This opponent (Seraing) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
S
Seraing
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
2.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
2.07
0.47
1.80
1.27
2.33
vs Stronger (26)
0.77
2.23
0.46
1.92
1.08
2.54
vs Similar (4)
1.50
1.00
0.50
1.00
2.50
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
3% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (Union St. Gilloise) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.9%
Under 1.5
13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
67.7%
@ 1.26-7.0%
Under 2.5
32.3%
@ 3.71+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
46.0%
Under 3.5
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.8%
No
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.1%
3-0
10.0%
2-1 ✓
8.8%
3-1
7.9%
1-0
7.6%
1-1
7.2%
4-0
6.7%
4-1
5.3%
Union St. Gilloise goals ↓
Seraing goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.7%
1.8%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
1
7.6%
7.2%
2.6%
0.7%
0.1%
2
11%
8.8%
3.5%
0.9%
0.2%
3
10.0%
7.9%
3.2%
0.8%
0.2%
4
6.7%
5.3%
2.1%
0.6%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Union St. Gilloise goals (down), columns = Seraing goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Antwerp
2.16
Union St. Gilloise
2.16
Genk
2.11
Gent
1.91
Club Brugge KV
1.68
Charleroi
1.62
Cercle Brugge
1.61
Anderlecht
1.57
OH Leuven
1.37
Standard Liege
1.35
St. Truiden
1.34
KVC Westerlo
1.32
KV Mechelen
1.16
Kortrijk
1.08
Zulte Waregem
0.92
Oostende
0.84
Eupen
0.82
AS Eupen
0.82
Seraing United
0.59
Seraing
0.59
Union St. Gilloise is 1.57 points better than Seraing in terms of average points per game (2.16 vs 0.59).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Genk
2.30
Gent
2.16
Union St. Gilloise
1.95
Club Brugge KV
1.89
Antwerp
1.73
OH Leuven
1.71
KVC Westerlo
1.70
Cercle Brugge
1.68
Zulte Waregem
1.66
Anderlecht
1.57
Charleroi
1.46
Standard Liege
1.42
KV Mechelen
1.38
Eupen
1.18
AS Eupen
1.18
Oostende
1.16
St. Truiden
1.13
Kortrijk
1.11
Seraing United
0.82
Seraing
0.82
Union St. Gilloise is 1.13 goals better than Seraing in terms of goals scored per game (1.95 vs 0.82).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Antwerp
0.80
Gent
1.02
St. Truiden
1.13
Club Brugge KV
1.14
Genk
1.14
Anderlecht
1.19
Union St. Gilloise
1.20
Charleroi
1.32
Cercle Brugge
1.34
OH Leuven
1.45
Standard Liege
1.51
Kortrijk
1.66
KVC Westerlo
1.66
KV Mechelen
1.86
Seraing United
2.00
Seraing
2.00
Oostende
2.18
Eupen
2.21
AS Eupen
2.21
Zulte Waregem
2.24
Union St. Gilloise is 0.80 goals better than Seraing in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Union St. Gilloise
For 3.6 · Against 4.9 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 13.8 · Total 26.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
S
Seraing
For 3.4 · Against 8.8 · Total 12.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.1 · Total 2.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 11.1 · Total 22.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Union St. Gilloise
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
6.9
10.2
1.7
1.3
2.0
26.6
27.5
26.1
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
8.6
8.0
9.0
2.0
1.5
2.4
27.8
25.0
28.7
vs Weaker (37)
8.9
6.4
10.7
1.5
1.2
1.8
26.2
28.0
25.0
% over line
47%
14%
70%
28%
21%
35%
88%
83%
90%
% under line
53%
86%
30%
72%
79%
65%
12%
17%
10%
This opponent (Seraing) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
S
Seraing
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.0
10.6
4.1
4.4
3.9
23.1
24.0
22.2
vs Stronger (44)
10.2
9.9
10.6
3.9
4.5
3.3
22.8
24.1
21.5
vs Similar (6)
10.3
10.7
10.0
6.0
4.0
8.0
25.5
23.3
27.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
60%
60%
60%
58%
64%
52%
60%
68%
52%
% under line
40%
40%
40%
42%
36%
48%
40%
32%
48%
This opponent (Union St. Gilloise) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
KV Mechelen
11.6
Gent
11.6
Antwerp
11.1
KVC Westerlo
11.0
OH Leuven
10.9
Club Brugge KV
10.7
Kortrijk
10.5
Oostende
10.3
Eupen
10.3
Seraing
10.3
Charleroi
10.1
Genk
10.0
Zulte Waregem
9.9
Union St. Gilloise
9.7
Anderlecht
9.7
Standard Liege
9.4
Cercle Brugge
9.4
St. Truiden
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Standard Liege
5.4
OH Leuven
4.9
Union St. Gilloise
4.9
Antwerp
4.9
Club Brugge KV
4.8
Kortrijk
4.8
Cercle Brugge
4.6
Gent
4.4
Oostende
4.3
Anderlecht
4.2
Seraing
4.1
St. Truiden
4.1
Eupen
4.1
KV Mechelen
4.0
Zulte Waregem
3.9
Genk
3.8
Charleroi
3.7
KVC Westerlo
1.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Standard Liege
27.3
Cercle Brugge
26.6
Union St. Gilloise
25.4
Kortrijk
25.2
St. Truiden
23.9
KVC Westerlo
23.3
Seraing
23.1
KV Mechelen
23.1
Oostende
22.9
Eupen
22.8
Gent
22.4
Zulte Waregem
22.4
Genk
22.3
OH Leuven
22.3
Club Brugge KV
22.2
Anderlecht
21.9
Charleroi
21.3
Antwerp
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
55.7%
Under 9.5
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
56.9%
Under 3.5
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
71.1%
Under 21.5
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Union St. Gilloise
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.50
0.69
0.62
0.86
0.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.88
0.88
1.00
1.67
0.80
0.40
vs Weaker (22)
0.73
0.36
0.62
0.38
0.89
0.33
Clean sheet %
67% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Seraing) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
S
Seraing
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
1.07
0.20
0.60
0.73
1.53
vs Stronger (26)
0.38
1.19
0.23
0.69
0.54
1.69
vs Similar (4)
1.00
0.25
0.00
0.00
2.00
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Union St. Gilloise) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Union St. Gilloise over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union St. Gilloise over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union St. Gilloise over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Seraing over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Seraing over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Seraing over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Union St. Gilloise
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
0.63
1.38
0.38
1.29
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
1.00
0.38
1.33
0.00
0.80
0.60
vs Weaker (22)
1.45
0.73
1.38
0.46
1.56
1.11
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Seraing) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
S
Seraing
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
1.00
0.27
1.20
0.53
0.80
vs Stronger (26)
0.38
1.04
0.23
1.23
0.54
0.85
vs Similar (4)
0.50
0.75
0.50
1.00
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Union St. Gilloise) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Union St. Gilloise over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union St. Gilloise over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union St. Gilloise over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Seraing over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Seraing over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Seraing over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
86.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home win
76.7%
1.11
-
-
-
-
-
-8.5%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Union St. Gilloise
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dante Vanzeir40%
Teddy Teuma27%
Victor Okoh Boniface26%
Casper Terho25%
Simon Adingra24%
Yorbe Vertessen22%
Dennis Eckert Ayensa18%
Gustaf Nilsson15%
Cameron Puertas12%
Jean Thierry Lazare Amani11%
Christian Burgess11%
Ross Sykes9%
Loic Lapoussin8%
Bart Nieuwkoop7%
Siebe Van Der Heyden2%
Ismael Kandouss2%
Senne Lynen2%
Koki Machida0%
José Rodríguez0%
Anthony Moris0%
Guillaume François0%
Oussama El Azzouzi0%
Arnaud Dony0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Siebe Van Der Heyden40%
Teddy Teuma27%
Christian Burgess26%
José Rodríguez25%
Bart Nieuwkoop25%
Jean Thierry Lazare Amani20%
Senne Lynen19%
Anthony Moris14%
Koki Machida11%
Yorbe Vertessen11%
Loic Lapoussin10%
Gustaf Nilsson10%
Guillaume François10%
Dennis Eckert Ayensa9%
Ross Sykes9%
Dante Vanzeir8%
Cameron Puertas7%
Ismael Kandouss7%
Oussama El Azzouzi7%
Simon Adingra4%
Victor Okoh Boniface4%
Casper Terho0%
Arnaud Dony0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Teddy Teuma31%
Simon Adingra24%
Victor Okoh Boniface19%
Loic Lapoussin17%
Jean Thierry Lazare Amani13%
Bart Nieuwkoop11%
Yorbe Vertessen11%
Senne Lynen11%
Dennis Eckert Ayensa9%
Dante Vanzeir8%
Siebe Van Der Heyden5%
Guillaume François5%
Ross Sykes4%
Christian Burgess2%
Ismael Kandouss0%
Gustaf Nilsson0%
Koki Machida0%
José Rodríguez0%
Cameron Puertas0%
Anthony Moris0%
Casper Terho0%
Oussama El Azzouzi0%
Arnaud Dony0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dante Vanzeir24%
Victor Okoh Boniface23%
Yorbe Vertessen17%
Casper Terho12%
Teddy Teuma11%
Simon Adingra11%
Ross Sykes9%
Gustaf Nilsson5%
Bart Nieuwkoop2%
Jean Thierry Lazare Amani2%
Ismael Kandouss0%
Christian Burgess0%
Loic Lapoussin0%
Koki Machida0%
José Rodríguez0%
Siebe Van Der Heyden0%
Dennis Eckert Ayensa0%
Senne Lynen0%
Cameron Puertas0%
Anthony Moris0%
Guillaume François0%
Oussama El Azzouzi0%
Arnaud Dony0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Union St. Gilloise
Antwerp
Genk
Gent
Club Brugge KV
Cercle Brugge
Charleroi
Anderlecht
KVC Westerlo
Standard Liege
OH Leuven
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
Kortrijk
Zulte Waregem
Oostende
AS Eupen
Seraing United