This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aarhus
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.91
1.33
1.00
1.00
0.82
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (15)
1.33
1.00
1.62
1.12
1.00
0.86
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.50
1.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Viborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
67.6%
Under 1.5
32.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.7%
Under 2.5
60.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.5%
Under 3.5
80.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.1%
No
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.6%
0-1 ✓
11.5%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
8.2%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
5.5%
Viborg goals ↓
Aarhus goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
11%
7.9%
3.3%
1.0%
1
9.3%
15%
8.2%
3.4%
1.1%
2
5.5%
6.8%
4.2%
1.7%
0.5%
3
1.9%
2.3%
1.4%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.5%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Viborg goals (down), columns = Aarhus goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Copenhagen
1.84
FC Nordsjaelland
1.72
FC Midtjylland
1.64
Aarhus
1.59
Viborg
1.55
Odense
1.44
Brondby
1.38
Silkeborg
1.28
Randers FC
1.28
Lyngby
0.88
AC Horsens
0.88
Aalborg
0.84
Viborg is 0.05 points worse than Aarhus in terms of average points per game (1.55 vs 1.59).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Copenhagen
1.91
FC Midtjylland
1.70
FC Nordsjaelland
1.56
Brondby
1.50
Odense
1.47
Silkeborg
1.38
Viborg
1.33
Aarhus
1.31
Randers FC
1.25
Aalborg
1.06
AC Horsens
1.03
Lyngby
0.94
Viborg is 0.02 goals better than Aarhus in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.31).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Aarhus
0.97
Viborg
1.09
FC Nordsjaelland
1.09
FC Copenhagen
1.09
FC Midtjylland
1.18
Aalborg
1.41
Randers FC
1.47
Silkeborg
1.53
Lyngby
1.53
Brondby
1.62
Odense
1.66
AC Horsens
1.81
Viborg is 0.12 goals worse than Aarhus in terms of goals conceded per game (1.09 vs 0.97).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Silkeborg
56%
FC Copenhagen
56%
FC Nordsjaelland
54%
Brondby
51%
Odense
50%
FC Midtjylland
50%
Randers FC
49%
Viborg
49%
Aalborg
49%
Aarhus
48%
Lyngby
45%
AC Horsens
42%
Viborg is 0.7 percentage points better than Aarhus in terms of average possession (49% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Viborg
For 4.1 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 8.7 · Total 20.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aarhus
For 5.2 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 11.1 · Total 24.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Viborg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (29)
9.1
9.6
8.6
3.6
3.3
3.9
19.4
17.9
20.7
vs Stronger (8)
7.9
8.2
7.5
4.0
3.8
4.2
21.2
22.8
19.8
vs Similar (15)
8.9
8.9
9.0
3.7
3.9
3.6
18.7
16.6
20.6
vs Weaker (6)
11.0
13.0
9.0
2.8
1.3
4.3
18.0
13.0
23.0
% over line
41%
50%
33%
55%
50%
60%
33%
23%
43%
% under line
59%
50%
67%
45%
50%
40%
67%
77%
57%
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aarhus
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (23)
9.7
9.5
10.0
4.0
3.9
4.2
23.2
22.8
23.6
vs Stronger (4)
11.8
12.0
11.5
4.0
4.5
3.5
24.8
22.5
27.0
vs Similar (15)
9.6
9.0
10.3
4.2
3.9
4.6
22.1
21.8
22.6
vs Weaker (4)
8.2
9.0
7.5
3.5
3.5
3.5
25.8
27.5
24.0
% over line
43%
50%
36%
57%
50%
64%
52%
50%
55%
% under line
57%
50%
64%
43%
50%
36%
48%
50%
45%
This opponent (Viborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Brondby
11.5
Lyngby
10.4
Randers FC
10.4
FC Midtjylland
10.4
Odense
10.2
AC Horsens
10.0
Aarhus
9.7
FC Nordsjaelland
9.6
FC Copenhagen
9.5
Aalborg
9.3
Silkeborg
9.2
Viborg
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC Copenhagen
5.1
FC Midtjylland
4.9
FC Nordsjaelland
4.6
Brondby
4.5
Odense
4.3
Lyngby
4.3
Aarhus
4.0
AC Horsens
4.0
Randers FC
4.0
Aalborg
3.9
Viborg
3.9
Silkeborg
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Aarhus
23.2
FC Midtjylland
22.1
Lyngby
22.0
FC Nordsjaelland
21.3
Aalborg
21.2
Randers FC
20.9
Odense
20.5
FC Copenhagen
19.5
Viborg
19.4
Brondby
19.1
AC Horsens
18.5
Silkeborg
15.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
47.7%
Under 9.5
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
59.9%
Under 3.5
40.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
50.8%
Under 21.5
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Viborg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.66
0.48
0.79
0.36
0.53
0.60
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.25
1.00
vs Similar (15)
0.87
0.33
1.00
0.14
0.75
0.50
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
0.17
0.67
0.00
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
52% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aarhus
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.52
0.26
0.67
0.25
0.36
0.27
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (15)
0.60
0.40
0.75
0.38
0.43
0.43
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
78% (+55pp vs league)
This opponent (Viborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Viborg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viborg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viborg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Viborg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.62
0.64
0.79
1.00
0.47
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
1.12
0.75
1.50
0.50
0.75
vs Similar (15)
0.80
0.47
0.29
0.57
1.25
0.38
vs Weaker (6)
1.17
0.33
1.33
0.33
1.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
59% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Aarhus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aarhus
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.65
0.65
0.67
0.75
0.64
0.55
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (15)
0.73
0.60
0.88
0.75
0.57
0.43
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
48% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Viborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Viborg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viborg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viborg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aarhus over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Viborg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tobias Bech67%
Jay-Roy Grot47%
Christian Sørensen22%
Mads Lauritsen20%
Elias Achouri20%
Justin Lonwijk18%
Clint Leemans14%
Jacob Bonde12%
Ibrahim Said9%
Alassana Jatta9%
Paulinho9%
Magnus Westergaard6%
Jan Žambůrek5%
Oliver Bundgaard Kristensen5%
Nils Mortimer4%
Nicolas Bürgy3%
Jeppe Grønning3%
Daniel Anyembe0%
Lucas Lund Pedersen0%
Jonas Thorsen0%
Marokhy Ndione0%
Žan Zaletel0%
Sofus Berger0%
Mads Söndergaard0%
Renato Júnior0%
Anton Gaaei0%
Jakob Vester Nielsen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mads Lauritsen40%
Tobias Bech33%
Elias Achouri24%
Žan Zaletel21%
Jeppe Grønning21%
Ibrahim Said19%
Justin Lonwijk18%
Jacob Bonde18%
Nicolas Bürgy17%
Jay-Roy Grot16%
Oliver Bundgaard Kristensen14%
Nils Mortimer13%
Clint Leemans11%
Mads Söndergaard7%
Magnus Westergaard6%
Daniel Anyembe4%
Lucas Lund Pedersen0%
Christian Sørensen0%
Jan Žambůrek0%
Jonas Thorsen0%
Marokhy Ndione0%
Alassana Jatta0%
Sofus Berger0%
Paulinho0%
Renato Júnior0%
Anton Gaaei0%
Jakob Vester Nielsen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Christian Sørensen44%
Elias Achouri20%
Anton Gaaei17%
Nils Mortimer13%
Jeppe Grønning12%
Jay-Roy Grot11%
Ibrahim Said9%
Justin Lonwijk9%
Renato Júnior7%
Jan Žambůrek5%
Oliver Bundgaard Kristensen5%
Jacob Bonde3%
Clint Leemans3%
Mads Lauritsen0%
Daniel Anyembe0%
Lucas Lund Pedersen0%
Tobias Bech0%
Magnus Westergaard0%
Jonas Thorsen0%
Marokhy Ndione0%
Nicolas Bürgy0%
Alassana Jatta0%
Žan Zaletel0%
Sofus Berger0%
Mads Söndergaard0%
Paulinho0%
Jakob Vester Nielsen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jay-Roy Grot42%
Mads Lauritsen20%
Justin Lonwijk18%
Elias Achouri16%
Ibrahim Said12%
Jacob Bonde12%
Clint Leemans9%
Magnus Westergaard6%
Alassana Jatta5%
Daniel Anyembe0%
Lucas Lund Pedersen0%
Jeppe Grønning0%
Tobias Bech0%
Christian Sørensen0%
Jan Žambůrek0%
Jonas Thorsen0%
Marokhy Ndione0%
Nicolas Bürgy0%
Oliver Bundgaard Kristensen0%
Žan Zaletel0%
Sofus Berger0%
Nils Mortimer0%
Mads Söndergaard0%
Paulinho0%
Renato Júnior0%
Anton Gaaei0%
Jakob Vester Nielsen0%
Aarhus
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Patrick Mortensen44%
Mikael Anderson19%
Mikkel Duelund17%
Sebastian Grønning17%
Jelle Duin13%
Yann Bisseck12%
Kevin Yakob12%
Peter Bjur9%
Mads Emil Madsen7%
Sigurd Haugen6%
Thomas Kristensen5%
Frederik Tingager3%
Sebastian Hausner0%
Benjamin Hvidt0%
Tobias Mølgaard0%
Nicolai Poulsen0%
Jesper Hansen0%
Frederik Brandhof0%
Felix Beijmo0%
Anthony D'Alberto0%
Gift Links0%
Dawid Kurminowski0%
Eric Kahl0%
Albert Grønbæk0%
Adam Daghim0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nicolai Poulsen36%
Adam Daghim33%
Felix Beijmo29%
Mikkel Duelund25%
Albert Grønbæk25%
Sebastian Hausner20%
Sebastian Grønning17%
Kevin Yakob17%
Mikael Anderson15%
Thomas Kristensen15%
Mads Emil Madsen15%
Sigurd Haugen13%
Tobias Mølgaard12%
Eric Kahl10%
Yann Bisseck9%
Peter Bjur9%
Frederik Brandhof8%
Anthony D'Alberto8%
Gift Links7%
Frederik Tingager7%
Jelle Duin7%
Patrick Mortensen6%
Jesper Hansen3%
Benjamin Hvidt0%
Dawid Kurminowski0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mikkel Duelund17%
Felix Beijmo14%
Nicolai Poulsen11%
Kevin Yakob8%
Mads Emil Madsen7%
Gift Links7%
Frederik Tingager7%
Tobias Mølgaard6%
Frederik Brandhof4%
Mikael Anderson4%
Sigurd Haugen3%
Patrick Mortensen3%
Yann Bisseck3%
Sebastian Hausner0%
Benjamin Hvidt0%
Sebastian Grønning0%
Jesper Hansen0%
Jelle Duin0%
Anthony D'Alberto0%
Dawid Kurminowski0%
Peter Bjur0%
Eric Kahl0%
Albert Grønbæk0%
Thomas Kristensen0%
Adam Daghim0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sebastian Grønning33%
Mikael Anderson31%
Patrick Mortensen22%
Mads Emil Madsen7%
Gift Links7%
Sigurd Haugen6%
Eric Kahl3%
Mikkel Duelund0%
Sebastian Hausner0%
Frederik Tingager0%
Benjamin Hvidt0%
Tobias Mølgaard0%
Nicolai Poulsen0%
Jesper Hansen0%
Frederik Brandhof0%
Yann Bisseck0%
Felix Beijmo0%
Jelle Duin0%
Anthony D'Alberto0%
Kevin Yakob0%
Dawid Kurminowski0%
Peter Bjur0%
Albert Grønbæk0%
Thomas Kristensen0%
Adam Daghim0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
ODE (24)
€17m
RF (24)
€14m
LYN (22)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
AAL (24)
€10m
Viborg's squad is €16m less valuable than Aarhus's (€19m vs €36m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
ODE (9)
€8m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
AH (9)
€4m
LYN (5)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
Viborg's attack is €8m less valuable than Aarhus's (€6m vs €14m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
LYN (8)
€5m
RF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
AH (6)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
Viborg's midfield is €12m less valuable than Aarhus's (€2m vs €14m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
ODE (9)
€7m
RF (10)
€6m
AAL (12)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
AH (12)
€4m
Viborg's defence is €3m more valuable than Aarhus's (€11m vs €8m).
Denmark: Superliga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →
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FC Copenhagen
FC Nordsjaelland
FC Midtjylland
Odense
Brondby
Silkeborg
Randers FC
Lyngby
AC Horsens
Aalborg