This opponent (Valladolid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Valladolid
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.33
1.62
1.19
0.86
1.50
vs Stronger (3)
2.33
2.33
2.50
3.00
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
1.17
1.30
1.64
0.91
0.75
1.67
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.75
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Villarreal II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
78.5%
Under 1.5
21.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.7%
@ 1.98+5.9%
Under 2.5
46.3%
@ 1.81-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.4%
Under 3.5
68.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.1%
No
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
2-1
9.0%
1-0 ✓
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
0-0
7.1%
2-0
7.0%
0-1
6.5%
2-2
5.8%
Villarreal II goals ↓
Valladolid goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.1%
6.5%
4.9%
2.1%
0.7%
1
7.9%
13%
7.6%
3.3%
1.1%
2
7.0%
9.0%
5.8%
2.5%
0.8%
3
3.6%
4.6%
3.0%
1.3%
0.4%
4
1.4%
1.8%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Villarreal II goals (down), columns = Valladolid goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Leganes
1.76
Valladolid
1.71
Espanyol
1.65
Eibar
1.64
Oviedo
1.54
Racing Santander
1.52
Sporting Gijon
1.50
Burgos
1.40
Levante
1.40
Elche
1.40
Racing Ferrol
1.40
Tenerife
1.33
FC Cartagena
1.21
Zaragoza
1.21
Albacete
1.21
Eldense
1.19
Huesca
1.17
Mirandes
1.17
Amorebieta
1.07
Alcorcon
1.05
Villarreal II
1.02
FC Andorra
1.02
Villarreal II is 0.69 points worse than Valladolid in terms of average points per game (1.02 vs 1.71).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Eibar
1.64
Racing Santander
1.50
Espanyol
1.35
Leganes
1.33
Oviedo
1.26
Burgos
1.24
Valladolid
1.21
Albacete
1.19
Levante
1.17
Racing Ferrol
1.17
Sporting Gijon
1.16
Mirandes
1.12
Eldense
1.10
Elche
1.02
Zaragoza
1.00
Villarreal II
0.98
Tenerife
0.90
Amorebieta
0.88
FC Cartagena
0.88
Huesca
0.86
FC Andorra
0.79
Alcorcon
0.76
Villarreal II is 0.24 goals worse than Valladolid in terms of goals scored per game (0.98 vs 1.21).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Leganes
0.64
Huesca
0.79
Valladolid
0.86
Oviedo
0.89
Espanyol
0.89
Tenerife
0.98
Sporting Gijon
0.98
Zaragoza
1.00
Levante
1.07
Elche
1.10
Eibar
1.14
FC Cartagena
1.21
Racing Ferrol
1.24
Amorebieta
1.26
FC Andorra
1.26
Alcorcon
1.26
Burgos
1.29
Racing Santander
1.31
Mirandes
1.31
Eldense
1.33
Albacete
1.33
Villarreal II
1.48
Villarreal II is 0.62 goals worse than Valladolid in terms of goals conceded per game (1.48 vs 0.86).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Andorra
63%
Elche
58%
Valladolid
56%
Eibar
55%
Oviedo
54%
Sporting Gijon
54%
Levante
52%
Racing Ferrol
52%
Espanyol
51%
Zaragoza
50%
Villarreal II
50%
Tenerife
50%
Albacete
49%
Racing Santander
47%
Burgos
47%
Amorebieta
46%
Leganes
46%
Eldense
45%
Huesca
45%
Mirandes
45%
FC Cartagena
44%
Alcorcon
42%
Villarreal II is 6.5 percentage points worse than Valladolid in terms of average possession (50% vs 56%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Villarreal II
For 4.2 · Against 5.3 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 11.3 · Total 24.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Valladolid
For 4.8 · Against 4.1 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 13.3 · Total 25.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Villarreal II
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
10.2
8.2
1.7
1.2
2.2
25.0
25.0
25.0
vs Stronger (30)
9.3
11.0
7.8
1.3
0.8
2.0
23.6
21.8
25.2
vs Similar (20)
9.0
9.2
8.8
2.2
2.1
2.4
26.9
29.0
24.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
42%
44%
40%
26%
16%
36%
68%
67%
70%
% under line
58%
56%
60%
74%
84%
64%
32%
33%
30%
This opponent (Valladolid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Valladolid
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
10.7
7.8
2.0
2.2
1.8
26.7
25.7
27.8
vs Stronger (12)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (34)
9.3
10.6
8.1
2.5
2.6
2.3
26.0
24.9
27.0
vs Weaker (4)
9.5
11.0
5.0
4.5
4.3
5.0
29.2
27.7
34.0
% over line
42%
60%
22%
34%
38%
29%
95%
90%
100%
% under line
58%
40%
78%
66%
62%
71%
5%
10%
0%
This opponent (Villarreal II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Mirandes
10.3
Huesca
10.1
Espanyol
10.1
Valladolid
10.0
Levante
9.8
Sporting Gijon
9.8
Racing Santander
9.5
Elche
9.5
Amorebieta
9.4
Burgos
9.4
Zaragoza
9.3
Eldense
9.3
Villarreal II
9.2
Eibar
9.1
Oviedo
9.0
Leganes
8.9
Tenerife
8.9
Alcorcon
8.9
FC Cartagena
8.8
Albacete
8.3
Racing Ferrol
8.1
FC Andorra
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Espanyol
5.9
Racing Santander
5.8
Levante
5.7
Huesca
5.3
Elche
5.3
Oviedo
5.3
Sporting Gijon
5.2
Leganes
5.1
Tenerife
5.1
FC Cartagena
5.1
Zaragoza
5.1
Mirandes
5.1
Valladolid
5.0
Albacete
4.9
Villarreal II
4.7
Eibar
4.7
FC Andorra
4.7
Alcorcon
4.6
Burgos
4.5
Amorebieta
4.4
Eldense
4.0
Racing Ferrol
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Racing Santander
31.3
Leganes
29.0
Oviedo
27.8
FC Cartagena
27.6
Albacete
27.4
Elche
27.3
Huesca
27.2
Espanyol
27.1
Valladolid
27.1
Eldense
26.9
Tenerife
26.8
Zaragoza
26.3
Alcorcon
26.1
Levante
25.7
Amorebieta
25.5
FC Andorra
25.1
Villarreal II
25.0
Racing Ferrol
24.8
Mirandes
24.8
Eibar
24.5
Burgos
23.7
Sporting Gijon
23.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
45.2%
Under 9.5
54.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
68.3%
Under 3.5
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
79.6%
Under 21.5
20.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Villarreal II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.63
0.73
0.87
0.40
0.40
vs Stronger (18)
0.33
0.72
0.50
0.88
0.20
0.60
vs Similar (12)
0.92
0.50
1.00
0.86
0.80
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Valladolid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Valladolid
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.43
0.75
0.31
0.43
0.57
vs Stronger (3)
1.67
1.00
1.50
1.50
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (23)
0.52
0.35
0.82
0.00
0.25
0.67
vs Weaker (4)
0.25
0.50
0.00
0.67
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Villarreal II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Villarreal II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valladolid over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valladolid over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valladolid over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Villarreal II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.90
0.87
0.60
0.47
1.20
vs Stronger (18)
0.56
0.89
0.62
0.62
0.50
1.10
vs Similar (12)
0.83
0.92
1.14
0.57
0.40
1.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Valladolid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Valladolid
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.90
0.88
0.88
0.43
0.93
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.33
1.00
1.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.65
0.96
0.82
0.91
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.25
1.00
0.33
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Villarreal II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Villarreal II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valladolid over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valladolid over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valladolid over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Villarreal II
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Álex Forés38%
Javier Ontiveros21%
Víctor Moreno11%
Stefan Leković10%
Jorge Pascual8%
Pau Navarro8%
Alberto del Moral5%
Lanchi4%
Andrés Ferrari3%
Dani Tasende3%
Diego Collado3%
Daniel Requena3%
Miguel Ángel Morro0%
Pablo Íñiguez0%
Adrià Altimira0%
Hugo Novoa Ramos0%
Iker Álvarez0%
Carlo Adriano García0%
Carlos Romero0%
Abraham Rando0%
Aitor Gelardo Vegara0%
Hugo Pérez0%
Marcos Sánchez0%
Tiago Geralnik0%
Rodrigo Alonso0%
Antonio Espigares0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Javier Ontiveros39%
Stefan Leković24%
Abraham Rando24%
Dani Tasende21%
Lanchi20%
Marcos Sánchez20%
Daniel Requena18%
Carlos Romero18%
Pablo Íñiguez18%
Rodrigo Alonso17%
Jorge Pascual15%
Alberto del Moral14%
Tiago Geralnik12%
Adrià Altimira11%
Carlo Adriano García11%
Antonio Espigares10%
Iker Álvarez9%
Pau Navarro8%
Andrés Ferrari6%
Álex Forés5%
Diego Collado3%
Miguel Ángel Morro0%
Hugo Novoa Ramos0%
Aitor Gelardo Vegara0%
Hugo Pérez0%
Víctor Moreno0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Carlos Romero18%
Dani Tasende12%
Javier Ontiveros11%
Jorge Pascual10%
Hugo Novoa Ramos9%
Carlo Adriano García6%
Lanchi4%
Adrià Altimira4%
Rodrigo Alonso3%
Álex Forés3%
Miguel Ángel Morro0%
Pablo Íñiguez0%
Iker Álvarez0%
Alberto del Moral0%
Diego Collado0%
Abraham Rando0%
Aitor Gelardo Vegara0%
Hugo Pérez0%
Marcos Sánchez0%
Tiago Geralnik0%
Antonio Espigares0%
Stefan Leković0%
Andrés Ferrari0%
Víctor Moreno0%
Daniel Requena0%
Pau Navarro0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Javier Ontiveros39%
Álex Forés26%
Jorge Pascual8%
Diego Collado6%
Carlo Adriano García6%
Carlos Romero5%
Lanchi4%
Tiago Geralnik4%
Adrià Altimira4%
Andrés Ferrari3%
Dani Tasende3%
Daniel Requena3%
Miguel Ángel Morro0%
Pablo Íñiguez0%
Hugo Novoa Ramos0%
Iker Álvarez0%
Alberto del Moral0%
Abraham Rando0%
Aitor Gelardo Vegara0%
Hugo Pérez0%
Marcos Sánchez0%
Rodrigo Alonso0%
Antonio Espigares0%
Stefan Leković0%
Víctor Moreno0%
Pau Navarro0%
Valladolid
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Amath Ndiaye33%
Mamadou Sylla24%
Marcos André19%
Isra Sala18%
Iván Cédric17%
Víctor Meseguer15%
Monchu14%
Anuar10%
Joni Montiel9%
Gustavo Henrique8%
Álvaro Negredo8%
Raúl Moro7%
César Tárrega6%
Sergio Escudero6%
Stanko Jurić5%
Kenedy3%
Lucas Rosa3%
Flavien Boyomo3%
Javi Sánchez0%
Sergio León0%
Lucas Oliveira0%
César de la Hoz0%
Iván Sánchez0%
Luis Pérez0%
Jordi Masip0%
John0%
Alberto Quintana0%
Stipe Biuk0%
David Torres0%
Babatunde Akinsola0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joni Montiel36%
Javi Sánchez33%
Alberto Quintana33%
John27%
Isra Sala27%
Iván Sánchez26%
César de la Hoz26%
Sergio Escudero26%
Anuar25%
Marcos André25%
Amath Ndiaye22%
Babatunde Akinsola22%
Mamadou Sylla21%
César Tárrega19%
Lucas Oliveira18%
Víctor Meseguer18%
Lucas Rosa17%
Gustavo Henrique17%
Raúl Moro13%
Stanko Jurić13%
Flavien Boyomo13%
David Torres12%
Monchu10%
Stipe Biuk9%
Iván Cédric8%
Luis Pérez7%
Kenedy7%
Sergio León0%
Jordi Masip0%
Álvaro Negredo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Amath Ndiaye22%
Marcos André19%
Raúl Moro13%
Luis Pérez12%
Víctor Meseguer12%
Stanko Jurić11%
Iván Sánchez11%
Joni Montiel9%
Isra Sala9%
Stipe Biuk9%
Sergio Escudero9%
Monchu7%
Mamadou Sylla7%
Anuar5%
David Torres4%
Lucas Rosa3%
Javi Sánchez0%
Sergio León0%
Lucas Oliveira0%
Gustavo Henrique0%
Kenedy0%
César de la Hoz0%
Jordi Masip0%
Álvaro Negredo0%
John0%
Alberto Quintana0%
Flavien Boyomo0%
Iván Cédric0%
Babatunde Akinsola0%
César Tárrega0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mamadou Sylla34%
Monchu31%
Amath Ndiaye22%
Kenedy21%
Álvaro Negredo17%
Stipe Biuk9%
Sergio Escudero9%
Raúl Moro7%
Víctor Meseguer6%
Stanko Jurić3%
Javi Sánchez0%
Sergio León0%
Anuar0%
Lucas Oliveira0%
Gustavo Henrique0%
Joni Montiel0%
César de la Hoz0%
Iván Sánchez0%
Luis Pérez0%
Jordi Masip0%
Lucas Rosa0%
John0%
Marcos André0%
Alberto Quintana0%
Isra Sala0%
Flavien Boyomo0%
Iván Cédric0%
David Torres0%
Babatunde Akinsola0%
César Tárrega0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
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Espanyol
Leganes
Eibar
Oviedo
Sporting Gijon
Racing Santander
Levante
Burgos
Racing Ferrol
Elche
Tenerife
Zaragoza
Albacete
FC Cartagena
Eldense
Huesca
Mirandes
Amorebieta
Alcorcon
FC Andorra