This opponent (Las Palmas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Las Palmas
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.27
1.53
1.20
0.93
1.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.86
1.71
0.83
1.67
0.88
1.75
vs Weaker (16)
1.56
0.88
2.00
0.89
1.00
0.86
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Valladolid) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
70.2%
Under 1.5
29.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
42.9%
@ 1.80-9.4%
Under 2.5
57.1%
@ 1.98+9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.1%
Under 3.5
77.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
41.9%
No
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.5%
2-0
13.2%
1-1
11.8%
0-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
7.5%
0-1 ✓
5.2%
3-1
5.2%
Valladolid goals ↓
Las Palmas goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
5.2%
2.2%
0.5%
0.1%
1
14%
12%
3.7%
0.9%
0.1%
2
13%
9.1%
3.2%
0.7%
0.1%
3
7.5%
5.2%
1.8%
0.4%
0.1%
4
3.2%
2.2%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Valladolid goals (down), columns = Las Palmas goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Valladolid
1.93
Almeria
1.93
Eibar
1.90
Las Palmas
1.67
Tenerife
1.64
Girona
1.62
Oviedo
1.62
Ponferradina
1.50
FC Cartagena
1.43
Zaragoza
1.33
Burgos
1.31
Leganes
1.29
Huesca
1.29
Ibiza
1.24
Mirandes
1.24
Lugo
1.19
Sporting Gijon
1.10
Malaga
1.07
Amorebieta
1.02
Real Sociedad II
0.95
Fuenlabrada
0.79
Alcorcon
0.69
Valladolid is 0.26 points better than Las Palmas in terms of average points per game (1.93 vs 1.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Valladolid
1.69
Almeria
1.62
FC Cartagena
1.50
Eibar
1.45
Mirandes
1.38
Girona
1.36
Ponferradina
1.36
Las Palmas
1.36
Oviedo
1.36
Ibiza
1.26
Tenerife
1.26
Leganes
1.19
Huesca
1.17
Lugo
1.10
Amorebieta
1.05
Real Sociedad II
1.02
Sporting Gijon
1.02
Burgos
0.98
Fuenlabrada
0.93
Zaragoza
0.93
Alcorcon
0.88
Malaga
0.86
Valladolid is 0.33 goals better than Las Palmas in terms of goals scored per game (1.69 vs 1.36).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Almeria
0.83
Tenerife
0.88
Oviedo
0.98
Burgos
0.98
Girona
1.00
Valladolid
1.02
Huesca
1.05
Eibar
1.07
Zaragoza
1.10
Las Palmas
1.12
Sporting Gijon
1.14
Leganes
1.21
Lugo
1.24
Ponferradina
1.31
Malaga
1.36
FC Cartagena
1.36
Ibiza
1.40
Real Sociedad II
1.45
Mirandes
1.48
Amorebieta
1.50
Fuenlabrada
1.55
Alcorcon
1.69
Valladolid is 0.10 goals better than Las Palmas in terms of goals conceded per game (1.02 vs 1.12).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Valladolid
For 6.8 · Against 3.9 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 15.5 · Total 27.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Las Palmas
For 4.9 · Against 3.6 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 3.0 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.6 · Against 18.2 · Total 32.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Valladolid
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.5
9.5
5.1
4.9
5.2
26.9
26.2
27.5
vs Stronger (7)
8.0
8.2
7.7
6.1
6.8
5.3
24.1
24.0
24.3
vs Similar (32)
9.2
9.1
9.4
4.8
4.4
5.2
27.1
26.9
27.4
vs Weaker (11)
11.3
12.0
10.7
5.1
5.0
5.2
27.9
26.0
29.5
% over line
56%
54%
58%
76%
75%
77%
84%
83%
85%
% under line
44%
46%
42%
24%
25%
23%
16%
17%
15%
This opponent (Las Palmas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Las Palmas
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.1
8.3
7.8
5.4
5.5
5.4
31.7
32.0
31.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
7.9
8.5
7.3
6.0
6.2
5.8
31.1
31.7
30.6
vs Weaker (25)
8.2
8.1
8.4
4.9
4.9
4.8
32.3
32.3
32.4
% over line
38%
42%
33%
78%
77%
79%
98%
96%
100%
% under line
62%
58%
67%
22%
23%
21%
2%
4%
0%
This opponent (Valladolid) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Huesca
9.9
Fuenlabrada
9.9
Ibiza
9.7
Valladolid
9.5
Lugo
9.3
Amorebieta
9.3
Zaragoza
9.3
Malaga
9.2
Mirandes
9.1
Eibar
9.0
Real Sociedad II
9.0
Almeria
9.0
Burgos
8.9
Ponferradina
8.8
Sporting Gijon
8.8
Tenerife
8.7
FC Cartagena
8.7
Oviedo
8.5
Alcorcon
8.3
Leganes
8.2
Girona
8.2
Las Palmas
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Fuenlabrada
6.1
Girona
5.8
Las Palmas
5.4
Tenerife
5.3
Almeria
5.2
FC Cartagena
5.2
Oviedo
5.2
Malaga
5.1
Valladolid
5.1
Zaragoza
5.1
Lugo
5.0
Sporting Gijon
4.7
Huesca
4.7
Ponferradina
4.6
Alcorcon
4.5
Mirandes
4.5
Leganes
4.4
Burgos
4.1
Ibiza
4.0
Amorebieta
3.9
Real Sociedad II
3.9
Eibar
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Las Palmas
31.7
Fuenlabrada
30.5
FC Cartagena
30.0
Leganes
29.8
Tenerife
28.9
Girona
28.2
Ibiza
28.2
Huesca
28.0
Malaga
27.5
Zaragoza
27.4
Alcorcon
27.3
Lugo
27.2
Oviedo
27.2
Valladolid
26.9
Almeria
26.5
Mirandes
26.0
Ponferradina
25.6
Amorebieta
25.5
Burgos
24.9
Sporting Gijon
24.5
Eibar
23.5
Real Sociedad II
22.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
39.7%
Under 9.5
60.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
72.8%
Under 3.5
27.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
90.6%
Under 21.5
9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Valladolid
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.47
0.80
0.33
0.53
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.53
0.53
0.60
0.50
0.44
0.56
vs Weaker (11)
0.91
0.36
1.20
0.00
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
73% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Las Palmas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Las Palmas
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.57
1.07
0.27
0.40
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.29
0.79
0.50
0.33
0.12
1.12
vs Weaker (16)
1.12
0.38
1.44
0.22
0.71
0.57
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Valladolid) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Valladolid over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valladolid over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valladolid over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Las Palmas over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Las Palmas over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Las Palmas over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Valladolid
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.60
1.07
0.27
0.87
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.84
0.63
0.90
0.20
0.78
1.11
vs Weaker (11)
1.18
0.55
1.40
0.40
1.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Las Palmas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Las Palmas
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.70
0.47
0.93
0.53
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.57
0.93
0.33
1.33
0.75
0.62
vs Weaker (16)
0.44
0.50
0.56
0.67
0.29
0.29
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Valladolid) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Valladolid over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valladolid over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valladolid over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Las Palmas over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Las Palmas over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Las Palmas over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
95.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
87.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Valladolid · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luis Chacón33%
Julien Ponceau0%
Iván Alejo0%
Juanmi Latasa0%
David Torres0%
Thiago Ojeda0%
Alvaro Aceves0%
Yeray Cabanzon0%
Victor Fernandez0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Thiago Ojeda67%
Julien Ponceau33%
Juanmi Latasa33%
David Torres33%
Yeray Cabanzon33%
Iván Alejo0%
Luis Chacón0%
Alvaro Aceves0%
Victor Fernandez0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Julien Ponceau0%
Iván Alejo0%
Juanmi Latasa0%
Luis Chacón0%
David Torres0%
Thiago Ojeda0%
Alvaro Aceves0%
Yeray Cabanzon0%
Victor Fernandez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Luis Chacón33%
Yeray Cabanzon33%
Julien Ponceau0%
Iván Alejo0%
Juanmi Latasa0%
David Torres0%
Thiago Ojeda0%
Alvaro Aceves0%
Victor Fernandez0%
Las Palmas · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Taisei Miyashiro67%
Jesé Rodríguez33%
Manuel Fuster33%
Jefté Betancor0%
Enzo Loiodice0%
José Antonio Caro0%
Kirian Rodríguez0%
Sergio Ruiz0%
Alex Suárez0%
Giovanni Bonfanti0%
Juanma Herzog0%
Valentin Pezzolesi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Enzo Loiodice33%
Kirian Rodríguez33%
Giovanni Bonfanti33%
Jesé Rodríguez0%
Jefté Betancor0%
Taisei Miyashiro0%
José Antonio Caro0%
Manuel Fuster0%
Sergio Ruiz0%
Alex Suárez0%
Juanma Herzog0%
Valentin Pezzolesi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Taisei Miyashiro67%
Jesé Rodríguez0%
Jefté Betancor0%
Enzo Loiodice0%
José Antonio Caro0%
Kirian Rodríguez0%
Manuel Fuster0%
Sergio Ruiz0%
Alex Suárez0%
Giovanni Bonfanti0%
Juanma Herzog0%
Valentin Pezzolesi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Manuel Fuster33%
Jesé Rodríguez0%
Jefté Betancor0%
Enzo Loiodice0%
Taisei Miyashiro0%
José Antonio Caro0%
Kirian Rodríguez0%
Sergio Ruiz0%
Alex Suárez0%
Giovanni Bonfanti0%
Juanma Herzog0%
Valentin Pezzolesi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (28)
€114m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (27)
€41m
OVI (23)
€30m
LEG (26)
€30m
LP (27)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
VAL (29)
€26m
RSI (25)
€23m
BUR (22)
€17m
EIB (24)
€15m
TEN (28)
€12m
ZAR (20)
€9m
MIR (21)
€6m
HUE (21)
€5m
Valladolid's squad is €4m less valuable than Las Palmas's (€26m vs €30m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (12)
€64m
ALM (11)
€38m
MAL (11)
€26m
RSI (10)
€15m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
LP (12)
€14m
LEG (11)
€14m
VAL (11)
€10m
BUR (7)
€8m
EIB (8)
€7m
TEN (13)
€5m
ZAR (8)
€4m
HUE (9)
€2m
MIR (6)
€2m
Valladolid's attack is €4m less valuable than Las Palmas's (€10m vs €14m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (7)
€28m
LEG (5)
€8m
MAL (5)
€6m
VAL (6)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
RSI (6)
€4m
BUR (6)
€4m
EIB (6)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
ZAR (4)
€2m
HUE (4)
€1m
MIR (4)
€1m
Valladolid's midfield is €3m more valuable than Las Palmas's (€6m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (9)
€22m
LP (10)
€13m
ALM (11)
€11m
VAL (12)
€10m
OVI (8)
€10m
MAL (11)
€9m
SG (10)
€9m
LEG (10)
€8m
BUR (9)
€6m
EIB (10)
€5m
RSI (9)
€4m
MIR (11)
€4m
TEN (10)
€3m
ZAR (8)
€3m
HUE (8)
€2m
Valladolid's defence is €3m less valuable than Las Palmas's (€10m vs €13m).
Spain: Segunda División 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →