The contest between Uni Minsk and Dinamo Minsk II is a tight one, with the model pointing to a home win as the most likely outcome while still leaving both sides with a 36% chance of victory. The expected total of 2.7 goals translates to an average of 2.7, with the most probable total being two goals at 26%. The single score the model deems most probable is a 1-1 draw, carrying a 13.4% chance. Uni Minsk, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.46 goals scored and 1.69 conceded, whereas Dinamo Minsk II, on the road, averages 1.08 scored and 1.67 conceded. The suggested picks are: Under 7.5 (99.3%), Under 6.5 (97.9%), Away under 3.5 goals (95.1%), Home under 3.5 goals (95.0%), Under 5.5 (94.1%), Under 4.5 (86.0%), Away under 2.5 goals (84.4%), and Home under 2.5 goals (84.2%). The probabilities for a home win, a draw, and an away win are 36%, 28%, and 36% respectively.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Uni Minsk win
36.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
28.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Minsk II win
35.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Uni Minsk
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.77
1.75
1.88
1.50
1.64
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
2.00
2.00
2.00
0.75
2.00
vs Similar (20)
1.40
1.80
1.46
1.69
1.29
2.00
vs Weaker (5)
3.20
1.40
3.50
3.00
3.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Minsk II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo Minsk II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.53
0.86
1.50
1.12
1.56
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.88
1.67
0.67
1.67
1.08
1.67
vs Weaker (5)
1.80
1.00
4.00
0.00
1.25
1.25
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Uni Minsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
76.8%
Under 1.5
23.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
51.2%
Under 2.5
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
29.1%
Under 3.5
70.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
56.5%
No
43.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
8.3%
0-0
7.8%
1-0
7.7%
0-1
7.7%
2-0
6.1%
0-2
6.1%
Uni Minsk goals ↓
Dinamo Minsk II goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.8%
7.7%
6.1%
2.7%
0.9%
1
7.7%
13%
8.3%
3.7%
1.3%
2
6.1%
8.3%
5.6%
2.6%
0.9%
3
2.8%
3.8%
2.6%
1.2%
0.4%
4
0.9%
1.3%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Uni Minsk goals (down), columns = Dinamo Minsk II goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.75
Niva
2.62
Lida
2.14
Osipovichy
1.86
Ostrovets FC
1.71
Minsk II
1.62
Bumprom
1.38
Smorgon
1.29
FC Slutsk
1.29
Uni Minsk
1.29
Slonim
1.29
Orsha
1.25
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.00
Volna
1.00
Dinamo Minsk II
0.88
Shakhter Soligorsk
0.88
BATE II
0.88
Gomel II
0.62
Uni Minsk is 0.41 points better than Dinamo Minsk II in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 0.88).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Niva
3.25
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.50
Lida
2.14
Minsk II
1.88
Volna
1.75
Slonim
1.71
Shakhter Soligorsk
1.62
FC Slutsk
1.57
Bumprom
1.50
Dinamo Minsk II
1.38
BATE II
1.38
Ostrovets FC
1.29
Orsha
1.25
Smorgon
1.14
Uni Minsk
1.14
Osipovichy
1.14
Gomel II
1.00
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0.86
Uni Minsk is 0.23 goals worse than Dinamo Minsk II in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 1.38).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0.38
Uni Minsk
0.57
FC Slutsk
1.00
Smorgon
1.29
Minsk II
1.38
Niva
1.38
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.43
Ostrovets FC
1.43
Osipovichy
1.43
Slonim
1.57
Bumprom
1.62
Lida
1.71
Orsha
1.88
Dinamo Minsk II
1.88
BATE II
2.12
Volna
2.25
Gomel II
2.38
Shakhter Soligorsk
2.75
Uni Minsk is 1.30 goals better than Dinamo Minsk II in terms of goals conceded per game (0.57 vs 1.88).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Uni Minsk or Draw
64.2%
Avg Implied -
36%
28%
36%
covers Uni Minsk + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Uni Minsk or Dinamo Minsk II
71.9%
Avg Implied -
36%
28%
36%
covers Uni Minsk + Dinamo Minsk II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Dinamo Minsk II
63.9%
Avg Implied -
36%
28%
36%
covers Draw + Dinamo Minsk II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Uni Minsk over/under 0.5
Over
74.5%
Under
25.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uni Minsk over/under 1.5
Over
39.6%
Under
60.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uni Minsk over/under 2.5
Over
15.8%
Under
84.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uni Minsk over/under 3.5
Over
5.0%
Under
95.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Minsk II over/under 0.5
Over
74.3%
Under
25.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Minsk II over/under 1.5
Over
39.4%
Under
60.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Minsk II over/under 2.5
Over
15.6%
Under
84.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Minsk II over/under 3.5
Over
4.9%
Under
95.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Uni Minsk, so a minus line means Uni Minsk give that many goals of a start and Dinamo Minsk II receive them. At -1, Uni Minsk must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Uni Minsk win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Uni Minsk)
Uni Minsk -2
6.1%
Draw -2
10.9%
Dinamo Minsk II +2
83.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Uni Minsk)
Uni Minsk -1
17.0%
Draw -1
19.1%
Dinamo Minsk II +1
63.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Uni Minsk)
Uni Minsk +1
64.2%
Draw +1
19.0%
Dinamo Minsk II -1
16.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Uni Minsk)
Uni Minsk +2
83.2%
Draw +2
10.8%
Dinamo Minsk II -2
6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Uni Minsk
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.60
1.00
0.50
0.36
0.71
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
0.80
1.00
0.00
0.25
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.60
0.77
0.54
0.29
0.71
vs Weaker (5)
1.40
0.40
2.50
0.50
0.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Minsk II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo Minsk II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.60
0.36
0.64
0.44
0.56
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.33
0.62
0.25
0.67
0.42
0.58
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.40
2.00
0.00
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Uni Minsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Uni Minsk over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uni Minsk over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uni Minsk over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Minsk II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Minsk II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Minsk II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Uni Minsk
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.17
0.75
1.38
1.14
0.93
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
1.20
1.00
2.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.80
1.20
0.69
1.15
1.00
1.29
vs Weaker (5)
1.80
1.00
1.00
2.50
2.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Minsk II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo Minsk II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.93
0.50
0.86
0.69
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.54
1.04
0.42
1.00
0.67
1.08
vs Weaker (5)
1.00
0.60
2.00
0.00
0.75
0.75
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Uni Minsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Uni Minsk over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uni Minsk over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uni Minsk over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Minsk II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Minsk II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Minsk II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
94.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
84.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UM (29)
€2m
FS (22)
€2m
NIV (21)
€2m
SMO (25)
€2m
BUM (20)
€2m
DMI (27)
€1m
M4 (22)
€1m
VOL (18)
€1m
OF (22)
€1m
MI (23)
€1m
LID (18)
€1m
SLO (20)
€1m
BI (20)
€1m
ORS (19)
€1m
OSI (20)
€1m
GI (17)
€1m
Uni Minsk and Dinamo Minsk II have a similar squad value (both €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NIV (5)
€1m
FS (6)
€1m
UM (8)
€1m
BUM (7)
€1m
SMO (9)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
M4 (6)
€0m
MI (6)
€0m
OF (6)
€0m
OSI (6)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
GI (2)
€0m
LID (2)
€0m
DMI (2)
€0m
Uni Minsk and Dinamo Minsk II have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DMI (11)
€1m
LID (7)
€1m
NIV (7)
€1m
FS (8)
€1m
UM (8)
€0m
M4 (7)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
MI (9)
€0m
OF (7)
€0m
SMO (7)
€0m
ORS (9)
€0m
GI (8)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
BUM (4)
€0m
Uni Minsk and Dinamo Minsk II have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UM (13)
€1m
DMI (14)
€1m
SMO (9)
€1m
BUM (9)
€1m
FS (8)
€1m
OF (9)
€1m
NIV (9)
€1m
M4 (9)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
LID (9)
€0m
SLO (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
MI (8)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
GI (7)
€0m
Uni Minsk and Dinamo Minsk II have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Belarus: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: 1. Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Niva
Lida
Minsk II
Osipovichy
Ostrovets FC
Bumprom
Orsha
FC Slutsk
Slonim
Smorgon
Volna
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
BATE II
Shakhter Soligorsk
Gomel II