PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Victoria Bardar vs Saxan Result & Analysis

Date: 23/05/2024
Time: 14:00
Final 1-0
Victoria Bardar
Victoria Bardar
Vs
50%
23%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Saxan
Saxan
Moldova: Super Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Victoria Bardar win✓ Hit
49.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Saxan win✗ Miss
27.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D12L32W10W10W51W10W41W30W30WA·SPE30/03H·SAX06/04A·GAG12/04H·FLO16/04A·SPA20/04H·SPE27/04A·SAX04/05H·GAG08/05H·SPE11/05H·GAG17/05
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.771.303.670.871.871.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)3.251.254.111.112.141.43
vs Weaker (14)2.211.363.000.501.622.00
Clean sheet %33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Saxan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SaxanSaxan

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-442W21W01L10W21W13L01L22D00D40WA·SPA29/03A·VIC06/04H·FLO13/04H·SPE16/04A·GAG20/04H·SPA27/04H·VIC04/05A·FLO08/05H·OLI11/05H·ISK17/05
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.301.041.790.862.851.23
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)1.001.000.001.002.001.00
vs Weaker (25)2.401.041.920.852.921.25
Clean sheet %41% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria Bardar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%4%08%118%221%319%414%516%6+
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
88.4%
Under 1.5
11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
69.9%
Under 2.5
30.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
48.7%
Under 3.5
51.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
69.5%
No
30.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
2-2
6.9%
1-2
6.6%
3-1
6.2%
2-0
5.8%
1-0 ✓
4.8%
3-2
4.8%
Victoria Bardar goals ↓
Saxan goals →
01234
03.6%3.3%3.2%1.6%0.6%
14.8%9.5%6.6%3.4%1.3%
25.8%8.9%6.9%3.5%1.3%
34.0%6.2%4.8%2.4%0.9%
42.1%3.2%2.5%1.3%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Victoria Bardar goals (down), columns = Saxan goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Victoria Bardar
2.38
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.17
Petrocub
2.17
Olimp Comrat
2.00
Zimbru
1.75
Milsami Orhei
1.58
Saxan
1.54
Iskra
1.50
Speranis Nisporeni
1.50
Floreşti
1.38
CSF Bălți
1.25
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
1.17
Dacia-Buiucani
0.67
Spartanii Selemet
0.60
Speranța Drochia
0.09
Făleşti
0.00
FCM Ungheni
0.00
Victoria Bardar is 0.85 points better than Saxan in terms of average points per game (2.38 vs 1.54).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Petrocub
2.46
Victoria Bardar
2.15
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.12
FCM Ungheni
2.00
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
1.92
Floreşti
1.62
Olimp Comrat
1.50
Speranis Nisporeni
1.50
Saxan
1.38
Zimbru
1.38
CSF Bălți
1.38
Milsami Orhei
1.29
Iskra
1.00
Spartanii Selemet
0.96
Dacia-Buiucani
0.83
Speranța Drochia
0.45
Făleşti
0.00
Victoria Bardar is 0.77 goals better than Saxan in terms of goals scored per game (2.15 vs 1.38).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Olimp Comrat
0.00
Petrocub
0.50
Sheriff Tiraspol
0.67
Victoria Bardar
0.92
Zimbru
0.96
Milsami Orhei
1.08
Saxan
1.15
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
1.58
Floreşti
1.62
CSF Bălți
1.83
Dacia-Buiucani
2.42
Iskra
2.50
Speranis Nisporeni
2.50
Spartanii Selemet
2.52
Speranța Drochia
2.82
Făleşti
3.00
FCM Ungheni
3.00
Victoria Bardar is 0.23 goals better than Saxan in terms of goals conceded per game (0.92 vs 1.15).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L20W01L11D00D00D30W00D21W10WA·FLO10/03H·SPA15/03A·SPE30/03H·SAX06/04H·FLO16/04A·SPA20/04H·SPE27/04A·SAX04/05H·GAG08/05H·SPE11/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.710.901.000.820.401.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.000.501.000.751.000.00
vs Weaker (15)0.601.071.000.860.251.25
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Saxan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SaxanSaxan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L20W11D00D00D02L00D01L00D00DH·GAG16/03A·SPA29/03A·VIC06/04H·FLO13/04H·SPE16/04H·SPA27/04H·VIC04/05A·FLO08/05H·OLI11/05H·ISK17/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.360.640.000.711.000.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)0.500.500.000.001.001.00
vs Weaker (9)0.330.670.000.831.000.33
Clean sheet %64% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria Bardar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Victoria Bardar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Bardar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Bardar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saxan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saxan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saxan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L21W10W01L10W10W21W10W20W20WA·FLO10/03H·SPA15/03A·SPE30/03H·SAX06/04H·FLO16/04A·SPA20/04H·SPE27/04A·SAX04/05H·GAG08/05H·SPE11/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.001.450.911.201.10
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)2.330.502.500.502.000.50
vs Weaker (15)0.931.200.861.141.001.25
Clean sheet %29% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Saxan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SaxanSaxan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D22D10W01L10W11D01L21W00D40WH·GAG16/03A·SPA29/03A·VIC06/04H·FLO13/04H·SPE16/04H·SPA27/04H·VIC04/05A·FLO08/05H·OLI11/05H·ISK17/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.090.550.860.431.500.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)0.500.500.001.001.000.00
vs Weaker (9)1.220.561.000.331.671.00
Clean sheet %55% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria Bardar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Victoria Bardar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Bardar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Bardar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saxan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saxan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saxan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.588.4%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (24)
€6m
PET (22)
€5m
ZIM (24)
€4m
MO (22)
€3m
DAC (21)
€2m
SS (12)
€1m
CB (5)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (8)
€3m
PET (9)
€2m
ZIM (9)
€2m
MO (6)
€1m
DAC (5)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CB (2)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (6)
€1m
ZIM (7)
€1m
MO (5)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
DAC (6)
€0m
CB (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (10)
€3m
PET (8)
€2m
MO (11)
€2m
ZIM (8)
€1m
DAC (10)
€1m
CB (3)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
FU (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
VB wins
0
Draws
1
SAX wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Victoria Bardar vs Saxan · H/A from VB
DateH/AGameScore
04/05/24ASaxan Vs VB0-1
06/04/24HVB Vs Saxan1-2

Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/24HVB Vs Gagauziya-Oguzsport3-0
11/05/24HVB Vs Speranis Nisporeni3-0
08/05/24HVB Vs Gagauziya-Oguzsport4-1
04/05/24ASaxan Vs VB0-1
27/04/24HVB Vs Speranța Drochia5-1
20/04/24ASpartanii Selemet Vs VB0-1
16/04/24HVB Vs Floreşti1-0
12/04/24AGagauziya-Oguzsport Vs VB2-3
06/04/24HVB Vs Saxan1-2
30/03/24ASperanța Drochia Vs VB1-1

SaxanSaxan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/24HSAX Vs Iskra4-0
11/05/24HSAX Vs Olimp Comrat0-0
08/05/24AFloreşti Vs SAX2-2
04/05/24HSAX Vs Victoria Bardar0-1
27/04/24HSAX Vs Spartanii Selemet1-3
20/04/24AGagauziya-Oguzsport Vs SAX1-2
16/04/24HSAX Vs Speranța Drochia1-0
13/04/24HSAX Vs Floreşti0-1
06/04/24AVictoria Bardar Vs SAX1-2
29/03/24ASpartanii Selemet Vs SAX2-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Victoria Bardar
Victoria Bardar
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.88
HomeWWWWW2.25
AwayLDWWW1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%75%45%
AVG goals4.084.353.80
Over 1.5 %85%85%85%
Over 2.5 %75%80%70%
Over 3.5 %55%55%55%
Scored2.483.051.90
Conceded1.601.301.90
BTTS68%65%70%
Clean Sheet25%30%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Saxan
Saxan
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDDW2.04
HomeWLLDW1.57
AwayWWWWD2.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %59%43%77%
AVG goals3.332.644.08
Over 1.5 %78%64%92%
Over 2.5 %59%43%77%
Over 3.5 %41%36%46%
Scored2.301.792.85
Conceded1.040.861.23
BTTS48%29%69%
Clean Sheet41%50%31%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PetrocubPetrocub2452
62%
2.2
5912+47
3.0
79%
50%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.50.5
-
2Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol2452
67%
2.2
5116+35
2.8
83%
54%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3132.10.7
-
3ZimbruZimbru2442
54%
1.8
3323+10
2.3
71%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.41.0
-
4Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei2438
46%
1.6
3126+5
2.4
75%
54%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.31.1
-
5FloreştiFloreşti2433
42%
1.4
3939+0
3.2
83%
79%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.6
-
6Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar1331
77%
2.4
2812+16
3.1
69%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.20.9
-
7CSF BălțiCSF Bălți2430
38%
1.2
3344-11
3.2
88%
75%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.41.8
-
8SaxanSaxan1320
46%
1.5
1815+3
2.5
62%
54%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.2
-
9Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani2416
12%
0.7
2058-38
3.2
92%
67%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0010.82.4
-
10Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet2515
16%
0.6
2463-39
3.5
92%
72%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.5
-
11Gagauziya-OguzsportGagauziya-Oguzsport1214
33%
1.2
2319+4
3.5
100%
83%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.6
-
12Olimp ComratOlimp Comrat24
50%
2.0
30+3
1.5
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.50.0
-
13Speranis NisporeniSperanis Nisporeni23
50%
1.5
35-2
4.0
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.5
-
14IskraIskra23
50%
1.5
25-3
3.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.5
-
15Speranța DrochiaSperanța Drochia111
0%
0.1
531-26
3.3
91%
73%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.8
-
16FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni10
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.03.0
-
17FăleştiFăleşti10
0%
0.0
03-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.03.0
-
Moldova: Super Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Super Liga stats & trends →

← all matches