Víkingur II's recent 5-game winning streak, including a 4-1 thrashing of NSII, has set them up for a potential high-scoring match against Hoyvík. The model predicts a home win, with a 42% probability, and a 25% chance of a draw, while Hoyvík are favourites to win away with a 34% probability. The expected total goals is 3.4, suggesting a high-scoring encounter. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 10.6% probability.
Víkingur II have been scoring an average of 2 goals at home against weaker opponents, while conceding 1.25. Hoyvík, on the other hand, have been scoring 1.2 goals away against stronger opponents, while conceding 2.
The model's selection is the home win, with a 42% probability, while the away win is 34%. The draw is 25%. The model also suggests Over 1.5 with a 86.1% probability.
Results analysis
The win extends Víkings II's 5-game winning run, with a 4-1 victory over NSÍ II in their last match. In their latest outing, Hoyvík's win was followed by a 1-0 defeat to Suduroy. The final score of 2-0 was a home win, as the model predicted, and the model's selection, Home win, was correct. With a 42% probability of a home win, the model's call was well-supported. The model's selection, Home win, was the predicted outcome, with a higher probability than the 34% chance of an away win. The suggested picks largely came in, with the model's selection of Over 1.5 goals hitting, in line with an 86.1% probability.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Víkingur II win✓ Hit
41.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík win✗ Miss
33.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Víkingur II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.30
1.70
2.00
1.53
2.60
1.87
vs Stronger (6)
2.33
1.67
2.75
1.75
1.50
1.50
vs Similar (10)
1.10
2.50
0.75
2.25
1.33
2.67
vs Weaker (14)
3.14
1.14
2.29
1.00
4.00
1.29
Clean sheet %
20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Hoyvík) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hoyvík
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.90
0.93
2.00
1.00
1.80
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.33
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (16)
0.81
2.50
0.89
2.44
0.71
2.57
vs Weaker (11)
1.18
1.18
1.00
1.40
1.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Víkingur II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.1%
Under 1.5
13.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
65.8%
Under 2.5
34.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
43.9%
Under 3.5
56.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
67.4%
No
32.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.6%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-2
6.9%
2-0 ✓
5.4%
3-1
5.2%
1-0
5.1%
0-1
4.4%
Víkingur II goals ↓
Hoyvík goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.3%
4.4%
4.3%
2.3%
0.9%
1
5.1%
11%
7.7%
4.1%
1.6%
2
5.4%
8.7%
6.9%
3.7%
1.5%
3
3.3%
5.2%
4.1%
2.2%
0.9%
4
1.5%
2.3%
1.9%
1.0%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Víkingur II goals (down), columns = Hoyvík goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
B71
2.71
Víkingur II
2.57
Suduroy
2.29
ÍF II
2.00
TB
1.38
Hoyvík
1.29
HB II
0.88
B36 II
0.86
NSÍ II
0.50
EB / Streymur II
0.14
Víkingur II is 1.29 points better than Hoyvík in terms of average points per game (2.57 vs 1.29).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
B71
3.71
ÍF II
3.50
Víkingur II
3.29
Suduroy
2.86
TB
2.00
B36 II
1.86
HB II
1.50
EB / Streymur II
1.00
Hoyvík
0.86
NSÍ II
0.83
Víkingur II is 2.43 goals better than Hoyvík in terms of goals scored per game (3.29 vs 0.86).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
B71
0.71
Suduroy
0.71
Víkingur II
1.43
Hoyvík
1.86
HB II
2.12
ÍF II
2.17
TB
2.50
B36 II
2.86
NSÍ II
3.50
EB / Streymur II
3.57
Víkingur II is 0.43 goals better than Hoyvík in terms of goals conceded per game (1.43 vs 1.86).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Víkingur II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
0.77
1.27
0.87
1.33
0.67
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
0.83
1.00
1.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (10)
0.80
1.00
0.75
1.25
0.83
0.83
vs Weaker (14)
1.86
0.57
1.71
0.57
2.00
0.57
Clean sheet %
40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Hoyvík) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hoyvík
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.77
0.44
0.75
0.71
0.79
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.25
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (15)
0.40
1.07
0.33
1.00
0.50
1.17
vs Weaker (11)
0.91
0.55
0.60
0.60
1.17
0.50
Clean sheet %
43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Víkingur II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Víkingur II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Víkingur II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Víkingur II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Víkingur II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.93
0.73
0.67
1.27
1.20
vs Stronger (6)
1.50
0.83
1.75
0.75
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (10)
0.30
1.50
0.00
1.00
0.50
1.83
vs Weaker (14)
1.29
0.57
0.57
0.43
2.00
0.71
Clean sheet %
33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Hoyvík) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hoyvík
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
1.10
0.44
1.25
0.36
0.93
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.25
0.00
1.50
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (15)
0.47
1.40
0.56
1.44
0.33
1.33
vs Weaker (11)
0.27
0.64
0.40
0.80
0.17
0.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Víkingur II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Víkingur II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Víkingur II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Víkingur II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
B71
Suduroy
ÍF II
TB
HB II
B36 II
NSÍ II
EB / Streymur II