Vikingur II are the clear favourites, with the model assigning a 72 % chance of a home win and a 16 % chance of a draw, leaving only 12 % for HB II to come away victorious. The prediction is driven by Vikingur’s strong home form: they average 2.67 goals scored and only 1.0 conceded against weaker opponents, while HB II, playing away against a stronger side, average just 0.83 scored and 2.92 conceded. The expected total of 4.0 goals and a 21 % chance of 6 + goals underline the high scoring potential, yet the single most likely scoreline is 2-1 for Vikingur, with an 8.6 % probability. Suggested picks include an 99.1 % chance of “Away under 2.5 HT goals”, a 98.7 % chance of “Away under 2.5 2H goals”, a 97.0 % chance of “Away under 3.5 goals”, a 95.4 % chance of “Home +2 handicap”, a 94.9 % chance of “Under 7.5”, a 94.2 % chance of “Home over 0.5 goals”, a 93.8 % chance of “Away under 1.5 HT goals”, and a 92.7 % chance of “Home under 2.5 HT goals”. Vikingur’s recent comeback from a defeat and HB II’s recent win set the narrative for a high-scoring home triumph.
Results analysis
Vikingur II’s recent win keeps their strong home form alive, while HB II’s slump away adds to the odds. The model predicted a Home win with a 72% probability, and the 2-0 result confirmed that call. The most likely score was 2-1, yet the actual 2-0 finished within the top three possibilities. The model’s selections performed impressively: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.3%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.7%, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.0%, Home +2 handicap at 95.4%, Under 7.5 at 94.9%, Home over 0.5 goals at 94.2%, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 93.9%, and Home under 2.5 HT goals at 92.6%. All picks were settled, and every probability was expressed as a percentage.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Víkingur II win✓ Hit
71.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
16.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
HB II win✗ Miss
12.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Víkingur II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
2.9
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.33
1.70
2.20
1.47
2.47
1.93
vs Stronger (10)
2.10
2.00
2.60
2.00
1.60
2.00
vs Similar (9)
1.22
1.89
1.60
1.20
0.75
2.75
vs Weaker (11)
3.45
1.27
2.40
1.20
4.33
1.33
Clean sheet %
23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (HB II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HB II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
2.67
1.20
2.47
0.93
2.87
vs Stronger (24)
0.88
2.58
0.92
2.23
0.82
3.00
vs Similar (6)
1.83
3.00
3.00
4.00
1.25
2.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
3% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Víkingur II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 4.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
91.5%
Under 1.5
8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
76.2%
Under 2.5
23.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
56.7%
Under 3.5
43.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
65.2%
No
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
2-0 ✓
7.4%
3-0
7.0%
1-1
6.6%
4-1
5.8%
4-0
5.0%
2-2
5.0%
Víkingur II goals ↓
HB II goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.4%
1.5%
1.2%
0.5%
0.1%
1
4.6%
6.6%
3.5%
1.4%
0.4%
2
7.4%
8.6%
5.0%
1.9%
0.6%
3
7.0%
8.1%
4.7%
1.8%
0.5%
4
5.0%
5.8%
3.3%
1.3%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Víkingur II goals (down), columns = HB II goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
B71
2.75
Víkingur II
2.62
Suduroy
2.38
ÍF II
2.14
TB
1.56
Hoyvík
1.12
HB II
0.78
B36 II
0.75
NSÍ II
0.43
EB / Streymur II
0.12
Víkingur II is 1.85 points better than HB II in terms of average points per game (2.62 vs 0.78).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
B71
3.88
ÍF II
3.43
Víkingur II
3.12
Suduroy
2.88
TB
2.33
B36 II
2.00
HB II
1.33
EB / Streymur II
1.00
NSÍ II
0.86
Hoyvík
0.75
Víkingur II is 1.79 goals better than HB II in terms of goals scored per game (3.12 vs 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Suduroy
0.62
B71
1.00
Víkingur II
1.25
Hoyvík
2.00
ÍF II
2.00
HB II
2.11
TB
2.33
B36 II
3.12
EB / Streymur II
3.50
NSÍ II
3.71
Víkingur II is 0.86 goals better than HB II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 2.11).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Víkingur II or Draw✓ Hit
87.8%
Avg Implied -
72%
16%
12%
covers Víkingur II + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Víkingur II or HB II✓ Hit
83.7%
Avg Implied -
72%
16%
12%
covers Víkingur II + HB II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or HB II✗ Miss
28.5%
Avg Implied -
72%
16%
12%
covers Draw + HB II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Víkingur II over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
94.2%
Under
5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Víkingur II over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
77.6%
Under
22.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Víkingur II over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
54.0%
Under
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Víkingur II over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
31.7%
Under
68.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
68.6%
Under
31.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
32.3%
Under
67.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.2%
Under
88.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.0%
Under
97.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Víkingur II, so a minus line means Víkingur II give that many goals of a start and HB II receive them. At -1, Víkingur II must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Víkingur II win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Víkingur II)Actual: Draw
Víkingur II -2
32.4%
Draw -2
19.7%
HB II +2
47.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Víkingur II)Actual: Víkingur II
Víkingur II -1
52.1%
Draw -1
19.4%
HB II +1
28.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Víkingur II)Actual: Víkingur II
Víkingur II +1
87.8%
Draw +1
7.6%
HB II -1
4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Víkingur II)Actual: Víkingur II
Víkingur II +2
95.4%
Draw +2
3.3%
HB II -2
1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Víkingur II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
0.73
1.47
0.87
1.20
0.60
vs Stronger (10)
1.00
0.80
1.40
1.20
0.60
0.40
vs Similar (9)
0.67
0.78
0.80
0.60
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (11)
2.18
0.64
2.20
0.80
2.17
0.50
Clean sheet %
43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (HB II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HB II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
1.20
0.47
1.40
0.47
1.00
vs Stronger (24)
0.38
1.12
0.31
1.23
0.45
1.00
vs Similar (6)
0.83
1.50
1.50
2.50
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Víkingur II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
75.5%
Under 0.5
24.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
45.1%
Under 1.5
54.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.2%
Under 2.5
82.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Víkingur II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
67.1%
Under
32.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Víkingur II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
25.0%
Under
75.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Víkingur II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.4%
Under
92.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
33.0%
Under
67.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.1%
Under
93.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.7%
Under
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Víkingur II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.97
0.73
0.60
1.27
1.33
vs Stronger (10)
1.10
1.20
1.20
0.80
1.00
1.60
vs Similar (9)
0.56
1.11
0.80
0.60
0.25
1.75
vs Weaker (11)
1.27
0.64
0.20
0.40
2.17
0.83
Clean sheet %
37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (HB II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HB II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.47
0.73
1.07
0.47
1.87
vs Stronger (24)
0.50
1.46
0.62
1.00
0.36
2.00
vs Similar (6)
1.00
1.50
1.50
1.50
0.75
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Víkingur II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
86.0%
Under 0.5
14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
57.7%
Under 1.5
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
26.5%
Under 2.5
73.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Víkingur II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
75.7%
Under
24.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Víkingur II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
38.8%
Under
61.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Víkingur II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.5%
Under
85.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
37.5%
Under
62.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
8.5%
Under
91.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.3%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
95.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
94.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
94.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
92.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
91.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
91.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
88.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
88.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
87.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
87.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 1.5 goals
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 2H goals
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
75.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home win
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BI (6)
€0m
VI (5)
€0m
E/S (7)
€0m
NI (4)
€0m
HI (4)
€0m
Víkingur II and HB II have a similar squad value (both €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BI (3)
€0m
HI (1)
€0m
VI (1)
€0m
E/S (0)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
Víkingur II and HB II have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
E/S (6)
€0m
NI (3)
€0m
HI (2)
€0m
BI (1)
€0m
VI (1)
€0m
Víkingur II and HB II have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VI (3)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
NI (1)
€0m
HI (1)
€0m
E/S (1)
€0m
Víkingur II and HB II have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild stats & trends →