Widzew Łódź are tipped to win, with a 55% chance of taking the match, while a draw sits at 24% and Radomiak Radom 20%. The model expects an average of three goals, yet the most likely total is two, with a 24% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, occurring with a 11.5% chance. Widzew, playing at home against a similar-strength opponent, averages 1.18 goals scored and 0.91 conceded, whereas Radomiak, on the road, scores 1.11 and concedes 2.0. The model’s selections include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.1%, Under 7.5 at 98.7%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.9% with a 5% edge, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.1%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.8% with a 6% edge, Under 6.5 at 96.4% with a 4% edge, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 93.6% with a 5% edge, and Away under 1.5 HT goals at 92.3% with a 3% edge. Widzew’s recent form shows a loss to Lech Poznan, while Radomiak comes off a win over Cracovia Krakow.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Widzew Łódź win
55.6%
Avg Implied 52.6% · @ 1.76
Edge
+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.81
Dafabet
1.81
Betano
1.80
Pinnacle
1.78
Superbet
1.78
Draw
24.3%
Avg Implied 25.1% · @ 3.69
Edge
-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.95
Betfair
3.90
1xBet
3.80
Dafabet
3.75
10Bet
3.75
Radomiak Radom win
20.1%
Avg Implied 22.3% · @ 4.17
Edge
-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
4.50
Dafabet
4.40
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.30
1xBet
4.24
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Widzew Łódź
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.10
1.29
1.29
0.94
0.94
vs Stronger (5)
1.60
1.60
1.67
2.33
1.50
0.50
vs Similar (25)
1.00
1.00
1.18
1.00
0.86
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Radomiak Radom) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Radomiak Radom
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.57
1.60
1.13
1.00
2.00
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
2.29
1.00
2.00
0.80
2.40
vs Similar (22)
1.45
1.41
1.69
1.00
1.11
2.00
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Widzew Łódź) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
80.8%
@ 1.21+3.9%
Under 1.5
19.2%
@ 4.03-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.24
Unibet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Under
Bet365
4.33
Pinnacle
4.23
Betfair
4.20
BetVictor
4.10
Marathonbet
4.00
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
57.2%
@ 1.71+2.5%
Under 2.5
42.8%
@ 2.07-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.79
Betfair
1.73
Betano
1.72
Pinnacle
1.72
1xBet
1.70
Under
Pinnacle
2.15
SBO
2.14
10Bet
2.10
Betfair
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
34.8%
@ 2.77+1.2%
Under 3.5
65.2%
@ 1.40-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.10
Betfair
2.88
10Bet
2.80
Pinnacle
2.79
BetVictor
2.75
Under
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Superbet
1.42
Both teams to score
Yes
57.1%
@ 1.66+1.3%
No
42.9%
@ 2.10-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.74
William Hil
1.67
Betfair
1.67
Bet365
1.67
1xBet
1.65
No
BetVictor
2.15
Betfair
2.15
10Bet
2.15
Superbet
2.12
1xBet
2.11
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%@ 6.70+4.8%
2-1
9.9%@ 7.57+4.0%
2-0
9.2%@ 8.71+4.1%
1-0
8.6%@ 7.47+2.6%
3-1
6.3%@ 12.20+2.6%
0-0
6.1%@ 11.73+2.3%
3-0
5.8%@ 13.59+2.5%
1-2
5.6%@ 12.72+2.1%
Widzew Łódź goals ↓
Radomiak Radom goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.1%
4.4%
2.9%
1.1%
0.3%
1
8.6%
11%
5.6%
2.0%
0.5%
2
9.2%
9.9%
5.3%
1.9%
0.5%
3
5.8%
6.3%
3.4%
1.2%
0.3%
4
2.8%
3.0%
1.6%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Widzew Łódź goals (down), columns = Radomiak Radom goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lech Poznan
2.60
Gornik Zabrze
2.40
Legia Warszawa
2.00
GKS Katowice
1.80
Jagiellonia
1.80
Wisla Krakow
1.67
Pogon Szczecin
1.60
Zaglebie Lubin
1.60
Korona Kielce
1.60
Cracovia Krakow
1.33
Piast Gliwice
1.17
Radomiak Radom
1.17
Widzew Łódź
1.00
Slask Wroclaw
1.00
Motor Lublin
0.83
Wisla Plock
0.80
Wieczysta Kraków
0.60
Raków Częstochowa
0.00
Widzew Łódź is 0.17 points worse than Radomiak Radom in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
GKS Katowice
2.40
Gornik Zabrze
2.20
Wisla Krakow
2.00
Lech Poznan
2.00
Legia Warszawa
2.00
Jagiellonia
1.80
Piast Gliwice
1.67
Widzew Łódź
1.67
Wieczysta Kraków
1.60
Pogon Szczecin
1.40
Slask Wroclaw
1.33
Raków Częstochowa
1.20
Korona Kielce
1.20
Radomiak Radom
1.00
Motor Lublin
1.00
Zaglebie Lubin
1.00
Cracovia Krakow
1.00
Wisla Plock
0.60
Widzew Łódź is 0.67 goals better than Radomiak Radom in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Legia Warszawa
0.67
Pogon Szczecin
0.80
Zaglebie Lubin
0.80
Korona Kielce
0.80
Lech Poznan
0.80
Cracovia Krakow
1.17
GKS Katowice
1.20
Gornik Zabrze
1.40
Jagiellonia
1.40
Slask Wroclaw
1.50
Wisla Krakow
1.67
Motor Lublin
1.67
Widzew Łódź
1.67
Wisla Plock
2.00
Piast Gliwice
2.17
Radomiak Radom
2.17
Wieczysta Kraków
2.40
Raków Częstochowa
2.60
Widzew Łódź is 0.50 goals better than Radomiak Radom in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 2.17).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Jagiellonia
58%
Piast Gliwice
56%
Wieczysta Kraków
54%
Lech Poznan
54%
Gornik Zabrze
53%
Raków Częstochowa
53%
Wisla Plock
52%
Legia Warszawa
52%
Wisla Krakow
52%
Radomiak Radom
50%
GKS Katowice
48%
Cracovia Krakow
48%
Korona Kielce
48%
Slask Wroclaw
47%
Zaglebie Lubin
47%
Widzew Łódź
46%
Motor Lublin
46%
Pogon Szczecin
41%
Widzew Łódź is 3.5 percentage points worse than Radomiak Radom in terms of average possession (46% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Widzew Łódź
For 4.3 · Against 5.5 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 16.0 · Total 28.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Radomiak Radom
For 4.6 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 3.1 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 14.1 · Total 26.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Widzew Łódź
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.1
9.1
4.8
5.0
4.5
26.4
26.4
26.4
vs Stronger (9)
10.0
9.2
10.6
5.9
5.8
6.0
27.4
28.2
26.8
vs Similar (41)
8.9
9.1
8.7
4.5
4.8
4.2
26.2
26.0
26.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
44%
45%
43%
66%
67%
65%
73%
68%
78%
% under line
56%
55%
57%
34%
33%
35%
27%
32%
22%
This opponent (Radomiak Radom) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Radomiak Radom
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.1
10.3
4.6
4.2
5.0
27.9
28.5
27.1
vs Stronger (14)
10.4
10.6
10.3
3.9
3.6
4.3
28.3
27.7
28.9
vs Similar (35)
10.1
9.9
10.2
5.0
4.5
5.6
27.7
28.8
26.4
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
56%
52%
61%
60%
54%
67%
88%
88%
87%
% under line
44%
48%
39%
40%
46%
33%
12%
12%
13%
This opponent (Widzew Łódź) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Wisla Krakow
10.7
Wieczysta Kraków
10.4
Pogon Szczecin
10.3
Lech Poznan
10.3
Zaglebie Lubin
10.2
Slask Wroclaw
10.2
Radomiak Radom
10.2
Korona Kielce
10.2
Gornik Zabrze
10.1
Motor Lublin
10.1
Cracovia Krakow
10.1
Piast Gliwice
10.0
GKS Katowice
9.9
Wisla Plock
9.7
Jagiellonia
9.4
Widzew Łódź
9.2
Legia Warszawa
9.1
Raków Częstochowa
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Widzew Łódź
5.2
Radomiak Radom
5.0
Motor Lublin
4.8
Raków Częstochowa
4.7
Slask Wroclaw
4.6
Zaglebie Lubin
4.6
Jagiellonia
4.6
Cracovia Krakow
4.4
Legia Warszawa
4.3
Pogon Szczecin
4.1
Gornik Zabrze
4.0
Wisla Plock
4.0
Lech Poznan
3.9
Korona Kielce
3.9
Wisla Krakow
3.7
GKS Katowice
3.7
Piast Gliwice
3.6
Wieczysta Kraków
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Radomiak Radom
27.9
Wieczysta Kraków
26.6
Jagiellonia
26.6
Widzew Łódź
26.4
Legia Warszawa
25.9
Wisla Krakow
25.7
Korona Kielce
25.6
Cracovia Krakow
25.3
Motor Lublin
25.2
Raków Częstochowa
24.9
Zaglebie Lubin
24.7
Slask Wroclaw
24.6
Piast Gliwice
24.2
Lech Poznan
24.1
Pogon Szczecin
23.7
GKS Katowice
23.7
Gornik Zabrze
22.8
Wisla Plock
22.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
55.2%
@ 1.72+1.3%
Under 9.5
44.8%
@ 2.01-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.77
Betano
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Unibet
1.72
Superbet
1.72
Under
Pinnacle
2.14
Marathonbet
2.06
Betano
2.02
Bet365
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
70.6%
@ 1.38+4.8%
Under 3.5
29.4%
@ 2.65-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.38
Under
Superbet
2.65
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
83.5%
Under 21.5
16.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Widzew Łódź or Draw
78.7%
Avg Implied 77.8% · @ 1.20
Edge
+0.9%
56%
24%
20%
covers Widzew Łódź + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.25
10Bet
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Widzew Łódź or Radomiak Radom
75.8%
Avg Implied 75.3% · @ 1.24
Edge
+0.5%
56%
24%
20%
covers Widzew Łódź + Radomiak Radom
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Draw or Radomiak Radom
45.5%
Avg Implied 47.0% · @ 1.98
Edge
-1.4%
56%
24%
20%
covers Draw + Radomiak Radom
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.05
SBO
2.03
1xBet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.01
Betfair
2.00
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Widzew Łódź over/under 0.5
Over
85.3%
@ 1.14+3.6%
Under
14.7%
@ 5.06-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.16
Unibet
1.14
Superbet
1.14
10Bet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Under
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.25
10Bet
5.00
1xBet
5.00
Widzew Łódź over/under 1.5
Over
57.1%
@ 1.74+3.6%
Under
42.9%
@ 2.00-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.79
Unibet
1.76
10Bet
1.75
Betano
1.75
Superbet
1.74
Under
Betfair
2.10
1xBet
2.04
Marathonbet
2.04
Pinnacle
2.03
Bet365
2.00
Widzew Łódź over/under 2.5
Over
30.1%
@ 3.30+2.0%
Under
69.9%
@ 1.29-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.50
Unibet
3.35
10Bet
3.35
BetVictor
3.30
1xBet
3.26
Under
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
BetVictor
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Superbet
1.29
Widzew Łódź over/under 3.5
Over
12.8%
@ 6.88-0.7%
Under
87.2%
@ 1.08+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.00
Superbet
6.80
Betano
6.40
1xBet
6.20
Under
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Radomiak Radom over/under 0.5
Over
68.0%
@ 1.42+2.5%
Under
32.0%
@ 2.69-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.48
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.42
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.41
Under
Pinnacle
2.83
BetVictor
2.75
Betfair
2.75
10Bet
2.75
Superbet
2.72
Radomiak Radom over/under 1.5
Over
31.5%
@ 3.06+1.2%
Under
68.5%
@ 1.33-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.30
Bet365
3.25
Marathonbet
3.10
1xBet
3.10
Pinnacle
3.07
Under
Betano
1.37
10Bet
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
Radomiak Radom over/under 2.5
Over
10.8%
@ 8.02-0.8%
Under
89.2%
@ 1.05+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
Marathonbet
8.50
1xBet
8.50
Betfair
8.00
Superbet
7.30
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.02
Radomiak Radom over/under 3.5
Over
2.9%
@ 19.25-2.1%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.01+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
26.00
Superbet
20.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Widzew Łódź, so a minus line means Widzew Łódź give that many goals of a start and Radomiak Radom receive them. At -1, Widzew Łódź must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Widzew Łódź win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Widzew Łódź)
Widzew Łódź -2
15.4%
@ 5.88+0.2%
Draw -2
16.9%
@ 4.98-1.0%
Radomiak Radom +2
67.7%
@ 1.34+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
5.85
Unibet
5.75
Draw
Marathonbet
5.30
10Bet
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.90
Away
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Unibet
1.34
Betfair
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Handicap -1 (Widzew Łódź)
Widzew Łódź -1
32.3%
@ 2.94+2.1%
Draw -1
22.2%
@ 3.61-2.5%
Radomiak Radom +1
45.5%
@ 1.97+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.00
Bet365
3.00
10Bet
3.00
Superbet
2.92
Marathonbet
2.89
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.65
Marathonbet
3.64
10Bet
3.60
Betfair
3.60
Away
Marathonbet
2.01
Unibet
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Superbet
1.97
10Bet
1.95
Handicap +1 (Widzew Łódź)
Widzew Łódź +1
78.7%
@ 1.19+5.1%
Draw +1
12.7%
@ 5.50-3.2%
Radomiak Radom -1
8.6%
@ 8.38-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
Unibet
1.18
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Superbet
5.80
Unibet
5.60
10Bet
5.50
Marathonbet
4.10
Away
Bet365
10.00
Unibet
9.50
10Bet
8.50
Superbet
8.20
Marathonbet
5.70
Handicap +2 (Widzew Łódź)
Widzew Łódź +2
91.4%
@ 1.05+3.4%
Draw +2
6.0%
@ 12.00-1.7%
Radomiak Radom -2
2.6%
@ 21.50-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.05
10Bet
1.05
Draw
Bet365
15.00
10Bet
9.00
Away
Bet365
26.00
10Bet
17.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Widzew Łódź
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.37
0.71
0.64
0.38
0.12
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
0.80
0.67
1.33
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (25)
0.56
0.28
0.73
0.45
0.43
0.14
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
73% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Radomiak Radom) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Radomiak Radom
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.87
0.67
0.67
0.27
1.07
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
1.43
1.00
1.50
0.00
1.40
vs Similar (22)
0.50
0.73
0.62
0.54
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Widzew Łódź) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
69.3%
@ 1.32-1.2%
Under 0.5
30.7%
@ 3.15+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
BetVictor
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
Superbet
1.31
Under
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.30
William Hil
3.25
1xBet
3.16
Superbet
3.15
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
33.3%
@ 2.50-3.8%
Under 1.5
66.7%
@ 1.48+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.60
Pinnacle
2.56
Betfair
2.55
Unibet
2.55
Bet365
2.50
Under
Superbet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
William Hil
1.50
BetVictor
1.49
Pinnacle
1.49
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
12.4%
@ 5.90-3.3%
Under 2.5
87.6%
@ 1.10+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.50
1xBet
6.05
Marathonbet
6.05
William Hil
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Under
Bet365
1.12
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Widzew Łódź over/under 0.5 HT
Over
56.6%
@ 1.69+1.6%
Under
43.4%
@ 2.07-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
10Bet
1.70
Unibet
1.68
Pinnacle
1.68
Superbet
1.68
Under
Pinnacle
2.14
1xBet
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Superbet
2.07
Marathonbet
2.03
Widzew Łódź over/under 1.5 HT
Over
14.8%
@ 4.44-6.1%
Under
85.2%
@ 1.17+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.70
1xBet
4.50
Betano
4.40
10Bet
4.33
Superbet
4.25
Under
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
Widzew Łódź over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.0%
@ 11.00-5.5%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.02+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Radomiak Radom over/under 0.5 HT
Over
37.3%
@ 2.44-0.8%
Under
62.7%
@ 1.50+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.50
Unibet
2.50
Pinnacle
2.49
Betano
2.42
Marathonbet
2.40
Under
10Bet
1.53
Superbet
1.52
Betano
1.52
Pinnacle
1.51
1xBet
1.50
Radomiak Radom over/under 1.5 HT
Over
8.5%
@ 8.57-2.4%
Under
91.5%
@ 1.05+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.00
1xBet
8.50
Superbet
8.20
Betano
7.60
Under
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
Radomiak Radom over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.0%
@ 33.00-99.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
33.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Widzew Łódź
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.73
0.57
0.64
0.56
0.81
vs Stronger (5)
1.20
0.80
1.00
1.00
1.50
0.50
vs Similar (25)
0.44
0.72
0.45
0.55
0.43
0.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Radomiak Radom) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Radomiak Radom
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.70
0.93
0.47
0.73
0.93
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
0.86
0.00
0.50
0.80
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.95
0.68
1.08
0.46
0.78
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Widzew Łódź) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
80.7%
@ 1.18+2.3%
Under 0.5
19.3%
@ 4.29-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Under
Marathonbet
4.45
1xBet
4.40
Betano
4.35
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
4.33
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
48.1%
@ 1.91-0.5%
Under 1.5
51.9%
@ 1.80+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.00
William Hil
1.95
Superbet
1.92
1xBet
1.91
Marathonbet
1.91
Under
Betano
1.87
10Bet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.82
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
20.2%
@ 3.81-4.1%
Under 2.5
79.8%
@ 1.22+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.00
1xBet
3.86
Marathonbet
3.84
Superbet
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Under
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.20
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Widzew Łódź over/under 0.5 2H
Over
66.2%
@ 1.48+3.4%
Under
33.8%
@ 2.50-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.49
1xBet
1.47
Betano
1.47
Under
Betano
2.55
1xBet
2.50
Superbet
2.45
Widzew Łódź over/under 1.5 2H
Over
25.3%
@ 3.24-3.2%
Under
74.7%
@ 1.29+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.30
10Bet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.26
1xBet
3.20
Betano
3.15
Under
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Widzew Łódź over/under 2.5 2H
Over
6.5%
@ 8.07-5.0%
Under
93.5%
@ 1.04+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.60
Superbet
8.40
Betano
7.20
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Radomiak Radom over/under 0.5 2H
Over
45.5%
@ 1.98-1.3%
Under
54.5%
@ 1.74+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.01
Betano
1.98
Superbet
1.97
1xBet
1.97
Under
Betano
1.78
Superbet
1.74
1xBet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.70
Radomiak Radom over/under 1.5 2H
Over
12.4%
@ 5.94-3.2%
Under
87.6%
@ 1.10+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.80
1xBet
6.00
Superbet
5.90
10Bet
5.50
Betano
5.50
Under
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
Radomiak Radom over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.2%
@ 15.75-3.8%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.02+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
20.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.8%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+3.8%
Away under 3.5 goals
97.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+2.1%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.5%
Under 6.5
96.4%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
+1.7%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.5%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+5.0%
Over 19.5 fouls
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.5%
1.05
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
-
+2.4%
Home +2 handicap
91.4%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
10Bet
1.05
-
-
-
+3.4%
Under 5.5
91.0%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
Bet365
1.05
BetVictor
1.02
+0.9%
Away under 2.5 goals
89.2%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.02
+0.8%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
87.6%
1.10
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
+3.2%
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.6%
1.10
Bet365
1.12
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
+3.3%
Home under 3.5 goals
87.2%
1.08
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
+0.7%
Over 2.5 cards
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
85.3%
1.14
Betano
1.16
Unibet
1.14
Superbet
1.14
10Bet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
+3.6%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
85.2%
1.17
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
+6.1%
Over 21.5 fouls
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
80.8%
1.21
Betano
1.24
Unibet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Superbet
1.22
+3.9%
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.7%
1.18
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
+2.3%
Under 4.5
80.6%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Pinnacle
1.16
Superbet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
-1.4%
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.8%
1.22
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.20
+4.1%
Home or Draw
78.7%
1.20
Betano
1.25
10Bet
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.20
+0.9%
Home +1 handicap
78.7%
1.19
10Bet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
Unibet
1.18
+5.1%
Home or Away
75.8%
1.24
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.25
William Hil
1.25
+0.5%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
74.7%
1.29
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Superbet
1.28
+3.2%
Over 23.5 fouls
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
70.6%
1.38
Superbet
1.38
-
-
-
-
+4.8%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Widzew Łódź
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sebastian Bergier40%
Fran Álvarez40%
Mariusz Fornalczyk40%
Mario Garcia25%
Karol Świderski20%
Ángel Baena20%
Juljan Shehu0%
Bartłomiej Drągowski0%
Przemysław Wiśniewski0%
Mateusz Żyro0%
Lindon Selahi0%
Emil Kornvig0%
Ricardo Visus0%
Steve Kapuadi0%
Marcel Krajewski0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Juljan Shehu50%
Steve Kapuadi50%
Mateusz Żyro25%
Lindon Selahi25%
Karol Świderski20%
Emil Kornvig20%
Fran Álvarez20%
Ángel Baena20%
Mariusz Fornalczyk20%
Marcel Krajewski20%
Bartłomiej Drągowski0%
Przemysław Wiśniewski0%
Sebastian Bergier0%
Ricardo Visus0%
Mario Garcia0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mario Garcia50%
Steve Kapuadi25%
Karol Świderski20%
Ángel Baena20%
Mariusz Fornalczyk20%
Juljan Shehu0%
Bartłomiej Drągowski0%
Przemysław Wiśniewski0%
Mateusz Żyro0%
Sebastian Bergier0%
Lindon Selahi0%
Emil Kornvig0%
Fran Álvarez0%
Ricardo Visus0%
Marcel Krajewski0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sebastian Bergier80%
Przemysław Wiśniewski25%
Mario Garcia25%
Karol Świderski20%
Mariusz Fornalczyk20%
Juljan Shehu0%
Bartłomiej Drągowski0%
Mateusz Żyro0%
Lindon Selahi0%
Emil Kornvig0%
Fran Álvarez0%
Ángel Baena0%
Ricardo Visus0%
Steve Kapuadi0%
Marcel Krajewski0%
Radomiak Radom
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
R. Wolski33%
J. Grzesik17%
I. Camará17%
Conrado Buchanelli0%
Christos Donis0%
C. Nunnely0%
Luquinhas0%
Z. Ouattara0%
Adrián Diéguez0%
F. Majchrowicz0%
A. Tapsoba0%
K. Karasek0%
K. Szcześniak0%
Ronaldo Lumungo0%
F. Gouré0%
F. Koperski0%
Manu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Adrián Diéguez75%
A. Tapsoba50%
Conrado Buchanelli40%
Christos Donis40%
Luquinhas20%
R. Wolski17%
I. Camará17%
Z. Ouattara17%
F. Gouré17%
C. Nunnely0%
J. Grzesik0%
F. Majchrowicz0%
K. Karasek0%
K. Szcześniak0%
Ronaldo Lumungo0%
F. Koperski0%
Manu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Luquinhas20%
J. Grzesik17%
Conrado Buchanelli0%
Christos Donis0%
C. Nunnely0%
R. Wolski0%
I. Camará0%
Z. Ouattara0%
Adrián Diéguez0%
F. Majchrowicz0%
A. Tapsoba0%
K. Karasek0%
K. Szcześniak0%
Ronaldo Lumungo0%
F. Gouré0%
F. Koperski0%
Manu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
J. Grzesik50%
R. Wolski17%
Conrado Buchanelli0%
Christos Donis0%
C. Nunnely0%
I. Camará0%
Luquinhas0%
Z. Ouattara0%
Adrián Diéguez0%
F. Majchrowicz0%
A. Tapsoba0%
K. Karasek0%
K. Szcześniak0%
Ronaldo Lumungo0%
F. Gouré0%
F. Koperski0%
Manu0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LP (25)
€58m
WŁ (29)
€43m
RC (27)
€33m
JAG (26)
€30m
GZ (27)
€29m
CK (26)
€21m
LW (25)
€20m
PS (27)
€20m
ZL (28)
€19m
ML (20)
€19m
KK (23)
€16m
WK (24)
€13m
GK (26)
€13m
WP (25)
€12m
WK (22)
€12m
RR (25)
€11m
PG (22)
€9m
SW (22)
€7m
Widzew Łódź's squad is €32m more valuable than Radomiak Radom's (€43m vs €11m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WŁ (13)
€21m
LP (10)
€21m
GZ (13)
€17m
JAG (11)
€12m
CK (12)
€11m
ZL (11)
€10m
LW (12)
€10m
ML (10)
€10m
RC (9)
€9m
PS (13)
€8m
WK (8)
€6m
WK (8)
€5m
RR (9)
€4m
PG (11)
€4m
WP (7)
€4m
KK (7)
€3m
GK (7)
€3m
SW (5)
€2m
Widzew Łódź's attack is €17m more valuable than Radomiak Radom's (€21m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RC (12)
€14m
LP (3)
€9m
KK (8)
€7m
WŁ (5)
€7m
GZ (4)
€6m
GK (10)
€6m
LW (7)
€4m
ZL (4)
€4m
JAG (5)
€3m
SW (9)
€3m
PS (5)
€3m
WP (9)
€3m
ML (2)
€2m
CK (4)
€2m
WK (4)
€2m
WK (3)
€1m
RR (4)
€1m
PG (1)
€0m
Widzew Łódź's midfield is €6m more valuable than Radomiak Radom's (€7m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LP (12)
€28m
JAG (10)
€15m
WŁ (11)
€15m
RC (6)
€9m
PS (9)
€9m
CK (10)
€8m
ML (8)
€6m
GZ (10)
€6m
WP (9)
€6m
LW (6)
€6m
RR (12)
€6m
KK (8)
€5m
WK (12)
€5m
ZL (13)
€5m
WK (11)
€5m
GK (9)
€4m
PG (10)
€4m
SW (8)
€2m
Widzew Łódź's defence is €10m more valuable than Radomiak Radom's (€15m vs €6m).
Poland: Ekstraklasa 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: Ekstraklasa stats & trends →
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Lech Poznan
Legia Warszawa
Gornik Zabrze
Wisla Krakow
GKS Katowice
Jagiellonia
Pogon Szczecin
Korona Kielce
Zaglebie Lubin
Cracovia Krakow
Piast Gliwice
Slask Wroclaw
Motor Lublin
Wisla Plock
Wieczysta Kraków
Raków Częstochowa