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WIT Georgia vs Spaeri Result & Analysis

Date: 23/05/2023
Time: 12:30
Final 2-2
WIT Georgia
WIT Georgia
Vs
33%
24%
43%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Spaeri
Spaeri
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

WIT Georgia win✗ Miss
33.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
23.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Spaeri win✗ Miss
43.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

WIT GeorgiaWIT Georgia

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D25L41W03L20W02L51W12L43W01LH·MER31/03A·SPA07/04H·LOK12/04A·GAR22/04H·KOL26/04A·KOL01/05H·MER05/05A·SIO11/05H·DIN15/05A·MER19/05
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.332.101.871.870.802.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)1.392.001.931.710.862.29
vs Weaker (2)0.503.501.004.000.003.00
Clean sheet %13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Spaeri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SpaeriSpaeri

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-505L52W10W11D00D23L10W02L31W23LA·GAR31/03H·WIT07/04A·KOL12/04H·MER21/04A·SIO25/04A·DIN01/05H·MER05/05A·KOL11/05A·LOK15/05H·GAR19/05
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.001.231.931.132.071.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)2.071.212.001.142.141.29
vs Weaker (2)1.001.501.001.001.002.00
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (WIT Georgia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%4%08%119%221%319%414%516%6+
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.3%
Under 1.5
11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
69.8%
Under 2.5
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
48.6%
Under 3.5
51.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
70.3%
No
29.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
7.4%
2-2 ✓
7.1%
1-3
5.4%
0-2
5.1%
2-3
4.6%
0-1
4.4%
WIT Georgia goals ↓
Spaeri goals →
01234
03.6%4.4%5.1%3.2%1.6%
13.7%9.7%8.5%5.4%2.6%
23.8%7.4%7.1%4.6%2.2%
32.1%4.1%4.0%2.6%1.2%
40.9%1.7%1.7%1.1%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = WIT Georgia goals (down), columns = Spaeri goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kolkheti Poti
2.14
Gareji
2.11
Spaeri
1.83
Sioni
1.64
Dinamo Tbilisi II
1.44
WIT Georgia
1.33
Kolkheti Khobi
1.28
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
1.11
Merani Martvili
0.72
Merani Tbilisi
0.39
WIT Georgia is 0.50 points worse than Spaeri in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.83).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Gareji
2.44
Dinamo Tbilisi II
1.97
Kolkheti Poti
1.94
Sioni
1.89
Spaeri
1.89
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
1.53
WIT Georgia
1.44
Kolkheti Khobi
1.22
Merani Martvili
0.94
Merani Tbilisi
0.81
WIT Georgia is 0.44 goals worse than Spaeri in terms of goals scored per game (1.44 vs 1.89).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kolkheti Poti
0.78
Gareji
1.06
Sioni
1.28
Spaeri
1.33
Kolkheti Khobi
1.44
WIT Georgia
1.58
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
1.61
Dinamo Tbilisi II
1.61
Merani Martvili
2.33
Merani Tbilisi
3.06
WIT Georgia is 0.25 goals worse than Spaeri in terms of goals conceded per game (1.58 vs 1.33).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

WIT GeorgiaWIT Georgia

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W03L20W00D00D01L11D00D12L01LH·MER31/03A·SPA07/04H·LOK12/04A·GAR22/04H·KOL26/04A·KOL01/05H·MER05/05A·SIO11/05H·DIN15/05A·MER19/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.471.000.670.870.271.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.460.930.640.790.291.07
vs Weaker (2)0.502.001.002.000.002.00
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Spaeri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SpaeriSpaeri

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L30W10W00D00D21W00D01L31W01LA·GAR31/03H·WIT07/04A·KOL12/04H·MER21/04A·SIO25/04A·DIN01/05H·MER05/05A·KOL11/05A·LOK15/05H·GAR19/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.500.600.471.200.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.930.540.640.501.210.57
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (WIT Georgia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
WIT Georgia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WIT Georgia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WIT Georgia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spaeri over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spaeri over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spaeri over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

WIT GeorgiaWIT Georgia

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L22D21W03L20W01L40W12L31W00DH·MER31/03A·SPA07/04H·LOK12/04A·GAR22/04H·KOL26/04A·KOL01/05H·MER05/05A·SIO11/05H·DIN15/05A·MER19/05
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.101.201.000.531.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.931.071.290.930.571.21
vs Weaker (2)0.001.500.002.000.001.00
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Spaeri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SpaeriSpaeri

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L22D00D11D00D02L10W01L00D22DA·GAR31/03H·WIT07/04A·KOL12/04H·MER21/04A·SIO25/04A·DIN01/05H·MER05/05A·KOL11/05A·LOK15/05H·GAR19/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.731.330.670.870.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)1.140.681.360.640.930.71
vs Weaker (2)0.501.501.001.000.002.00
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (WIT Georgia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
WIT Georgia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WIT Georgia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WIT Georgia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spaeri over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spaeri over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spaeri over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.588.3%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes70.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPA (20)
€2m
KP (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPA (8)
€1m
KP (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPA (4)
€0m
KP (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPA (8)
€1m
KP (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
0
WG wins
1
Draws
4
SPA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

WIT Georgia vs Spaeri · H/A from WG
DateH/AGameScore
07/04/23ASpaeri Vs WG5-2
23/10/22ASpaeri Vs WG4-0
28/08/22HWG Vs Spaeri1-5
17/05/22ASpaeri Vs WG3-1
25/03/22HWG Vs Spaeri1-1

WIT GeorgiaWIT Georgia

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/05/23AMerani Martvili Vs WG1-0
15/05/23HWG Vs Dinamo Tbilisi II4-3
11/05/23ASioni Vs WG2-1
05/05/23HWG Vs Merani Tbilisi5-1
01/05/23AKolkheti Poti Vs WG2-0
26/04/23HWG Vs Kolkheti Khobi2-0
22/04/23AGareji Vs WG3-0
12/04/23HWG Vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi4-1
07/04/23ASpaeri Vs WG5-2
31/03/23HWG Vs Merani Martvili1-1

SpaeriSpaeri

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/05/23HSPA Vs Gareji2-3
15/05/23ALokomotivi Tbilisi Vs SPA1-3
11/05/23AKolkheti Khobi Vs SPA2-0
05/05/23HSPA Vs Merani Martvili1-0
01/05/23ADinamo Tbilisi II Vs SPA3-2
25/04/23ASioni Vs SPA0-0
21/04/23HSPA Vs Merani Tbilisi1-1
12/04/23AKolkheti Poti Vs SPA0-1
07/04/23HSPA Vs WIT Georgia5-2
31/03/23AGareji Vs SPA5-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

WIT Georgia
WIT Georgia
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWL0.91
HomeDWWWW1.30
AwayLLLLL0.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %23%35%12%
AVG goals3.153.303.00
Over 1.5 %85%87%83%
Over 2.5 %55%43%67%
Over 3.5 %36%39%33%
Scored1.211.610.83
Conceded1.941.702.17
BTTS57%57%58%
Clean Sheet17%26%8%
Corners---
Cards---
Spaeri
Spaeri
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWL1.70
HomeWWDWL1.71
AwayWDLLW1.70
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %51%50%52%
AVG goals3.283.253.30
Over 1.5 %83%79%87%
Over 2.5 %57%54%61%
Over 3.5 %47%42%52%
Scored1.871.881.87
Conceded1.401.381.43
BTTS60%62%57%
Clean Sheet23%25%22%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Kolkheti PotiKolkheti Poti3677
64%
2.1
7028+42
2.7
81%
44%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.90.8
-
2GarejiGareji3676
64%
2.1
8838+50
3.5
86%
64%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.41.1
-
3SpaeriSpaeri3666
56%
1.8
6848+20
3.2
75%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.91.3
-
4SioniSioni3659
50%
1.6
6846+22
3.2
81%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.3
-
5Dinamo Tbilisi IIDinamo Tbilisi II3652
44%
1.4
7158+13
3.6
86%
72%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.6
-
6WIT GeorgiaWIT Georgia3648
36%
1.3
5257-5
3.0
81%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
7Kolkheti KhobiKolkheti Khobi3646
33%
1.3
4452-8
2.7
81%
42%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
8Lokomotivi TbilisiLokomotivi Tbilisi3640
33%
1.1
5558-3
3.1
86%
64%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.6
-
9Merani MartviliMerani Martvili3626
17%
0.7
3484-50
3.3
75%
53%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.3
-
10Merani TbilisiMerani Tbilisi3614
3%
0.4
29110-81
3.9
92%
61%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.83.1
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 stats & trends →

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