Uta Arad and Corvinul Hunedoara face off in the Romania: Liga I on August 22. The recent draw between Uta Arad and Rapid, coming off a 0-0 score, could be a storyline to watch, but let's dive into the numbers. The model predicts a home win, with a 44% chance of Uta Arad taking all three points. The probability of a draw is 32%, and the away win is 25%. The expected total number of goals is 2.1, with the most likely total being 2 goals.
The most likely score is 1-1, with a 14.4% chance. Uta Arad scores an average of 0.6 goals at home against stronger opponents, while conceding 1.8. Corvinul Hunedoara scores 1.46 goals away against weaker opponents, while conceding 0.77.
The model's selections include Under 3.5 with an 83.6% chance, and Over 3.5 cards with a 74% chance. Uta Arad has a 44% chance of winning, a 32% chance of drawing, and a 25% chance of losing. The suggested picks are Under 3.5 at 83.6% and Over 3.5 cards at 74%.
Results analysis
The 0-0 draw was a shock for the model’s favourite, the home win, which had a 42 % chance. The prediction was wrong, but the match lived up to the model’s other selections. Every suggested pick hit: Under 7.5 (99.8 %), Under 6.5 (99.4 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.8 %), Away under 3.5 goals (98.7 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.0 %), Under 5.5 (97.9 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.9 %) and Home under 3.5 goals (96.5 %). Uta Arad’s recent form shows a draw after a win-loss-draw-loss-draw sequence, while Corvinul Hunedoara remains unbeaten in five, ending with the same 0-0 result. The low-scoring affair matched the model’s expectation of a 2-goal total, with the most likely score of 1-1 and 0-0 both hovering around 14 % each.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Uta Arad win✗ Miss
42.0%
Avg Implied 42.2% · @ 2.19
Edge
-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.27
Pinnacle
2.24
Dafabet
2.22
Betano
2.22
William Hil
2.20
Draw✓ Hit
32.0%
Avg Implied 29.3% · @ 3.15
Edge
+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.30
Superbet
3.25
Pinnacle
3.23
BetVictor
3.20
Unibet
3.20
Corvinul Hunedoara win✗ Miss
26.0%
Avg Implied 28.5% · @ 3.24
Edge
-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.43
Superbet
3.35
1xBet
3.32
Bet365
3.30
Marathonbet
3.30
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Uta Arad
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.20
1.67
1.07
0.93
1.33
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
1.71
1.20
1.40
0.00
2.50
vs Similar (23)
1.43
1.04
1.90
0.90
1.08
1.15
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Corvinul Hunedoara) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Corvinul Hunedoara
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
0.70
1.67
0.53
1.40
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
1.13
0.60
1.25
0.25
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (15)
1.93
0.80
2.14
0.86
1.75
0.75
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Uta Arad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
63.7%
@ 1.34-5.8%
Under 1.5
36.3%
@ 3.06+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.39
Superbet
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
Betfair
1.33
Under
Betfair
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.15
Superbet
3.15
Betano
3.10
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
35.4%
@ 2.09-9.5%
Under 2.5
64.6%
@ 1.71+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.15
Pinnacle
2.13
SBO
2.12
Superbet
2.12
10Bet
2.10
Under
Betano
1.75
Pinnacle
1.73
Betfair
1.73
Superbet
1.72
1xBet
1.71
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.4%
@ 3.71-8.7%
Under 3.5
83.6%
@ 1.24+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
3.80
Superbet
3.80
Betfair
3.80
BetVictor
3.80
Pinnacle
3.77
Under
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Superbet
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
43.0%
@ 1.83-7.6%
No
57.0%
@ 1.88+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.88
Betfair
1.87
888Sport
1.83
William Hil
1.83
Betano
1.83
No
Superbet
1.92
888Sport
1.91
Betano
1.91
William Hil
1.91
Betfair
1.90
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%@ 5.81+6.9%
0-0 ✓
13.4%@ 8.07+7.9%
1-0
13.3%@ 6.65+6.7%
0-1
9.6%@ 8.50+4.3%
2-0
8.9%@ 9.69+4.3%
2-1
8.0%@ 8.47+2.8%
1-2
5.9%@ 10.81+1.8%
0-2
4.9%@ 15.01+1.9%
Uta Arad goals ↓
Corvinul Hunedoara goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
9.6%
4.9%
1.5%
0.3%
1
13%
15%
5.9%
1.8%
0.4%
2
8.9%
8.0%
3.6%
1.1%
0.2%
3
3.6%
3.2%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
4
1.1%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Uta Arad goals (down), columns = Corvinul Hunedoara goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.00
Rapid
1.71
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.71
Universitatea Craiova
1.57
FCSB
1.57
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.50
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.43
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.43
Farul Constanta
1.43
Oţelul
1.43
Arges Pitesti
1.43
FC Botosani
1.00
Uta Arad
0.86
FC Voluntari
0.71
Csikszereda
0.14
Uta Arad is 0.57 points worse than Corvinul Hunedoara in terms of average points per game (0.86 vs 1.43).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Universitatea Craiova
2.00
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.00
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.83
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
FCSB
1.43
Farul Constanta
1.43
Oţelul
1.29
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.14
Rapid
1.14
FC Voluntari
1.00
FC Botosani
1.00
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.00
Uta Arad
0.86
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.57
Csikszereda
0.57
Arges Pitesti
0.57
Uta Arad is 0.29 goals worse than Corvinul Hunedoara in terms of goals scored per game (0.86 vs 1.14).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.43
Corvinul Hunedoara
0.57
Rapid
0.57
Dinamo Bucuresti
0.71
Arges Pitesti
0.71
FC Botosani
1.14
FCSB
1.14
Farul Constanta
1.14
Oţelul
1.14
Universitatea Craiova
1.29
Uta Arad
1.43
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.43
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.67
Csikszereda
1.86
FC Voluntari
2.57
Uta Arad is 0.86 goals worse than Corvinul Hunedoara in terms of goals conceded per game (1.43 vs 0.57).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Universitatea Craiova
60%
FCSB
58%
Universitatea Cluj
57%
Dinamo Bucuresti
56%
Oţelul
55%
CFR 1907 Cluj
55%
FC Botosani
53%
Rapid
50%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
49%
Farul Constanta
48%
Uta Arad
46%
Corvinul Hunedoara
44%
Arges Pitesti
44%
Petrolul Ploiesti
42%
Csikszereda
42%
FC Voluntari
41%
Uta Arad is 2.0 percentage points better than Corvinul Hunedoara in terms of average possession (46% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Uta Arad
For 5.6 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 13.7 · Total 26.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Corvinul Hunedoara
For 4.0 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 10.6 · Total 22.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Uta Arad
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.5
9.6
4.3
4.0
4.6
24.2
24.3
24.0
vs Stronger (12)
8.6
7.0
10.0
5.5
5.3
5.7
22.9
24.6
21.5
vs Similar (38)
9.8
10.2
9.4
4.0
3.6
4.3
24.6
24.2
24.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
46%
48%
43%
68%
56%
80%
72%
70%
74%
% under line
54%
52%
57%
32%
44%
20%
28%
30%
26%
This opponent (Corvinul Hunedoara) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Corvinul Hunedoara
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.4
6.3
11.5
0.3
0.2
0.5
22.6
22.7
22.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
8.4
6.3
11.5
0.8
0.4
1.1
22.6
22.7
22.5
vs Weaker (28)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
40%
0%
100%
4%
0%
8%
60%
67%
50%
% under line
60%
100%
0%
96%
100%
92%
40%
33%
50%
This opponent (Uta Arad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FCSB
10.5
Universitatea Cluj
10.1
Rapid
10.1
Uta Arad
9.7
FC Botosani
9.7
Farul Constanta
9.7
Oţelul
9.5
Petrolul Ploiesti
9.5
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
9.5
Dinamo Bucuresti
9.4
Arges Pitesti
9.3
Universitatea Craiova
9.0
CFR 1907 Cluj
8.9
Csikszereda
8.8
FC Voluntari
8.5
Corvinul Hunedoara
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Arges Pitesti
5.1
Universitatea Craiova
5.0
FCSB
4.9
FC Botosani
4.9
Petrolul Ploiesti
4.8
Uta Arad
4.7
FC Voluntari
4.6
Dinamo Bucuresti
4.5
Corvinul Hunedoara
4.5
Rapid
4.5
Oţelul
4.5
Csikszereda
4.5
Farul Constanta
4.3
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
4.3
Universitatea Cluj
4.1
CFR 1907 Cluj
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Oţelul
26.9
FC Botosani
26.3
Arges Pitesti
25.6
Petrolul Ploiesti
25.4
Csikszereda
24.7
FCSB
24.7
Universitatea Craiova
24.3
Uta Arad
24.1
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
24.0
Dinamo Bucuresti
23.8
Rapid
23.7
FC Voluntari
23.6
Farul Constanta
23.2
Corvinul Hunedoara
22.6
CFR 1907 Cluj
22.4
Universitatea Cluj
21.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
54.2%
@ 1.83+3.7%
Under 9.5
45.8%
@ 1.87-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.91
Betano
1.90
Pinnacle
1.88
Superbet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.84
Under
Unibet
1.96
10Bet
1.95
Pinnacle
1.88
1xBet
1.88
Superbet
1.85
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
74.3%
@ 1.52+14.0%
Under 3.5
25.7%
@ 2.31-14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.55
Betano
1.50
Under
Betano
2.32
Superbet
2.30
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
68.3%
Under 21.5
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Uta Arad or Draw✓ Hit
74.0%
Avg Implied 71.6% · @ 1.30
Edge
+2.4%
42%
32%
26%
covers Uta Arad + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.36
Superbet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
William Hil
1.30
Uta Arad or Corvinul Hunedoara✗ Miss
68.0%
Avg Implied 71.3% · @ 1.31
Edge
-3.3%
42%
32%
26%
covers Uta Arad + Corvinul Hunedoara
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.36
William Hil
1.35
888Sport
1.33
Betano
1.32
Draw or Corvinul Hunedoara✓ Hit
58.0%
Avg Implied 57.1% · @ 1.63
Edge
+0.9%
42%
32%
26%
covers Draw + Corvinul Hunedoara
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.67
Betfair
1.67
Superbet
1.66
Betano
1.65
SBO
1.65
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Uta Arad over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
70.3%
@ 1.25-3.7%
Under
29.7%
@ 3.57+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.29
Pinnacle
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Pinnacle
3.74
Superbet
3.65
BetVictor
3.60
Uta Arad over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
34.2%
@ 2.28-6.5%
Under
65.8%
@ 1.57+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.37
Pinnacle
2.37
888Sport
2.30
Betano
2.30
10Bet
2.30
Under
Superbet
1.60
1xBet
1.59
Pinnacle
1.59
Marathonbet
1.59
Betfair
1.57
Uta Arad over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
12.3%
@ 5.08-5.9%
Under
87.7%
@ 1.14+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
5.45
BetVictor
5.25
10Bet
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Under
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Uta Arad over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.5%
@ 13.38-3.7%
Under
96.5%
@ 1.03+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
15.00
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
14.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Corvinul Hunedoara over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
59.3%
@ 1.42-6.0%
Under
40.7%
@ 2.68+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.47
Superbet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.42
Under
Superbet
2.77
Betfair
2.75
Betano
2.70
Pinnacle
2.70
888Sport
2.70
Corvinul Hunedoara over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
22.7%
@ 3.05-7.7%
Under
77.3%
@ 1.34+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.14
1xBet
3.10
Marathonbet
3.10
Superbet
3.10
Under
Superbet
1.37
Betano
1.37
Pinnacle
1.34
888Sport
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Corvinul Hunedoara over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
6.3%
@ 7.89-5.6%
Under
93.7%
@ 1.06+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
888Sport
8.50
Superbet
8.20
1xBet
7.60
Marathonbet
7.60
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.07
888Sport
1.06
Betfair
1.06
Corvinul Hunedoara over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.3%
@ 22.69-2.9%
Under
98.7%
@ 1.01+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
29.00
Bet365
26.00
Superbet
24.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
888Sport
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Uta Arad, so a minus line means Uta Arad give that many goals of a start and Corvinul Hunedoara receive them. At -1, Uta Arad must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Uta Arad win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Uta Arad)Actual: Corvinul Hunedoara
Uta Arad -2
6.4%
@ 9.18-3.4%
Draw -2
12.6%
@ 6.09-2.2%
Corvinul Hunedoara +2
80.9%
@ 1.19+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
9.80
Bet365
9.50
Unibet
9.00
Marathonbet
8.40
Draw
Superbet
6.40
Marathonbet
6.15
Bet365
6.00
Unibet
5.80
Away
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Unibet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
Handicap -1 (Uta Arad)Actual: Corvinul Hunedoara
Uta Arad -1
19.1%
@ 4.16-2.4%
Draw -1
22.9%
@ 3.72-1.1%
Corvinul Hunedoara +1
58.0%
@ 1.64+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
4.40
10Bet
4.33
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
4.05
Bet365
4.00
Draw
Superbet
3.90
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.72
10Bet
3.65
Away
Bet365
1.70
Superbet
1.65
Unibet
1.64
10Bet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
Handicap +1 (Uta Arad)Actual: Uta Arad
Uta Arad +1
74.0%
@ 1.31+5.1%
Draw +1
16.7%
@ 4.85-1.9%
Corvinul Hunedoara -1
9.3%
@ 7.15-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Unibet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.75
Unibet
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Away
Bet365
8.00
10Bet
7.00
Unibet
7.00
Superbet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.75
Handicap +2 (Uta Arad)Actual: Uta Arad
Uta Arad +2
90.7%
@ 1.07+3.6%
Draw +2
6.9%
@ 11.00-1.5%
Corvinul Hunedoara -2
2.4%
@ 21.00-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.07
Draw
Bet365
11.00
Away
Bet365
21.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Uta Arad
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.53
0.60
0.47
0.33
0.60
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
0.57
0.40
0.80
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (23)
0.52
0.52
0.70
0.30
0.38
0.69
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Corvinul Hunedoara) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Corvinul Hunedoara
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.27
0.87
0.27
0.73
0.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.53
0.20
0.62
0.12
0.43
0.29
vs Weaker (15)
1.07
0.33
1.14
0.43
1.00
0.25
Clean sheet %
77% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Uta Arad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
67.9%
@ 1.42+2.7%
Under 0.5
32.1%
@ 2.68-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
BetVictor
1.45
Superbet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Under
Betfair
2.88
10Bet
2.80
Pinnacle
2.80
William Hil
2.75
Superbet
2.70
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
29.0%
@ 3.01-1.9%
Under 1.5
71.0%
@ 1.35+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Betano
3.20
Pinnacle
3.15
Superbet
3.05
Betfair
3.00
Under
10Bet
1.40
Betano
1.36
Superbet
1.36
William Hil
1.36
BetVictor
1.35
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
9.3%
@ 7.68-2.8%
Under 2.5
90.7%
@ 1.05+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.00
William Hil
8.00
Superbet
7.90
Betano
7.40
Under
Betano
1.08
William Hil
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.05
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Uta Arad over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
48.3%
@ 2.01+2.1%
Under
51.7%
@ 1.73-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.07
Pinnacle
2.04
Superbet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.01
1xBet
2.01
Under
Pinnacle
1.77
10Bet
1.77
Unibet
1.73
Superbet
1.72
1xBet
1.70
Uta Arad over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.9%
@ 6.11-6.3%
Under
91.1%
@ 1.09+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.35
Marathonbet
6.35
Superbet
6.10
Betano
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
Uta Arad over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.2%
@ 17.00-4.4%
Under
98.8%
@ 1.01+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
20.00
10Bet
19.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Corvinul Hunedoara over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
41.1%
@ 2.39+2.3%
Under
58.9%
@ 1.51-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.52
Betano
2.42
1xBet
2.40
Superbet
2.40
Marathonbet
2.40
Under
10Bet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.52
Betano
1.52
Superbet
1.51
Unibet
1.50
Corvinul Hunedoara over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.9%
@ 8.22-0.4%
Under
89.1%
@ 1.05+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.90
Marathonbet
8.90
Superbet
8.20
Betano
7.60
10Bet
7.50
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.06
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
Corvinul Hunedoara over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.0%
@ 33.00-98.0%
Under
98.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
33.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Uta Arad
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.67
1.07
0.60
0.60
0.73
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
1.14
0.80
0.60
0.00
2.50
vs Similar (23)
0.91
0.52
1.20
0.60
0.69
0.46
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Corvinul Hunedoara) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Corvinul Hunedoara
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.43
0.80
0.27
0.67
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.60
0.40
0.62
0.12
0.57
0.71
vs Weaker (15)
0.87
0.47
1.00
0.43
0.75
0.50
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Uta Arad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
73.8%
Under 0.5
26.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
38.8%
Under 1.5
61.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.4%
Under 2.5
84.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Uta Arad over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
43.6%
Under
56.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uta Arad over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.2%
Under
84.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uta Arad over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.1%
Under
96.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Corvinul Hunedoara over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
45.5%
Under
54.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Corvinul Hunedoara over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.2%
Under
84.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Corvinul Hunedoara over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.9%
Under
96.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.4%
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
888Sport
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
97.9%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
888Sport
1.02
Superbet
1.02
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
96.5%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
888Sport
1.03
-
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
93.7%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.07
888Sport
1.06
Betfair
1.06
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
93.7%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
888Sport
1.08
Unibet
1.07
+6.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
91.1%
1.09
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
+6.3%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.7%
1.05
Betano
1.08
William Hil
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.05
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
90.7%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.1%
1.05
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.06
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
+0.4%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
88.0%
1.21
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.21
-
-
-
+12.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
87.7%
1.14
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.13
+5.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
83.6%
1.24
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Superbet
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
+8.7%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
80.9%
1.19
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Unibet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
-
+5.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
77.3%
1.34
Superbet
1.37
Betano
1.37
Pinnacle
1.34
888Sport
1.33
Bet365
1.33
+7.7%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
74.3%
1.52
Superbet
1.55
Betano
1.50
-
-
-
+14.0%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
74.0%
1.30
Betano
1.36
Superbet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
William Hil
1.30
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
74.0%
1.31
Superbet
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Unibet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 1.5 HT goals
71.0%
1.35
10Bet
1.40
Betano
1.36
Superbet
1.36
William Hil
1.36
BetVictor
1.35
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
70.3%
1.25
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.29
Pinnacle
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
-3.7%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Uta Arad
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ismet Sinani17%
Jayson Papeau14%
Marius Coman14%
Hakim Abdallah14%
Andrei Dorobanțu14%
Alexandru Benga0%
Marinos Tzionis0%
Peter Ouaneh0%
Andrei Gorcea0%
Sota Mino0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Andrea Padula0%
Dmytro Pospelov0%
Din Alomerovic0%
Roman Alin0%
Richard Odada0%
Denis Țăroi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dmytro Pospelov50%
Peter Ouaneh40%
Alexandru Benga33%
Jayson Papeau29%
Sota Mino29%
Roman Alin29%
Andrea Padula20%
Din Alomerovic20%
Richard Odada17%
Marinos Tzionis14%
Andrei Dorobanțu14%
Andrei Gorcea0%
Marius Coman0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Hakim Abdallah0%
Denis Țăroi0%
Ismet Sinani0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jayson Papeau29%
Roman Alin29%
Dmytro Pospelov25%
Alexandru Benga0%
Marinos Tzionis0%
Peter Ouaneh0%
Andrei Gorcea0%
Marius Coman0%
Sota Mino0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Andrea Padula0%
Hakim Abdallah0%
Din Alomerovic0%
Richard Odada0%
Andrei Dorobanțu0%
Denis Țăroi0%
Ismet Sinani0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Roman Alin43%
Marius Coman29%
Ismet Sinani17%
Hakim Abdallah14%
Andrei Dorobanțu14%
Alexandru Benga0%
Marinos Tzionis0%
Peter Ouaneh0%
Jayson Papeau0%
Andrei Gorcea0%
Sota Mino0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Andrea Padula0%
Dmytro Pospelov0%
Din Alomerovic0%
Richard Odada0%
Denis Țăroi0%
Corvinul Hunedoara
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mihajlo Ivančević25%
Mario Bratu20%
Antoniu Manolache17%
Gideon Goodlad17%
Andrej Fábry14%
Renato Espinosa14%
Nicolae Pîrvulescu14%
Sérgio Ribeiro14%
Florin Ilie0%
Denis Hrezdac0%
Alexandru Neacșa0%
Ion Cărăruș0%
Mo Abualnadi0%
Codruț Sandu0%
Emmanuel Yeboah0%
Flavius Iacob0%
Muhammed Hayatu0%
Ángel Gillard0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alexandru Neacșa43%
Mo Abualnadi25%
Florin Ilie17%
Denis Hrezdac17%
Nicolae Pîrvulescu14%
Sérgio Ribeiro14%
Emmanuel Yeboah14%
Ángel Gillard14%
Andrej Fábry0%
Renato Espinosa0%
Mario Bratu0%
Antoniu Manolache0%
Ion Cărăruș0%
Mihajlo Ivančević0%
Codruț Sandu0%
Flavius Iacob0%
Gideon Goodlad0%
Muhammed Hayatu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andrej Fábry14%
Nicolae Pîrvulescu14%
Ángel Gillard14%
Renato Espinosa0%
Mario Bratu0%
Florin Ilie0%
Denis Hrezdac0%
Alexandru Neacșa0%
Antoniu Manolache0%
Sérgio Ribeiro0%
Ion Cărăruș0%
Mo Abualnadi0%
Mihajlo Ivančević0%
Codruț Sandu0%
Emmanuel Yeboah0%
Flavius Iacob0%
Gideon Goodlad0%
Muhammed Hayatu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Andrej Fábry29%
Nicolae Pîrvulescu14%
Renato Espinosa0%
Mario Bratu0%
Florin Ilie0%
Denis Hrezdac0%
Alexandru Neacșa0%
Antoniu Manolache0%
Sérgio Ribeiro0%
Ion Cărăruș0%
Mo Abualnadi0%
Mihajlo Ivančević0%
Codruț Sandu0%
Emmanuel Yeboah0%
Flavius Iacob0%
Gideon Goodlad0%
Muhammed Hayatu0%
Ángel Gillard0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (25)
€37m
RAP (31)
€30m
FCS (27)
€26m
DB (26)
€20m
UC (26)
€17m
C1C (22)
€14m
AP (26)
€13m
FC (32)
€11m
FB (25)
€9m
UA (21)
€8m
OŢE (20)
€7m
CH (24)
€7m
CSI (25)
€6m
SOS (31)
€6m
PP (20)
€6m
FV (24)
€6m
Uta Arad's squad is €1m more valuable than Corvinul Hunedoara's (€8m vs €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (10)
€14m
RAP (13)
€14m
FCS (9)
€12m
C1C (6)
€8m
DB (10)
€8m
UC (8)
€7m
FC (10)
€4m
FB (8)
€4m
AP (11)
€4m
UA (8)
€4m
CH (12)
€3m
OŢE (8)
€2m
SOS (12)
€2m
CSI (12)
€2m
FV (11)
€2m
PP (5)
€1m
Uta Arad and Corvinul Hunedoara have a similar attack value (both €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (6)
€10m
DB (4)
€5m
UC (6)
€4m
FCS (5)
€4m
RAP (4)
€3m
AP (6)
€3m
FC (7)
€2m
C1C (5)
€2m
PP (7)
€2m
FB (5)
€2m
CSI (4)
€1m
SOS (7)
€1m
OŢE (2)
€1m
UA (3)
€1m
CH (2)
€1m
FV (2)
€1m
Uta Arad and Corvinul Hunedoara have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (9)
€13m
RAP (14)
€12m
FCS (13)
€11m
DB (12)
€7m
AP (9)
€6m
UC (12)
€5m
FC (15)
€4m
OŢE (10)
€4m
C1C (11)
€4m
UA (10)
€4m
FB (12)
€3m
CH (10)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
PP (8)
€3m
CSI (9)
€3m
SOS (12)
€2m
Uta Arad and Corvinul Hunedoara have a similar defence value (both €4m).
Romania: Liga I 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga I stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Dinamo Bucuresti
Rapid
Petrolul Ploiesti
Universitatea Craiova
FCSB
Farul Constanta
Oţelul
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Arges Pitesti
CFR 1907 Cluj
Universitatea Cluj
FC Botosani
FC Voluntari
Csikszereda