This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Nordsjaelland
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.77
1.07
2.40
0.80
1.13
1.33
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
3.00
-
-
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (16)
2.25
1.12
2.90
0.90
1.17
1.50
vs Weaker (13)
1.23
0.85
1.40
0.60
1.12
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Viborg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.6%
Under 1.5
28.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
44.4%
Under 2.5
55.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.2%
Under 3.5
76.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.9%
No
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
0-1
10.1%
0-0
9.9%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
8.5%
0-2 ✓
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
5.5%
Viborg goals ↓
FC Nordsjaelland goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.9%
10%
7.5%
3.3%
1.1%
1
8.5%
14%
8.5%
3.7%
1.2%
2
5.5%
7.3%
4.8%
2.1%
0.7%
3
2.1%
2.8%
1.8%
0.8%
0.3%
4
0.6%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Viborg goals (down), columns = FC Nordsjaelland goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Midtjylland
1.97
Brondby
1.94
FC Copenhagen
1.88
FC Nordsjaelland
1.81
Aarhus
1.38
Viborg
1.25
Randers FC
1.24
Silkeborg
1.12
Lyngby
1.12
Vejle
1.12
Odense
1.00
Hvidovre
0.62
Viborg is 0.56 points worse than FC Nordsjaelland in terms of average points per game (1.25 vs 1.81).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Copenhagen
2.00
FC Midtjylland
1.94
FC Nordsjaelland
1.88
Brondby
1.88
Aarhus
1.31
Randers FC
1.27
Silkeborg
1.22
Lyngby
1.22
Viborg
1.19
Odense
1.16
Vejle
1.00
Hvidovre
0.84
Viborg is 0.69 goals worse than FC Nordsjaelland in terms of goals scored per game (1.19 vs 1.88).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Nordsjaelland
1.06
Brondby
1.09
Vejle
1.12
FC Copenhagen
1.18
FC Midtjylland
1.34
Aarhus
1.44
Viborg
1.50
Odense
1.50
Randers FC
1.55
Silkeborg
1.56
Lyngby
1.66
Hvidovre
1.91
Viborg is 0.44 goals worse than FC Nordsjaelland in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.06).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Nordsjaelland
57%
Brondby
55%
FC Copenhagen
54%
Silkeborg
53%
Hvidovre
51%
Viborg
50%
Odense
49%
Randers FC
49%
Aarhus
49%
FC Midtjylland
47%
Lyngby
47%
Vejle
40%
Viborg is 7.7 percentage points worse than FC Nordsjaelland in terms of average possession (50% vs 57%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Viborg
For 5.9 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.3 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 11.0 · Total 20.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Nordsjaelland
For 7.7 · Against 3.5 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 3.4 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.5 · Against 11.4 · Total 20.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Viborg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
9.0
9.0
3.8
3.4
4.1
20.2
19.8
20.7
vs Stronger (16)
7.4
7.4
7.5
4.6
4.9
4.2
21.8
23.4
20.1
vs Similar (26)
9.3
8.7
9.9
3.6
3.2
3.9
19.7
18.7
20.6
vs Weaker (8)
11.1
12.4
9.0
2.6
1.6
4.3
18.2
15.8
23.0
% over line
40%
40%
40%
56%
48%
64%
42%
38%
46%
% under line
60%
60%
60%
44%
52%
36%
58%
62%
54%
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Nordsjaelland
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (49)
9.5
9.4
9.6
4.4
4.7
4.2
21.2
20.7
21.8
vs Stronger (1)
9.0
-
9.0
4.0
-
4.0
28.0
-
28.0
vs Similar (23)
10.0
10.5
9.4
4.7
5.0
4.3
21.6
21.8
21.3
vs Weaker (25)
9.0
8.2
9.8
4.2
4.3
4.2
20.6
19.5
21.7
% over line
53%
56%
50%
71%
68%
75%
49%
52%
46%
% under line
47%
44%
50%
29%
32%
25%
51%
48%
54%
This opponent (Viborg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Hvidovre
11.4
Brondby
10.8
Randers FC
10.3
Odense
10.3
Lyngby
10.3
FC Copenhagen
9.9
FC Nordsjaelland
9.5
Aarhus
9.4
Silkeborg
9.4
Vejle
9.2
Viborg
9.0
FC Midtjylland
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC Midtjylland
5.0
FC Copenhagen
5.0
Brondby
4.5
FC Nordsjaelland
4.4
Vejle
4.4
Odense
4.1
Lyngby
4.1
Aarhus
4.1
Viborg
3.9
Randers FC
3.8
Hvidovre
3.2
Silkeborg
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Vejle
23.9
Lyngby
23.1
Aarhus
23.1
FC Midtjylland
22.0
Hvidovre
21.9
Randers FC
21.8
FC Nordsjaelland
21.2
FC Copenhagen
20.6
Odense
20.5
Brondby
20.3
Viborg
20.2
Silkeborg
17.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
43.7%
Under 9.5
56.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
53.6%
Under 3.5
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
52.1%
Under 21.5
47.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Viborg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.57
0.33
0.53
0.53
0.60
vs Stronger (11)
0.18
0.82
0.00
0.67
0.40
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.59
0.35
0.57
0.29
0.60
0.40
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Nordsjaelland
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.47
1.00
0.53
0.40
0.40
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (16)
0.94
0.50
1.20
0.50
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (13)
0.46
0.31
0.60
0.60
0.38
0.12
Clean sheet %
60% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Viborg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Viborg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viborg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viborg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Viborg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.73
0.87
0.80
0.60
0.67
vs Stronger (11)
0.55
1.00
0.83
1.00
0.20
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.88
0.65
1.00
0.86
0.80
0.50
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Nordsjaelland
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.60
1.40
0.27
0.73
0.93
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (16)
1.31
0.62
1.70
0.40
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (13)
0.77
0.54
0.80
0.00
0.75
0.88
Clean sheet %
60% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Viborg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Viborg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viborg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viborg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Viborg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Isak Steiner Jensen24%
Anosike Ementa23%
Jakob Vester Nielsen18%
Malik Abubakari15%
Ibrahim Said10%
Magnus Westergaard9%
Jacob Bonde8%
Alassana Jatta8%
Mads Søndergaard7%
Serginho7%
Nigel Thomas6%
Renato Júnior5%
Srdjan Kuzmić5%
Daniel Anyembe4%
Nicolas Bürgy4%
Žan Zaletel4%
Oliver Bundgaard Kristensen3%
Stipe Radić0%
Lucas Lund Pedersen0%
Jeppe Grønning0%
Jan Žambůrek0%
Jean-Manuel Mbom0%
Nico Mantl0%
Jamie Jacobs0%
Anton Gaaei0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jan Žambůrek33%
Jean-Manuel Mbom29%
Ibrahim Said21%
Anosike Ementa19%
Nigel Thomas19%
Mads Søndergaard19%
Renato Júnior16%
Daniel Anyembe12%
Jeppe Grønning12%
Jamie Jacobs11%
Srdjan Kuzmić10%
Oliver Bundgaard Kristensen9%
Jakob Vester Nielsen9%
Malik Abubakari8%
Žan Zaletel7%
Serginho7%
Nico Mantl7%
Lucas Lund Pedersen6%
Magnus Westergaard4%
Nicolas Bürgy4%
Jacob Bonde4%
Isak Steiner Jensen4%
Stipe Radić0%
Alassana Jatta0%
Anton Gaaei0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Anton Gaaei25%
Anosike Ementa16%
Ibrahim Said14%
Serginho14%
Jamie Jacobs11%
Renato Júnior11%
Magnus Westergaard9%
Daniel Anyembe8%
Isak Steiner Jensen8%
Nigel Thomas6%
Nicolas Bürgy4%
Jeppe Grønning4%
Mads Søndergaard4%
Oliver Bundgaard Kristensen3%
Stipe Radić0%
Lucas Lund Pedersen0%
Jacob Bonde0%
Jan Žambůrek0%
Jean-Manuel Mbom0%
Nico Mantl0%
Alassana Jatta0%
Žan Zaletel0%
Malik Abubakari0%
Srdjan Kuzmić0%
Jakob Vester Nielsen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Anosike Ementa23%
Isak Steiner Jensen20%
Ibrahim Said17%
Serginho7%
Nigel Thomas6%
Magnus Westergaard4%
Jean-Manuel Mbom4%
Žan Zaletel4%
Oliver Bundgaard Kristensen3%
Stipe Radić0%
Daniel Anyembe0%
Lucas Lund Pedersen0%
Jacob Bonde0%
Jeppe Grønning0%
Jan Žambůrek0%
Nico Mantl0%
Jamie Jacobs0%
Nicolas Bürgy0%
Alassana Jatta0%
Malik Abubakari0%
Mads Søndergaard0%
Srdjan Kuzmić0%
Renato Júnior0%
Anton Gaaei0%
Jakob Vester Nielsen0%
FC Nordsjaelland
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ernest Nuamah50%
Marcus Ingvartsen31%
Benjamin Nygren28%
Conrad Harder20%
Andreas Schjelderup19%
Ibrahim Osman18%
Oliver Antman14%
Jeppe Tverskov14%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew12%
Martin Frese11%
Christian Kjelder Rasmussen11%
Daniel Svensson8%
Oliver Villadsen6%
Mads Hansen5%
Lucas Hey4%
Mario Dorgeles4%
Kian Hansen3%
Adamo Nagalo3%
Erik Marxen0%
Andreas Hansen0%
Carljohan Eriksson0%
Rocco Ascone0%
Mohammed Diomande0%
Zidan Sertdemir0%
Sindre Walle Egeli0%
Kaare Barslund0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mohammed Diomande47%
Rocco Ascone33%
Martin Frese26%
Ernest Nuamah25%
Kaare Barslund25%
Andreas Schjelderup16%
Zidan Sertdemir12%
Benjamin Nygren12%
Conrad Harder12%
Ibrahim Osman12%
Adamo Nagalo11%
Lucas Hey8%
Jeppe Tverskov8%
Christian Kjelder Rasmussen7%
Andreas Hansen6%
Daniel Svensson5%
Mads Hansen5%
Oliver Antman5%
Marcus Ingvartsen3%
Kian Hansen3%
Erik Marxen0%
Carljohan Eriksson0%
Oliver Villadsen0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Sindre Walle Egeli0%
Mario Dorgeles0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ernest Nuamah25%
Mohammed Diomande24%
Daniel Svensson22%
Ibrahim Osman21%
Andreas Schjelderup19%
Martin Frese14%
Jeppe Tverskov11%
Marcus Ingvartsen9%
Lucas Hey8%
Zidan Sertdemir6%
Mads Hansen5%
Oliver Antman5%
Benjamin Nygren4%
Conrad Harder4%
Oliver Villadsen3%
Andreas Hansen3%
Kian Hansen3%
Adamo Nagalo3%
Erik Marxen0%
Carljohan Eriksson0%
Christian Kjelder Rasmussen0%
Rocco Ascone0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Sindre Walle Egeli0%
Kaare Barslund0%
Mario Dorgeles0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Andreas Schjelderup32%
Ibrahim Osman26%
Marcus Ingvartsen25%
Ernest Nuamah25%
Christian Kjelder Rasmussen15%
Benjamin Nygren12%
Conrad Harder8%
Mads Hansen5%
Lucas Hey4%
Martin Frese3%
Daniel Svensson3%
Erik Marxen0%
Kian Hansen0%
Jeppe Tverskov0%
Oliver Antman0%
Andreas Hansen0%
Carljohan Eriksson0%
Oliver Villadsen0%
Rocco Ascone0%
Mohammed Diomande0%
Adamo Nagalo0%
Jonas Jensen-Abbew0%
Zidan Sertdemir0%
Sindre Walle Egeli0%
Kaare Barslund0%
Mario Dorgeles0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
ODE (24)
€17m
RF (24)
€14m
LYN (22)
€13m
VEJ (22)
€9m
HVI (21)
€5m
Viborg's squad is €17m less valuable than FC Nordsjaelland's (€19m vs €37m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
ODE (9)
€8m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
VEJ (7)
€3m
LYN (5)
€3m
HVI (6)
€2m
Viborg's attack is €12m less valuable than FC Nordsjaelland's (€6m vs €18m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
LYN (8)
€5m
RF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
VEJ (6)
€2m
HVI (6)
€1m
Viborg's midfield is €4m less valuable than FC Nordsjaelland's (€2m vs €7m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
ODE (9)
€7m
RF (10)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
VEJ (9)
€4m
HVI (9)
€2m
Viborg and FC Nordsjaelland have a similar defence value (both €11m).
Denmark: Superliga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →