Volna are tipped to win, with a 52 % chance of triumph, a 25 % draw probability and a 22 % chance for FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk to come away with the win. The match is expected to see 2.9 goals on average, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 12 % chance. Volna’s home form shows they score 1.33 goals and concede 2.11 against similar opposition, while Energetik-Bgu Minsk on the road average 0.91 goals scored and 1.91 conceded to comparable teams. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99 %), Away under 3.5 goals (97.4 %), Under 6.5 (97.1 %), Under 5.5 (92.6 %), Home +2 handicap (91.1 %), Away under 2.5 goals (89.9 %), Home under 3.5 goals (89.2 %) and Home over 0.5 goals (83.4 %). Volna have been struggling, losing their last two games, while Energetik-Bgu Minsk have also dropped a match, both teams having recently been on losing streaks. The overall shape suggests a tight encounter with Volna edging the advantage.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Volna win
52.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
25.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk win
22.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Volna
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.90
1.77
1.93
1.71
1.88
1.81
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (20)
1.50
2.00
1.33
2.11
1.64
1.91
vs Weaker (9)
2.89
1.33
3.50
1.00
2.40
1.60
Clean sheet %
13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.47
1.36
1.07
1.00
1.81
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
3.00
2.00
5.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.91
1.45
0.91
0.82
0.91
2.09
vs Weaker (6)
2.17
1.00
3.50
0.50
1.50
1.25
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Volna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
79.6%
Under 1.5
20.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55.4%
Under 2.5
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
33.0%
Under 3.5
67.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
56.9%
No
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.8%
1-0
8.8%
0-0
6.6%
1-2
6.0%
3-1
5.9%
2-2
5.4%
Volna goals ↓
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.6%
5.0%
3.4%
1.2%
0.3%
1
8.8%
12%
6.0%
2.2%
0.6%
2
8.8%
9.8%
5.4%
2.0%
0.6%
3
5.3%
5.9%
3.2%
1.2%
0.3%
4
2.4%
2.6%
1.5%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Volna goals (down), columns = FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.71
Niva
2.57
Lida
2.14
Minsk II
1.86
Osipovichy
1.86
Ostrovets FC
1.71
Bumprom
1.38
Smorgon
1.29
FC Slutsk
1.29
Uni Minsk
1.29
Slonim
1.29
Orsha
1.25
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.00
BATE II
1.00
Volna
1.00
Dinamo Minsk II
0.88
Shakhter Soligorsk
0.88
Gomel II
0.62
Volna and FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk are level in average points per game (both 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Niva
3.14
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.43
Lida
2.14
Volna
1.75
Minsk II
1.71
Slonim
1.71
Shakhter Soligorsk
1.62
FC Slutsk
1.57
BATE II
1.57
Bumprom
1.50
Dinamo Minsk II
1.38
Ostrovets FC
1.29
Orsha
1.25
Smorgon
1.14
Uni Minsk
1.14
Osipovichy
1.14
Gomel II
1.00
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0.86
Volna is 0.89 goals better than FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk in terms of goals scored per game (1.75 vs 0.86).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0.43
Uni Minsk
0.57
Minsk II
1.00
FC Slutsk
1.00
Niva
1.14
Smorgon
1.29
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.43
Ostrovets FC
1.43
Osipovichy
1.43
Slonim
1.57
Bumprom
1.62
Lida
1.71
Orsha
1.88
Dinamo Minsk II
1.88
BATE II
2.00
Volna
2.25
Gomel II
2.38
Shakhter Soligorsk
2.75
Volna is 0.82 goals worse than FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk in terms of goals conceded per game (2.25 vs 1.43).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Volna or Draw
77.7%
Avg Implied -
52%
25%
22%
covers Volna + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Volna or FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
74.6%
Avg Implied -
52%
25%
22%
covers Volna + FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
47.6%
Avg Implied -
52%
25%
22%
covers Draw + FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Volna over/under 0.5
Over
83.4%
Under
16.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 1.5
Over
53.5%
Under
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 2.5
Over
26.8%
Under
73.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 3.5
Over
10.8%
Under
89.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk over/under 0.5
Over
66.9%
Under
33.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk over/under 1.5
Over
30.3%
Under
69.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk over/under 2.5
Over
10.1%
Under
89.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk over/under 3.5
Over
2.6%
Under
97.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Volna, so a minus line means Volna give that many goals of a start and FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk receive them. At -1, Volna must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Volna win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Volna)
Volna -2
13.6%
Draw -2
16.4%
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk +2
70.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Volna)
Volna -1
30.0%
Draw -1
22.4%
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk +1
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Volna)
Volna +1
77.7%
Draw +1
13.4%
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk -1
8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Volna)
Volna +2
91.1%
Draw +2
6.2%
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk -2
2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Volna
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.80
1.00
0.86
1.00
0.75
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.75
0.85
0.67
0.89
0.82
0.82
vs Weaker (9)
1.67
0.67
2.00
0.75
1.40
0.60
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.57
0.43
0.43
0.38
0.69
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
1.00
3.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (22)
0.23
0.55
0.18
0.27
0.27
0.82
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.33
1.50
0.00
0.75
0.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Volna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Volna over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Volna
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.97
0.93
0.86
0.88
1.06
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.75
1.15
0.67
1.22
0.82
1.09
vs Weaker (9)
1.22
0.67
1.50
0.25
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.90
0.93
0.64
0.62
1.12
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
1.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.68
0.91
0.73
0.55
0.64
1.27
vs Weaker (6)
1.17
0.67
2.00
0.50
0.75
0.75
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Volna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Volna over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
92.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
91.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
89.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
70.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Belarus: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: 1. Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Niva
Lida
Minsk II
Osipovichy
Ostrovets FC
Bumprom
Orsha
FC Slutsk
Uni Minsk
Slonim
Smorgon
BATE II
Dinamo Minsk II
Shakhter Soligorsk
Gomel II