PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Volna vs Uni Minsk Result & Analysis

Date: 10/08/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 0-0
Volna
Volna
Vs
48%
22%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Uni Minsk
Uni Minsk
Belarus: 1. Division
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Volna and Uni Minsk are set to clash in the Belarus 1. Division on August 10. The recent form of these teams suggests a closely contested match, with Volna coming off a draw against Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 and Uni Minsk having won their previous game against Smorgon. However, the attacking and defensive numbers paint a different picture, as Volna averages 2.83 goals scored and 1.33 conceded at home, while Uni Minsk averages 1.38 goals scored and 2.38 conceded away against stronger opponents.

The model predicts a home win for Volna, with a 48% probability, while the away win and draw probabilities stand at 30% and 22% respectively. The expected total goals are 3.8, suggesting a high-scoring match. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 8.9%. Volna's home form and Uni Minsk's away form against stronger opponents are key factors in this match, with Volna averaging 2.83 goals scored and Uni Minsk averaging 1.38 goals scored.

The model's selections include Over 1.5, Over 2.5, and BTTS Yes, with probabilities of 89.8%, 72.6%, and 71.9% respectively. The home win percentage is 48%, the draw percentage is 22%, and the away win percentage is 30%.

Results analysis

In a stunning upset, Volna were held to a 0-0 draw at home against Uni Minsk, extending their winless run to four matches. The winless streak is a stark contrast to their recent form, where they had been coming off a draw. The pre-match favourite, a home win, did not come through, as the model's selection was incorrect. The model had predicted a home win with a 48% probability. The model's selection, a home win, was wrong. The suggested picks all missed, including Over 1.5 with a 89.8% probability, Over 2.5 with a 72.6% probability, and BTTS Yes with a 71.9% probability.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Volna win✗ Miss
47.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
22.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Uni Minsk win✗ Miss
29.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

VolnaVolna

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D01L51W23L12L23L24L31W41W22DH·ABF18/10A·BAR25/10H·GOM01/11A·ORS09/11A·OST15/11H·MIN22/11H·SHA12/07H·ORS25/07A·GOM02/08A·MOL06/08
Avg total
4.3
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.001.701.872.072.131.33
vs Stronger (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (20)1.552.051.302.601.801.50
vs Weaker (9)3.111.003.501.002.801.00
Clean sheet %13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Uni Minsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Uni MinskUni Minsk

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-630W35L23L03L22D24L26L12L11D20WH·VOL10/10A·OST18/10H·MIN25/10H·LID31/10H·LOK08/11H·SLO16/11H·BEL23/11A·MIN26/07H·BUM01/08H·SMO05/08
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
2.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.672.031.882.061.432.00
vs Stronger (6)1.002.001.502.000.752.00
vs Similar (19)1.632.111.731.911.502.38
vs Weaker (5)2.601.802.672.672.500.50
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Volna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%15%21%3%07%117%221%319%415%518%6+
The model estimates around 3.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
89.8%
Under 1.5
10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
72.6%
Under 2.5
27.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
52.0%
Under 3.5
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
71.9%
No
28.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
1-2
6.7%
3-1
6.0%
2-0
5.2%
3-2
5.0%
1-0
4.1%
Volna goals ↓
Uni Minsk goals →
01234
03.1%3.0%3.2%1.7%0.7%
14.1%8.9%6.7%3.7%1.5%
25.2%8.5%7.1%3.9%1.6%
33.6%6.0%5.0%2.7%1.1%
41.9%3.2%2.6%1.4%0.6%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Volna goals (down), columns = Uni Minsk goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.71
Niva
2.57
Lida
2.14
Minsk II
1.86
Osipovichy
1.86
Ostrovets FC
1.71
Bumprom
1.38
Smorgon
1.29
FC Slutsk
1.29
Uni Minsk
1.29
Slonim
1.29
Orsha
1.25
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.00
BATE II
1.00
Volna
1.00
Dinamo Minsk II
0.88
Shakhter Soligorsk
0.88
Gomel II
0.62
Volna is 0.29 points worse than Uni Minsk in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.29).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Niva
3.14
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.43
Lida
2.14
Volna
1.75
Minsk II
1.71
Slonim
1.71
Shakhter Soligorsk
1.62
FC Slutsk
1.57
BATE II
1.57
Bumprom
1.50
Dinamo Minsk II
1.38
Ostrovets FC
1.29
Orsha
1.25
Smorgon
1.14
Uni Minsk
1.14
Osipovichy
1.14
Gomel II
1.00
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0.86
Volna is 0.61 goals better than Uni Minsk in terms of goals scored per game (1.75 vs 1.14).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0.43
Uni Minsk
0.57
Minsk II
1.00
FC Slutsk
1.00
Niva
1.14
Smorgon
1.29
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.43
Ostrovets FC
1.43
Osipovichy
1.43
Slonim
1.57
Bumprom
1.62
Lida
1.71
Orsha
1.88
Dinamo Minsk II
1.88
BATE II
2.00
Volna
2.25
Gomel II
2.38
Shakhter Soligorsk
2.75
Volna is 1.68 goals worse than Uni Minsk in terms of goals conceded per game (2.25 vs 0.57).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

VolnaVolna

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D31W11D11D12L12L21W30W21WH·ABF18/10A·BAR25/10H·GOM01/11A·ORS09/11A·OST15/11H·MIN22/11H·SHA12/07H·ORS25/07A·GOM02/08A·MOL06/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.730.930.871.070.60
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (20)0.650.850.600.900.700.80
vs Weaker (9)1.890.442.000.751.800.20
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Uni Minsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Uni MinskUni Minsk

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W02L00D02L10W21W13L00D10W10WH·VOL10/10A·OST18/10H·MIN25/10H·LID31/10H·LOK08/11H·SLO16/11H·BEL23/11A·MIN26/07H·BUM01/08H·SMO05/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.771.120.620.210.93
vs Stronger (6)0.500.831.000.500.251.00
vs Similar (19)0.630.740.910.550.251.00
vs Weaker (5)1.200.802.001.000.000.50
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Volna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Volna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uni Minsk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uni Minsk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uni Minsk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

VolnaVolna

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D01L20W12L01L11D12L10W11D01LH·ABF18/10A·BAR25/10H·GOM01/11A·ORS09/11A·OST15/11H·MIN22/11H·SHA12/07H·ORS25/07A·GOM02/08A·MOL06/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.970.931.201.070.73
vs Stronger (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Similar (20)0.901.200.701.701.100.70
vs Weaker (9)1.220.561.500.251.000.80
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Uni Minsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Uni MinskUni Minsk

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W33D23L01L12L03L13L12L01L10WH·VOL10/10A·OST18/10H·MIN25/10H·LID31/10H·LOK08/11H·SLO16/11H·BEL23/11A·MIN26/07H·BUM01/08H·SMO05/08
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.270.751.441.211.07
vs Stronger (6)0.501.170.501.500.501.00
vs Similar (19)1.001.370.821.361.251.38
vs Weaker (5)1.401.000.671.672.500.00
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Volna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Volna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uni Minsk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uni Minsk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uni Minsk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.589.8%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.572.6%-------✗ Miss
BTTS Yes71.9%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UM (29)
€2m
FS (22)
€2m
NIV (21)
€2m
SMO (25)
€2m
BUM (20)
€2m
DMI (27)
€1m
M4 (22)
€1m
VOL (18)
€1m
OF (22)
€1m
MI (23)
€1m
LID (18)
€1m
SLO (20)
€1m
BI (20)
€1m
ORS (19)
€1m
OSI (20)
€1m
GI (17)
€1m
Volna and Uni Minsk have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NIV (5)
€1m
FS (6)
€1m
UM (8)
€1m
BUM (7)
€1m
SMO (9)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
M4 (6)
€0m
MI (6)
€0m
OF (6)
€0m
OSI (6)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
GI (2)
€0m
LID (2)
€0m
DMI (2)
€0m
Volna and Uni Minsk have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DMI (11)
€1m
LID (7)
€1m
NIV (7)
€1m
FS (8)
€1m
UM (8)
€0m
M4 (7)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
MI (9)
€0m
OF (7)
€0m
SMO (7)
€0m
ORS (9)
€0m
GI (8)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
BUM (4)
€0m
Volna and Uni Minsk have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UM (13)
€1m
DMI (14)
€1m
SMO (9)
€1m
BUM (9)
€1m
FS (8)
€1m
OF (9)
€1m
NIV (9)
€1m
M4 (9)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
LID (9)
€0m
SLO (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
MI (8)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
GI (7)
€0m
Volna and Uni Minsk have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
VOL wins
0
Draws
2
UM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Volna vs Uni Minsk · H/A from VOL
DateH/AGameScore
10/10/25AUni Minsk Vs VOL3-0
07/06/25HVOL Vs Uni Minsk1-2

VolnaVolna

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/08/26AMolodechno-DYuSSh 4 Vs VOL2-2
02/08/26AGomel II Vs VOL1-4
25/07/26HVOL Vs Orsha3-1
12/07/26HVOL Vs Shakhter Soligorsk2-4
22/11/25HVOL Vs Minsk II2-3
15/11/25AOstrovets FC Vs VOL2-1
09/11/25AOrsha Vs VOL3-2
01/11/25HVOL Vs Gomel II5-1
25/10/25ABaranovichi Vs VOL1-0
18/10/25HVOL Vs ABFF U192-2

Uni MinskUni Minsk

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/08/26HUM Vs Smorgon2-0
01/08/26HUM Vs Bumprom1-1
26/07/26AMinsk II Vs UM2-1
23/11/25HUM Vs Belshina2-6
16/11/25HUM Vs Slonim2-4
08/11/25HUM Vs Lokomotiv Gomel2-2
31/10/25HUM Vs Lida0-3
25/10/25HUM Vs Minsk II2-3
18/10/25AOstrovets FC Vs UM5-3
10/10/25HUM Vs Volna3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Volna
Volna
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWD1.58
HomeDWLLW1.52
AwayLLLWD1.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%44%48%
AVG goals3.603.763.44
Over 1.5 %92%96%88%
Over 2.5 %74%76%72%
Over 3.5 %52%52%52%
Scored2.042.082.00
Conceded1.561.681.44
BTTS68%76%60%
Clean Sheet18%12%24%
Corners---
Cards---
Uni Minsk
Uni Minsk
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDW1.08
HomeDLLDW1.16
AwayWLWLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%32%28%
AVG goals3.593.743.44
Over 1.5 %95%89%100%
Over 2.5 %73%74%72%
Over 3.5 %38%42%33%
Scored1.571.741.39
Conceded2.032.002.06
BTTS62%58%67%
Clean Sheet22%26%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 4719
86%
2.7
173+14
2.9
71%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.40.4
-
2NivaNiva718
86%
2.6
228+14
4.3
100%
86%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1113.11.1
-
3LidaLida715
71%
2.1
1512+3
3.9
100%
100%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0102.11.7
-
4Minsk IIMinsk II713
57%
1.9
127+5
2.7
71%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.0
-
5OsipovichyOsipovichy713
57%
1.9
810-2
2.6
71%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.4
-
6Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC712
57%
1.7
910-1
2.7
86%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.31.4
-
7BumpromBumprom811
38%
1.4
1213-1
3.1
88%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.6
-
8OrshaOrsha810
38%
1.2
1015-5
3.1
88%
88%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.9
-
9FC SlutskFC Slutsk79
29%
1.3
117+4
2.6
71%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.61.0
-
10Uni MinskUni Minsk79
29%
1.3
84+4
1.7
57%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.10.6
-
11SlonimSlonim79
43%
1.3
1211+1
3.3
100%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.6
-
12SmorgonSmorgon79
43%
1.3
89-1
2.4
86%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.11.3
-
13VolnaVolna88
25%
1.0
1418-4
4.0
88%
75%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.82.2
-
14BATE IIBATE II77
29%
1.0
1114-3
3.6
86%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.62.0
-
15Dinamo Minsk IIDinamo Minsk II87
25%
0.9
1115-4
3.2
88%
88%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0111.41.9
-
16FC Energetik-Bgu MinskFC Energetik-Bgu Minsk77
29%
1.0
610-4
2.3
57%
57%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
17Shakhter SoligorskShakhter Soligorsk87
25%
0.9
1322-9
4.4
88%
88%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.8
-
18Gomel IIGomel II85
12%
0.6
819-11
3.4
100%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.4
-
Belarus: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: 1. Division stats & trends →

← all matches