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Villarreal vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: 15/03/2025
Time: 17:30
Final 1-2
Villarreal
Villarreal
Vs
27%
24%
50%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Spain: La Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Villarreal win✗ Miss
26.6%
Avg Implied 31.3% · @ 3.05
Edge
-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.5%
Avg Implied 24.5% · @ 3.90
Edge
-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid win✓ Hit
49.9%
Avg Implied 44.2% · @ 2.16
Edge
+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

VillarrealVillarreal

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D52W01L40W11D51W21W11D10W01LH·RAY18/12A·LEG22/12A·REA13/01H·MAL20/01A·ATL25/01H·VAL01/02A·LAS08/02H·VAL15/02A·RAY22/02A·ALA08/03
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.971.432.461.771.591.18
vs Stronger (5)1.602.802.333.670.501.50
vs Similar (8)1.381.622.002.000.751.25
vs Weaker (17)2.350.942.830.672.091.09
Clean sheet %10% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Real MadridReal Madrid

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D32W11D31W20W10W12L21W21W01LH·ATL08/02A·MAN11/02A·OSA15/02H·MAN19/02H·GIR23/02A·REA26/02A·REA01/03H·ATL04/03H·RAY09/03A·ATL12/03
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.231.202.461.312.061.12
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)1.291.711.501.751.001.67
vs Weaker (23)2.521.042.891.112.291.00
Clean sheet %30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Villarreal) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%120%222%319%413%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.5%
Under 1.5
13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
66.4%
@ 1.47+2.0%
Under 2.5
33.6%
@ 2.66-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
44.6%
Under 3.5
55.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
66.6%
No
33.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.2%
1-2 ✓
9.3%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
6.6%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.2%
0-1
5.6%
2-3
4.4%
Villarreal goals ↓
Real Madrid goals →
01234
04.2%5.6%6.5%4.3%2.2%
13.7%10%9.3%6.2%3.1%
23.3%6.6%6.6%4.4%2.2%
31.6%3.1%3.1%2.1%1.0%
40.6%1.1%1.1%0.7%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Villarreal goals (down), columns = Real Madrid goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Barcelona
2.32
Real Madrid
2.21
Atletico Madrid
2.00
Villarreal
1.84
Athletic Club
1.84
Real Betis
1.58
Celta Vigo
1.45
Rayo Vallecano
1.37
Osasuna
1.37
Mallorca
1.26
Valencia
1.21
Real Sociedad
1.21
Getafe
1.11
Espanyol
1.11
Alaves
1.11
Girona
1.08
Sevilla
1.08
Leganes
1.05
Las Palmas
0.84
Valladolid
0.42
Villarreal is 0.37 points worse than Real Madrid in terms of average points per game (1.84 vs 2.21).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Barcelona
2.68
Real Madrid
2.05
Villarreal
1.87
Atletico Madrid
1.79
Celta Vigo
1.55
Real Betis
1.50
Athletic Club
1.42
Osasuna
1.26
Valencia
1.16
Girona
1.16
Sevilla
1.11
Rayo Vallecano
1.08
Espanyol
1.05
Las Palmas
1.05
Leganes
1.03
Alaves
1.00
Real Sociedad
0.92
Mallorca
0.92
Getafe
0.89
Valladolid
0.68
Villarreal is 0.18 goals worse than Real Madrid in terms of goals scored per game (1.87 vs 2.05).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Athletic Club
0.76
Atletico Madrid
0.79
Real Madrid
1.00
Getafe
1.03
Barcelona
1.03
Mallorca
1.16
Rayo Vallecano
1.18
Real Sociedad
1.21
Alaves
1.26
Real Betis
1.32
Villarreal
1.34
Espanyol
1.34
Osasuna
1.37
Valencia
1.42
Sevilla
1.45
Leganes
1.47
Celta Vigo
1.50
Girona
1.58
Las Palmas
1.61
Valladolid
2.37
Villarreal is 0.34 goals worse than Real Madrid in terms of goals conceded per game (1.34 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Barcelona
69%
Real Madrid
60%
Girona
56%
Real Sociedad
54%
Celta Vigo
54%
Atletico Madrid
53%
Real Betis
53%
Rayo Vallecano
52%
Las Palmas
51%
Sevilla
51%
Athletic Club
48%
Valencia
48%
Villarreal
48%
Mallorca
47%
Osasuna
46%
Alaves
45%
Valladolid
43%
Leganes
42%
Getafe
41%
Espanyol
40%
Villarreal is 12.9 percentage points worse than Real Madrid in terms of average possession (48% vs 60%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

VillarrealVillarreal

For 5.4 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.6

🚩 Corners

14061534556366565735177789119111110614A·ALAA·RAYH·VALA·LASH·VALA·ATLH·MALA·REAA·LEGH·RAY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 3.8 · Total 5.9

🟨 Cards

9016425361224132423537659364658A·ALAA·RAYH·VALA·LASH·VALA·ATLH·MALA·REAA·LEGH·RAY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 14.0 · Total 24.6

⚠️ Fouls

32013111215617121291414109126171517101524272324232421233225A·ALAA·RAYH·VALA·LASH·VALA·ATLH·MALA·REAA·LEGH·RAY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Real MadridReal Madrid

For 6.1 · Against 5.2 · Total 11.3

🚩 Corners

200101046632911575265661812010911161281179A·ATLH·RAYH·ATLA·REAH·GIRH·MANA·OSAA·MANH·ATLA·ESP
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.0

🟨 Cards

80443114321223132318417235424A·ATLH·RAYH·ATLA·REAH·GIRH·MANA·OSAH·ATLA·ESPA·STA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.0 · Against 12.6 · Total 21.6

⚠️ Fouls

290161112171013121717997166914133142729232981823152717A·ATLH·RAYH·ATLA·REAH·GIRH·MANA·OSAA·MANH·ATLA·ESP
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

VillarrealVillarreal

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.39.49.25.85.46.224.925.824.1
vs Stronger (7)7.96.89.35.05.24.724.026.221.0
vs Similar (18)9.19.48.87.17.46.823.923.124.4
vs Weaker (25)9.910.39.55.24.26.025.927.324.6
% over line50%55%46%82%82%82%77%82%73%
% under line50%45%54%18%18%18%23%18%27%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Real MadridReal Madrid

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.411.09.73.53.03.922.521.623.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (9)11.910.613.54.03.25.022.924.421.0
vs Weaker (41)10.011.18.93.42.93.722.420.823.9
% over line54%70%39%46%33%58%57%48%65%
% under line46%30%61%54%67%42%43%52%35%
This opponent (Villarreal) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Real Madrid
10.6
Barcelona
10.4
Real Sociedad
9.7
Las Palmas
9.5
Rayo Vallecano
9.4
Villarreal
9.4
Real Betis
9.3
Osasuna
9.3
Alaves
9.3
Sevilla
9.3
Valladolid
9.2
Espanyol
9.2
Athletic Club
9.2
Mallorca
9.1
Valencia
9.0
Atletico Madrid
9.0
Leganes
8.9
Girona
8.7
Celta Vigo
8.3
Getafe
7.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Getafe
6.4
Villarreal
6.1
Las Palmas
5.6
Alaves
5.5
Valladolid
5.5
Real Betis
5.3
Rayo Vallecano
5.2
Girona
5.2
Sevilla
5.1
Real Sociedad
5.0
Espanyol
5.0
Leganes
4.8
Osasuna
4.8
Athletic Club
4.7
Celta Vigo
4.7
Atletico Madrid
4.6
Barcelona
4.6
Valencia
4.5
Mallorca
4.3
Real Madrid
4.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Getafe
30.2
Alaves
27.7
Espanyol
27.4
Real Betis
26.9
Rayo Vallecano
26.5
Leganes
26.0
Valladolid
25.2
Real Sociedad
25.2
Villarreal
25.0
Celta Vigo
24.7
Valencia
24.7
Las Palmas
24.5
Mallorca
24.3
Osasuna
23.9
Girona
23.9
Athletic Club
23.6
Sevilla
23.5
Atletico Madrid
23.0
Real Madrid
22.6
Barcelona
21.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
46.9%
Under 9.5
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
77.0%
Under 3.5
23.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
73.9%
Under 21.5
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

VillarrealVillarreal

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D22D00D40W10W10W00D10W00D01LH·RAY18/12A·LEG22/12A·REA13/01H·MAL20/01A·ATL25/01H·VAL01/02A·LAS08/02H·VAL15/02A·RAY22/02A·ALA08/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.771.230.920.760.65
vs Stronger (5)1.001.801.332.670.500.50
vs Similar (8)0.620.750.750.750.500.75
vs Weaker (17)1.120.471.500.170.910.64
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Real MadridReal Madrid

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L10W20W10W10W11D11D21W01LH·ATL08/02A·MAN11/02A·OSA15/02H·MAN19/02H·GIR23/02A·REA26/02A·REA01/03H·ATL04/03H·RAY09/03A·ATL12/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.501.540.540.880.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.430.570.750.500.000.67
vs Weaker (23)1.390.481.890.561.070.43
Clean sheet %57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Villarreal) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Villarreal over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

VillarrealVillarreal

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D30W01L00D01L41W21W01L10W00DH·RAY18/12A·LEG22/12A·REA13/01H·MAL20/01A·ATL25/01H·VAL01/02A·LAS08/02H·VAL15/02A·RAY22/02A·ALA08/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.671.230.850.820.53
vs Stronger (5)0.601.001.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (8)0.750.881.251.250.250.50
vs Weaker (17)1.240.471.330.501.180.45
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Real MadridReal Madrid

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W31W01L11D10W00D01L10W00D00DH·ATL08/02A·MAN11/02A·OSA15/02H·MAN19/02H·GIR23/02A·REA26/02A·REA01/03H·ATL04/03H·RAY09/03A·ATL12/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.700.920.771.180.65
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.861.140.751.251.001.00
vs Weaker (23)1.130.571.000.561.210.57
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Villarreal) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Villarreal over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards89.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.586.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls85.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards77.0%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners75.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls73.9%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Villarreal
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Arnaut Danjuma67%
Ayoze Pérez52%
Thierno Barry25%
Etta Eyong25%
Alejandro Baena22%
Gerard Moreno17%
Yéremy Pino12%
Santi Comesaña11%
Nicolas Pépé11%
Ilias Akhomach9%
Pau Cabanes De La Torre9%
Pape Gueye9%
Dani Parejo8%
Tajon Buchanan8%
Logan Costa6%
Juan Foyth5%
Denis Suárez5%
Sergi Cardona3%
Juan Bernat0%
Raúl Albiol0%
Eric Bailly0%
Alfonso Pedraza0%
Kiko Femenía0%
Diego Conde0%
Ramón Terrats0%
Luiz Júnior0%
Willy Kambwala0%
Pau Navarro0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Arnaut Danjuma33%
Yéremy Pino32%
Sergi Cardona31%
Alejandro Baena28%
Raúl Albiol25%
Kiko Femenía25%
Santi Comesaña22%
Dani Parejo22%
Juan Foyth21%
Eric Bailly17%
Tajon Buchanan15%
Pape Gueye14%
Ayoze Pérez13%
Luiz Júnior11%
Thierno Barry11%
Nicolas Pépé11%
Logan Costa9%
Diego Conde9%
Ramón Terrats9%
Ilias Akhomach9%
Pau Navarro6%
Willy Kambwala5%
Juan Bernat0%
Denis Suárez0%
Alfonso Pedraza0%
Gerard Moreno0%
Etta Eyong0%
Pau Cabanes De La Torre0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alejandro Baena25%
Yéremy Pino21%
Nicolas Pépé18%
Alfonso Pedraza17%
Tajon Buchanan15%
Sergi Cardona14%
Gerard Moreno11%
Thierno Barry11%
Juan Bernat9%
Dani Parejo8%
Ayoze Pérez6%
Santi Comesaña6%
Denis Suárez5%
Diego Conde5%
Kiko Femenía4%
Logan Costa3%
Arnaut Danjuma0%
Juan Foyth0%
Raúl Albiol0%
Eric Bailly0%
Pape Gueye0%
Ramón Terrats0%
Luiz Júnior0%
Willy Kambwala0%
Ilias Akhomach0%
Etta Eyong0%
Pau Cabanes De La Torre0%
Pau Navarro0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ayoze Pérez39%
Thierno Barry28%
Alejandro Baena19%
Ilias Akhomach18%
Pape Gueye14%
Gerard Moreno11%
Nicolas Pépé11%
Pau Cabanes De La Torre9%
Santi Comesaña6%
Juan Foyth5%
Logan Costa3%
Sergi Cardona3%
Arnaut Danjuma0%
Juan Bernat0%
Raúl Albiol0%
Eric Bailly0%
Dani Parejo0%
Denis Suárez0%
Alfonso Pedraza0%
Kiko Femenía0%
Tajon Buchanan0%
Diego Conde0%
Yéremy Pino0%
Ramón Terrats0%
Luiz Júnior0%
Willy Kambwala0%
Etta Eyong0%
Pau Navarro0%
Real Madrid
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kylian Mbappé54%
Vinícius Júnior31%
Jude Bellingham27%
Gonzalo García25%
Jacobo Ramón20%
Rodrygo19%
Endrick16%
Federico Valverde15%
Brahim Díaz12%
Daniel Carvajal10%
Arda Güler10%
Luka Modrić7%
Antonio Rüdiger7%
Éder Militão6%
Eduardo Camavinga6%
Lucas Vázquez4%
Aurélien Tchouaméni4%
David Alaba0%
Ferland Mendy0%
Thibaut Courtois0%
Fran García0%
Jesús Vallejo0%
Dani Ceballos0%
Andriy Lunin0%
Lorenzo Aguado0%
Raúl Asencio0%
Chema Andrés0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jacobo Ramón40%
Vinícius Júnior27%
Éder Militão25%
Luka Modrić20%
Lucas Vázquez19%
Aurélien Tchouaméni19%
Eduardo Camavinga19%
Jude Bellingham19%
Raúl Asencio18%
David Alaba14%
Dani Ceballos14%
Antonio Rüdiger13%
Endrick11%
Daniel Carvajal10%
Federico Valverde9%
Kylian Mbappé8%
Ferland Mendy7%
Arda Güler2%
Thibaut Courtois2%
Brahim Díaz2%
Fran García0%
Jesús Vallejo0%
Rodrygo0%
Andriy Lunin0%
Gonzalo García0%
Lorenzo Aguado0%
Chema Andrés0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jesús Vallejo25%
Gonzalo García25%
Jude Bellingham23%
Vinícius Júnior21%
Rodrygo19%
Luka Modrić17%
Arda Güler15%
Federico Valverde15%
Lucas Vázquez13%
Brahim Díaz12%
Daniel Carvajal10%
Kylian Mbappé8%
Ferland Mendy7%
Andriy Lunin7%
Fran García7%
Éder Militão6%
Eduardo Camavinga6%
Dani Ceballos5%
Raúl Asencio5%
Aurélien Tchouaméni2%
David Alaba0%
Thibaut Courtois0%
Antonio Rüdiger0%
Lorenzo Aguado0%
Endrick0%
Jacobo Ramón0%
Chema Andrés0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kylian Mbappé67%
Vinícius Júnior40%
Jude Bellingham23%
Arda Güler17%
Endrick14%
Rodrygo13%
Brahim Díaz8%
Federico Valverde7%
Éder Militão6%
Eduardo Camavinga3%
Antonio Rüdiger2%
Aurélien Tchouaméni2%
David Alaba0%
Ferland Mendy0%
Thibaut Courtois0%
Daniel Carvajal0%
Fran García0%
Jesús Vallejo0%
Dani Ceballos0%
Luka Modrić0%
Lucas Vázquez0%
Andriy Lunin0%
Gonzalo García0%
Lorenzo Aguado0%
Raúl Asencio0%
Jacobo Ramón0%
Chema Andrés0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (27)
€1456m
BAR (30)
€1282m
AM (25)
€653m
VIL (24)
€325m
RS (24)
€247m
AC (29)
€241m
RB (25)
€235m
CV (24)
€163m
SEV (25)
€134m
VAL (27)
€125m
ESP (24)
€119m
GIR (28)
€114m
GET (24)
€90m
RV (23)
€76m
OSA (22)
€71m
ALA (25)
€68m
MAL (26)
€48m
LEG (26)
€30m
LP (27)
€30m
VAL (29)
€26m
Villarreal's squad is €1132m less valuable than Real Madrid's (€325m vs €1456m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (10)
€842m
BAR (10)
€590m
AM (9)
€290m
RB (10)
€131m
VIL (8)
€124m
RS (10)
€110m
AC (10)
€106m
GIR (12)
€64m
CV (9)
€57m
SEV (8)
€45m
VAL (10)
€40m
ESP (9)
€39m
GET (5)
€36m
RV (10)
€30m
OSA (8)
€25m
ALA (8)
€24m
MAL (11)
€23m
LP (12)
€14m
LEG (11)
€14m
VAL (11)
€10m
Villarreal's attack is €718m less valuable than Real Madrid's (€124m vs €842m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (8)
€324m
RM (5)
€238m
AM (6)
€155m
RS (5)
€58m
AC (7)
€57m
VIL (4)
€52m
VAL (5)
€46m
CV (3)
€35m
RB (5)
€33m
ESP (5)
€31m
GIR (7)
€28m
GET (6)
€28m
SEV (5)
€23m
ALA (8)
€22m
OSA (4)
€12m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€9m
LEG (5)
€8m
VAL (6)
€6m
LP (5)
€3m
Villarreal's midfield is €186m less valuable than Real Madrid's (€52m vs €238m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (12)
€377m
BAR (12)
€368m
AM (10)
€208m
VIL (12)
€148m
RS (9)
€79m
AC (12)
€77m
CV (12)
€71m
RB (10)
€70m
SEV (12)
€65m
ESP (10)
€48m
VAL (12)
€39m
RV (9)
€36m
OSA (10)
€33m
GET (13)
€26m
GIR (9)
€22m
ALA (9)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
LP (10)
€13m
VAL (12)
€10m
LEG (10)
€8m
Villarreal's defence is €229m less valuable than Real Madrid's (€148m vs €377m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
VIL wins
3
Draws
3
RM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Villarreal vs Real Madrid · H/A from VIL
DateH/AGameScore
05/10/24AReal Madrid Vs VIL2-0
19/05/24HVIL Vs Real Madrid4-4
17/12/23AReal Madrid Vs VIL4-1
08/04/23AReal Madrid Vs VIL2-3
07/01/23HVIL Vs Real Madrid2-1
12/02/22HVIL Vs Real Madrid0-0
25/09/21AReal Madrid Vs VIL0-0
22/05/21AReal Madrid Vs VIL2-1

VillarrealVillarreal

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/03/25AAlaves Vs VIL1-0
22/02/25ARayo Vallecano Vs VIL0-1
15/02/25HVIL Vs Valencia1-1
08/02/25ALas Palmas Vs VIL1-2
01/02/25HVIL Vs Valladolid5-1
25/01/25AAtletico Madrid Vs VIL1-1
20/01/25HVIL Vs Mallorca4-0
13/01/25AReal Sociedad Vs VIL1-0
22/12/24ALeganes Vs VIL2-5
18/12/24HVIL Vs Rayo Vallecano1-1

Real MadridReal Madrid

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/03/25AAtletico Madrid Vs RM1-0
09/03/25HRM Vs Rayo Vallecano2-1
04/03/25HRM Vs Atletico Madrid2-1
01/03/25AReal Betis Vs RM2-1
26/02/25AReal Sociedad Vs RM0-1
23/02/25HRM Vs Girona2-0
19/02/25HRM Vs Manchester City3-1
15/02/25AOsasuna Vs RM1-1
11/02/25AManchester City Vs RM2-3
08/02/25HRM Vs Atletico Madrid1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Villarreal
Villarreal
Spain: La Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWL1.68
HomeLDWWD1.77
AwayLDWWL1.61
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%45%46%
AVG goals3.383.683.14
Over 1.5 %86%91%82%
Over 2.5 %62%68%57%
Over 3.5 %40%50%32%
Scored1.922.271.64
Conceded1.461.411.50
BTTS72%77%68%
Clean Sheet14%23%7%
Corners9.279.369.19
Cards6.085.416.65
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Spain: La Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWL2.16
HomeDWWWW2.50
AwayWDWLL1.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %66%79%54%
AVG goals3.363.673.08
Over 1.5 %90%96%85%
Over 2.5 %66%75%58%
Over 3.5 %40%54%27%
Scored2.322.672.00
Conceded1.041.001.08
BTTS54%58%50%
Clean Sheet36%38%35%
Corners10.3711.009.74
Cards3.873.134.64

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BarcelonaBarcelona3888
74%
2.3
10239+63
3.7
82%
71%
47%
10.9
74%
4.2
57%
22.3
47%
1282
5903243682.71.0
69%
2Real MadridReal Madrid3884
68%
2.2
7838+40
3.1
89%
58%
26%
10.6
55%
4.2
54%
22.8
63%
1456
8422383772.11.0
60%
3Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid3876
58%
2.0
6830+38
2.6
71%
45%
24%
8.8
39%
4.1
64%
22.7
63%
653
2901552081.80.8
53%
4Athletic ClubAthletic Club3870
50%
1.8
5429+25
2.2
63%
37%
16%
9.2
42%
4.2
62%
23.4
66%
241
10657771.40.8
48%
5VillarrealVillarreal3870
53%
1.8
7151+20
3.2
84%
66%
34%
9.6
50%
5.4
79%
24.7
76%
325
124521481.91.3
48%
6Real BetisReal Betis3860
42%
1.6
5750+7
2.8
82%
55%
29%
9.4
61%
5.1
73%
25.9
71%
235
13133701.51.3
53%
7Celta VigoCelta Vigo3855
42%
1.4
5957+2
3.1
82%
63%
34%
8.1
24%
5.0
65%
24.1
74%
163
5735711.61.5
54%
8OsasunaOsasuna3852
32%
1.4
4852-4
2.6
79%
45%
26%
9.6
39%
4.7
65%
24.0
66%
71
2512331.31.4
46%
9Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano3852
34%
1.4
4145-4
2.3
66%
45%
18%
10.3
58%
4.9
84%
24.8
82%
76
309361.11.2
52%
10MallorcaMallorca3848
34%
1.3
3544-9
2.1
61%
39%
11%
10.2
45%
4.2
61%
24.1
66%
48
239160.91.2
47%
11ValenciaValencia3846
29%
1.2
4454-10
2.6
74%
45%
18%
9.9
50%
4.7
65%
24.1
68%
125
4046391.21.4
48%
12Real SociedadReal Sociedad3846
34%
1.2
3546-11
2.1
63%
42%
16%
10.4
63%
4.8
69%
24.9
71%
247
11058790.91.2
54%
13GetafeGetafe3842
29%
1.1
3439-5
1.9
61%
34%
5%
7.7
29%
5.9
82%
29.8
92%
90
3628260.91.0
41%
14AlavesAlaves3842
26%
1.1
3848-10
2.3
61%
37%
21%
9.4
39%
5.9
87%
29.7
89%
68
2422221.01.3
45%
15EspanyolEspanyol3842
29%
1.1
4051-11
2.4
71%
39%
21%
9.8
53%
4.1
63%
25.1
76%
119
3931481.11.3
40%
16SevillaSevilla3841
26%
1.1
4255-13
2.6
68%
39%
24%
9.2
45%
5.3
68%
24.4
68%
134
4523651.11.4
51%
17GironaGirona3841
29%
1.1
4460-16
2.7
76%
55%
26%
9.3
37%
4.8
74%
23.6
66%
114
6428221.21.6
56%
18LeganesLeganes3840
24%
1.1
3956-17
2.5
68%
42%
21%
9.3
53%
4.3
63%
26.2
76%
30
14881.01.5
42%
19Las PalmasLas Palmas3832
21%
0.8
4061-21
2.7
74%
50%
32%
9.4
42%
5.6
73%
24.7
76%
30
143131.11.6
51%
20ValladolidValladolid3816
11%
0.4
2690-64
3.1
74%
66%
29%
9.2
39%
5.0
73%
25.3
74%
26
106100.72.4
43%
Spain: La Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: La Liga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches