Wisla Plock vs Widzew Łódź Result & Analysis

This Ekstraklasa matchup between Wisla Plock and Widzew Łódź has a storyline centered around recent form, with Wisla Plock coming off a defeat and Widzew Łódź having won their previous match. However, the model's selection suggests a different outcome, favoring an Away win with a probability of 37%. The most likely match result is still a Draw, but the model disagrees with the market's assessment, predicting a 37% chance of an Away win. The expected total goals are 2.0, with the most likely score being 1-1 with a probability of 14.8%.

Wisla Plock's home form shows they score an average of 0.82 goals and concede 1.27 at home, while Widzew Łódź's away form indicates they score 1.08 goals and concede 1.42. The model's suggested picks include Under 3.5 with a probability of 85.4% and an edge of 8%, and Over 21.5 fouls with a hit result. The home win percentage is 30%, the draw percentage is 33%, and the away win percentage is 37%. The model's selection for Under 3.5 goals has an edge, while Over 21.5 fouls is a hit result.

In a stunning turn of events, Widzew Łódź drew 0-0 with Wisla Plock, extending their run of consecutive draws to five. This result marked a major upset, as Wisla Plock had been the pre-match favourite, with a 30% probability of winning. The model's selection, however, was the away win, which was given a 37% probability. The model's call was wrong, as Wisla Plock failed to live up to expectations. The model also suggested the under 3.5 total goals, which hit, and over 21.5 fouls, which also hit, both with high probabilities of 85.4% and 71.4% respectively.