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Uni Minsk vs Orsha Result & Analysis

Date: 10/05/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 0-1
Uni Minsk
Uni Minsk
Vs
46%
23%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Orsha
Orsha
Belarus: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Uni Minsk win✗ Miss
45.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Orsha win✓ Hit
30.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Uni MinskUni Minsk

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-513L11D30W15L04L20WA·DIN29/03A·BUM06/04H·FC 12/04A·BAT18/04H·NIV26/04A·OSI03/05
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.332.171.502.001.252.25
vs Stronger (2)1.502.001.502.00--
vs Similar (3)1.003.00--1.003.00
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Orsha) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OrshaOrsha

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-702L20W43W13L27L10W12L13L24L33DA·SLO01/11H·ABF08/11A·BUM17/11H·BEL23/11A·BAT29/03A·MIN05/04A·NIV13/04H·LID19/04A·OSI27/04H·LOK04/05
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
2.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.831.331.531.602.13
vs Stronger (16)1.311.501.441.561.141.43
vs Similar (14)1.642.211.171.502.002.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Uni Minsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%4%08%119%221%319%414%516%6+
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
88.3%
Under 1.5
11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
69.7%
Under 2.5
30.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
48.4%
Under 3.5
51.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
69.9%
No
30.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
7.0%
3-1
5.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-2
4.6%
1-0
4.6%
Uni Minsk goals ↓
Orsha goals →
01234
03.6%3.5%3.6%1.9%0.8%
14.6%9.6%7.1%3.8%1.5%
25.4%8.7%7.0%3.8%1.5%
33.6%5.8%4.6%2.5%1.0%
41.8%2.9%2.3%1.2%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Uni Minsk goals (down), columns = Orsha goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Baranovichi
2.18
FC Dnepr Mogilev
1.97
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.88
Belshina
1.85
Lida
1.74
Bumprom
1.74
Niva
1.62
BATE II
1.56
Minsk II
1.50
Ostrovets FC
1.50
Volna
1.41
ABFF U19
1.24
Dinamo Minsk II
1.18
Uni Minsk
1.06
Gomel II
0.82
Orsha
0.74
Osipovichy
0.64
Slonim
0.61
Uni Minsk is 0.32 points better than Orsha in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 0.74).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Baranovichi
2.21
Lida
2.18
BATE II
2.06
Niva
2.00
Volna
1.91
Belshina
1.88
FC Dnepr Mogilev
1.74
Ostrovets FC
1.65
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.65
Bumprom
1.65
Uni Minsk
1.59
Minsk II
1.44
ABFF U19
1.29
Orsha
1.24
Osipovichy
1.18
Gomel II
1.00
Dinamo Minsk II
1.00
Slonim
0.91
Uni Minsk is 0.35 goals better than Orsha in terms of goals scored per game (1.59 vs 1.24).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Baranovichi
0.85
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.00
Bumprom
1.06
FC Dnepr Mogilev
1.09
Dinamo Minsk II
1.18
Belshina
1.18
Lida
1.29
Minsk II
1.38
Ostrovets FC
1.41
ABFF U19
1.44
BATE II
1.53
Volna
1.62
Niva
1.65
Uni Minsk
2.12
Slonim
2.33
Osipovichy
2.33
Gomel II
2.44
Orsha
2.74
Uni Minsk is 0.62 goals better than Orsha in terms of goals conceded per game (2.12 vs 2.74).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Uni MinskUni Minsk

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D20W11D02L10WA·DIN29/03A·BUM06/04H·FC 12/04A·BAT18/04H·NIV26/04A·OSI03/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.671.001.000.750.50
vs Stronger (2)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (3)0.670.67--0.670.67
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Orsha) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OrshaOrsha

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W11D11D03L00D01L03L01L22DA·SLO01/11H·ABF08/11A·BUM17/11H·BEL23/11A·BAT29/03A·MIN05/04A·NIV13/04H·LID19/04A·OSI27/04H·LOK04/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.800.730.870.400.73
vs Stronger (16)0.560.690.780.780.290.57
vs Similar (14)0.570.930.671.000.500.88
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Uni Minsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Uni Minsk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uni Minsk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uni Minsk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orsha over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orsha over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orsha over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Uni MinskUni Minsk

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L11D10W04L02L10WA·DIN29/03A·BUM06/04H·FC 12/04A·BAT18/04H·NIV26/04A·OSI03/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.500.501.000.501.75
vs Stronger (2)0.501.000.501.00--
vs Similar (3)0.332.33--0.332.33
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Orsha) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OrshaOrsha

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L10W32W02L24L10W11D10W23L11DA·SLO01/11H·ABF08/11A·BUM17/11H·BEL23/11A·BAT29/03A·MIN05/04A·NIV13/04H·LID19/04A·OSI27/04H·LOK04/05
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.030.600.671.201.40
vs Stronger (16)0.750.810.670.780.860.86
vs Similar (14)1.071.290.500.501.501.88
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Uni Minsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Uni Minsk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uni Minsk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uni Minsk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orsha over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orsha over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orsha over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.588.3%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FDM (25)
€3m
BAR (21)
€2m
UM (29)
€2m
BEL (16)
€2m
NIV (21)
€2m
BUM (20)
€2m
DMI (27)
€1m
VOL (18)
€1m
OF (22)
€1m
MI (23)
€1m
LID (18)
€1m
SLO (20)
€1m
BI (20)
€1m
ORS (19)
€1m
OSI (20)
€1m
GI (17)
€1m
Uni Minsk and Orsha have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FDM (9)
€1m
BAR (8)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
NIV (5)
€1m
UM (8)
€1m
BUM (7)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
MI (6)
€0m
OF (6)
€0m
OSI (6)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
GI (2)
€0m
LID (2)
€0m
DMI (2)
€0m
Uni Minsk and Orsha have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FDM (6)
€1m
DMI (11)
€1m
LID (7)
€1m
NIV (7)
€1m
UM (8)
€0m
BAR (4)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
MI (9)
€0m
OF (7)
€0m
ORS (9)
€0m
GI (8)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
BEL (2)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
BUM (4)
€0m
Uni Minsk and Orsha have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FDM (10)
€1m
BAR (9)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
UM (13)
€1m
DMI (14)
€1m
BUM (9)
€1m
OF (9)
€1m
NIV (9)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
LID (9)
€0m
SLO (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
MI (8)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
GI (7)
€0m
Uni Minsk and Orsha have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
UM wins
0
Draws
0
ORS wins

Head-to-head

Uni Minsk vs Orsha · H/A from UM
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Uni MinskUni Minsk

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/05/25AOsipovichy Vs UM0-2
26/04/25HUM Vs Niva0-4
18/04/25ABATE II Vs UM5-1
12/04/25HUM Vs FC Dnepr Mogilev3-0
06/04/25ABumprom Vs UM1-1
29/03/25ADinamo Minsk II Vs UM3-1

OrshaOrsha

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/05/25HORS Vs Lokomotiv Gomel3-3
27/04/25AOsipovichy Vs ORS4-2
19/04/25HORS Vs Lida1-3
13/04/25ANiva Vs ORS2-1
05/04/25AMinsk II Vs ORS0-1
29/03/25ABATE II Vs ORS7-2
23/11/24HORS Vs Belshina1-3
17/11/24ABumprom Vs ORS3-4
08/11/24HORS Vs ABFF U172-0
01/11/24ASlonim Vs ORS2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Uni Minsk
Uni Minsk
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLW1.17
HomeWL1.50
AwayLDLW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%50%25%
AVG goals3.503.503.50
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %67%100%50%
Over 3.5 %50%50%50%
Scored1.331.501.25
Conceded2.172.002.25
BTTS50%0%75%
Clean Sheet33%50%25%
Corners---
Cards---
Orsha
Orsha
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLD1.14
HomeLWLLD1.25
AwayWLWLL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%33%23%
AVG goals3.343.173.50
Over 1.5 %84%79%88%
Over 2.5 %54%50%58%
Over 3.5 %40%38%42%
Scored1.481.541.42
Conceded1.861.622.08
BTTS60%58%62%
Clean Sheet22%25%19%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BaranovichiBaranovichi3474
68%
2.2
7529+46
3.1
85%
56%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.20.9
-
2FC Dnepr MogilevFC Dnepr Mogilev3467
59%
2.0
5937+22
2.8
85%
59%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.71.1
-
3Lokomotiv GomelLokomotiv Gomel3464
53%
1.9
5634+22
2.6
68%
50%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.0
-
4BelshinaBelshina3463
56%
1.9
6440+24
3.1
85%
62%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.91.2
-
5LidaLida3459
56%
1.7
7444+30
3.5
85%
76%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0102.21.3
-
6BumpromBumprom3459
47%
1.7
5636+20
2.7
85%
44%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.1
-
7NivaNiva3455
44%
1.6
6856+12
3.6
85%
68%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.01.6
-
8BATE IIBATE II3453
44%
1.6
7052+18
3.6
88%
65%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.11.5
-
9Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC3451
47%
1.5
5648+8
3.1
82%
62%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.61.4
-
10Minsk IIMinsk II3451
44%
1.5
4947+2
2.8
68%
50%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.4
-
11VolnaVolna3448
38%
1.4
6555+10
3.5
91%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.91.6
-
12ABFF U19ABFF U193442
32%
1.2
4449-5
2.7
76%
56%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
13Dinamo Minsk IIDinamo Minsk II3440
29%
1.2
3440-6
2.2
65%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0111.01.2
-
14Uni MinskUni Minsk3436
29%
1.1
5472-18
3.7
94%
76%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.62.1
-
15Gomel IIGomel II3428
24%
0.8
3483-49
3.4
79%
68%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.4
-
16OrshaOrsha3425
21%
0.7
4293-51
4.0
94%
79%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.22.7
-
17OsipovichyOsipovichy3321
15%
0.6
3977-38
3.5
97%
70%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.22.3
-
18SlonimSlonim3320
18%
0.6
3077-47
3.2
91%
70%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.92.3
-
Belarus: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: 1. Division stats & trends →

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