Vasteras SK FK are the favourites to host Kalmar FF in the Sweden: Allsvenskan, with a 52% chance of a home win. The match is expected to be a low-scoring affair, with an average of 2.4 goals expected. The most likely score is a 1-1 draw, with a 13.3% probability.
At home, Vasteras SK FK have been scoring and conceding an average of 2 goals each, while Kalmar FF have been scoring 0.88 goals and conceding 1.5 when playing away against similar opponents. The model's selection is a home win, with a 52% probability of Vasteras SK FK winning. The model also suggests an Under 3.5 goals selection, with a 78.5% chance of occurring, and an Over 21.5 fouls selection, with a 74% chance. The draw percentage is 28%, while the away win percentage is 20%. The model's suggested picks include an Under 3.5 goals selection with a 78.5% probability, an Over 21.5 fouls selection with a 74% probability, and a home win with a 52% probability.
Results analysis
In a surprising turn, the pre-match favourite, Vasteras SK FK, failed to secure the win, ending the match in a 0-0 draw. The model had picked a home win with a 52 % probability, but that call proved wrong. The final score of 0-0 matched the actual result of a draw. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 (99.7 %) hit, Under 6.5 (98.9 %) hit, Away under 3.5 goals (98.9 %) hit, Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.6 %) hit, Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.7 %) hit, Under 5.5 (96.6 %) hit, Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.3 %) hit, and Away under 2.5 goals (94.6 %) hit. The teams, both coming off a 0-0 draw, showed defensive solidity, leaving the model’s predictions on total goals largely correct.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Vasteras SK FK win✗ Miss
52.1%
Avg Implied 35.9% · @ 2.59
Edge
+16.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.70
Dafabet
2.70
Pinnacle
2.66
Superbet
2.65
888Sport
2.60
Draw✓ Hit
28.3%
Avg Implied 27.7% · @ 3.36
Edge
+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Pinnacle
3.44
10Bet
3.40
BetVictor
3.40
Kalmar FF win✗ Miss
19.6%
Avg Implied 36.4% · @ 2.55
Edge
-16.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.66
Unibet
2.65
Bet365
2.60
Marathonbet
2.59
1xBet
2.59
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Vasteras SK FK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.77
1.47
2.00
1.15
1.59
1.71
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
2.50
-
-
1.50
2.50
vs Similar (26)
1.77
1.42
2.00
1.17
1.57
1.64
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Kalmar FF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kalmar FF
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.33
1.87
1.27
1.53
1.40
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
2.75
1.00
3.00
1.00
2.50
vs Similar (23)
1.74
1.17
2.00
1.00
1.45
1.36
vs Weaker (3)
2.33
0.67
2.00
1.00
2.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Vasteras SK FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
69.8%
@ 1.22-6.2%
Under 1.5
30.2%
@ 3.87+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Betfair
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Under
Pinnacle
4.17
Betfair
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
4.00
10Bet
3.85
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
42.3%
@ 1.76-11.1%
Under 2.5
57.7%
@ 2.02+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.81
10Bet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.79
Betano
1.78
Marathonbet
1.76
Under
Pinnacle
2.07
Betfair
2.05
Bet365
2.05
SBO
2.03
Marathonbet
2.03
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.6%
@ 2.83-11.3%
Under 3.5
78.4%
@ 1.39+11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.00
Pinnacle
2.92
888Sport
2.90
BetVictor
2.88
Betfair
2.88
Under
Pinnacle
1.42
Superbet
1.41
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.9%
@ 1.59-12.3%
No
54.1%
@ 2.21+12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.62
10Bet
1.60
Betfair
1.60
888Sport
1.60
Betano
1.60
No
Betfair
2.30
BetVictor
2.25
1xBet
2.23
Superbet
2.22
Betano
2.20
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%@ 6.22+6.1%
1-0
13.0%@ 9.32+8.2%
2-0
10.9%@ 13.18+7.5%
0-0 ✓
10.5%@ 10.73+6.3%
2-1
9.2%@ 9.06+4.3%
0-1
6.7%@ 9.12+1.8%
3-0
5.5%@ 25.89+3.8%
1-2
5.1%@ 9.00+0.1%
Vasteras SK FK goals ↓
Kalmar FF goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
6.7%
3.3%
0.9%
0.2%
1
13%
13%
5.1%
1.4%
0.3%
2
11%
9.2%
3.9%
1.1%
0.2%
3
5.5%
4.7%
2.0%
0.6%
0.1%
4
2.1%
1.8%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vasteras SK FK goals (down), columns = Kalmar FF goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sirius
2.21
Hammarby FF
1.89
Djurgardens IF
1.84
AIK Stockholm
1.72
BK Hacken
1.63
IF Elfsborg
1.63
Vasteras SK FK
1.53
Malmo FF
1.53
Gais
1.37
IF Brommapojkarna
1.26
IFK Goteborg
1.21
Mjallby AIF
1.11
Kalmar FF
1.00
Degerfors IF
0.84
Orgryte IS
0.74
Halmstad
0.58
Vasteras SK FK is 0.53 points better than Kalmar FF in terms of average points per game (1.53 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sirius
2.47
Hammarby FF
2.32
Djurgardens IF
2.26
BK Hacken
1.74
Malmo FF
1.74
AIK Stockholm
1.56
Vasteras SK FK
1.47
IF Elfsborg
1.42
IF Brommapojkarna
1.42
Mjallby AIF
1.33
Gais
1.32
IFK Goteborg
1.26
Orgryte IS
1.16
Kalmar FF
1.11
Degerfors IF
0.89
Halmstad
0.68
Vasteras SK FK is 0.37 goals better than Kalmar FF in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 1.11).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Gais
0.95
Hammarby FF
0.95
IF Elfsborg
1.00
Djurgardens IF
1.00
Sirius
1.42
AIK Stockholm
1.50
BK Hacken
1.53
Kalmar FF
1.53
Malmo FF
1.58
Mjallby AIF
1.61
IF Brommapojkarna
1.63
Degerfors IF
1.63
Vasteras SK FK
1.74
Halmstad
1.84
IFK Goteborg
2.05
Orgryte IS
2.21
Vasteras SK FK is 0.21 goals worse than Kalmar FF in terms of goals conceded per game (1.74 vs 1.53).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hammarby FF
61%
Djurgardens IF
56%
Malmo FF
56%
Mjallby AIF
53%
BK Hacken
52%
AIK Stockholm
52%
IFK Goteborg
51%
Gais
50%
Sirius
48%
IF Elfsborg
48%
Vasteras SK FK
48%
Kalmar FF
47%
IF Brommapojkarna
47%
Degerfors IF
46%
Orgryte IS
43%
Halmstad
41%
Vasteras SK FK is 0.3 percentage points better than Kalmar FF in terms of average possession (48% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Vasteras SK FK
For 3.7 · Against 5.0 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 14.0 · Total 27.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kalmar FF
For 3.3 · Against 6.3 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.5 · Against 2.3 · Total 2.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 12.5 · Total 23.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Vasteras SK FK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
8.8
9.8
2.3
2.2
2.3
26.3
26.9
25.8
vs Stronger (2)
6.0
-
6.0
3.5
-
3.5
26.5
-
26.5
vs Similar (39)
9.7
8.5
10.7
2.2
2.2
2.3
26.5
26.3
26.8
vs Weaker (9)
9.2
10.5
8.0
2.2
2.4
2.0
24.5
30.5
18.5
% over line
50%
54%
47%
30%
26%
33%
87%
100%
76%
% under line
50%
46%
53%
70%
74%
67%
13%
0%
24%
This opponent (Kalmar FF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kalmar FF
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.6
9.4
2.1
2.2
1.9
23.0
22.6
23.4
vs Stronger (4)
8.8
10.0
7.5
1.8
2.0
1.5
23.0
22.0
24.0
vs Similar (37)
9.9
10.1
9.7
2.2
2.4
1.9
23.5
23.9
23.0
vs Weaker (9)
12.0
14.0
10.0
1.8
1.5
2.0
20.2
15.5
25.0
% over line
53%
56%
50%
26%
25%
27%
57%
50%
64%
% under line
47%
44%
50%
74%
75%
73%
43%
50%
36%
This opponent (Vasteras SK FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
IFK Goteborg
11.3
Sirius
11.1
BK Hacken
10.8
IF Brommapojkarna
10.8
Orgryte IS
10.6
Djurgardens IF
10.6
Gais
10.4
AIK Stockholm
10.4
Vasteras SK FK
10.3
Degerfors IF
10.2
Kalmar FF
10.2
Mjallby AIF
10.1
Halmstad
10.0
Hammarby FF
10.0
Malmo FF
9.9
IF Elfsborg
9.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Djurgardens IF
4.4
BK Hacken
4.3
IFK Goteborg
4.3
AIK Stockholm
4.2
Degerfors IF
3.9
Gais
3.8
Malmo FF
3.8
Mjallby AIF
3.7
IF Brommapojkarna
3.7
Hammarby FF
3.7
Halmstad
3.6
Vasteras SK FK
3.6
IF Elfsborg
3.5
Sirius
3.5
Kalmar FF
3.4
Orgryte IS
2.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Djurgardens IF
25.8
Malmo FF
25.7
IFK Goteborg
25.7
Sirius
25.4
Mjallby AIF
25.3
Degerfors IF
25.2
Gais
24.9
Vasteras SK FK
24.8
Hammarby FF
24.8
BK Hacken
24.7
IF Brommapojkarna
24.1
IF Elfsborg
24.0
AIK Stockholm
23.9
Halmstad
23.7
Kalmar FF
23.4
Orgryte IS
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
53.9%
@ 1.62-3.1%
Under 9.5
46.1%
@ 2.16+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.80
Unibet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.62
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.59
Under
Betano
2.25
Pinnacle
2.23
Superbet
2.22
Marathonbet
2.20
1xBet
2.18
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
46.9%
Under 3.5
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
73.7%
Under 21.5
26.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Vasteras SK FK or Draw✓ Hit
80.4%
Avg Implied 63.6% · @ 1.47
Edge
+16.7%
52%
28%
20%
covers Vasteras SK FK + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.55
Betfair
1.50
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.48
Vasteras SK FK or Kalmar FF✗ Miss
71.7%
Avg Implied 72.3% · @ 1.29
Edge
-0.6%
52%
28%
20%
covers Vasteras SK FK + Kalmar FF
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
Draw or Kalmar FF✓ Hit
47.9%
Avg Implied 64.0% · @ 1.46
Edge
-16.1%
52%
28%
20%
covers Draw + Kalmar FF
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Marathonbet
1.46
Unibet
1.46
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Vasteras SK FK over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
78.3%
@ 1.25+3.9%
Under
21.7%
@ 3.62-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.26
888Sport
1.25
Betfair
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
3.97
Bet365
3.75
Unibet
3.70
Marathonbet
3.64
Superbet
3.60
Vasteras SK FK over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
45.1%
@ 2.23+3.3%
Under
54.9%
@ 1.60-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.29
Betano
2.27
Marathonbet
2.26
1xBet
2.26
Betfair
2.25
Under
Pinnacle
1.64
Unibet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.62
Bet365
1.62
1xBet
1.62
Vasteras SK FK over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
19.8%
@ 4.92+0.9%
Under
80.2%
@ 1.15-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
888Sport
5.00
Marathonbet
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Under
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Unibet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Vasteras SK FK over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.9%
@ 12.31-0.8%
Under
93.1%
@ 1.03+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
888Sport
13.00
Superbet
12.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
888Sport
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Kalmar FF over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
57.1%
@ 1.24-17.6%
Under
42.9%
@ 3.67+17.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Superbet
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
3.90
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.75
Betano
3.70
Kalmar FF over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
20.8%
@ 2.22-21.2%
Under
79.2%
@ 1.61+21.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.32
Marathonbet
2.26
1xBet
2.26
10Bet
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Under
Betano
1.65
Superbet
1.64
1xBet
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Pinnacle
1.62
Kalmar FF over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.4%
@ 4.91-13.5%
Under
94.6%
@ 1.15+13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.00
888Sport
5.00
Marathonbet
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Under
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.16
888Sport
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Kalmar FF over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.1%
@ 11.60-7.1%
Under
98.9%
@ 1.03+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
888Sport
13.00
Superbet
11.00
Betfair
10.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
888Sport
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Vasteras SK FK, so a minus line means Vasteras SK FK give that many goals of a start and Kalmar FF receive them. At -1, Vasteras SK FK must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Vasteras SK FK win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Vasteras SK FK)Actual: Kalmar FF
Vasteras SK FK -2
11.3%
@ 9.57+2.2%
Draw -2
16.4%
@ 6.47+2.8%
Kalmar FF +2
72.3%
@ 1.14-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
12.00
Superbet
10.00
Unibet
9.50
Marathonbet
6.80
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Superbet
7.00
Unibet
6.40
Marathonbet
5.00
Away
Unibet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
Handicap -1 (Vasteras SK FK)Actual: Kalmar FF
Vasteras SK FK -1
27.7%
@ 4.85+9.2%
Draw -1
24.4%
@ 4.21+3.2%
Kalmar FF +1
47.9%
@ 1.48-12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.90
Unibet
4.50
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.35
10Bet
4.00
Unibet
4.00
Away
Bet365
1.50
Unibet
1.49
10Bet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.46
Handicap +1 (Vasteras SK FK)Actual: Vasteras SK FK
Vasteras SK FK +1
80.4%
@ 1.47+19.5%
Draw +1
13.0%
@ 4.25-8.0%
Kalmar FF -1
6.6%
@ 4.92-11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.49
10Bet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.46
Betfair
1.44
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.35
Betfair
4.33
Superbet
4.25
Unibet
4.10
Away
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Unibet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.90
Handicap +2 (Vasteras SK FK)Actual: Vasteras SK FK
Vasteras SK FK +2
93.4%
@ 1.13+15.1%
Draw +2
5.0%
@ 6.75-8.1%
Kalmar FF -2
1.6%
@ 10.38-6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Unibet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Betfair
7.50
Unibet
7.00
Superbet
6.70
Marathonbet
5.05
Away
Betfair
13.00
Bet365
12.00
Unibet
10.50
Superbet
9.70
Marathonbet
6.70
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Vasteras SK FK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.67
0.77
0.62
0.82
0.71
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
-
-
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (26)
0.81
0.69
0.83
0.58
0.79
0.79
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Kalmar FF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kalmar FF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.70
0.73
0.73
0.67
0.67
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
1.25
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (23)
0.65
0.65
0.67
0.75
0.64
0.55
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Vasteras SK FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
72.8%
@ 1.34+3.0%
Under 0.5
27.2%
@ 3.08-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.35
BetVictor
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
Superbet
1.34
Under
Pinnacle
3.30
Betfair
3.30
Bet365
3.25
William Hil
3.20
Superbet
3.10
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
35.8%
@ 2.54-0.6%
Under 1.5
64.2%
@ 1.46+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.65
Pinnacle
2.63
Bet365
2.62
1xBet
2.57
Marathonbet
2.57
Under
Pinnacle
1.48
Superbet
1.48
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Unibet
1.46
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.6%
@ 6.16-1.5%
Under 2.5
86.4%
@ 1.09+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.00
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.50
1xBet
6.05
Marathonbet
6.05
Under
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Betano
1.11
Unibet
1.10
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vasteras SK FK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
49.6%
@ 1.99+2.8%
Under
50.4%
@ 1.74-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.07
Pinnacle
2.01
Superbet
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.99
Under
Pinnacle
1.79
Unibet
1.78
10Bet
1.77
1xBet
1.73
Superbet
1.73
Vasteras SK FK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
15.8%
@ 5.99+0.3%
Under
84.2%
@ 1.10-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.40
1xBet
6.00
Superbet
5.90
Betano
5.90
10Bet
5.75
Under
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.10
10Bet
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.07
Vasteras SK FK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.7%
@ 17.58-1.7%
Under
96.3%
@ 1.01+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Superbet
20.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Kalmar FF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
41.8%
@ 1.98-5.0%
Under
58.2%
@ 1.74+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.02
Betano
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.99
Unibet
1.97
Under
Pinnacle
1.78
10Bet
1.77
Superbet
1.76
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.73
Kalmar FF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.9%
@ 5.94-4.7%
Under
89.1%
@ 1.10+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.40
1xBet
6.00
Betano
5.80
Superbet
5.75
10Bet
5.75
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.07
Kalmar FF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.4%
@ 17.25-4.1%
Under
98.6%
@ 1.01+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Superbet
19.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Vasteras SK FK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.80
1.23
0.54
0.76
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.00
-
-
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (26)
0.96
0.73
1.17
0.58
0.79
0.86
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
2.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Kalmar FF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kalmar FF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.63
1.13
0.53
0.87
0.73
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
1.09
0.52
1.33
0.25
0.82
0.82
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
0.33
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Vasteras SK FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
79.4%
@ 1.20+1.8%
Under 0.5
20.6%
@ 4.16-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.22
Betano
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Under
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.20
Superbet
4.20
Betano
4.20
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
47.8%
@ 1.94-0.1%
Under 1.5
52.2%
@ 1.78+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.95
888Sport
1.95
1xBet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.95
William Hil
1.95
Under
Betano
1.83
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.80
Superbet
1.78
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
22.7%
@ 3.94-0.9%
Under 2.5
77.3%
@ 1.21+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.00
888Sport
4.00
Bet365
4.00
William Hil
4.00
1xBet
3.90
Under
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
William Hil
1.20
1xBet
1.20
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Vasteras SK FK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
57.9%
@ 1.70+3.3%
Under
42.1%
@ 2.04-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.72
Superbet
1.70
1xBet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.67
Under
1xBet
2.05
Betano
2.05
Marathonbet
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Vasteras SK FK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
25.0%
@ 4.35+3.8%
Under
75.0%
@ 1.17-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.45
Superbet
4.40
1xBet
4.30
Betano
4.25
Under
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
Vasteras SK FK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.8%
@ 11.25-2.6%
Under
94.2%
@ 1.03+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
Kalmar FF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
49.1%
@ 1.67-6.4%
Under
50.9%
@ 2.08+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.68
Superbet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.67
Betano
1.65
Under
Betano
2.15
Superbet
2.07
1xBet
2.06
Marathonbet
2.05
Kalmar FF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.8%
@ 4.26-7.9%
Under
86.2%
@ 1.18+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.45
Superbet
4.30
1xBet
4.30
Betano
4.00
Under
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Kalmar FF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.3%
@ 10.62-6.5%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.03+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.9%
1.03
Betano
1.04
888Sport
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
+7.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.7%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
+6.5%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.6%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
888Sport
1.04
Superbet
1.04
+5.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
94.6%
1.15
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.16
888Sport
1.15
1xBet
1.14
+13.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.2%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
93.4%
1.13
Superbet
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Unibet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
+15.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
93.1%
1.03
Betano
1.04
888Sport
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
+0.8%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
90.7%
1.13
Betano
1.16
Pinnacle
1.16
Unibet
1.14
888Sport
1.14
10Bet
1.14
+8.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.1%
1.10
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.07
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.4%
1.09
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Betano
1.11
Unibet
1.10
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.2%
1.18
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
-
+7.9%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
84.2%
1.10
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.10
10Bet
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.07
-0.3%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
80.4%
1.47
Betano
1.55
Betfair
1.50
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.48
+16.7%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
80.4%
1.47
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.49
10Bet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.46
Betfair
1.44
+19.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
80.2%
1.15
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Unibet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
-0.9%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.4%
1.20
888Sport
1.22
Betano
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
+1.8%
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
78.4%
1.39
Pinnacle
1.42
Superbet
1.41
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Betfair
1.40
+11.3%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
78.3%
1.25
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.26
888Sport
1.25
Betfair
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
+3.9%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
77.3%
1.21
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
William Hil
1.20
1xBet
1.20
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
75.0%
1.17
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
-
-3.8%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.8%
1.34
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.35
BetVictor
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
Superbet
1.34
+3.0%
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
72.3%
1.14
Unibet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
-
-5.0%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
71.7%
1.29
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
-0.6%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Vasteras SK FK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mikkel Ladefoged43%
Bonaventure Lendambi29%
Taonsa Axel17%
Frédéric Nsabiyumva12%
Karl Gunnarsson11%
Jens Magnusson8%
Mattias Hellisdal7%
Marcus Baggesen6%
Simon Gefvert5%
Herman Magnusson5%
Philip Bonde5%
Abdelrahman Boudah0%
Victor Wernersson0%
Jonathan Ring0%
Ismet Lushaku0%
Elis Jäger0%
Madiou Keita0%
Mamadou Diagne0%
Jonathan Karlsson0%
Musab Abdi Mohamud0%
Jack Tagesson0%
Jonny Melvin Ljungqvist0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mikkel Ladefoged29%
Bonaventure Lendambi29%
Victor Wernersson18%
Jens Magnusson17%
Madiou Keita17%
Jonathan Ring14%
Frédéric Nsabiyumva12%
Taonsa Axel11%
Herman Magnusson11%
Mamadou Diagne11%
Ismet Lushaku8%
Mattias Hellisdal7%
Marcus Baggesen6%
Jonathan Karlsson6%
Simon Gefvert5%
Karl Gunnarsson5%
Elis Jäger5%
Abdelrahman Boudah0%
Philip Bonde0%
Musab Abdi Mohamud0%
Jack Tagesson0%
Jonny Melvin Ljungqvist0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ismet Lushaku25%
Marcus Baggesen25%
Jonathan Ring14%
Mattias Hellisdal14%
Simon Gefvert11%
Karl Gunnarsson11%
Abdelrahman Boudah8%
Jens Magnusson8%
Mikkel Ladefoged7%
Mamadou Diagne5%
Frédéric Nsabiyumva0%
Victor Wernersson0%
Herman Magnusson0%
Elis Jäger0%
Madiou Keita0%
Jonathan Karlsson0%
Philip Bonde0%
Taonsa Axel0%
Musab Abdi Mohamud0%
Jack Tagesson0%
Jonny Melvin Ljungqvist0%
Bonaventure Lendambi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Taonsa Axel22%
Mikkel Ladefoged21%
Jonathan Ring14%
Bonaventure Lendambi14%
Frédéric Nsabiyumva12%
Karl Gunnarsson11%
Mamadou Diagne5%
Abdelrahman Boudah0%
Victor Wernersson0%
Ismet Lushaku0%
Simon Gefvert0%
Herman Magnusson0%
Jens Magnusson0%
Elis Jäger0%
Mattias Hellisdal0%
Madiou Keita0%
Marcus Baggesen0%
Jonathan Karlsson0%
Philip Bonde0%
Musab Abdi Mohamud0%
Jack Tagesson0%
Jonny Melvin Ljungqvist0%
Kalmar FF
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Charlie Rosenqvist37%
Aboubacar Keita33%
Rony Jansson21%
Carl Gustafsson18%
Anthony Olusanya17%
Charles Sagoe Jr.16%
Achraf Dari11%
Abdussalam Magashy7%
Melker Hallberg0%
Lars Sætra0%
Robert Gojani0%
Samuel Brolin0%
Victor Larsson0%
Alexander Almqvist0%
Malcolm Stolt0%
Emeka Nnamani0%
Sivert Engh Overby0%
Marius Söderbäck0%
Nassef Chourak0%
Jakob Kindberg0%
Vilmer Tyren0%
Zakarias Ravik0%
Fabian Bjorklund0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alexander Almqvist20%
Lars Sætra18%
Vilmer Tyren12%
Victor Larsson12%
Achraf Dari11%
Nassef Chourak11%
Melker Hallberg11%
Charlie Rosenqvist11%
Carl Gustafsson9%
Anthony Olusanya8%
Rony Jansson7%
Robert Gojani6%
Aboubacar Keita0%
Samuel Brolin0%
Abdussalam Magashy0%
Malcolm Stolt0%
Emeka Nnamani0%
Charles Sagoe Jr.0%
Sivert Engh Overby0%
Marius Söderbäck0%
Jakob Kindberg0%
Zakarias Ravik0%
Fabian Bjorklund0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Charles Sagoe Jr.26%
Rony Jansson14%
Robert Gojani12%
Melker Hallberg11%
Marius Söderbäck11%
Abdussalam Magashy7%
Charlie Rosenqvist5%
Achraf Dari0%
Lars Sætra0%
Anthony Olusanya0%
Aboubacar Keita0%
Samuel Brolin0%
Carl Gustafsson0%
Victor Larsson0%
Alexander Almqvist0%
Malcolm Stolt0%
Emeka Nnamani0%
Sivert Engh Overby0%
Nassef Chourak0%
Jakob Kindberg0%
Vilmer Tyren0%
Zakarias Ravik0%
Fabian Bjorklund0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Charles Sagoe Jr.21%
Anthony Olusanya17%
Aboubacar Keita17%
Carl Gustafsson9%
Victor Larsson6%
Nassef Chourak6%
Melker Hallberg5%
Charlie Rosenqvist5%
Achraf Dari0%
Lars Sætra0%
Robert Gojani0%
Samuel Brolin0%
Alexander Almqvist0%
Abdussalam Magashy0%
Malcolm Stolt0%
Emeka Nnamani0%
Rony Jansson0%
Sivert Engh Overby0%
Marius Söderbäck0%
Jakob Kindberg0%
Vilmer Tyren0%
Zakarias Ravik0%
Fabian Bjorklund0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (28)
€35m
HF (22)
€35m
SIR (24)
€28m
DI (22)
€27m
MA (24)
€26m
AS (27)
€21m
IG (25)
€18m
IE (26)
€17m
BH (22)
€16m
GAI (29)
€13m
KF (21)
€10m
VSF (24)
€10m
IB (25)
€9m
HAL (20)
€8m
OI (26)
€8m
DI (23)
€6m
Vasteras SK FK and Kalmar FF have a similar squad value (both €10m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (10)
€18m
HF (9)
€13m
MF (8)
€12m
IG (9)
€8m
AS (7)
€8m
DI (6)
€8m
MA (9)
€7m
BH (4)
€6m
IE (9)
€5m
GAI (10)
€5m
KF (8)
€4m
HAL (7)
€4m
IB (10)
€3m
VSF (8)
€3m
OI (7)
€2m
DI (5)
€1m
Vasteras SK FK and Kalmar FF have a similar attack value (both €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DI (6)
€14m
HF (4)
€11m
MF (7)
€11m
MA (6)
€11m
AS (9)
€7m
SIR (5)
€5m
IE (5)
€4m
IG (4)
€3m
GAI (8)
€3m
BH (6)
€3m
VSF (6)
€3m
DI (7)
€3m
KF (5)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
IB (4)
€2m
HAL (4)
€1m
Vasteras SK FK and Kalmar FF have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (13)
€12m
HF (9)
€10m
MA (9)
€8m
IE (12)
€7m
BH (12)
€7m
DI (10)
€6m
AS (11)
€6m
IG (12)
€6m
GAI (11)
€5m
OI (12)
€4m
SIR (9)
€4m
IB (11)
€4m
VSF (10)
€4m
KF (8)
€3m
HAL (9)
€3m
DI (11)
€3m
Vasteras SK FK and Kalmar FF have a similar defence value (both €4m).
Sweden: Allsvenskan 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Allsvenskan stats & trends →
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Sirius
Hammarby FF
Djurgardens IF
IF Elfsborg
BK Hacken
AIK Stockholm
Malmo FF
Gais
IF Brommapojkarna
IFK Goteborg
Mjallby AIF
Degerfors IF
Orgryte IS
Halmstad