This opponent (Metal Kharkiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Metal Kharkiv
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.05
1.57
1.10
1.80
1.00
1.36
vs Stronger (14)
0.57
1.43
0.29
1.29
0.86
1.57
vs Similar (7)
2.00
1.86
3.00
3.00
1.25
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
19% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Vorskla Poltava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
62.1%
Under 1.5
37.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
33.8%
Under 2.5
66.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
15.3%
Under 3.5
84.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
41.5%
No
58.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%
0-0
14.2%
1-0
14.0%
0-1
9.7%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
5.6%
0-2
4.7%
Vorskla Poltava goals ↓
Metal Kharkiv goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
14%
9.7%
4.7%
1.3%
0.3%
1
14%
14%
5.6%
1.6%
0.3%
2
9.2%
7.9%
3.4%
1.0%
0.2%
3
3.7%
3.1%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
4
1.1%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vorskla Poltava goals (down), columns = Metal Kharkiv goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.40
Dnipro-1
2.23
Zorya Luhansk
2.23
LNZ Cherkasy
2.00
Dynamo Kyiv
2.00
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.50
Vorskla Poltava
1.50
Oleksandria
1.47
Kryvbas KR
1.37
Kolos Kovalivka
1.20
Chornomorets
1.17
Minai
1.10
Ruh Lviv
1.07
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.07
Veres Rivne
1.06
Inhulets
1.00
Metal Kharkiv
0.73
Lviv
0.43
Vorskla Poltava is 0.77 points better than Metal Kharkiv in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 0.73).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.30
Zorya Luhansk
2.13
Dnipro-1
2.03
Dynamo Kyiv
1.70
LNZ Cherkasy
1.50
Oleksandria
1.40
Veres Rivne
1.28
Vorskla Poltava
1.27
Chornomorets
1.17
Ruh Lviv
1.03
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.00
Metal Kharkiv
0.90
Kryvbas KR
0.87
Kolos Kovalivka
0.77
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0.77
Inhulets
0.75
Minai
0.73
Lviv
0.60
Vorskla Poltava is 0.37 goals better than Metal Kharkiv in terms of goals scored per game (1.27 vs 0.90).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Shakhtar Donetsk
0.70
Dynamo Kyiv
0.83
Dnipro-1
0.90
LNZ Cherkasy
1.00
Kryvbas KR
1.00
Zorya Luhansk
1.03
Minai
1.10
Inhulets
1.16
Kolos Kovalivka
1.20
Vorskla Poltava
1.23
Ruh Lviv
1.23
Oleksandria
1.30
Chornomorets
1.33
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.40
Veres Rivne
1.47
Lviv
1.73
Metal Kharkiv
1.93
Metalurh Zaporizhya
3.00
Vorskla Poltava is 0.70 goals better than Metal Kharkiv in terms of goals conceded per game (1.23 vs 1.93).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shakhtar Donetsk
56%
Dnipro-1
56%
Dynamo Kyiv
56%
Zorya Luhansk
54%
Oleksandria
52%
Kryvbas KR
51%
Ruh Lviv
49%
Veres Rivne
49%
Inhulets
49%
Chornomorets
49%
Metal Kharkiv
48%
Kolos Kovalivka
47%
Lviv
47%
Vorskla Poltava
47%
Minai
45%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
44%
Vorskla Poltava is 1.7 percentage points worse than Metal Kharkiv in terms of average possession (47% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Vorskla Poltava
For 5.1 · Against 3.6 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.8 · Against 2.1 · Total 5.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.5 · Against 12.2 · Total 27.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Metal Kharkiv
For 4.3 · Against 7.1 · Total 11.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 12.4 · Total 24.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Vorskla Poltava
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (23)
8.7
8.0
9.2
2.3
2.3
2.3
27.8
33.0
24.6
vs Stronger (12)
8.4
7.7
9.5
2.1
3.4
1.1
30.0
33.0
27.0
vs Similar (11)
9.0
9.0
9.0
2.5
1.3
4.0
25.5
33.0
23.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
44%
25%
60%
30%
27%
33%
88%
100%
80%
% under line
56%
75%
40%
70%
73%
67%
12%
0%
20%
This opponent (Metal Kharkiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Metal Kharkiv
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (21)
11.4
12.8
10.0
2.1
2.5
1.7
24.7
26.2
23.4
vs Stronger (14)
10.7
11.0
10.5
1.9
2.0
1.9
21.5
22.5
21.0
vs Similar (7)
13.0
15.5
8.0
2.4
3.7
1.5
31.0
30.0
33.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
60%
80%
40%
29%
40%
18%
78%
100%
60%
% under line
40%
20%
60%
71%
60%
82%
22%
0%
40%
This opponent (Vorskla Poltava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Oleksandria
12.2
Veres Rivne
11.9
Metal Kharkiv
11.4
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
10.8
Zorya Luhansk
9.7
Shakhtar Donetsk
9.4
Dynamo Kyiv
9.4
Kolos Kovalivka
9.3
Inhulets
8.9
Minai
8.9
Ruh Lviv
8.8
Vorskla Poltava
8.7
Dnipro-1
8.5
Chornomorets
8.1
Kryvbas KR
8.0
Lviv
7.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Ruh Lviv
6.7
Vorskla Poltava
5.9
Lviv
5.5
Dynamo Kyiv
5.3
Veres Rivne
5.3
Inhulets
5.2
Kolos Kovalivka
4.9
Oleksandria
4.9
Chornomorets
4.8
Kryvbas KR
4.6
Zorya Luhansk
4.5
Metal Kharkiv
4.4
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
4.1
Minai
3.8
Dnipro-1
3.5
Shakhtar Donetsk
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Inhulets
28.8
Lviv
28.3
Vorskla Poltava
27.8
Ruh Lviv
26.8
Dynamo Kyiv
26.0
Kolos Kovalivka
25.6
Metal Kharkiv
24.7
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
24.5
Veres Rivne
24.5
Minai
23.5
Chornomorets
22.9
Dnipro-1
22.7
Zorya Luhansk
22.2
Kryvbas KR
21.9
Oleksandria
21.7
Shakhtar Donetsk
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
51.0%
Under 9.5
49.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
75.1%
Under 3.5
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
85.4%
Under 21.5
14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Vorskla Poltava
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.48
0.52
0.55
0.36
0.42
0.67
vs Stronger (12)
0.50
0.83
0.80
0.60
0.29
1.00
vs Similar (11)
0.45
0.18
0.33
0.17
0.60
0.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
61% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Metal Kharkiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Metal Kharkiv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.48
0.62
0.60
0.80
0.36
0.45
vs Stronger (14)
0.14
0.57
0.14
0.57
0.14
0.57
vs Similar (7)
1.14
0.71
1.67
1.33
0.75
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Vorskla Poltava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vorskla Poltava over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vorskla Poltava over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vorskla Poltava over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metal Kharkiv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metal Kharkiv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metal Kharkiv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Vorskla Poltava
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.83
0.64
0.55
0.75
1.08
vs Stronger (12)
0.50
0.92
0.40
0.60
0.57
1.14
vs Similar (11)
0.91
0.73
0.83
0.50
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
52% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Metal Kharkiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Metal Kharkiv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.95
0.50
1.00
0.64
0.91
vs Stronger (14)
0.43
0.86
0.14
0.71
0.71
1.00
vs Similar (7)
0.86
1.14
1.33
1.67
0.50
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
29% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Vorskla Poltava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Vorskla Poltava over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vorskla Poltava over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vorskla Poltava over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metal Kharkiv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metal Kharkiv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metal Kharkiv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
93.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
88.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Vorskla Poltava · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Navin Malysh38%
Denys Ndukve20%
Mykola Kovtaliuk17%
Oleksandr Sklyar14%
Serhii Miakushko11%
Artem Cheliadin8%
Ibrahim Kane7%
Igor Perduta0%
Andriy Batsula0%
Samson Iyede0%
Vladyslav Kulach0%
Pavlo Isenko0%
Oleksandr Chornomorets0%
Luka Guček0%
Viktor Korniienko0%
Yevhen Pavliuk0%
Milot Avdyli0%
Anton Salabay0%
Daniil Khrypchuk0%
Ivan Nesterenko0%
Ilya Krupskyi0%
Vladyslav Ostrovskyi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Oleksandr Sklyar43%
Mykola Kovtaliuk33%
Vladyslav Kulach33%
Artem Cheliadin33%
Milot Avdyli29%
Vladyslav Ostrovskyi29%
Yevhen Pavliuk25%
Navin Malysh25%
Oleksandr Chornomorets20%
Pavlo Isenko14%
Luka Guček14%
Anton Salabay14%
Igor Perduta7%
Ilya Krupskyi7%
Denys Ndukve7%
Ibrahim Kane0%
Andriy Batsula0%
Samson Iyede0%
Serhii Miakushko0%
Viktor Korniienko0%
Daniil Khrypchuk0%
Ivan Nesterenko0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Igor Perduta14%
Ilya Krupskyi14%
Serhii Miakushko11%
Artem Cheliadin8%
Pavlo Isenko7%
Denys Ndukve7%
Ibrahim Kane0%
Oleksandr Sklyar0%
Andriy Batsula0%
Samson Iyede0%
Mykola Kovtaliuk0%
Vladyslav Kulach0%
Oleksandr Chornomorets0%
Luka Guček0%
Viktor Korniienko0%
Yevhen Pavliuk0%
Milot Avdyli0%
Anton Salabay0%
Daniil Khrypchuk0%
Ivan Nesterenko0%
Navin Malysh0%
Vladyslav Ostrovskyi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Milot Avdyli14%
Anton Salabay14%
Oleksandr Sklyar7%
Denys Ndukve7%
Ibrahim Kane0%
Igor Perduta0%
Andriy Batsula0%
Samson Iyede0%
Mykola Kovtaliuk0%
Vladyslav Kulach0%
Serhii Miakushko0%
Pavlo Isenko0%
Oleksandr Chornomorets0%
Luka Guček0%
Viktor Korniienko0%
Artem Cheliadin0%
Yevhen Pavliuk0%
Daniil Khrypchuk0%
Ivan Nesterenko0%
Ilya Krupskyi0%
Navin Malysh0%
Vladyslav Ostrovskyi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Ukraine: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Shakhtar Donetsk
Dnipro-1
Zorya Luhansk
Dynamo Kyiv
Oleksandria
Kryvbas KR
Kolos Kovalivka
Chornomorets
Veres Rivne
Minai
Ruh Lviv
Inhulets
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Lviv
LNZ Cherkasy
Metalurh Zaporizhya