Dynamo Kyiv is the clear favourite to win this match, with the model predicting an away win at 68%. The model's confidence stems from Dynamo Kyiv's recent form, having come off a win, and their ability to score away from home, averaging 1.73 goals per game against weaker opponents.
Veres Rivne, on the other hand, has struggled at home, conceding an average of 1.64 goals per game against stronger opponents. The model predicts a 13% chance of a home win and a 19% chance of a draw.
The expected total goals is 3.4, with the most likely total goals being 3. The model is most likely to predict a 0-2 scoreline, with a probability of 9.9%.
The model suggests an Over 1.5 selection at 85.8%, indicating a high-scoring match. Veres Rivne's home scoring average is 0.73 goals per game, while Dynamo Kyiv's away conceding average is 1.45 goals per game.
The model's selection probabilities are: Away win (68%), Draw (19%), Home win (13%), Over 1.5 (85.8%), and the home win percentage is 13%, the draw percentage is 19%, and the away win percentage is 68%.
The win extends Veres Rivne's dismal home form, with this defeat marking their sixth consecutive loss. Dynamo Kyiv's away form has been more encouraging, with two wins in their last four matches. The final score was 1-2 in favour of Dynamo Kyiv, resulting in an away win, which was the actual outcome. The model's selection, Dynamo Kyiv's away win, was correct, with a pre-match probability of 69%. The model's call was also correct for Over 1.5 goals, which hit at 86.1%. Under 1.5 goals, which was not listed, would have missed, as Dynamo Kyiv's 1-2 victory suggests the model's call for Over 1.5 was spot on.
Veres Rivne| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.87 | 1.33 | 1.00 | 1.43 | 0.75 | 1.25 |
| vs Stronger (16) | 0.44 | 1.81 | 0.29 | 1.86 | 0.56 | 1.78 |
| vs Similar (14) | 1.36 | 0.79 | 1.71 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.57 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 33% (+1pp vs league) | |||||
Dynamo Kyiv| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.87 | 1.23 | 2.19 | 0.88 | 1.50 | 1.64 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (11) | 1.27 | 1.73 | 2.00 | 1.20 | 0.67 | 2.17 |
| vs Weaker (19) | 2.21 | 0.95 | 2.27 | 0.73 | 2.12 | 1.25 |
| Clean sheet % | 33% (+1pp vs league) | |||||
| Dynamo Kyiv goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 4.1% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 4.9% |
| 1 | 2.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 4.7% |
| 2 | 1.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
Veres Rivne
Dynamo Kyiv
Veres Rivne| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 10.3 | 10.0 | 10.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 22.0 | 26.3 | 19.9 |
| vs Stronger (25) | 10.7 | 9.2 | 11.6 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 19.9 | 25.2 | 16.9 |
| vs Similar (25) | 9.9 | 11.0 | 9.4 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 24.4 | 27.7 | 23.0 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line | 62% | 43% | 71% | 16% | 18% | 14% | 52% | 86% | 36% |
| % under line | 38% | 57% | 29% | 84% | 82% | 86% | 48% | 14% | 64% |
Dynamo Kyiv| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 10.3 | 11.1 | 9.6 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 20.3 | 21.6 | 19.1 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (20) | 10.2 | 10.8 | 9.7 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 2.7 | 21.5 | 25.2 | 18.5 |
| vs Weaker (30) | 10.4 | 11.2 | 9.5 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 19.5 | 19.4 | 19.6 |
| % over line | 59% | 62% | 57% | 26% | 29% | 23% | 37% | 38% | 36% |
| % under line | 41% | 38% | 43% | 74% | 71% | 77% | 63% | 62% | 64% |
Veres Rivne| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.27 | 0.63 | 0.14 | 0.71 | 0.38 | 0.56 |
| vs Stronger (16) | 0.12 | 0.81 | 0.00 | 0.86 | 0.22 | 0.78 |
| vs Similar (14) | 0.43 | 0.43 | 0.29 | 0.57 | 0.57 | 0.29 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+24pp vs league) | |||||
Dynamo Kyiv| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.80 | 0.73 | 1.06 | 0.56 | 0.50 | 0.93 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (11) | 0.45 | 0.91 | 0.80 | 0.60 | 0.17 | 1.17 |
| vs Weaker (19) | 1.00 | 0.63 | 1.18 | 0.55 | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+17pp vs league) | |||||
Veres Rivne| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.60 | 0.70 | 0.86 | 0.71 | 0.38 | 0.69 |
| vs Stronger (16) | 0.31 | 1.00 | 0.29 | 1.00 | 0.33 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (14) | 0.93 | 0.36 | 1.43 | 0.43 | 0.43 | 0.29 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+17pp vs league) | |||||
Dynamo Kyiv| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.07 | 0.50 | 1.12 | 0.31 | 1.00 | 0.71 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (11) | 0.82 | 0.82 | 1.20 | 0.60 | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| vs Weaker (19) | 1.21 | 0.32 | 1.09 | 0.18 | 1.38 | 0.50 |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+24pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 86.1% | 1.23 | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.24 | 1.23 | 1.23 | +10.8% | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/25 | A | 3-0 | |
| 02/08/25 | H | 0-1 | |
| 16/12/24 | A | 1-0 | |
| 09/08/24 | H | 1-2 | |
| 01/05/24 | A | 3-0 | |
| 07/03/24 | H | 1-1 | |
| 29/05/23 | A | 3-0 | |
| 21/11/22 | H | 0-1 |
Veres Rivne| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 24/05/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 17/05/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 12/05/26 | H | 1-3 | |
| 09/05/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 02/05/26 | H | 3-3 | |
| 27/04/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 20/04/26 | A | 0-3 | |
| 15/04/26 | A | 4-0 | |
| 11/04/26 | H | 2-0 |
Dynamo Kyiv| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 30/07/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 23/07/26 | H | 2-3 | |
| 24/05/26 | H | 3-2 | |
| 16/05/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 13/05/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 09/05/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 03/05/26 | H | 1-2 | |
| 26/04/26 | A | 5-6 | |
| 17/04/26 | H | 3-1 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Karpaty | 4 | 10 | 75% | 2.5 | 11 | 2 | +9 | 3.2 | 100% | 75% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 49% |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 4 | 9 | 75% | 2.2 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 2.8 | 75% | 25% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 186 | 115 | 19 | 52 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 68% |
| 3 | Polessya | 4 | 9 | 75% | 2.2 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 3.0 | 100% | 75% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 57% |
| 4 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 4 | 7 | 50% | 1.8 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 2.0 | 75% | 50% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 48% |
| 5 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 4 | 6 | 50% | 1.5 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 2.2 | 50% | 50% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 56% |
| 6 | Dynamo Kyiv | 3 | 6 | 67% | 2.0 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3.0 | 100% | 100% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 91 | 32 | 26 | 33 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 62% |
| 7 | Zorya Luhansk | 4 | 6 | 50% | 1.5 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3.0 | 100% | 75% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 11 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 52% |
| 8 | Bukovyna | 4 | 5 | 25% | 1.2 | 3 | 3 | +0 | 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0.8 | 0.8 | - |
| 9 | Veres Rivne | 4 | 4 | 25% | 1.0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1.2 | 25% | 25% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 43% |
| 10 | Kryvbas KR | 4 | 4 | 25% | 1.0 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3.0 | 75% | 50% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 48% |
| 11 | LNZ Cherkasy | 4 | 4 | 25% | 1.0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1.5 | 50% | 25% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 44% |
| 12 | Livyi Bereh | 3 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | +0 | 1.3 | 67% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 58% |
| 13 | Chornomorets | 3 | 3 | 33% | 1.0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2.0 | 67% | 33% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0.7 | 1.3 | - |
| 14 | Obolon'-Brovar | 4 | 3 | 0% | 0.8 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0.8 | 25% | 25% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 42% |
| 15 | Kudrivka | 4 | 2 | 0% | 0.5 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 2.2 | 50% | 50% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 49% |
| 16 | Kolos Kovalivka | 3 | 1 | 0% | 0.3 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1.7 | 67% | 33% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 49% |