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Volna vs Orsha Result & Analysis

Date: 25/07/2026
Time: 12:00
Final 3-1
Volna
Volna
Vs
55%
21%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Orsha
Orsha
Belarus: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Volna win✓ Hit
55.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Orsha win✗ Miss
24.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

VolnaVolna

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-542W11D03L22D01L51W23L12L23L24LA·NIV28/09H·OSI04/10A·UNI10/10H·ABF18/10A·BAR25/10H·GOM01/11A·ORS09/11A·OST15/11H·MIN22/11H·SHA12/07
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.831.671.732.131.931.20
vs Stronger (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (22)1.501.911.272.551.731.27
vs Weaker (7)3.001.003.671.002.501.00
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Orsha) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OrshaOrsha

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L12L03L02L02L13L04L32W20W13LA·SLO19/09H·ABF27/09A·BEL05/10H·BAR11/10A·DIN18/10H·GOM26/10A·BUM02/11H·VOL09/11A·FC 17/11H·OST22/11
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.232.701.252.381.213.07
vs Stronger (14)1.212.641.382.251.003.17
vs Similar (16)1.252.751.122.501.383.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Volna) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%3%06%115%220%320%416%522%6+
The model estimates around 4.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
91.6%
Under 1.5
8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
76.3%
Under 2.5
23.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
56.8%
Under 3.5
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
73.2%
No
26.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
8.5%
1-1
7.7%
3-1 ✓
6.8%
2-2
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
3-2
5.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-0
4.3%
Volna goals ↓
Orsha goals →
01234
02.5%2.2%2.3%1.2%0.5%
13.7%7.7%5.6%3.0%1.2%
25.3%8.5%6.7%3.6%1.4%
34.3%6.8%5.4%2.9%1.1%
42.6%4.1%3.3%1.7%0.7%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Volna goals (down), columns = Orsha goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.71
Niva
2.57
Lida
2.14
Minsk II
1.86
Osipovichy
1.86
Ostrovets FC
1.71
Bumprom
1.38
Smorgon
1.29
FC Slutsk
1.29
Uni Minsk
1.29
Slonim
1.29
Orsha
1.25
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.00
BATE II
1.00
Volna
1.00
Dinamo Minsk II
0.88
Shakhter Soligorsk
0.88
Gomel II
0.62
Volna is 0.25 points worse than Orsha in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.25).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Niva
3.14
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.43
Lida
2.14
Volna
1.75
Minsk II
1.71
Slonim
1.71
Shakhter Soligorsk
1.62
FC Slutsk
1.57
BATE II
1.57
Bumprom
1.50
Dinamo Minsk II
1.38
Ostrovets FC
1.29
Orsha
1.25
Smorgon
1.14
Uni Minsk
1.14
Osipovichy
1.14
Gomel II
1.00
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0.86
Volna is 0.50 goals better than Orsha in terms of goals scored per game (1.75 vs 1.25).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0.43
Uni Minsk
0.57
Minsk II
1.00
FC Slutsk
1.00
Niva
1.14
Smorgon
1.29
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.43
Ostrovets FC
1.43
Osipovichy
1.43
Slonim
1.57
Bumprom
1.62
Lida
1.71
Orsha
1.88
Dinamo Minsk II
1.88
BATE II
2.00
Volna
2.25
Gomel II
2.38
Shakhter Soligorsk
2.75
Volna is 0.38 goals worse than Orsha in terms of goals conceded per game (2.25 vs 1.88).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

VolnaVolna

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L02L00D00D31W11D11D12L12LA·NIV28/09H·OSI04/10A·UNI10/10H·ABF18/10A·BAR25/10H·GOM01/11A·ORS09/11A·OST15/11H·MIN22/11H·SHA12/07
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.770.800.930.870.60
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (22)0.590.860.551.000.640.73
vs Weaker (7)1.710.432.000.671.500.25
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Orsha) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OrshaOrsha

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L11D01L01L02L12L01L11D10W01LA·SLO19/09H·ABF27/09A·BEL05/10H·BAR11/10A·DIN18/10H·GOM26/10A·BUM02/11H·VOL09/11A·FC 17/11H·OST22/11
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.531.130.501.000.571.29
vs Stronger (14)0.710.930.750.880.671.00
vs Similar (16)0.381.310.251.120.501.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Volna) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Volna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orsha over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orsha over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orsha over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

VolnaVolna

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W10W01L22D01L20W12L01L11D12LA·NIV28/09H·OSI04/10A·UNI10/10H·ABF18/10A·BAR25/10H·GOM01/11A·ORS09/11A·OST15/11H·MIN22/11H·SHA12/07
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.900.931.201.070.60
vs Stronger (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Similar (22)0.911.050.731.551.090.55
vs Weaker (7)1.290.571.670.331.000.75
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Orsha) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OrshaOrsha

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L02L01L00D01L03L21W10W12LA·SLO19/09H·ABF27/09A·BEL05/10H·BAR11/10A·DIN18/10H·GOM26/10A·BUM02/11H·VOL09/11A·FC 17/11H·OST22/11
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.570.751.380.641.79
vs Stronger (14)0.501.710.621.380.332.17
vs Similar (16)0.881.440.881.380.881.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Volna) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Volna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orsha over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orsha over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orsha over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.591.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.576.3%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes73.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UM (29)
€2m
FS (22)
€2m
NIV (21)
€2m
SMO (25)
€2m
BUM (20)
€2m
DMI (27)
€1m
M4 (22)
€1m
VOL (18)
€1m
OF (22)
€1m
MI (23)
€1m
LID (18)
€1m
SLO (20)
€1m
BI (20)
€1m
ORS (19)
€1m
OSI (20)
€1m
GI (17)
€1m
Volna and Orsha have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NIV (5)
€1m
FS (6)
€1m
UM (8)
€1m
BUM (7)
€1m
SMO (9)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
M4 (6)
€0m
MI (6)
€0m
OF (6)
€0m
OSI (6)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
GI (2)
€0m
LID (2)
€0m
DMI (2)
€0m
Volna and Orsha have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DMI (11)
€1m
LID (7)
€1m
NIV (7)
€1m
FS (8)
€1m
UM (8)
€0m
M4 (7)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
MI (9)
€0m
OF (7)
€0m
SMO (7)
€0m
ORS (9)
€0m
GI (8)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
BUM (4)
€0m
Volna and Orsha have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UM (13)
€1m
DMI (14)
€1m
SMO (9)
€1m
BUM (9)
€1m
FS (8)
€1m
OF (9)
€1m
NIV (9)
€1m
M4 (9)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
LID (9)
€0m
SLO (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
MI (8)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
GI (7)
€0m
Volna and Orsha have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
VOL wins
2
Draws
2
ORS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Volna vs Orsha · H/A from VOL
DateH/AGameScore
09/11/25AOrsha Vs VOL3-2
05/07/25HVOL Vs Orsha5-1
10/08/24AOrsha Vs VOL1-1
13/04/24HVOL Vs Orsha3-0
04/11/23AOrsha Vs VOL0-1
02/07/23HVOL Vs Orsha3-2
05/11/22HVOL Vs Orsha2-3
17/07/22AOrsha Vs VOL2-2

VolnaVolna

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/07/26HVOL Vs Shakhter Soligorsk2-4
22/11/25HVOL Vs Minsk II2-3
15/11/25AOstrovets FC Vs VOL2-1
09/11/25AOrsha Vs VOL3-2
01/11/25HVOL Vs Gomel II5-1
25/10/25ABaranovichi Vs VOL1-0
18/10/25HVOL Vs ABFF U192-2
10/10/25AUni Minsk Vs VOL3-0
04/10/25HVOL Vs Osipovichy1-1
28/09/25ANiva Vs VOL2-4

OrshaOrsha

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/11/25HORS Vs Ostrovets FC1-3
17/11/25AFC Dnepr Mogilev Vs ORS0-2
09/11/25HORS Vs Volna3-2
02/11/25ABumprom Vs ORS4-0
26/10/25HORS Vs Gomel II1-3
18/10/25ADinamo Minsk II Vs ORS2-0
11/10/25HORS Vs Baranovichi0-2
05/10/25ABelshina Vs ORS3-0
27/09/25HORS Vs ABFF U191-2
19/09/25ASlonim Vs ORS4-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Volna
Volna
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLL1.56
HomeDDWLL1.52
AwayWLLLL1.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%44%48%
AVG goals3.523.723.32
Over 1.5 %92%96%88%
Over 2.5 %72%76%68%
Over 3.5 %48%48%48%
Scored1.982.081.88
Conceded1.541.641.44
BTTS64%72%56%
Clean Sheet22%16%28%
Corners---
Cards---
Orsha
Orsha
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWL0.90
HomeLLLWL0.80
AwayLLLLW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%20%28%
AVG goals3.723.404.04
Over 1.5 %92%92%92%
Over 2.5 %68%72%64%
Over 3.5 %50%44%56%
Scored1.341.241.44
Conceded2.382.162.60
BTTS60%68%52%
Clean Sheet14%8%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 4719
86%
2.7
173+14
2.9
71%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.40.4
-
2NivaNiva718
86%
2.6
228+14
4.3
100%
86%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1113.11.1
-
3LidaLida715
71%
2.1
1512+3
3.9
100%
100%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0102.11.7
-
4Minsk IIMinsk II713
57%
1.9
127+5
2.7
71%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.0
-
5OsipovichyOsipovichy713
57%
1.9
810-2
2.6
71%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.4
-
6Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC712
57%
1.7
910-1
2.7
86%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.31.4
-
7BumpromBumprom811
38%
1.4
1213-1
3.1
88%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.6
-
8OrshaOrsha810
38%
1.2
1015-5
3.1
88%
88%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.9
-
9FC SlutskFC Slutsk79
29%
1.3
117+4
2.6
71%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.61.0
-
10Uni MinskUni Minsk79
29%
1.3
84+4
1.7
57%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.10.6
-
11SlonimSlonim79
43%
1.3
1211+1
3.3
100%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.6
-
12SmorgonSmorgon79
43%
1.3
89-1
2.4
86%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.11.3
-
13VolnaVolna88
25%
1.0
1418-4
4.0
88%
75%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.82.2
-
14BATE IIBATE II77
29%
1.0
1114-3
3.6
86%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.62.0
-
15Dinamo Minsk IIDinamo Minsk II87
25%
0.9
1115-4
3.2
88%
88%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0111.41.9
-
16FC Energetik-Bgu MinskFC Energetik-Bgu Minsk77
29%
1.0
610-4
2.3
57%
57%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
17Shakhter SoligorskShakhter Soligorsk87
25%
0.9
1322-9
4.4
88%
88%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.8
-
18Gomel IIGomel II85
12%
0.6
819-11
3.4
100%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.4
-
Belarus: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: 1. Division stats & trends →

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