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Valerenga vs Tromso Result & Analysis

Date: 04/10/2025
Time: 12:00
Final 1-0
Valerenga
Valerenga
Vs
44%
25%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Tromso
Tromso
Norway: Eliteserien
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Valerenga’s recent form, still rattling off a defeat, suggests a cautious approach, yet the model sees a 44% chance of a home win, 25% draw, and 31% away victory, making a home win the clear favourite. The expected total of 3.2 goals points to a lively encounter, with the most probable total being three. The single scoreline the model deems most likely is 1-1, carrying an 11.3% probability. Valerenga, playing at home against a similarly-sized opponent, averages 1.67 goals scored and 1.17 conceded, while Tromsø, on the road, averages 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 5.5 cards at 85.5%, Over 1.5 goals at 84.2%, Over 19.5 fouls at 76.5% (hit), Under 4.5 cards at 72.1%, and Under 25.5 fouls at 70.5%. These picks reflect the anticipated attacking output and the likelihood of a moderately busy match.

Results analysis

Valerenga’s win over Tromsø, 1-0, kept the home side’s recent form on track after a narrow defeat to Molde, while Tromsø’s draw-heavy run continued. The model had picked a home win with a 44% probability, and that call proved correct. The expected total of 3.2 goals was far higher than the single goal that fell. The model’s selections were mixed: Under 5.5 cards (85.5%) missed, Over 1.5 (84.2%) missed, Over 19.5 fouls (76.5%) hit, Under 4.5 cards (72.1%) missed and Under 25.5 fouls (70.5%) missed. Each probability was expressed as a percentage and no other figures were repeated.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valerenga win✓ Hit
44.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Tromso win✗ Miss
31.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ValerengaValerenga

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-730W27L21W40W32W32W23L11D12L14LH·HAU20/07A·BOD26/07H·SAN03/08H·SAR17/08A·HAU24/08H·BRY30/08A·BRA13/09H·KFU20/09H·FRE23/09A·MOL28/09
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.501.871.271.471.73
vs Stronger (4)2.253.752.502.502.005.00
vs Similar (22)1.411.231.671.171.101.30
vs Weaker (4)2.500.753.000.002.331.00
Clean sheet %27% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Tromso) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TromsoTromso

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L00D11D12L02L20W20W10W21W31WA·ROS27/07H·FRE02/08A·BOD09/08H·BRA17/08A·MOL24/08H·KFU31/08A·BRY14/09H·HAM21/09H·KRI24/09H·STR28/09
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.801.131.470.802.131.47
vs Stronger (2)1.501.002.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (14)1.291.431.000.671.502.00
vs Weaker (14)2.360.861.750.883.170.83
Clean sheet %37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Valerenga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
84.2%
Under 1.5
15.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
62.5%
Under 2.5
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
40.3%
Under 3.5
59.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
64.7%
No
35.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.5%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
6.2%
1-0 ✓
6.0%
3-1
5.3%
0-0
5.0%
Valerenga goals ↓
Tromso goals →
01234
05.0%4.8%4.2%2.1%0.8%
16.0%11%7.5%3.6%1.3%
26.2%9.0%6.6%3.2%1.2%
33.6%5.3%3.9%1.9%0.7%
41.6%2.3%1.7%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Valerenga goals (down), columns = Tromso goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Viking
2.37
Bodo/Glimt
2.33
Tromso
1.90
Brann
1.87
Sandefjord
1.60
Aalesund
1.50
Fredrikstad
1.40
Rosenborg
1.40
Valerenga
1.38
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.37
Molde
1.30
Ham-Kam
1.23
Kristiansund BK
1.17
KFUM Oslo
1.17
Bryne
1.06
Stromsgodset
0.67
Haugesund
0.30
Valerenga is 0.52 points worse than Tromso in terms of average points per game (1.38 vs 1.90).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bodo/Glimt
2.83
Viking
2.57
Aalesund
2.00
Brann
1.83
Sandefjord
1.83
Tromso
1.67
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.60
Valerenga
1.59
Molde
1.53
Rosenborg
1.50
KFUM Oslo
1.40
Ham-Kam
1.40
Fredrikstad
1.27
Stromsgodset
1.23
Bryne
1.19
Kristiansund BK
1.17
Haugesund
0.73
Valerenga is 0.08 goals worse than Tromso in terms of goals scored per game (1.59 vs 1.67).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Aalesund
0.50
Bodo/Glimt
0.93
Fredrikstad
1.17
Viking
1.20
Tromso
1.20
KFUM Oslo
1.37
Rosenborg
1.40
Molde
1.40
Sandefjord
1.40
Brann
1.53
Ham-Kam
1.57
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.67
Valerenga
1.72
Bryne
1.88
Kristiansund BK
1.93
Stromsgodset
2.40
Haugesund
2.67
Valerenga is 0.52 goals worse than Tromso in terms of goals conceded per game (1.72 vs 1.20).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Bodo/Glimt
64%
Brann
62%
Molde
55%
Rosenborg
53%
Sandefjord
53%
Viking
51%
Tromso
50%
KFUM Oslo
50%
Valerenga
48%
Sarpsborg 08 FF
48%
Fredrikstad
46%
Bryne
46%
Stromsgodset
46%
Haugesund
44%
Kristiansund BK
43%
Ham-Kam
42%
Aalesund
36%
Valerenga is 1.8 percentage points worse than Tromso in terms of average possession (48% vs 50%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ValerengaValerenga

For 4.7 · Against 6.0 · Total 10.7

🚩 Corners

1806514411101135671116107261151511411187178A·MOLH·KFUA·BRAH·BRYA·HAUH·SARH·SANA·BODH·HAUA·BRY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.6 · Total 3.9

🟨 Cards

701124342223122131232674532433A·MOLH·KFUA·BRAH·BRYA·HAUH·SARH·SANH·HAUA·BRYH·FRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 13.4 · Total 24.3

⚠️ Fouls

310101411209141013141091116159131113101124312323242031222421A·MOLH·KFUA·BRAH·BRYA·HAUH·SARH·SANA·BODH·HAUA·BRY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

TromsoTromso

For 4.5 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.4

🚩 Corners

15056345235944431215745311778138156118H·STRH·HAMA·BRYH·KFUA·MOLH·BRAA·BODH·FREA·ROSH·BRY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.5

🟨 Cards

6031211322231442134313451464H·STRH·HAMA·BRYH·KFUA·MOLH·BRAA·BODH·FREA·ROSH·BRY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 9.6 · Total 22.8

⚠️ Fouls

32013512121081371912151078141520129718241820312515293216H·STRH·HAMA·BRYH·KFUA·MOLH·BRAA·BODH·FREA·ROSH·BRY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ValerengaValerenga

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.510.910.21.91.91.825.524.926.0
vs Stronger (4)11.512.011.05.06.53.523.023.522.5
vs Similar (32)10.39.910.72.01.92.126.225.427.0
vs Weaker (14)10.517.04.00.60.60.724.024.024.0
% over line65%73%58%28%28%28%78%73%83%
% under line35%27%42%72%72%72%22%27%17%
This opponent (Tromso) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TromsoTromso

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.79.99.52.93.22.720.320.420.3
vs Stronger (3)10.38.015.02.73.51.016.016.515.0
vs Similar (24)8.78.68.83.23.13.221.322.620.5
vs Weaker (23)10.611.29.92.73.22.120.019.520.6
% over line49%52%45%38%42%35%42%43%41%
% under line51%48%55%62%58%65%58%57%59%
This opponent (Valerenga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stromsgodset
12.1
Viking
11.7
Ham-Kam
11.4
Sarpsborg 08 FF
11.1
Kristiansund BK
10.8
Aalesund
10.7
Haugesund
10.6
Brann
10.5
Bodo/Glimt
10.4
Valerenga
10.2
Sandefjord
10.0
Molde
9.9
Rosenborg
9.9
Bryne
9.8
Fredrikstad
9.6
Tromso
9.6
KFUM Oslo
8.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Molde
4.4
Brann
4.3
Viking
4.1
Rosenborg
3.9
Valerenga
3.7
KFUM Oslo
3.6
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3.5
Haugesund
3.5
Kristiansund BK
3.5
Sandefjord
3.5
Tromso
3.5
Bodo/Glimt
3.4
Aalesund
3.2
Bryne
3.2
Stromsgodset
3.2
Fredrikstad
2.9
Ham-Kam
2.9

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Brann
24.6
Sandefjord
23.6
Viking
23.5
Sarpsborg 08 FF
23.3
Bryne
23.0
Rosenborg
22.8
KFUM Oslo
22.3
Molde
22.3
Valerenga
22.0
Haugesund
21.8
Kristiansund BK
21.8
Aalesund
21.0
Ham-Kam
20.6
Tromso
20.4
Stromsgodset
20.0
Fredrikstad
19.3
Bodo/Glimt
19.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
56.6%
Under 9.5
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
46.8%
Under 3.5
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
61.4%
Under 21.5
38.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ValerengaValerenga

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D12L00D20W11D31W11D00D01L12LH·HAU20/07A·BOD26/07H·SAN03/08H·SAR17/08A·HAU24/08H·BRY30/08A·BRA13/09H·KFU20/09H·FRE23/09A·MOL28/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.570.730.600.600.53
vs Stronger (4)0.751.250.501.001.001.50
vs Similar (22)0.680.500.830.580.500.40
vs Weaker (4)0.500.250.000.000.670.33
Clean sheet %53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Tromso) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TromsoTromso

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D11D10W01L10W10W00D20W21WA·ROS27/07H·FRE02/08A·BOD09/08H·BRA17/08A·MOL24/08H·KFU31/08A·BRY14/09H·HAM21/09H·KRI24/09H·STR28/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.370.670.201.000.53
vs Stronger (2)0.501.000.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (14)0.430.430.330.170.500.62
vs Weaker (14)1.290.211.000.121.670.33
Clean sheet %67% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Valerenga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Valerenga over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valerenga over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valerenga over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tromso over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tromso over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tromso over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ValerengaValerenga

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W15L21W20W21W01L12L11D11D02LH·HAU20/07A·BOD26/07H·SAN03/08H·SAR17/08A·HAU24/08H·BRY30/08A·BRA13/09H·KFU20/09H·FRE23/09A·MOL28/09
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.931.130.670.871.20
vs Stronger (4)1.502.502.001.501.003.50
vs Similar (22)0.730.730.830.580.600.90
vs Weaker (4)2.000.503.000.001.670.67
Clean sheet %37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Tromso) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TromsoTromso

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L00D00D02L01L10W10W10W01L10WA·ROS27/07H·FRE02/08A·BOD09/08H·BRA17/08A·MOL24/08H·KFU31/08A·BRY14/09H·HAM21/09H·KRI24/09H·STR28/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.770.800.601.130.93
vs Stronger (2)1.000.002.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (14)0.861.000.670.501.001.38
vs Weaker (14)1.070.640.750.751.500.50
Clean sheet %53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Valerenga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Valerenga over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valerenga over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valerenga over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tromso over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tromso over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tromso over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards85.5%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.584.2%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls76.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards72.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls70.5%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Valerenga
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mathias Grundetjern40%
Elias Sørensen33%
Filip Thorvaldsen25%
Mohamed Ofkir20%
Magnus Riisnæs18%
Ambina Fidèle Brice15%
Henrik Bjørdal14%
Petter Strand11%
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen10%
Vinicius Nogueira8%
Aaron Kiil Olsen7%
Mees Rijks7%
Muamer Brajanac6%
Carl Lange4%
Vegar Eggen Hedenstad0%
Sebastian Jarl0%
Oscar Hedvall0%
Kevin Tshiembe0%
Ivan Näsberg0%
Jacob Storevik0%
Noah Pallas0%
Magnus Smelhus Sjøeng0%
Hakon Sjatil0%
Stian Sjøvold Thorstensen0%
Promise Meliga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Promise Meliga29%
Oscar Hedvall23%
Ambina Fidèle Brice23%
Kevin Tshiembe22%
Vinicius Nogueira20%
Magnus Riisnæs18%
Carl Lange15%
Henrik Bjørdal14%
Hakon Sjatil14%
Muamer Brajanac12%
Petter Strand11%
Elias Sørensen11%
Filip Thorvaldsen10%
Mees Rijks7%
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen7%
Vegar Eggen Hedenstad5%
Aaron Kiil Olsen4%
Sebastian Jarl0%
Ivan Näsberg0%
Jacob Storevik0%
Mohamed Ofkir0%
Mathias Grundetjern0%
Noah Pallas0%
Magnus Smelhus Sjøeng0%
Stian Sjøvold Thorstensen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohamed Ofkir30%
Henrik Bjørdal23%
Magnus Riisnæs18%
Vegar Eggen Hedenstad14%
Mees Rijks14%
Promise Meliga14%
Vinicius Nogueira12%
Ambina Fidèle Brice12%
Ivan Näsberg11%
Elias Sørensen11%
Mathias Grundetjern10%
Filip Thorvaldsen10%
Carl Lange8%
Stian Sjøvold Thorstensen6%
Petter Strand4%
Sebastian Jarl0%
Oscar Hedvall0%
Kevin Tshiembe0%
Jacob Storevik0%
Aaron Kiil Olsen0%
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen0%
Noah Pallas0%
Magnus Smelhus Sjøeng0%
Muamer Brajanac0%
Hakon Sjatil0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mathias Grundetjern50%
Muamer Brajanac18%
Filip Thorvaldsen15%
Elias Sørensen15%
Henrik Bjørdal14%
Mohamed Ofkir10%
Magnus Riisnæs9%
Ambina Fidèle Brice8%
Mees Rijks7%
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen7%
Carl Lange4%
Vegar Eggen Hedenstad0%
Sebastian Jarl0%
Oscar Hedvall0%
Kevin Tshiembe0%
Ivan Näsberg0%
Petter Strand0%
Jacob Storevik0%
Aaron Kiil Olsen0%
Noah Pallas0%
Magnus Smelhus Sjøeng0%
Hakon Sjatil0%
Stian Sjøvold Thorstensen0%
Vinicius Nogueira0%
Promise Meliga0%
Tromso
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ieltsin Camoes44%
Lars Olden Larsen25%
Vegard Erlien21%
Leo Cornic14%
Jens Hjertø-Dahl13%
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas12%
David Edvardsson11%
Daniel Braut10%
Kent-Are Antonsen8%
Alexander Warneryd8%
Vetle Skjaervik7%
Ruben Jenssen7%
Runar Robinsonn Norheim5%
Abubacarr Kinteh5%
Jakob Haugaard0%
Ruben Kristiansen0%
Anders Jenssen0%
August Mikkelsen0%
Yaw Paintsil0%
Jens Berland Husebø0%
Isak Vadebu0%
Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal0%
Heine Asen Larsen0%
Sigurn Jacobsen Prestmo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Abubacarr Kinteh33%
David Edvardsson30%
Vetle Skjaervik29%
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas25%
Heine Asen Larsen20%
Leo Cornic17%
Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal14%
Yaw Paintsil12%
Jakob Haugaard10%
Jens Hjertø-Dahl10%
Ieltsin Camoes8%
Kent-Are Antonsen8%
Alexander Warneryd8%
Ruben Jenssen7%
August Mikkelsen6%
Anders Jenssen6%
Vegard Erlien4%
Ruben Kristiansen0%
Lars Olden Larsen0%
Jens Berland Husebø0%
Runar Robinsonn Norheim0%
Isak Vadebu0%
Daniel Braut0%
Sigurn Jacobsen Prestmo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas25%
Ruben Jenssen23%
Ieltsin Camoes16%
Vegard Erlien14%
Jens Hjertø-Dahl13%
Runar Robinsonn Norheim11%
Leo Cornic10%
Daniel Braut10%
David Edvardsson7%
Isak Vadebu7%
Abubacarr Kinteh5%
Vetle Skjaervik4%
Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal3%
Jakob Haugaard0%
Ruben Kristiansen0%
Anders Jenssen0%
Kent-Are Antonsen0%
August Mikkelsen0%
Lars Olden Larsen0%
Yaw Paintsil0%
Jens Berland Husebø0%
Heine Asen Larsen0%
Alexander Warneryd0%
Sigurn Jacobsen Prestmo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Vegard Erlien36%
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas25%
Lars Olden Larsen17%
Ieltsin Camoes12%
Jens Hjertø-Dahl7%
Runar Robinsonn Norheim5%
David Edvardsson4%
Leo Cornic3%
Jakob Haugaard0%
Ruben Kristiansen0%
Ruben Jenssen0%
Anders Jenssen0%
Kent-Are Antonsen0%
August Mikkelsen0%
Yaw Paintsil0%
Jens Berland Husebø0%
Vetle Skjaervik0%
Isak Vadebu0%
Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal0%
Heine Asen Larsen0%
Daniel Braut0%
Alexander Warneryd0%
Sigurn Jacobsen Prestmo0%
Abubacarr Kinteh0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (24)
€75m
VIK (27)
€47m
MOL (26)
€35m
BRA (25)
€27m
ROS (23)
€23m
S0F (24)
€16m
VAL (22)
€16m
FRE (25)
€15m
TRO (22)
€15m
AAL (25)
€13m
KB (21)
€13m
SAN (23)
€12m
HAM (24)
€10m
HAU (24)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
STR (22)
€7m
BRY (21)
€6m
Valerenga and Tromso have a similar squad value (both €16m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€22m
VIK (10)
€21m
MOL (7)
€13m
BRA (10)
€11m
ROS (8)
€10m
S0F (10)
€9m
VAL (7)
€6m
AAL (7)
€5m
KB (6)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
SAN (8)
€4m
TRO (6)
€4m
HAM (10)
€4m
STR (9)
€3m
HAU (8)
€3m
KO (8)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
Valerenga's attack is €2m more valuable than Tromso's (€6m vs €4m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€27m
VIK (5)
€12m
MOL (8)
€7m
BRA (4)
€7m
VAL (6)
€5m
KB (6)
€4m
AAL (8)
€4m
ROS (4)
€3m
S0F (5)
€3m
HAM (6)
€3m
TRO (5)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
SAN (4)
€2m
KO (5)
€2m
HAU (6)
€2m
STR (5)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
Valerenga's midfield is €2m more valuable than Tromso's (€5m vs €3m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (10)
€26m
VIK (12)
€15m
MOL (11)
€15m
ROS (11)
€9m
BRA (11)
€9m
TRO (11)
€8m
FRE (16)
€8m
VAL (9)
€5m
SAN (11)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
S0F (9)
€4m
HAM (8)
€4m
KO (11)
€4m
HAU (10)
€4m
KB (9)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
STR (8)
€2m
Valerenga's defence is €3m less valuable than Tromso's (€5m vs €8m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
1
VAL wins
3
Draws
2
TRO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Valerenga vs Tromso · H/A from VAL
DateH/AGameScore
31/05/25ATromso Vs VAL2-1
01/05/24HVAL Vs Tromso0-0
03/12/23HVAL Vs Tromso1-1
09/07/23ATromso Vs VAL0-0
21/08/22HVAL Vs Tromso1-0
12/05/22ATromso Vs VAL1-0

ValerengaValerenga

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/25AMolde Vs VAL4-1
23/09/25HVAL Vs Fredrikstad1-2
20/09/25HVAL Vs KFUM Oslo1-1
13/09/25ABrann Vs VAL3-2
30/08/25HVAL Vs Bryne3-2
24/08/25AHaugesund Vs VAL2-3
17/08/25HVAL Vs Sarpsborg 08 FF4-0
03/08/25HVAL Vs Sandefjord2-1
26/07/25ABodo/Glimt Vs VAL7-2
20/07/25HVAL Vs Haugesund3-0

TromsoTromso

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/25HTRO Vs Stromsgodset3-1
24/09/25HTRO Vs Kristiansund BK2-1
21/09/25HTRO Vs Ham-Kam1-0
14/09/25ABryne Vs TRO0-2
31/08/25HTRO Vs KFUM Oslo2-0
24/08/25AMolde Vs TRO2-0
17/08/25HTRO Vs Brann1-2
09/08/25ABodo/Glimt Vs TRO1-1
02/08/25HTRO Vs Fredrikstad0-0
27/07/25ARosenborg Vs TRO4-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Valerenga
Valerenga
Norway: Eliteserien
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLL1.88
HomeWWWDL2.00
AwayLLWLL1.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%60%52%
AVG goals3.523.843.20
Over 1.5 %94%96%92%
Over 2.5 %62%72%52%
Over 3.5 %44%56%32%
Scored2.262.681.84
Conceded1.261.161.36
BTTS64%64%64%
Clean Sheet28%28%28%
Corners10.5210.9110.17
Cards4.434.364.50
Tromso
Tromso
Norway: Eliteserien
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.68
HomeLWWWW1.71
AwayWLDLW1.65
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%50%50%
AVG goals2.662.253.04
Over 1.5 %60%58%62%
Over 2.5 %46%46%46%
Over 3.5 %30%21%38%
Scored1.501.331.65
Conceded1.160.921.38
BTTS42%42%42%
Clean Sheet40%42%38%
Corners9.679.909.45
Cards3.543.803.29

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VikingViking3071
73%
2.4
7736+41
3.8
80%
77%
57%
11.9
63%
3.9
55%
24.4
60%
47
2112152.61.2
51%
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt3070
73%
2.3
8528+57
3.8
90%
73%
47%
10.9
66%
2.7
31%
18.0
23%
75
2227262.80.9
64%
3TromsoTromso3057
60%
1.9
5036+14
2.9
67%
53%
43%
8.5
37%
3.7
57%
23.8
63%
15
4381.71.2
50%
4BrannBrann3056
57%
1.9
5546+9
3.4
90%
77%
43%
11.0
73%
4.4
59%
24.3
67%
27
11791.81.5
62%
5SandefjordSandefjord3048
50%
1.6
5542+13
3.2
83%
67%
43%
10.6
57%
3.8
52%
26.0
73%
12
4251.81.4
53%
6RosenborgRosenborg3042
37%
1.4
4542+3
2.9
80%
50%
37%
10.6
60%
4.2
57%
24.0
67%
23
10391.51.4
53%
7FredrikstadFredrikstad3042
37%
1.4
3835+3
2.4
67%
40%
23%
10.1
67%
3.0
31%
20.7
37%
15
5381.31.2
46%
8Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF3041
37%
1.4
4850-2
3.3
83%
67%
50%
11.8
63%
3.2
46%
22.9
53%
16
9341.61.7
48%
9ValerengaValerenga2940
41%
1.4
4650-4
3.3
86%
59%
38%
11.2
69%
4.3
67%
25.6
79%
16
6551.61.7
48%
10MoldeMolde3039
40%
1.3
4642+4
2.9
73%
60%
37%
10.1
53%
4.1
55%
22.0
57%
35
137151.51.4
55%
11Ham-KamHam-Kam3037
33%
1.2
4247-5
3.0
87%
63%
37%
11.0
60%
2.8
33%
22.4
50%
10
4341.41.6
42%
12KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo3035
27%
1.2
4241+1
2.8
83%
50%
37%
8.9
38%
3.6
48%
21.7
57%
8
3241.41.4
50%
13BryneBryne3234
28%
1.1
3860-22
3.1
81%
56%
41%
9.7
41%
3.1
39%
23.1
53%
6
2121.21.9
46%
14Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2934
31%
1.2
3456-22
3.1
79%
59%
41%
10.1
59%
3.6
52%
20.9
45%
13
5431.21.9
43%
15StromsgodsetStromsgodset3020
20%
0.7
3772-35
3.6
93%
80%
43%
12.8
67%
3.1
30%
20.3
40%
7
3221.22.4
46%
16HaugesundHaugesund309
7%
0.3
2280-58
3.4
87%
67%
53%
11.0
60%
3.1
41%
23.1
60%
9
3240.72.7
44%
17AalesundAalesund23
50%
1.5
41+3
2.5
50%
50%
50%
8.0
0%
2.5
50%
25.0
50%
13
5442.00.5
36%
Norway: Eliteserien 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: Eliteserien stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches