PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Valencia vs Atletico Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: 02/05/2026
Time: 14:15
Final 0-2
Valencia
Valencia
Vs
30%
29%
41%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Spain: La Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia win✗ Miss
30.0%
Avg Implied 52.7% · @ 1.78
Edge
-22.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.6%
Avg Implied 24.9% · @ 3.77
Edge
+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Atletico Madrid win✓ Hit
41.4%
Avg Implied 22.4% · @ 4.19
Edge
+19.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ValenciaValencia

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W12L10W32W01L20W23L01L11D21WA·LEV15/02A·VIL22/02H·OSA01/03H·ALA08/03A·OVI14/03A·SEV21/03H·CEL05/04A·ELC11/04A·MAL21/04H·GIR25/04
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.231.311.381.241.12
vs Stronger (3)0.332.670.002.000.503.00
vs Similar (23)1.171.221.421.330.911.09
vs Weaker (4)2.500.25--2.500.25
Clean sheet %30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Atletico Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-423L23L12L20W12L12L22D23L32W11DA·TOT18/03A·REA22/03H·BAR04/04A·BAR08/04A·SEV11/04H·BAR14/04H·REA18/04A·ELC22/04H·ATH25/04H·ARS29/04
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.931.372.271.271.601.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)2.171.752.671.331.672.17
vs Weaker (18)1.781.112.001.221.561.00
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.6%
Under 1.5
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.3%
@ 1.77-4.4%
Under 2.5
51.7%
@ 1.97+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.5%
Under 3.5
73.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.9%
No
46.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.9%
0-0
8.6%
0-2 ✓
7.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
2-2
5.2%
Valencia goals ↓
Atletico Madrid goals →
01234
08.6%9.3%7.5%3.6%1.3%
17.5%14%8.9%4.2%1.5%
25.2%7.3%5.2%2.5%0.9%
32.0%2.9%2.1%1.0%0.3%
40.6%0.9%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Valencia goals (down), columns = Atletico Madrid goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Barcelona
2.47
Real Madrid
2.26
Villarreal
1.89
Atletico Madrid
1.82
Real Betis
1.58
Celta Vigo
1.42
Getafe
1.34
Rayo Vallecano
1.32
Valencia
1.29
Real Sociedad
1.21
Espanyol
1.21
Athletic Club
1.18
Elche
1.13
Alaves
1.13
Sevilla
1.13
Levante
1.11
Mallorca
1.11
Osasuna
1.11
Girona
1.08
Oviedo
0.76
Valencia is 0.53 points worse than Atletico Madrid in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 1.82).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Barcelona
2.50
Real Madrid
2.03
Villarreal
1.89
Atletico Madrid
1.63
Real Sociedad
1.55
Real Betis
1.55
Celta Vigo
1.39
Elche
1.29
Levante
1.24
Mallorca
1.24
Valencia
1.21
Sevilla
1.21
Osasuna
1.16
Alaves
1.16
Espanyol
1.13
Athletic Club
1.13
Rayo Vallecano
1.08
Girona
1.03
Getafe
0.84
Oviedo
0.68
Valencia is 0.42 goals worse than Atletico Madrid in terms of goals scored per game (1.21 vs 1.63).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Real Madrid
0.92
Barcelona
0.95
Getafe
1.00
Atletico Madrid
1.16
Rayo Vallecano
1.16
Villarreal
1.21
Real Betis
1.26
Celta Vigo
1.26
Osasuna
1.32
Valencia
1.45
Espanyol
1.45
Girona
1.45
Alaves
1.47
Elche
1.50
Mallorca
1.50
Athletic Club
1.53
Oviedo
1.58
Sevilla
1.58
Levante
1.61
Real Sociedad
1.61
Valencia is 0.29 goals worse than Atletico Madrid in terms of goals conceded per game (1.45 vs 1.16).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Barcelona
69%
Real Madrid
59%
Elche
58%
Rayo Vallecano
53%
Atletico Madrid
53%
Real Sociedad
51%
Sevilla
51%
Girona
51%
Celta Vigo
50%
Real Betis
50%
Athletic Club
49%
Alaves
48%
Valencia
48%
Mallorca
47%
Osasuna
47%
Oviedo
46%
Villarreal
45%
Levante
43%
Espanyol
42%
Getafe
40%
Valencia is 5.7 percentage points worse than Atletico Madrid in terms of average possession (48% vs 53%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ValenciaValencia

For 5.4 · Against 3.5 · Total 8.9

🚩 Corners

1404447956317410254452381114641112995H·GIRA·MALA·ELCH·CELA·SEVA·OVIH·ALAH·OSAA·VILA·LEV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.7

🟨 Cards

9022211131223183342244224359666H·GIRA·MALA·ELCH·CELA·SEVA·OVIH·ALAH·OSAA·VILA·LEV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 12.6 · Total 25.8

⚠️ Fouls

3502281291815142161311129171413167101130213335192326272321H·GIRA·MALA·ELCH·CELA·SEVA·OVIH·ALAH·OSAA·VILA·LEV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid

For 3.5 · Against 6.1 · Total 9.6

🚩 Corners

160613431356246617191477771611612810514H·ARSH·ATHA·ELCH·REAH·BARA·SEVA·BARH·BARA·REAA·TOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.7

🟨 Cards

10013223244337342343415528610677H·ARSA·ELCH·REAH·BARA·SEVA·BARH·BARA·REAA·TOTH·GET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 10.1 · Total 22.7

⚠️ Fouls

34071181212111717158127176151115281618202334231923261724H·ARSH·ATHA·ELCH·REAH·BARA·SEVA·BARH·BARA·REAA·TOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ValenciaValencia

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.89.79.84.65.34.124.425.623.4
vs Stronger (5)11.013.010.52.62.02.821.623.021.2
vs Similar (41)9.59.69.44.95.44.224.725.723.6
vs Weaker (4)11.7-11.74.8-4.825.0-25.0
% over line45%39%50%68%74%63%65%78%54%
% under line55%61%50%32%26%37%35%22%46%
This opponent (Atletico Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.710.610.74.03.94.020.620.221.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (19)9.99.210.64.84.94.821.522.920.2
vs Weaker (31)11.111.410.83.43.43.520.118.621.6
% over line60%56%64%54%52%56%44%36%52%
% under line40%44%36%46%48%44%56%64%48%
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Rayo Vallecano
11.1
Real Madrid
10.9
Real Sociedad
10.7
Barcelona
10.7
Atletico Madrid
10.7
Alaves
10.3
Mallorca
10.2
Levante
10.0
Valencia
9.7
Espanyol
9.7
Girona
9.4
Athletic Club
9.4
Sevilla
9.4
Oviedo
9.3
Villarreal
9.0
Real Betis
8.9
Osasuna
8.8
Elche
8.8
Getafe
8.7
Celta Vigo
8.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Rayo Vallecano
5.4
Getafe
5.3
Sevilla
5.1
Alaves
5.0
Levante
5.0
Real Sociedad
4.9
Celta Vigo
4.9
Osasuna
4.7
Real Betis
4.7
Real Madrid
4.7
Valencia
4.7
Espanyol
4.6
Barcelona
4.5
Elche
4.5
Athletic Club
4.4
Villarreal
4.3
Mallorca
4.3
Girona
4.3
Atletico Madrid
4.2
Oviedo
4.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Getafe
29.4
Alaves
29.3
Elche
27.7
Sevilla
27.0
Real Sociedad
26.6
Athletic Club
25.7
Oviedo
25.5
Espanyol
25.5
Osasuna
25.1
Levante
25.1
Rayo Vallecano
24.8
Girona
24.7
Villarreal
24.6
Celta Vigo
24.4
Real Betis
24.3
Valencia
24.3
Mallorca
24.2
Real Madrid
23.1
Barcelona
21.9
Atletico Madrid
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
54.3%
Under 9.5
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
73.5%
Under 3.5
26.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
70.9%
Under 21.5
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ValenciaValencia

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L00D01L01L20W10W00D00D00DA·LEV15/02A·VIL22/02H·OSA01/03H·ALA08/03A·OVI14/03A·SEV21/03H·CEL05/04A·ELC11/04A·MAL21/04H·GIR25/04
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.500.230.310.350.65
vs Stronger (3)0.001.330.000.000.002.00
vs Similar (23)0.300.430.250.330.360.55
vs Weaker (4)0.500.25--0.500.25
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Atletico Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W11D10W12L12L12L22D01L01LA·TOT18/03A·REA22/03H·BAR04/04A·BAR08/04A·SEV11/04H·BAR14/04H·REA18/04A·ELC22/04H·ATH25/04H·ARS29/04
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.771.130.870.870.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.330.831.831.000.830.67
vs Weaker (18)0.780.720.670.780.890.67
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Valencia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atletico Madrid over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atletico Madrid over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atletico Madrid over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ValenciaValencia

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D10W31W00D00D13L01L11D21WA·LEV15/02A·VIL22/02H·OSA01/03H·ALA08/03A·OVI14/03A·SEV21/03H·CEL05/04A·ELC11/04A·MAL21/04H·GIR25/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.731.081.080.880.47
vs Stronger (3)0.331.330.002.000.501.00
vs Similar (23)0.870.781.171.000.550.55
vs Weaker (4)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Atletico Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D13L01L10W00D00D10W01L31W10WA·TOT18/03A·REA22/03H·BAR04/04A·BAR08/04A·SEV11/04H·BAR14/04H·REA18/04A·ELC22/04H·ATH25/04H·ARS29/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.601.130.400.730.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.830.920.830.330.831.50
vs Weaker (18)1.000.391.330.440.670.33
Clean sheet %57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Valencia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atletico Madrid over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atletico Madrid over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atletico Madrid over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards87.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls83.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.574.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards73.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls70.9%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Valencia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rubén Iranzo33%
Umar Sadiq27%
Hugo Duro25%
Largie Ramazani19%
Guido Rodríguez18%
Mouctar Diakhaby11%
Diego López11%
Lucas Beltrán10%
Eray Cömert10%
Arnaut Danjuma9%
Javier Guerra8%
Luis Rioja7%
Dani Raba7%
Pepelu6%
Baptiste Santamaria5%
Jesús Vázquez4%
José Luis Gayà3%
Thierry Correia0%
Renzo Saravia0%
André Almeida0%
Dimitri Foulquier0%
Unai Núñez0%
Stole Dimitrievski0%
Filip Ugrinić0%
José Copete0%
Julen Agirrezabala0%
César Tárrega0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Renzo Saravia40%
Mouctar Diakhaby33%
Rubén Iranzo33%
César Tárrega26%
José Copete25%
Guido Rodríguez24%
Unai Núñez23%
Thierry Correia20%
Eray Cömert20%
José Luis Gayà19%
Baptiste Santamaria14%
Umar Sadiq14%
Filip Ugrinić13%
Diego López13%
Largie Ramazani13%
Hugo Duro12%
Pepelu12%
Julen Agirrezabala11%
Javier Guerra8%
Jesús Vázquez7%
Dimitri Foulquier5%
Stole Dimitrievski4%
Lucas Beltrán3%
Luis Rioja2%
Arnaut Danjuma0%
Dani Raba0%
André Almeida0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Javier Guerra15%
Luis Rioja15%
André Almeida12%
Filip Ugrinić10%
Umar Sadiq9%
Thierry Correia8%
Dani Raba7%
Lucas Beltrán7%
Largie Ramazani6%
José Luis Gayà6%
Arnaut Danjuma6%
Eray Cömert5%
Baptiste Santamaria5%
Pepelu3%
Diego López3%
Mouctar Diakhaby0%
Renzo Saravia0%
Guido Rodríguez0%
Dimitri Foulquier0%
Hugo Duro0%
Unai Núñez0%
Stole Dimitrievski0%
Jesús Vázquez0%
José Copete0%
Julen Agirrezabala0%
Rubén Iranzo0%
César Tárrega0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Largie Ramazani16%
Lucas Beltrán10%
Arnaut Danjuma9%
Unai Núñez8%
Dani Raba7%
Javier Guerra5%
Hugo Duro5%
Eray Cömert5%
Umar Sadiq5%
Filip Ugrinić3%
Pepelu3%
Diego López3%
Mouctar Diakhaby0%
José Luis Gayà0%
Thierry Correia0%
Renzo Saravia0%
Guido Rodríguez0%
Baptiste Santamaria0%
André Almeida0%
Luis Rioja0%
Dimitri Foulquier0%
Stole Dimitrievski0%
Jesús Vázquez0%
José Copete0%
Julen Agirrezabala0%
Rubén Iranzo0%
César Tárrega0%
Atletico Madrid
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ademola Lookman38%
Julián Álvarez33%
Alexander Sørloth26%
Javier Boñar25%
Antoine Griezmann22%
Giuliano Simeone13%
Giacomo Raspadori13%
Conor Gallagher12%
Thiago Almada10%
Nicolás González8%
Robin Le Normand7%
Marcos Llorente6%
Dávid Hancko6%
Nahuel Molina4%
Alex Baena4%
José María Giménez4%
Koke4%
Johnny Cardoso3%
Marc Pubill3%
Pablo Barrios3%
Jan Oblak0%
Clément Lenglet0%
Juan Musso0%
Javi Galán0%
Matteo Ruggeri0%
Obed Vargas0%
Rodrigo Mendoza0%
Julio Díaz0%
Javi Morcillo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Julio Díaz50%
Javi Morcillo40%
Clément Lenglet29%
Alex Baena20%
Marc Pubill20%
Rodrigo Mendoza20%
Marcos Llorente19%
Robin Le Normand18%
Johnny Cardoso17%
Juan Musso17%
José María Giménez16%
Obed Vargas15%
Matteo Ruggeri15%
Koke15%
Nahuel Molina11%
Nicolás González11%
Thiago Almada10%
Giuliano Simeone10%
Alexander Sørloth9%
Ademola Lookman8%
Conor Gallagher8%
Giacomo Raspadori7%
Dávid Hancko6%
Pablo Barrios6%
Julián Álvarez4%
Antoine Griezmann2%
Jan Oblak0%
Javi Galán0%
Javier Boñar0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Julio Díaz25%
Julián Álvarez17%
Antoine Griezmann15%
Javi Galán14%
Giuliano Simeone13%
Giacomo Raspadori13%
Matteo Ruggeri13%
Ademola Lookman12%
Marcos Llorente10%
Rodrigo Mendoza10%
Nahuel Molina9%
Pablo Barrios9%
Obed Vargas8%
Alex Baena7%
Dávid Hancko6%
Koke5%
Thiago Almada5%
Clément Lenglet4%
José María Giménez4%
Conor Gallagher4%
Marc Pubill3%
Jan Oblak2%
Robin Le Normand2%
Alexander Sørloth2%
Juan Musso0%
Nicolás González0%
Johnny Cardoso0%
Javier Boñar0%
Javi Morcillo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Julián Álvarez31%
Ademola Lookman21%
Nicolás González19%
Alexander Sørloth19%
Antoine Griezmann16%
Conor Gallagher8%
Giuliano Simeone8%
José María Giménez4%
Pablo Barrios3%
Thiago Almada3%
Nahuel Molina2%
Marcos Llorente2%
Jan Oblak0%
Koke0%
Clément Lenglet0%
Juan Musso0%
Dávid Hancko0%
Giacomo Raspadori0%
Robin Le Normand0%
Javi Galán0%
Johnny Cardoso0%
Matteo Ruggeri0%
Alex Baena0%
Marc Pubill0%
Obed Vargas0%
Javier Boñar0%
Rodrigo Mendoza0%
Julio Díaz0%
Javi Morcillo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (27)
€1456m
BAR (30)
€1282m
AM (25)
€653m
VIL (24)
€325m
RS (24)
€247m
AC (29)
€241m
RB (25)
€235m
CV (24)
€163m
SEV (25)
€134m
VAL (27)
€125m
ESP (24)
€119m
GIR (28)
€114m
GET (24)
€90m
LEV (26)
€89m
ELC (27)
€79m
RV (23)
€76m
OSA (22)
€71m
ALA (25)
€68m
MAL (26)
€48m
OVI (23)
€30m
Valencia's squad is €528m less valuable than Atletico Madrid's (€125m vs €653m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (10)
€842m
BAR (10)
€590m
AM (9)
€290m
RB (10)
€131m
VIL (8)
€124m
RS (10)
€110m
AC (10)
€106m
GIR (12)
€64m
CV (9)
€57m
LEV (10)
€51m
SEV (8)
€45m
VAL (10)
€40m
ESP (9)
€39m
GET (5)
€36m
ELC (13)
€34m
RV (10)
€30m
OSA (8)
€25m
ALA (8)
€24m
MAL (11)
€23m
OVI (11)
€15m
Valencia's attack is €250m less valuable than Atletico Madrid's (€40m vs €290m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (8)
€324m
RM (5)
€238m
AM (6)
€155m
RS (5)
€58m
AC (7)
€57m
VIL (4)
€52m
VAL (5)
€46m
CV (3)
€35m
RB (5)
€33m
ESP (5)
€31m
GIR (7)
€28m
GET (6)
€28m
SEV (5)
€23m
ALA (8)
€22m
LEV (5)
€16m
OSA (4)
€12m
ELC (5)
€12m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€9m
OVI (4)
€6m
Valencia's midfield is €109m less valuable than Atletico Madrid's (€46m vs €155m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (12)
€377m
BAR (12)
€368m
AM (10)
€208m
VIL (12)
€148m
RS (9)
€79m
AC (12)
€77m
CV (12)
€71m
RB (10)
€70m
SEV (12)
€65m
ESP (10)
€48m
VAL (12)
€39m
RV (9)
€36m
OSA (10)
€33m
ELC (9)
€33m
GET (13)
€26m
GIR (9)
€22m
LEV (11)
€22m
ALA (9)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
OVI (8)
€10m
Valencia's defence is €168m less valuable than Atletico Madrid's (€39m vs €208m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
VAL wins
0
Draws
7
AM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Valencia vs Atletico Madrid · H/A from VAL
DateH/AGameScore
13/12/25AAtletico Madrid Vs VAL2-1
22/02/25HVAL Vs Atletico Madrid0-3
15/09/24AAtletico Madrid Vs VAL3-0
28/01/24AAtletico Madrid Vs VAL2-0
16/09/23HVAL Vs Atletico Madrid3-0
18/03/23AAtletico Madrid Vs VAL3-0
29/08/22HVAL Vs Atletico Madrid0-1
22/01/22AAtletico Madrid Vs VAL3-2

ValenciaValencia

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/04/26HVAL Vs Girona2-1
21/04/26AMallorca Vs VAL1-1
11/04/26AElche Vs VAL1-0
05/04/26HVAL Vs Celta Vigo2-3
21/03/26ASevilla Vs VAL0-2
14/03/26AOviedo Vs VAL1-0
08/03/26HVAL Vs Alaves3-2
01/03/26HVAL Vs Osasuna1-0
22/02/26AVillarreal Vs VAL2-1
15/02/26ALevante Vs VAL0-2

Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/04/26HAM Vs Arsenal1-1
25/04/26HAM Vs Athletic Club3-2
22/04/26AElche Vs AM3-2
18/04/26HAM Vs Real Sociedad2-2
14/04/26HAM Vs Barcelona1-2
11/04/26ASevilla Vs AM2-1
08/04/26ABarcelona Vs AM0-2
04/04/26HAM Vs Barcelona1-2
22/03/26AReal Madrid Vs AM3-2
18/03/26ATottenham Vs AM3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Valencia
Spain: La Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDW1.42
HomeLWWLW1.70
AwayLLWLD1.19
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%48%30%
AVG goals2.502.432.56
Over 1.5 %78%78%78%
Over 2.5 %40%39%41%
Over 3.5 %18%13%22%
Scored1.281.391.19
Conceded1.221.041.37
BTTS54%57%52%
Clean Sheet28%30%26%
Corners9.809.749.85
Cards4.715.264.23
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Spain: La Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWD1.84
HomeLLDWD2.36
AwayLLWLL1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%76%36%
AVG goals3.363.643.08
Over 1.5 %82%84%80%
Over 2.5 %66%76%56%
Over 3.5 %44%48%40%
Scored2.022.521.52
Conceded1.341.121.56
BTTS60%68%52%
Clean Sheet30%28%32%
Corners10.6610.6010.72
Cards4.214.084.35

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BarcelonaBarcelona3894
82%
2.5
9536+59
3.4
89%
74%
42%
11.3
68%
4.5
51%
21.4
50%
1282
5903243682.50.9
69%
2Real MadridReal Madrid3886
71%
2.3
7735+42
2.9
87%
55%
26%
9.9
55%
4.8
54%
24.4
68%
1456
8422383772.00.9
59%
3VillarrealVillarreal3872
58%
1.9
7246+26
3.1
92%
58%
37%
9.1
45%
4.3
58%
24.1
61%
325
124521481.91.2
45%
4Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid3869
55%
1.8
6244+18
2.8
74%
50%
26%
10.8
61%
4.4
59%
20.9
39%
653
2901552081.61.2
53%
5Real BetisReal Betis3860
39%
1.6
5948+11
2.8
89%
53%
26%
9.6
50%
4.6
65%
23.7
71%
235
13133701.61.3
50%
6Celta VigoCelta Vigo3854
37%
1.4
5348+5
2.7
79%
45%
24%
8.4
29%
4.4
58%
24.1
63%
163
5735711.41.3
50%
7GetafeGetafe3851
39%
1.3
3238-6
1.8
58%
26%
5%
8.9
37%
5.6
79%
29.8
100%
90
3628260.81.0
40%
8Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano3850
32%
1.3
4144-3
2.2
71%
37%
16%
10.9
66%
5.3
74%
24.5
76%
76
309361.11.2
53%
9ValenciaValencia3849
34%
1.3
4655-9
2.7
79%
42%
24%
9.9
45%
4.6
68%
24.2
66%
125
4046391.21.4
48%
10Real SociedadReal Sociedad3846
29%
1.2
5961-2
3.2
82%
58%
42%
10.1
53%
5.0
63%
26.6
76%
247
11058791.61.6
51%
11EspanyolEspanyol3846
32%
1.2
4355-12
2.6
76%
50%
24%
9.5
45%
5.2
70%
26.5
76%
119
3931481.11.4
42%
12Athletic ClubAthletic Club3845
34%
1.2
4358-15
2.7
74%
47%
21%
9.6
50%
4.6
67%
24.3
66%
241
10657771.11.5
49%
13ElcheElche3843
26%
1.1
4957-8
2.8
79%
58%
39%
8.3
34%
4.6
71%
28.3
92%
79
3412331.31.5
58%
14AlavesAlaves3843
29%
1.1
4456-12
2.6
71%
50%
24%
10.1
53%
4.9
74%
28.4
95%
68
2422221.21.5
48%
15SevillaSevilla3843
32%
1.1
4660-14
2.8
79%
55%
26%
9.3
50%
5.2
68%
27.6
82%
134
4523651.21.6
51%
16OsasunaOsasuna3842
29%
1.1
4450-6
2.5
68%
50%
26%
8.6
32%
5.1
79%
25.1
82%
71
2512331.21.3
47%
17MallorcaMallorca3842
29%
1.1
4757-10
2.7
84%
63%
21%
10.0
58%
4.7
62%
24.6
74%
48
239161.21.5
47%
18LevanteLevante3842
29%
1.1
4761-14
2.8
87%
45%
29%
10.2
47%
4.9
71%
25.3
76%
89
5116221.21.6
43%
19GironaGirona3841
24%
1.1
3955-16
2.5
79%
45%
16%
9.4
39%
4.4
50%
25.0
71%
114
6428221.01.4
51%
20OviedoOviedo3829
16%
0.8
2660-34
2.3
66%
39%
16%
9.5
47%
4.2
58%
24.1
63%
30
156100.71.6
46%
Spain: La Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: La Liga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches