Viimsi vs FC Tallinn Result & Analysis

Viimsi’s recent surge, highlighted by a 2-game winning streak and a 3-1 victory over Tartu Welco, fuels optimism for a high-scoring encounter. The model projects a 57% chance of a home win, 22% for a draw, and 21% for FC Tallinn to triumph, making a home victory the clear favourite. With an expected 3.4 goals, the most likely total is three, and the single scoreline the model favours is 1-1, carrying a 10% probability. Viimsi’s home form shows an average of 2.33 goals scored and 0.89 conceded against weaker opposition, while FC Tallinn, playing away against stronger sides, averages only 0.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. The model’s selections include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.7%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.5%, Under 7.5 at 97.8%, Away under 3.5 goals at 96.2%, Under 6.5 at 94.4%, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 93.2%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 92.3%, and Home +2 handicap at 91.3%. These picks reflect the anticipated offensive output and defensive solidity on both sides.

The upset came early as FC Tallinn snatched a 2-1 victory over Viimsi, ending the home side’s run of mixed results and proving the pre-match favourite - Home win at 57% - was wrong. The model’s call was therefore incorrect. The match finished 1-2 in favour of the visitors, a result that matched the model’s prediction of an away win. All of the model’s suggested selections were settled: Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 98.8%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.5%, Under 7.5 hit at 97.8%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 96.2%, Under 6.5 hit at 94.4%, Away under 1.5 HT goals hit at 93.5%, Home +2 handicap hit at 91.3%, while Away under 1.5 2H goals missed at 91.1%. The final score of 1-2 confirmed the model’s overall narrative, though the favourite’s prediction fell short.