberato0%
Arnau Casas0%
Luis Quintero0%
Andre Simões0%
Mohamed Ali Diadié0%
Arielson0%
Danilo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kévin Zohi25%
Musa Drammeh20%
Alejandro Alfaro14%
Dany Jean10%
Javi Vázquez0%
Stopira0%
Lucas Paes0%
Costinha0%
Pité0%
David Bruno0%
Guilherme Liberato0%
Manuel Pozo Guerrero0%
Arnau Casas0%
Luis Quintero0%
Andre Simões0%
Ismaïl Seydi0%
Mohamed Ali Diadié0%
Leo Azevedo0%
Arielson0%
Danilo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Portugal: Segunda Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Segunda Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Moreirense
Farense
Estrela
Academico Viseu
FC Porto B
Mafra
Feirense
Vilafranquense
Oliveirense
Tondela
Leixoes
Penafiel
Nacional
Benfica B
Belenenses
SC Covilha
Vilaverdense