This opponent (Genk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Genk
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.03
1.57
2.20
1.33
1.87
1.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
1.12
2.00
1.00
1.60
1.33
2.67
vs Weaker (22)
2.36
1.41
2.80
1.20
2.00
1.58
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Union St. Gilloise) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.0%
Under 1.5
14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
65.6%
@ 1.58+6.1%
Under 2.5
34.4%
@ 2.32-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
43.7%
Under 3.5
56.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
64.1%
No
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.0%
2-1 ✓
9.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.3%
Union St. Gilloise goals ↓
Genk goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.3%
3.4%
2.7%
1.2%
0.4%
1
6.3%
10%
5.8%
2.5%
0.8%
2
7.6%
9.6%
6.1%
2.6%
0.8%
3
5.3%
6.8%
4.3%
1.8%
0.6%
4
2.8%
3.6%
2.3%
1.0%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Union St. Gilloise goals (down), columns = Genk goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Union St. Gilloise
2.26
Club Brugge KV
2.12
Anderlecht
1.88
Antwerp
1.85
Gent
1.82
Charleroi
1.59
KV Mechelen
1.53
St. Truiden
1.50
Genk
1.50
Cercle Brugge
1.32
OH Leuven
1.21
Oostende
1.09
Kortrijk
1.09
Standard Liege
1.06
Zulte Waregem
0.94
Eupen
0.94
Seraing
0.82
Beerschot VA
0.47
Union St. Gilloise is 0.76 points better than Genk in terms of average points per game (2.26 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Union St. Gilloise
2.29
Club Brugge KV
2.12
Anderlecht
2.12
Genk
1.94
KV Mechelen
1.68
Gent
1.65
Antwerp
1.62
Charleroi
1.62
Cercle Brugge
1.44
OH Leuven
1.38
Kortrijk
1.26
Zulte Waregem
1.24
St. Truiden
1.24
Eupen
1.09
Oostende
1.00
Beerschot VA
0.97
Standard Liege
0.94
Seraing
0.88
Union St. Gilloise is 0.35 goals better than Genk in terms of goals scored per game (2.29 vs 1.94).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Union St. Gilloise
0.79
Gent
0.88
Anderlecht
1.06
Club Brugge KV
1.09
Antwerp
1.12
St. Truiden
1.18
Charleroi
1.35
Cercle Brugge
1.35
Genk
1.38
Kortrijk
1.41
Standard Liege
1.50
OH Leuven
1.71
Oostende
1.79
KV Mechelen
1.79
Eupen
1.79
Seraing
2.00
Zulte Waregem
2.03
Beerschot VA
2.24
Union St. Gilloise is 0.59 goals better than Genk in terms of goals conceded per game (0.79 vs 1.38).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Union St. Gilloise
For 5.3 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 10.6 · Total 22.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Genk
For 6.7 · Against 4.6 · Total 11.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 10.3 · Total 20.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Union St. Gilloise
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (22)
10.3
10.5
10.1
4.7
5.3
4.2
24.7
25.6
23.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
9.8
10.0
9.7
4.4
3.5
5.0
22.4
24.0
21.3
vs Weaker (17)
10.4
10.6
10.2
4.8
5.7
3.9
25.4
26.0
24.8
% over line
59%
55%
64%
82%
82%
82%
73%
82%
64%
% under line
41%
45%
36%
18%
18%
18%
27%
18%
36%
This opponent (Genk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Genk
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.6
10.2
3.9
4.1
3.8
23.9
24.7
23.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
9.6
8.5
11.0
4.4
4.5
4.3
24.6
24.5
24.8
vs Weaker (36)
10.0
10.1
10.0
3.7
3.9
3.6
23.7
24.8
22.6
% over line
52%
52%
52%
54%
60%
48%
58%
64%
52%
% under line
48%
48%
48%
46%
40%
52%
42%
36%
48%
This opponent (Union St. Gilloise) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Beerschot VA
11.1
Antwerp
11.0
OH Leuven
10.6
Charleroi
10.6
Oostende
10.5
KV Mechelen
10.5
Club Brugge KV
10.4
Union St. Gilloise
10.3
Eupen
10.3
Kortrijk
10.2
Zulte Waregem
10.2
Gent
10.1
Genk
9.9
Cercle Brugge
9.8
St. Truiden
9.5
Seraing
9.4
Standard Liege
9.3
Anderlecht
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
OH Leuven
5.0
Seraing
4.7
Union St. Gilloise
4.7
Standard Liege
4.7
Cercle Brugge
4.6
Antwerp
4.6
Beerschot VA
4.5
Kortrijk
4.4
Club Brugge KV
4.2
Eupen
4.2
Oostende
4.1
St. Truiden
4.1
Gent
4.0
Genk
3.9
Charleroi
3.9
KV Mechelen
3.8
Anderlecht
3.8
Zulte Waregem
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Standard Liege
27.7
Kortrijk
26.3
Cercle Brugge
25.7
Gent
25.2
St. Truiden
25.0
Union St. Gilloise
24.7
Beerschot VA
24.7
KV Mechelen
24.2
Anderlecht
24.1
Genk
23.9
Seraing
23.9
Zulte Waregem
23.9
Club Brugge KV
23.7
OH Leuven
23.6
Oostende
23.0
Eupen
22.9
Charleroi
22.6
Antwerp
21.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
60.8%
Under 9.5
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
64.1%
Under 3.5
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
60.9%
Under 21.5
39.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Union St. Gilloise
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.09
0.41
0.73
0.55
1.45
0.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.60
0.20
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.33
vs Weaker (17)
1.24
0.47
0.89
0.67
1.62
0.25
Clean sheet %
73% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Genk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Genk
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.53
1.00
0.40
0.80
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.38
0.75
0.20
0.40
0.67
1.33
vs Weaker (22)
1.09
0.45
1.40
0.40
0.83
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Union St. Gilloise) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Union St. Gilloise over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union St. Gilloise over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union St. Gilloise over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Genk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Genk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Genk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Union St. Gilloise
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.36
0.50
1.36
0.45
1.36
0.55
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.60
0.40
0.00
0.50
1.00
0.33
vs Weaker (17)
1.59
0.53
1.67
0.44
1.50
0.62
Clean sheet %
64% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Genk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Genk
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.03
1.20
0.93
1.07
1.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.75
1.25
0.80
1.20
0.67
1.33
vs Weaker (22)
1.27
0.95
1.40
0.80
1.17
1.08
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Union St. Gilloise) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Union St. Gilloise over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union St. Gilloise over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union St. Gilloise over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Genk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Genk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Genk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Union St. Gilloise · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
R. Florucz50%
Guilherme Smith50%
R. Mofokeng50%
D. Olaru33%
M. Biondic33%
K. Mac Allister25%
L. Patris25%
B. Zeneli25%
A. Zorgane0%
R. Schoofs0%
K. Van de Perre0%
Ondrej Kricfalusi0%
M. Sylla0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
K. Mac Allister100%
K. Van de Perre50%
R. Florucz25%
Guilherme Smith25%
M. Sylla25%
A. Zorgane0%
R. Schoofs0%
D. Olaru0%
L. Patris0%
M. Biondic0%
B. Zeneli0%
Ondrej Kricfalusi0%
R. Mofokeng0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
B. Zeneli75%
R. Schoofs50%
D. Olaru33%
M. Biondic33%
L. Patris25%
Guilherme Smith25%
A. Zorgane0%
K. Mac Allister0%
R. Florucz0%
K. Van de Perre0%
Ondrej Kricfalusi0%
R. Mofokeng0%
M. Sylla0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
B. Zeneli50%
D. Olaru33%
Guilherme Smith25%
A. Zorgane0%
K. Mac Allister0%
R. Schoofs0%
R. Florucz0%
L. Patris0%
M. Biondic0%
K. Van de Perre0%
Ondrej Kricfalusi0%
R. Mofokeng0%
M. Sylla0%
Genk · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rafiu Durosinmi100%
Josue Ndenge Kongolo67%
Junya Ito33%
Joris Kayembe33%
Ayumu Yokoyama33%
Aaron Bibout33%
Bryan Heynen0%
Daan Heymans0%
Zakaria El Ouahdi0%
Jeppe Erenbjerg0%
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura0%
Lucca Brughmans0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Daan Heymans67%
Josue Ndenge Kongolo33%
Bryan Heynen0%
Junya Ito0%
Joris Kayembe0%
Zakaria El Ouahdi0%
Jeppe Erenbjerg0%
Ayumu Yokoyama0%
Rafiu Durosinmi0%
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura0%
Aaron Bibout0%
Lucca Brughmans0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jeppe Erenbjerg67%
Junya Ito33%
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura33%
Bryan Heynen0%
Daan Heymans0%
Joris Kayembe0%
Zakaria El Ouahdi0%
Ayumu Yokoyama0%
Rafiu Durosinmi0%
Josue Ndenge Kongolo0%
Aaron Bibout0%
Lucca Brughmans0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bryan Heynen0%
Junya Ito0%
Daan Heymans0%
Joris Kayembe0%
Zakaria El Ouahdi0%
Jeppe Erenbjerg0%
Ayumu Yokoyama0%
Rafiu Durosinmi0%
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura0%
Josue Ndenge Kongolo0%
Aaron Bibout0%
Lucca Brughmans0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (27)
€196m
GEN (30)
€113m
USG (26)
€98m
AND (32)
€91m
GEN (32)
€58m
SL (27)
€54m
KM (31)
€45m
CB (26)
€40m
ANT (24)
€33m
CHA (21)
€31m
OL (27)
€30m
ST (23)
€30m
ZW (27)
€20m
KOR (24)
€18m
BV (26)
€9m
Union St. Gilloise's squad is €16m less valuable than Genk's (€98m vs €113m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (10)
€92m
AND (12)
€50m
GEN (10)
€39m
USG (10)
€32m
CB (9)
€18m
GEN (11)
€17m
SL (9)
€14m
KM (9)
€13m
CHA (8)
€13m
ST (10)
€11m
ANT (10)
€9m
KOR (9)
€9m
ZW (10)
€8m
OL (8)
€7m
BV (13)
€4m
Union St. Gilloise's attack is €7m less valuable than Genk's (€32m vs €39m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
USG (7)
€38m
CBK (5)
€23m
GEN (8)
€22m
GEN (5)
€19m
AND (5)
€18m
ANT (4)
€10m
SL (7)
€8m
KM (7)
€7m
OL (6)
€6m
CB (6)
€5m
ST (4)
€4m
CHA (5)
€4m
KOR (5)
€4m
ZW (4)
€4m
BV (2)
€0m
Union St. Gilloise's midfield is €19m more valuable than Genk's (€38m vs €19m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (12)
€81m
GEN (15)
€55m
SL (11)
€31m
USG (9)
€28m
KM (15)
€25m
AND (15)
€24m
GEN (13)
€19m
OL (13)
€17m
CB (11)
€17m
ANT (10)
€14m
CHA (8)
€14m
ST (9)
€14m
ZW (13)
€9m
KOR (10)
€5m
BV (11)
€5m
Union St. Gilloise's defence is €28m less valuable than Genk's (€28m vs €55m).
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Club Brugge KV
Anderlecht
Antwerp
Gent
Charleroi
KV Mechelen
St. Truiden
Cercle Brugge
OH Leuven
Kortrijk
Oostende
Standard Liege
Zulte Waregem
Beerschot VA