This opponent (Nimes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nimes
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.30
1.60
1.20
1.40
1.40
vs Stronger (9)
1.33
1.44
2.00
1.60
0.50
1.25
vs Similar (21)
1.57
1.24
1.40
1.00
1.73
1.45
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Valenciennes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.7%
Under 1.5
23.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.1%
Under 2.5
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
29.0%
Under 3.5
71.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.4%
No
43.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
8.0%
0-0
7.8%
1-0
7.5%
0-2
6.4%
2-0
5.8%
Valenciennes goals ↓
Nimes goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.8%
8.0%
6.4%
3.0%
1.0%
1
7.5%
13%
8.5%
3.9%
1.4%
2
5.8%
8.1%
5.6%
2.6%
0.9%
3
2.6%
3.6%
2.5%
1.2%
0.4%
4
0.8%
1.2%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Valenciennes goals (down), columns = Nimes goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Strasbourg
1.76
Amiens
1.74
Estac Troyes
1.74
Stade Brestois 29
1.71
Lens
1.71
Nimes
1.68
Reims
1.45
Le Havre
1.42
Ajaccio
1.30
Niort
1.29
Clermont Foot
1.21
Sochaux
1.21
Valenciennes
1.18
Bourg Peronnas
1.16
Auxerre
1.13
Tours
1.13
Orleans
1.11
Red Star
0.95
Laval
0.79
Valenciennes is 0.50 points worse than Nimes in terms of average points per game (1.18 vs 1.68).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Strasbourg
1.66
Lens
1.55
Estac Troyes
1.55
Nimes
1.53
Stade Brestois 29
1.53
Amiens
1.47
Tours
1.45
Bourg Peronnas
1.29
Ajaccio
1.24
Clermont Foot
1.21
Niort
1.18
Valenciennes
1.16
Reims
1.11
Orleans
1.08
Le Havre
1.03
Sochaux
1.00
Red Star
0.95
Laval
0.87
Auxerre
0.74
Valenciennes is 0.37 goals worse than Nimes in terms of goals scored per game (1.16 vs 1.53).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Le Havre
0.82
Amiens
1.00
Reims
1.03
Auxerre
1.05
Nimes
1.05
Lens
1.05
Sochaux
1.13
Estac Troyes
1.13
Stade Brestois 29
1.16
Valenciennes
1.16
Strasbourg
1.24
Clermont Foot
1.26
Laval
1.37
Orleans
1.42
Ajaccio
1.43
Red Star
1.47
Niort
1.50
Bourg Peronnas
1.53
Tours
1.58
Valenciennes is 0.11 goals worse than Nimes in terms of goals conceded per game (1.16 vs 1.05).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Valenciennes
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Nimes
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Valenciennes
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (17)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (33)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Nimes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nimes
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (16)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (34)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Valenciennes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Estac Troyes
12.2
Reims
9.2
Ajaccio
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Reims
4.5
Ajaccio
4.0
Estac Troyes
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Reims
27.4
Ajaccio
26.1
Estac Troyes
22.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Valenciennes
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.60
0.73
0.47
0.67
0.73
vs Stronger (10)
0.90
0.80
0.50
0.50
1.17
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.50
0.82
0.45
0.33
0.56
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Nimes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nimes
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.57
0.60
0.40
0.87
0.73
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
0.44
0.60
0.20
0.00
0.75
vs Similar (21)
0.90
0.62
0.60
0.50
1.18
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Valenciennes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Valenciennes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valenciennes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valenciennes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nimes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nimes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nimes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Valenciennes
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.57
0.67
0.53
0.67
0.60
vs Stronger (10)
0.90
0.70
0.25
0.50
1.33
0.83
vs Similar (20)
0.55
0.50
0.82
0.55
0.22
0.44
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Nimes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nimes
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.73
1.00
0.80
0.53
0.67
vs Stronger (9)
1.00
1.00
1.40
1.40
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (21)
0.67
0.62
0.80
0.50
0.55
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Valenciennes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Valenciennes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valenciennes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valenciennes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nimes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nimes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nimes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Valenciennes · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aymen Boutoutaou15%
Manga Foe Ondoa13%
Nick Venema13%
Giovino Flamarion11%
Andrew Jung8%
Makabi Lilepo7%
Ilyes Hamache7%
Mathias Oyewusi Kehinde7%
Jonathan Buatu-Mananga6%
Anthony Knockaert5%
Joffrey Cuffaut5%
David Kruse5%
Allan Linguet4%
Lucas Woudenberg3%
Bruno Costa0%
Marius Noubissi0%
Taylor Moore0%
Jason Berthomier0%
Julien Masson0%
Jean Louchet0%
Ugo Bonnet0%
Halid Šabanović0%
Siriné Doucouré0%
Jordan Poha0%
Jean Eric Moursou0%
Lassana Diabaté0%
Sofiane Boudraa0%
Gabin Blancquart0%
Tidyane Diagouraga0%
Yacine El Amri0%
Sacha Banse0%
Joachim Kayi Sanda0%
Tanguy Lienard0%
Souleymane Basse0%
Sory Diallo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gabin Blancquart40%
Tanguy Lienard33%
Halid Šabanović25%
Anthony Knockaert24%
Sacha Banse23%
Allan Linguet22%
Julien Masson21%
Andrew Jung20%
Tidyane Diagouraga20%
Jonathan Buatu-Mananga19%
Jordan Poha17%
Joachim Kayi Sanda15%
Ugo Bonnet14%
Sofiane Boudraa14%
Souleymane Basse14%
Mathias Oyewusi Kehinde13%
Manga Foe Ondoa13%
Jean Eric Moursou12%
Taylor Moore12%
Giovino Flamarion11%
Bruno Costa10%
Joffrey Cuffaut10%
David Kruse9%
Siriné Doucouré8%
Jean Louchet6%
Lucas Woudenberg6%
Nick Venema4%
Aymen Boutoutaou4%
Ilyes Hamache4%
Marius Noubissi0%
Jason Berthomier0%
Makabi Lilepo0%
Lassana Diabaté0%
Yacine El Amri0%
Sory Diallo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nick Venema13%
Giovino Flamarion11%
Bruno Costa10%
Anthony Knockaert10%
Andrew Jung8%
Sacha Banse8%
Allan Linguet7%
Makabi Lilepo7%
Ugo Bonnet7%
Manga Foe Ondoa7%
Aymen Boutoutaou4%
Ilyes Hamache4%
Marius Noubissi0%
Taylor Moore0%
Jason Berthomier0%
Joffrey Cuffaut0%
Julien Masson0%
Jean Louchet0%
Lucas Woudenberg0%
Jonathan Buatu-Mananga0%
Halid Šabanović0%
Mathias Oyewusi Kehinde0%
Siriné Doucouré0%
David Kruse0%
Jordan Poha0%
Jean Eric Moursou0%
Lassana Diabaté0%
Sofiane Boudraa0%
Gabin Blancquart0%
Tidyane Diagouraga0%
Yacine El Amri0%
Joachim Kayi Sanda0%
Tanguy Lienard0%
Souleymane Basse0%
Sory Diallo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aymen Boutoutaou27%
Makabi Lilepo19%
Nick Venema17%
Andrew Jung12%
Siriné Doucouré8%
Manga Foe Ondoa7%
David Kruse5%
Sacha Banse4%
Bruno Costa0%
Marius Noubissi0%
Anthony Knockaert0%
Taylor Moore0%
Jason Berthomier0%
Joffrey Cuffaut0%
Allan Linguet0%
Julien Masson0%
Jean Louchet0%
Ugo Bonnet0%
Giovino Flamarion0%
Lucas Woudenberg0%
Jonathan Buatu-Mananga0%
Halid Šabanović0%
Mathias Oyewusi Kehinde0%
Jordan Poha0%
Jean Eric Moursou0%
Ilyes Hamache0%
Lassana Diabaté0%
Sofiane Boudraa0%
Gabin Blancquart0%
Tidyane Diagouraga0%
Yacine El Amri0%
Joachim Kayi Sanda0%
Tanguy Lienard0%
Souleymane Basse0%
Sory Diallo0%
Nimes · 2022/23
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Malik Tchokounté29%
Rafiki Saïd27%
Moussa Koné17%
Nicolas Benezet10%
Pablo Pagis9%
Lys Mousset9%
Jens Jakob Thomasen9%
Guessouma Fofana8%
Elías Már Ómarsson8%
Jean N'Guessan6%
Lamine Fomba6%
Benoît Poulain5%
Thibault Vargas4%
Kelyan Guessoum3%
Yassine Benrahou0%
Joseph Lopy0%
Steve Ambri0%
Ronny Labonne0%
Lucas Dias0%
Patrick Burner0%
Maël Durand de Gevigney0%
Axel Maraval0%
Scotty Sadzoute0%
Mehdi Zerkane0%
Leon Delpech0%
Mahamadou Doucouré0%
Nasser Djiga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lamine Fomba33%
Guessouma Fofana25%
Yassine Benrahou22%
Steve Ambri21%
Jean N'Guessan20%
Nicolas Benezet19%
Nasser Djiga19%
Kelyan Guessoum17%
Maël Durand de Gevigney16%
Ronny Labonne12%
Mehdi Zerkane11%
Malik Tchokounté11%
Patrick Burner9%
Moussa Koné8%
Elías Már Ómarsson8%
Axel Maraval7%
Joseph Lopy6%
Benoît Poulain5%
Jens Jakob Thomasen4%
Thibault Vargas4%
Pablo Pagis3%
Lys Mousset0%
Lucas Dias0%
Scotty Sadzoute0%
Leon Delpech0%
Rafiki Saïd0%
Mahamadou Doucouré0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mahamadou Doucouré33%
Joseph Lopy19%
Lys Mousset18%
Thibault Vargas12%
Yassine Benrahou11%
Mehdi Zerkane11%
Malik Tchokounté11%
Rafiki Saïd10%
Pablo Pagis9%
Jens Jakob Thomasen9%
Elías Már Ómarsson8%
Steve Ambri7%
Jean N'Guessan6%
Lamine Fomba6%
Nicolas Benezet5%
Kelyan Guessoum3%
Ronny Labonne3%
Patrick Burner3%
Benoît Poulain0%
Lucas Dias0%
Guessouma Fofana0%
Maël Durand de Gevigney0%
Axel Maraval0%
Moussa Koné0%
Scotty Sadzoute0%
Leon Delpech0%
Nasser Djiga0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Pablo Pagis22%
Elías Már Ómarsson17%
Malik Tchokounté13%
Yassine Benrahou11%
Lys Mousset9%
Moussa Koné8%
Rafiki Saïd7%
Jean N'Guessan6%
Thibault Vargas4%
Ronny Labonne3%
Benoît Poulain0%
Jens Jakob Thomasen0%
Joseph Lopy0%
Lamine Fomba0%
Steve Ambri0%
Lucas Dias0%
Kelyan Guessoum0%
Nicolas Benezet0%
Guessouma Fofana0%
Patrick Burner0%
Maël Durand de Gevigney0%
Axel Maraval0%
Scotty Sadzoute0%
Mehdi Zerkane0%
Leon Delpech0%
Mahamadou Doucouré0%
Nasser Djiga0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
France: Ligue 2 2016/17 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ajaccio
Strasbourg
Amiens
Estac Troyes
Lens
Stade Brestois 29
Reims
Le Havre
Niort
Clermont Foot
Sochaux
Bourg Peronnas
Tours
Auxerre
Orleans
Laval