This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Barcelona
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.3
Avg scored
2.9
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
3.10
1.20
3.21
0.86
3.00
1.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
3.50
1.75
2.50
1.50
4.50
2.00
vs Weaker (26)
3.04
1.12
3.33
0.75
2.79
1.43
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.8%
Under 1.5
18.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.7%
Under 2.5
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
36.3%
Under 3.5
63.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.3%
No
39.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.8%
0-1
7.6%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
5.9%
1-3
5.8%
0-0
5.8%
Valencia goals ↓
Barcelona goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.8%
7.6%
7.8%
4.7%
2.2%
1
4.8%
12%
9.6%
5.8%
2.6%
2
3.6%
6.5%
5.9%
3.6%
1.6%
3
1.5%
2.7%
2.4%
1.5%
0.7%
4
0.5%
0.8%
0.7%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Valencia goals (down), columns = Barcelona goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Real Sociedad
2.57
Celta Vigo
2.50
Valencia
2.40
Osasuna
2.40
Barcelona
2.33
Atletico Madrid
2.29
Almeria
2.25
Elche
2.25
Rayo Vallecano
2.25
Real Betis
2.25
Pontevedra
2.25
Ourense CF
2.25
Sevilla
2.00
Las Palmas
2.00
Getafe
2.00
Huesca
2.00
Alaves
2.00
Leganes
2.00
Zaragoza
2.00
Girona
2.00
Eldense
2.00
Racing Santander
2.00
Castellón
2.00
Racing Ferrol
2.00
FC Cartagena
2.00
Barbastro
2.00
Zamora
2.00
Marbella
2.00
Real Madrid
1.83
Villarreal
1.50
Gimnastic
1.50
Cadiz
1.50
Burgos
1.50
Cultural Leonesa
1.50
Espanyol
1.50
Sporting Gijon
1.50
FC Andorra
1.50
AD Ceuta FC
1.50
Villamuriel
1.50
Astur
1.50
Europa Fc
1.50
Sant Andreu
1.50
Salamanca UDS
1.50
Conquense
1.50
UD San Pedro
1.50
Vic
1.50
Chiclana
1.50
Manises
1.50
Parla Escuela
1.50
Yeclano
1.50
Unionistas de Salamanca
1.50
Ejea
1.50
Barakaldo
1.50
Valladolid
1.33
Tenerife
1.33
Granada CF
1.33
Deportiva Minera
1.33
Malaga
1.00
Eibar
1.00
Cordoba
1.00
Oviedo
1.00
UD Logroñés
1.00
Escobedo
1.00
Real Ávila
1.00
Estepona
1.00
Orihuela
1.00
Langreo
1.00
Selaya
1.00
Baztán
1.00
Playas Sotavento
1.00
Gimnástica Segoviana
1.00
Ponferradina
0.67
Athletic Club
0.50
Olot
0.50
San Tirso
0.50
Gévora
0.50
Ontiñena
0.50
Cacereño
0.50
Levante
0.00
Alcorcon
0.00
Mallorca
0.00
Albacete
0.00
Mirandes
0.00
Numancia
0.00
Ibiza
0.00
Amorebieta
0.00
Deportivo La Coruna
0.00
Compostela
0.00
Poblense
0.00
Real Jaén
0.00
L'Hospitalet
0.00
Lanzarote
0.00
Las Rozas
0.00
Ciudad de Lucena
0.00
Beasain
0.00
Móstoles
0.00
Badalona
0.00
Cortes
0.00
CD Coria
0.00
SS Reyes
0.00
Águilas
0.00
Extremadura 1924
0.00
Atlético Paso
0.00
Don Benito
0.00
Llanera
0.00
Alfaro
0.00
Cuarte
0.00
Xerez
0.00
Jove Español
0.00
Utebo
0.00
Sonseca
0.00
Ceuta 6 de Junio
0.00
Promesas EDF
0.00
Aurrerá Vitoria
0.00
Dolorense
0.00
Sporting Mahón
0.00
Melilla CD
0.00
Guijuelo
0.00
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
0.00
Bergantiños
0.00
Lleida Esportiu
0.00
Laredo
0.00
Juventud Torremolinos
0.00
Tudelano
0.00
Hércules
0.00
Valencia is 0.07 points better than Barcelona in terms of average points per game (2.40 vs 2.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Celta Vigo
4.25
Barcelona
3.50
Zaragoza
3.50
Las Palmas
3.00
Villarreal
3.00
Rayo Vallecano
3.00
Lanzarote
3.00
Yeclano
3.00
Unionistas de Salamanca
3.00
Real Betis
2.75
Atletico Madrid
2.71
Real Madrid
2.67
Valladolid
2.67
Osasuna
2.60
Almeria
2.50
Burgos
2.50
UD San Pedro
2.50
Real Sociedad
2.43
Sevilla
2.33
Racing Santander
2.33
Leganes
2.20
Elche
2.00
Girona
2.00
Espanyol
2.00
Racing Ferrol
2.00
Móstoles
2.00
Barbastro
2.00
Vic
2.00
Chiclana
2.00
Pontevedra
2.00
Barakaldo
2.00
Deportiva Minera
2.00
Ceuta 6 de Junio
2.00
Valencia
1.60
Cadiz
1.50
Cultural Leonesa
1.50
AD Ceuta FC
1.50
Astur
1.50
Europa Fc
1.50
Sant Andreu
1.50
Estepona
1.50
Manises
1.50
Ourense CF
1.50
Granada CF
1.33
Malaga
1.00
Getafe
1.00
Levante
1.00
Cordoba
1.00
Huesca
1.00
Alaves
1.00
Gimnastic
1.00
Albacete
1.00
Mirandes
1.00
Tenerife
1.00
Athletic Club
1.00
FC Andorra
1.00
Castellón
1.00
FC Cartagena
1.00
Poblense
1.00
L'Hospitalet
1.00
Olot
1.00
Ciudad de Lucena
1.00
SS Reyes
1.00
Real Ávila
1.00
Don Benito
1.00
Cuarte
1.00
Gévora
1.00
Zamora
1.00
Ejea
1.00
Cacereño
1.00
Marbella
1.00
Langreo
1.00
Selaya
1.00
Baztán
1.00
Dolorense
1.00
Playas Sotavento
1.00
Guijuelo
1.00
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
1.00
Bergantiños
1.00
Lleida Esportiu
1.00
Juventud Torremolinos
1.00
Gimnástica Segoviana
1.00
Eldense
0.67
Sporting Gijon
0.50
Villamuriel
0.50
Salamanca UDS
0.50
Conquense
0.50
San Tirso
0.50
Ontiñena
0.50
Parla Escuela
0.50
Orihuela
0.50
Ponferradina
0.33
Eibar
0.00
Alcorcon
0.00
Mallorca
0.00
Numancia
0.00
Oviedo
0.00
Ibiza
0.00
Amorebieta
0.00
Deportivo La Coruna
0.00
Compostela
0.00
Real Jaén
0.00
Las Rozas
0.00
Beasain
0.00
Badalona
0.00
UD Logroñés
0.00
Escobedo
0.00
Cortes
0.00
CD Coria
0.00
Águilas
0.00
Extremadura 1924
0.00
Atlético Paso
0.00
Llanera
0.00
Alfaro
0.00
Xerez
0.00
Jove Español
0.00
Utebo
0.00
Sonseca
0.00
Promesas EDF
0.00
Aurrerá Vitoria
0.00
Sporting Mahón
0.00
Melilla CD
0.00
Laredo
0.00
Tudelano
0.00
Hércules
0.00
Valencia is 1.90 goals worse than Barcelona in terms of goals scored per game (1.60 vs 3.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Eibar
0.00
Oviedo
0.00
Girona
0.00
UD Logroñés
0.00
Escobedo
0.00
Huesca
0.33
Alaves
0.50
Cadiz
0.50
Sporting Gijon
0.50
Castellón
0.50
Conquense
0.50
Pontevedra
0.50
Parla Escuela
0.50
Yeclano
0.50
Zamora
0.50
Orihuela
0.50
Tenerife
0.67
Eldense
0.67
FC Cartagena
0.67
Marbella
0.67
Real Sociedad
0.71
Atletico Madrid
0.86
Malaga
1.00
Getafe
1.00
Villarreal
1.00
Alcorcon
1.00
Cordoba
1.00
Gimnastic
1.00
Numancia
1.00
Ponferradina
1.00
Elche
1.00
Ibiza
1.00
Cultural Leonesa
1.00
Espanyol
1.00
Deportivo La Coruna
1.00
Granada CF
1.00
FC Andorra
1.00
Compostela
1.00
Beasain
1.00
Águilas
1.00
Atlético Paso
1.00
Vic
1.00
Real Ávila
1.00
Xerez
1.00
Langreo
1.00
Selaya
1.00
Sonseca
1.00
Baztán
1.00
Aurrerá Vitoria
1.00
Playas Sotavento
1.00
Gimnástica Segoviana
1.00
Hércules
1.00
Barcelona
1.17
Valencia
1.20
Celta Vigo
1.25
Ourense CF
1.25
Barbastro
1.33
Osasuna
1.40
Almeria
1.50
Zaragoza
1.50
Burgos
1.50
Rayo Vallecano
1.50
Athletic Club
1.50
AD Ceuta FC
1.50
Europa Fc
1.50
Estepona
1.50
Unionistas de Salamanca
1.50
Ejea
1.50
Barakaldo
1.50
Sevilla
1.67
Las Palmas
1.67
Real Madrid
1.67
Racing Ferrol
1.67
Real Betis
1.75
Leganes
1.80
Valladolid
2.00
Albacete
2.00
Mirandes
2.00
Racing Santander
2.00
Astur
2.00
Olot
2.00
Ciudad de Lucena
2.00
Badalona
2.00
Sant Andreu
2.00
Cortes
2.00
SS Reyes
2.00
Don Benito
2.00
Llanera
2.00
Alfaro
2.00
Manises
2.00
Cacereño
2.00
Deportiva Minera
2.00
Promesas EDF
2.00
Guijuelo
2.00
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
2.00
Bergantiños
2.00
Juventud Torremolinos
2.00
Villamuriel
2.50
San Tirso
2.50
Chiclana
2.50
Mallorca
3.00
Real Jaén
3.00
Las Rozas
3.00
CD Coria
3.00
Cuarte
3.00
Dolorense
3.00
Lleida Esportiu
3.00
Salamanca UDS
3.50
UD San Pedro
3.50
Gévora
3.50
Levante
4.00
Amorebieta
4.00
Lanzarote
4.00
Extremadura 1924
4.00
Ontiñena
4.00
Utebo
4.00
Ceuta 6 de Junio
4.00
Sporting Mahón
4.00
Melilla CD
4.00
L'Hospitalet
5.00
Móstoles
5.00
Jove Español
5.00
Tudelano
5.00
Poblense
6.00
Laredo
6.00
Valencia is 0.03 goals worse than Barcelona in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 1.17).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Barcelona
58%
Real Madrid
50%
Atletico Madrid
43%
Real Sociedad
42%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Valencia
For 5.0 · Against 5.4 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 12.3 · Total 23.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Barcelona
For 7.3 · Against 2.9 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.6 · Against 12.1 · Total 21.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Valencia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
9.5
8.4
4.1
5.1
3.2
24.5
24.7
24.3
vs Stronger (8)
10.6
8.0
13.2
3.5
5.0
2.0
21.8
24.8
18.8
vs Similar (37)
8.8
9.8
7.5
4.5
5.1
3.8
24.7
24.7
24.7
vs Weaker (5)
6.5
-
6.5
2.0
-
2.0
32.5
-
32.5
% over line
39%
43%
35%
50%
65%
37%
67%
74%
61%
% under line
61%
57%
65%
50%
35%
63%
33%
26%
39%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Barcelona
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.6
10.0
4.4
3.8
4.9
22.5
21.9
23.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
11.1
12.0
10.6
5.5
5.0
5.8
22.6
20.7
23.8
vs Weaker (42)
10.1
10.4
9.9
4.2
3.6
4.7
22.4
22.1
22.8
% over line
67%
68%
65%
60%
43%
74%
54%
45%
62%
% under line
33%
32%
35%
40%
57%
26%
46%
55%
38%
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Deportivo La Coruna
10.6
Barcelona
10.4
Real Madrid
10.3
Oviedo
10.2
Racing Santander
10.1
Real Sociedad
9.9
Numancia
9.7
Burgos
9.7
Ibiza
9.7
Levante
9.7
Huesca
9.7
Eibar
9.6
Cordoba
9.6
Eldense
9.6
Granada CF
9.5
Alaves
9.5
Rayo Vallecano
9.5
Cultural Leonesa
9.5
Almeria
9.4
Sevilla
9.4
Villarreal
9.4
Las Palmas
9.4
Athletic Club
9.4
Espanyol
9.3
Castellón
9.3
Ponferradina
9.3
Valladolid
9.3
Mirandes
9.3
Zaragoza
9.3
Osasuna
9.2
Albacete
9.2
Real Betis
9.2
Tenerife
9.1
Leganes
9.1
Malaga
9.1
Sporting Gijon
9.0
Gimnastic
9.0
Valencia
9.0
Alcorcon
9.0
Mallorca
8.9
Racing Ferrol
8.9
FC Cartagena
8.9
Cadiz
8.9
FC Andorra
8.8
Amorebieta
8.8
Atletico Madrid
8.7
Girona
8.6
Celta Vigo
8.6
Elche
8.5
Getafe
7.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Getafe
6.4
Racing Santander
6.1
Villarreal
5.9
Gimnastic
5.9
Zaragoza
5.8
Cultural Leonesa
5.6
Cadiz
5.6
Malaga
5.6
Elche
5.6
Numancia
5.6
Valladolid
5.5
Rayo Vallecano
5.4
Alaves
5.3
Las Palmas
5.3
Real Sociedad
5.3
Real Betis
5.2
Sevilla
5.2
Mirandes
5.2
Granada CF
5.2
Sporting Gijon
5.2
Girona
5.1
Almeria
5.1
Espanyol
5.1
Cordoba
5.1
Tenerife
5.0
Oviedo
5.0
Osasuna
4.9
Alcorcon
4.9
Ponferradina
4.8
FC Andorra
4.8
Huesca
4.8
Albacete
4.7
Celta Vigo
4.7
Leganes
4.7
Eibar
4.7
Valencia
4.7
Burgos
4.7
Barcelona
4.7
Athletic Club
4.6
Eldense
4.5
Levante
4.5
Amorebieta
4.4
Atletico Madrid
4.4
Racing Ferrol
4.4
Deportivo La Coruna
4.4
Mallorca
4.3
Castellón
4.3
FC Cartagena
4.3
Ibiza
4.2
Real Madrid
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Numancia
30.6
Gimnastic
30.1
Cultural Leonesa
29.8
Getafe
29.7
Cadiz
29.6
Cordoba
29.4
Racing Santander
29.0
Malaga
28.4
Ibiza
28.1
Elche
27.9
Espanyol
27.5
Oviedo
27.1
Alaves
27.0
Rayo Vallecano
27.0
Zaragoza
26.9
Tenerife
26.9
Granada CF
26.6
Almeria
26.4
Castellón
26.3
Real Betis
26.2
Leganes
26.1
Eldense
26.0
Racing Ferrol
25.8
Valladolid
25.8
Levante
25.4
Real Sociedad
25.4
Mirandes
25.4
Athletic Club
25.2
Villarreal
25.2
Mallorca
25.1
FC Andorra
25.0
Celta Vigo
25.0
Las Palmas
24.8
Valencia
24.7
Deportivo La Coruna
24.7
Alcorcon
24.6
Osasuna
24.6
Ponferradina
24.4
Amorebieta
24.3
Sporting Gijon
23.9
Girona
23.9
Albacete
23.8
Sevilla
23.7
FC Cartagena
23.7
Huesca
23.3
Eibar
23.2
Real Madrid
22.9
Atletico Madrid
22.8
Burgos
22.7
Barcelona
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
56.8%
Under 9.5
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
70.1%
Under 3.5
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
60.1%
Under 21.5
39.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Valencia or Draw✗ Miss
49.9%
Avg Implied -
25%
25%
50%
covers Valencia + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Valencia or Barcelona✓ Hit
74.9%
Avg Implied -
25%
25%
50%
covers Valencia + Barcelona
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Barcelona✓ Hit
75.2%
Avg Implied -
25%
25%
50%
covers Draw + Barcelona
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Valencia over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
70.8%
Under
29.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
34.8%
Under
65.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
12.7%
Under
87.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.6%
Under
96.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barcelona over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
83.7%
Under
16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barcelona over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
54.2%
Under
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barcelona over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
27.4%
Under
72.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barcelona over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
11.1%
Under
88.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Valencia, so a minus line means Valencia give that many goals of a start and Barcelona receive them. At -1, Valencia must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Valencia win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Valencia)Actual: Barcelona
Valencia -2
3.4%
Draw -2
7.1%
Barcelona +2
89.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Valencia)Actual: Barcelona
Valencia -1
10.5%
Draw -1
14.3%
Barcelona +1
75.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Valencia)Actual: Barcelona
Valencia +1
49.9%
Draw +1
21.6%
Barcelona -1
28.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Valencia)Actual: Barcelona
Valencia +2
71.5%
Draw +2
15.6%
Barcelona -2
12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Valencia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.70
0.54
0.54
0.41
0.82
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.75
1.00
0.50
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (23)
0.39
0.61
0.45
0.55
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Barcelona
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
0.47
1.79
0.14
1.06
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
1.25
1.00
2.00
0.50
0.50
1.50
vs Weaker (26)
1.42
0.38
1.75
0.08
1.14
0.64
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Valencia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barcelona over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barcelona over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barcelona over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Valencia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.77
0.77
0.77
0.53
0.76
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.75
0.00
1.50
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (23)
0.65
0.65
0.91
0.64
0.42
0.67
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.33
-
-
1.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Barcelona
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
0.73
1.43
0.71
1.94
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
2.25
0.75
0.50
1.00
4.00
0.50
vs Weaker (26)
1.62
0.73
1.58
0.67
1.64
0.79
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Valencia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valencia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barcelona over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barcelona over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barcelona over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
96.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
91.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
88.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
75.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Valencia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Hugo Duro28%
Umar Sadiq26%
Diego López22%
Mouctar Diakhaby14%
Dani Gómez14%
Luis Rioja14%
Javier Guerra8%
Pepelu5%
César Tárrega5%
Sergi Canós5%
Rafa Mir5%
Enzo Barrenechea3%
Cristhian Mosquera2%
José Luis Gayà0%
Hugo Guillamón0%
Thierry Correia0%
Max Aarons0%
Giorgi Mamardashvili0%
André Almeida0%
Iván Jaime0%
Dimitri Foulquier0%
Stole Dimitrievski0%
Germán Valera0%
Jesús Vázquez0%
Fran Pérez0%
Martín Tejón0%
Yarek Gasiorowski0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Max Aarons40%
Umar Sadiq32%
José Luis Gayà30%
Stole Dimitrievski29%
Hugo Guillamón20%
Rafa Mir19%
Pepelu19%
César Tárrega19%
Enzo Barrenechea19%
Dimitri Foulquier18%
Luis Rioja16%
Hugo Duro16%
Sergi Canós15%
Cristhian Mosquera15%
Jesús Vázquez14%
Javier Guerra14%
Diego López10%
Thierry Correia9%
Fran Pérez7%
Giorgi Mamardashvili6%
Yarek Gasiorowski6%
André Almeida6%
Mouctar Diakhaby0%
Iván Jaime0%
Dani Gómez0%
Germán Valera0%
Martín Tejón0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sergi Canós15%
Diego López15%
André Almeida11%
Rafa Mir10%
Luis Rioja8%
Javier Guerra8%
Hugo Duro6%
Enzo Barrenechea6%
José Luis Gayà4%
Dimitri Foulquier3%
Pepelu3%
Mouctar Diakhaby0%
Hugo Guillamón0%
Thierry Correia0%
Max Aarons0%
Giorgi Mamardashvili0%
Umar Sadiq0%
Iván Jaime0%
Stole Dimitrievski0%
Dani Gómez0%
Germán Valera0%
Jesús Vázquez0%
Fran Pérez0%
César Tárrega0%
Cristhian Mosquera0%
Martín Tejón0%
Yarek Gasiorowski0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Hugo Duro19%
Umar Sadiq16%
Sergi Canós10%
Mouctar Diakhaby7%
Dani Gómez7%
Diego López5%
Rafa Mir5%
José Luis Gayà0%
Hugo Guillamón0%
Thierry Correia0%
Max Aarons0%
Giorgi Mamardashvili0%
André Almeida0%
Iván Jaime0%
Luis Rioja0%
Dimitri Foulquier0%
Pepelu0%
Stole Dimitrievski0%
Enzo Barrenechea0%
Germán Valera0%
Jesús Vázquez0%
Fran Pérez0%
Javier Guerra0%
César Tárrega0%
Cristhian Mosquera0%
Martín Tejón0%
Yarek Gasiorowski0%
Barcelona
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Robert Lewandowski54%
Raphinha40%
Ferran Torres35%
Dani Olmo29%
Lamine Yamal28%
Pablo Torre21%
Fermín López16%
Eric García11%
Pedri11%
Ronald Araújo8%
Jules Koundé8%
Pau Víctor7%
Iñigo Martínez7%
Gavi5%
Frenkie de Jong4%
Marc Casadó3%
Gerard Martín2%
Pau Cubarsí2%
Iñaki Peña0%
Marc-André ter Stegen0%
Wojciech Szczęsny0%
Andreas Christensen0%
Ansu Fati0%
Alejandro Balde0%
Hector Fort0%
Sergi Domínguez0%
Marc Bernal0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marc Bernal67%
Andreas Christensen50%
Iñigo Martínez18%
Sergi Domínguez17%
Frenkie de Jong16%
Gavi15%
Fermín López13%
Ronald Araújo12%
Marc Casadó12%
Raphinha11%
Pau Víctor10%
Hector Fort10%
Jules Koundé10%
Gerard Martín10%
Pau Cubarsí9%
Eric García9%
Ansu Fati9%
Alejandro Balde9%
Lamine Yamal6%
Pedri5%
Ferran Torres5%
Iñaki Peña5%
Robert Lewandowski4%
Dani Olmo3%
Marc-André ter Stegen0%
Wojciech Szczęsny0%
Pablo Torre0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lamine Yamal36%
Raphinha29%
Alejandro Balde16%
Fermín López16%
Marc Casadó15%
Pablo Torre14%
Pedri14%
Gerard Martín12%
Ferran Torres12%
Iñigo Martínez11%
Dani Olmo11%
Jules Koundé10%
Ronald Araújo8%
Pau Cubarsí7%
Eric García7%
Frenkie de Jong4%
Robert Lewandowski4%
Pau Víctor3%
Gavi2%
Iñaki Peña0%
Marc-André ter Stegen0%
Wojciech Szczęsny0%
Andreas Christensen0%
Ansu Fati0%
Hector Fort0%
Sergi Domínguez0%
Marc Bernal0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lamine Yamal58%
Robert Lewandowski42%
Raphinha38%
Ferran Torres19%
Dani Olmo16%
Fermín López16%
Ansu Fati9%
Jules Koundé4%
Pedri2%
Iñaki Peña0%
Marc-André ter Stegen0%
Frenkie de Jong0%
Eric García0%
Wojciech Szczęsny0%
Andreas Christensen0%
Iñigo Martínez0%
Ronald Araújo0%
Alejandro Balde0%
Gerard Martín0%
Pau Víctor0%
Pablo Torre0%
Gavi0%
Marc Casadó0%
Hector Fort0%
Pau Cubarsí0%
Sergi Domínguez0%
Marc Bernal0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (27)
€1456m
BAR (30)
€1282m
AM (25)
€653m
VIL (24)
€325m
RS (24)
€247m
AC (29)
€241m
RB (25)
€235m
CV (24)
€163m
SEV (25)
€134m
VAL (27)
€125m
ESP (24)
€119m
GIR (28)
€114m
GET (24)
€90m
LEV (26)
€89m
RS (20)
€89m
DLC (29)
€84m
ELC (27)
€79m
RV (23)
€76m
OSA (22)
€71m
ALA (25)
€68m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (26)
€48m
MAL (27)
€41m
OVI (23)
€30m
LEG (26)
€30m
LP (27)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
CAD (29)
€27m
VAL (29)
€26m
CAS (28)
€21m
ALB (27)
€18m
BUR (22)
€17m
GC (18)
€17m
COR (26)
€16m
EIB (24)
€15m
FA (26)
€15m
TEN (28)
€12m
ACF (22)
€10m
ZAR (20)
€9m
ELD (20)
€7m
MIR (21)
€6m
CL (20)
€6m
HUE (21)
€5m
Valencia's squad is €1156m less valuable than Barcelona's (€125m vs €1282m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (10)
€842m
BAR (10)
€590m
AM (9)
€290m
RB (10)
€131m
VIL (8)
€124m
RS (10)
€110m
AC (10)
€106m
GIR (12)
€64m
CV (9)
€57m
LEV (10)
€51m
DLC (9)
€49m
SEV (8)
€45m
VAL (10)
€40m
ESP (9)
€39m
ALM (11)
€38m
GET (5)
€36m
ELC (13)
€34m
RS (7)
€34m
RV (10)
€30m
MAL (11)
€26m
OSA (8)
€25m
ALA (8)
€24m
MAL (11)
€23m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
LP (12)
€14m
LEG (11)
€14m
CAD (12)
€11m
CAS (10)
€11m
VAL (11)
€10m
ALB (10)
€8m
BUR (7)
€8m
EIB (8)
€7m
GC (5)
€6m
FA (10)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
TEN (13)
€5m
ZAR (8)
€4m
COR (9)
€4m
ELD (8)
€3m
CL (8)
€3m
HUE (9)
€2m
MIR (6)
€2m
Valencia's attack is €550m less valuable than Barcelona's (€40m vs €590m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (8)
€324m
RM (5)
€238m
AM (6)
€155m
RS (5)
€58m
AC (7)
€57m
VIL (4)
€52m
VAL (5)
€46m
CV (3)
€35m
RB (5)
€33m
ESP (5)
€31m
GIR (7)
€28m
GET (6)
€28m
RS (5)
€28m
SEV (5)
€23m
ALA (8)
€22m
LEV (5)
€16m
DLC (7)
€13m
OSA (4)
€12m
ELC (5)
€12m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€9m
LEG (5)
€8m
MAL (5)
€6m
VAL (6)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
COR (5)
€4m
ALB (7)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
BUR (6)
€4m
CAD (5)
€3m
EIB (6)
€3m
GC (3)
€3m
CAS (6)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
FA (5)
€3m
ZAR (4)
€2m
ACF (4)
€1m
ELD (3)
€1m
HUE (4)
€1m
MIR (4)
€1m
CL (4)
€1m
Valencia's midfield is €278m less valuable than Barcelona's (€46m vs €324m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (12)
€377m
BAR (12)
€368m
AM (10)
€208m
VIL (12)
€148m
RS (9)
€79m
AC (12)
€77m
CV (12)
€71m
RB (10)
€70m
SEV (12)
€65m
ESP (10)
€48m
VAL (12)
€39m
RV (9)
€36m
OSA (10)
€33m
ELC (9)
€33m
RS (8)
€28m
GET (13)
€26m
GIR (9)
€22m
DLC (13)
€22m
LEV (11)
€22m
ALA (9)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
LP (10)
€13m
CAD (12)
€12m
ALM (11)
€11m
VAL (12)
€10m
OVI (8)
€10m
MAL (11)
€9m
SG (10)
€9m
GC (10)
€9m
LEG (10)
€8m
CAS (12)
€8m
COR (12)
€7m
FA (11)
€7m
BUR (9)
€6m
ALB (10)
€5m
EIB (10)
€5m
MIR (11)
€4m
TEN (10)
€3m
ELD (9)
€3m
ACF (8)
€3m
ZAR (8)
€3m
CL (8)
€2m
HUE (8)
€2m
Valencia's defence is €329m less valuable than Barcelona's (€39m vs €368m).
Spain: La Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: La Liga stats & trends →
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Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club
Villarreal
Real Betis
Celta Vigo
Osasuna
Rayo Vallecano
Mallorca
Real Sociedad
Getafe
Alaves
Espanyol
Sevilla
Girona
Leganes
Las Palmas
Valladolid