Southend are favoured to win, with a 48% chance of taking the match to the scoreboard while Woking’s 26% home win probability and a 25% draw chance keep the contest open. The model expects 3.1 goals on average, but the most likely total is two, with a 23% chance of that outcome. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 11.7% probability. Woking, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.77 goals scored and 1.15 conceded, whereas Southend, on the road, averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.46 conceded against similar opposition. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 goals at 98.7%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.1% with a 3% edge, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 96.9% with a 4% edge, Under 6.5 at 96.3% with a 3% edge, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 96.1% with a 3% edge, Home under 3.5 goals at 95.9% with a 3% edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 93.7% with a 4% edge, and Under 5.5 at 91.0% with a 1% edge.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Southend, failed to secure the win, leaving the match a 1-1 draw. Woking’s recent form of DWLLL, coming off a draw, and Southend’s DLWWW, also ending in a draw, set the stage for an unexpected stalemate. The model had picked an away win with a 48% probability, but the verdict was wrong. Every suggested selection hit its mark: Under 7.5 (98.7%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.2%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.7%), Under 6.5 (96.3%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.2%), Home under 3.5 goals (95.9%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (92.4%) and Under 5.5 (91.0%). The final score of 1-1 matched the most likely 1-1 outcome, confirming the model’s accurate predictions on total goals and all other selections.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Woking winâś— Miss
26.3%
Avg Implied 28.0% · @ 3.27
Edge
-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.65
Bet365
3.40
Dafabet
3.35
Superbet
3.35
Pinnacle
3.31
Drawâś“ Hit
25.3%
Avg Implied 27.2% · @ 3.38
Edge
-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.55
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Pinnacle
3.46
Superbet
3.45
Southend winâś— Miss
48.3%
Avg Implied 44.8% · @ 2.05
Edge
+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.15
Betano
2.12
William Hil
2.10
SBO
2.08
Superbet
2.07
âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis
Woking
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.30
1.87
1.27
1.40
1.33
vs Stronger (2)
2.50
2.00
2.50
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.57
1.25
1.77
1.15
1.40
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Southend) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Southend
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.93
1.17
1.80
1.07
2.07
1.27
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.50
0.50
2.50
-
-
vs Similar (26)
2.00
1.15
2.00
0.85
2.00
1.46
vs Weaker (2)
2.50
0.00
-
-
2.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Woking) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.0%
@ 1.23+6.8%
Under 1.5
18.0%
@ 3.74-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Under
Unibet
4.10
Pinnacle
3.83
Betfair
3.80
Superbet
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
59.0%
@ 1.76+6.2%
Under 2.5
41.0%
@ 1.98-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.83
SBO
1.82
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.78
BetVictor
1.77
Under
Unibet
2.14
Betano
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Pinnacle
1.99
SBO
1.98
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.6%
@ 2.88+4.5%
Under 3.5
63.4%
@ 1.36-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.10
Betfair
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Pinnacle
3.00
10Bet
2.90
Under
Unibet
1.43
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.38
10Bet
1.36
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.0%
@ 1.63+4.6%
No
39.0%
@ 2.12-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.70
BetVictor
1.65
Betfair
1.65
William Hil
1.65
Superbet
1.64
No
Unibet
2.17
Betano
2.15
William Hil
2.15
Superbet
2.12
1xBet
2.12
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 âś“
11.7%@ 6.09+4.7%
1-2
9.5%@ 7.75+4.0%
0-2
7.5%@ 9.78+3.1%
0-1
7.3%@ 7.60+1.6%
2-1
6.8%@ 10.04+2.5%
2-2
6.1%@ 11.60+2.4%
0-0
5.8%@ 10.09+1.5%
1-3
5.7%@ 14.01+2.6%
Woking goals ↓
Southend goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.8%
7.3%
7.5%
4.4%
2.0%
1
4.9%
12%
9.5%
5.7%
2.5%
2
3.8%
6.8%
6.1%
3.6%
1.6%
3
1.6%
2.9%
2.6%
1.5%
0.7%
4
0.5%
0.9%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Woking goals (down), columns = Southend goals (across).
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đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Barrow
2.18
Harrogate
2.08
Carlisle
2.04
Boreham Wood
1.90
Scunthorpe
1.77
Forest Green
1.74
Southend
1.72
Halifax
1.52
Hartlepool
1.48
Fylde
1.38
Kidderminster
1.38
Woking
1.37
Tamworth
1.35
Boston Utd
1.28
Altrincham
1.24
Wealdstone
1.22
Solihull
1.22
Yeovil
1.11
Eastleigh
1.09
Gateshead
1.09
Sutton
1.02
Aldershot
1.00
Woking is 0.35 points worse than Southend in terms of average points per game (1.37 vs 1.72).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Barrow
2.30
Harrogate
2.20
Boreham Wood
2.00
Carlisle
1.87
Southend
1.77
Forest Green
1.74
Scunthorpe
1.69
Solihull
1.54
Halifax
1.50
Aldershot
1.50
Woking
1.50
Wealdstone
1.48
Fylde
1.45
Kidderminster
1.45
Boston Utd
1.37
Tamworth
1.37
Sutton
1.28
Eastleigh
1.24
Altrincham
1.20
Hartlepool
1.17
Gateshead
1.17
Yeovil
1.04
Woking is 0.27 goals worse than Southend in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.77).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Barrow
0.92
Harrogate
0.96
Southend
1.02
Carlisle
1.11
Forest Green
1.11
Woking
1.17
Boreham Wood
1.24
Hartlepool
1.28
Scunthorpe
1.35
Altrincham
1.41
Halifax
1.43
Boston Utd
1.46
Fylde
1.46
Kidderminster
1.46
Yeovil
1.48
Tamworth
1.54
Solihull
1.57
Wealdstone
1.65
Sutton
1.72
Eastleigh
1.74
Aldershot
1.89
Gateshead
1.96
Woking is 0.15 goals worse than Southend in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.02).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Boreham Wood
58%
Wealdstone
57%
Sutton
54%
Aldershot
54%
Forest Green
53%
Southend
52%
Altrincham
52%
Gateshead
50%
Woking
50%
Scunthorpe
49%
Carlisle
49%
Solihull
48%
Halifax
48%
Hartlepool
47%
Yeovil
47%
Eastleigh
41%
Tamworth
38%
Woking is 2.1 percentage points worse than Southend in terms of average possession (50% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Woking or Drawâś“ Hit
51.7%
Avg Implied 54.5% · @ 1.69
Edge
-2.8%
26%
25%
48%
covers Woking + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.75
Betfair
1.73
Unibet
1.73
William Hil
1.70
Woking or Southendâś— Miss
74.7%
Avg Implied 73.4% · @ 1.26
Edge
+1.2%
26%
25%
48%
covers Woking + Southend
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Draw or Southendâś“ Hit
73.7%
Avg Implied 72.1% · @ 1.28
Edge
+1.6%
26%
25%
48%
covers Draw + Southend
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.35
10Bet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Woking over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
72.1%
@ 1.34+2.9%
Under
27.9%
@ 3.00-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Betano
1.35
Pinnacle
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Under
Pinnacle
3.14
Betano
3.05
BetVictor
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Woking over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
36.4%
@ 2.64+1.5%
Under
63.6%
@ 1.42-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.76
Betfair
2.75
BetVictor
2.70
Superbet
2.65
Marathonbet
2.64
Under
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.43
Unibet
1.41
Woking over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
13.7%
@ 6.34-0.9%
Under
86.3%
@ 1.08+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
BetVictor
6.50
1xBet
6.40
Marathonbet
6.40
Superbet
6.20
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.09
BetVictor
1.08
Woking over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.1%
@ 15.25-2.2%
Under
95.9%
@ 1.02+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
Superbet
16.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Southend over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
83.2%
@ 1.19+5.2%
Under
16.8%
@ 4.21-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
BetVictor
1.18
Under
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
BetVictor
4.20
1xBet
4.20
Superbet
4.20
Southend over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
53.3%
@ 1.95+5.8%
Under
46.7%
@ 1.76-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.03
Bet365
2.00
Betfair
2.00
BetVictor
2.00
1xBet
1.98
Under
Unibet
1.91
Betano
1.78
Superbet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.75
Marathonbet
1.74
Southend over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
26.5%
@ 4.03+3.6%
Under
73.5%
@ 1.20-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.33
1xBet
4.05
Marathonbet
4.05
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Under
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
Southend over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
10.6%
@ 9.18+0.4%
Under
89.4%
@ 1.05-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
9.50
Superbet
8.50
Betano
7.70
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.04
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Woking, so a minus line means Woking give that many goals of a start and Southend receive them. At -1, Woking must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Woking win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Woking)Actual: Southend
Woking -2
3.8%
@ 17.67-1.4%
Draw -2
7.7%
@ 9.37-2.1%
Southend +2
88.5%
@ 1.08+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
19.00
Betfair
19.00
Superbet
15.00
Draw
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
9.50
Superbet
8.60
Away
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.06
Handicap -1 (Woking)Actual: Southend
Woking -1
11.5%
@ 6.67-1.7%
Draw -1
14.8%
@ 4.83-3.4%
Southend +1
73.7%
@ 1.28+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
7.00
10Bet
7.00
Betfair
7.00
Marathonbet
6.75
Superbet
6.50
Draw
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
10Bet
4.75
Away
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Marathonbet
1.26
Handicap +1 (Woking)Actual: Woking
Woking +1
51.7%
@ 1.70+0.1%
Draw +1
21.2%
@ 3.68-2.6%
Southend -1
27.1%
@ 3.54+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.72
Betfair
1.67
Marathonbet
1.63
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
Unibet
3.10
Away
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
Superbet
3.65
Unibet
2.80
Handicap +2 (Woking)Actual: Woking
Woking +2
72.9%
@ 1.22+0.5%
Draw +2
15.0%
@ 5.59-0.8%
Southend -2
12.1%
@ 7.52+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Unibet
1.23
Betfair
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
Draw
Marathonbet
6.05
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Superbet
5.60
Unibet
4.30
Away
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.50
Marathonbet
7.80
Superbet
7.30
Unibet
5.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Woking
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.57
0.67
0.60
0.67
0.53
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.71
0.54
0.77
0.54
0.67
0.53
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Southend) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Southend
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.57
1.07
0.40
0.80
0.73
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.96
0.62
1.15
0.38
0.77
0.85
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Woking) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
72.3%
@ 1.34+3.0%
Under 0.5
27.7%
@ 3.02-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
BetVictor
1.37
1xBet
1.34
Pinnacle
1.34
Marathonbet
1.34
Under
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
Pinnacle
3.18
William Hil
3.10
Superbet
3.05
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
35.9%
@ 2.55-0.2%
Under 1.5
64.1%
@ 1.45+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.71
Betano
2.67
William Hil
2.62
Bet365
2.62
Betfair
2.60
Under
Unibet
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.46
Pinnacle
1.45
Betano
1.45
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
14.5%
@ 6.39-0.0%
Under 2.5
85.5%
@ 1.08+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.00
Betfair
7.00
William Hil
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.25
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
William Hil
1.10
BetVictor
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Woking over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
45.3%
@ 2.21+3.5%
Under
54.7%
@ 1.58-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.28
Betano
2.25
Superbet
2.22
1xBet
2.21
Marathonbet
2.21
Under
Pinnacle
1.61
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.59
Unibet
1.58
Marathonbet
1.56
Woking over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.8%
@ 7.47+0.5%
Under
87.2%
@ 1.05-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.90
Marathonbet
7.90
Superbet
7.20
Betano
6.90
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Woking over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.8%
@ 19.25-3.1%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.01+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
26.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Southend over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
52.2%
@ 1.81+1.4%
Under
47.8%
@ 1.88-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.88
Pinnacle
1.86
1xBet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.84
Superbet
1.80
Under
Unibet
1.98
Superbet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.88
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.82
Southend over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
17.8%
@ 5.25+0.2%
Under
82.2%
@ 1.12-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.45
1xBet
5.45
Betano
5.10
Superbet
5.00
Under
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Southend over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.3%
@ 13.00-4.9%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.01+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
15.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Woking
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.73
1.20
0.67
0.73
0.80
vs Stronger (2)
2.50
1.00
2.50
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.86
0.71
1.00
0.62
0.73
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Southend) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Southend
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.60
0.73
0.67
1.27
0.53
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.04
0.54
0.85
0.46
1.23
0.62
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.00
-
-
1.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Woking) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
82.2%
@ 1.20+5.1%
Under 0.5
17.8%
@ 4.03-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.17
Under
Betano
4.20
Superbet
4.00
1xBet
4.00
William Hil
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
49.9%
@ 1.95+2.5%
Under 1.5
50.1%
@ 1.76-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.00
William Hil
2.00
Superbet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.97
1xBet
1.97
Under
Betano
1.83
Unibet
1.80
10Bet
1.75
William Hil
1.75
Marathonbet
1.74
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
21.8%
@ 4.05-1.0%
Under 2.5
78.2%
@ 1.20+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
William Hil
4.20
Superbet
4.00
1xBet
3.98
Marathonbet
3.98
Under
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Woking over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
50.7%
@ 1.85+0.7%
Under
49.3%
@ 1.85-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.87
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.84
Betano
1.82
Under
Betano
1.91
1xBet
1.84
Superbet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.82
Woking over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.1%
@ 5.26-1.5%
Under
83.9%
@ 1.12+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.50
1xBet
5.40
Superbet
5.30
Betano
4.85
Under
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Woking over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.8%
@ 13.88-3.1%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.02+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
17.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
Southend over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
61.8%
@ 1.58+3.2%
Under
38.2%
@ 2.24-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.59
Superbet
1.59
Betano
1.57
Under
Betano
2.30
Superbet
2.22
1xBet
2.20
Southend over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
23.3%
@ 3.73-1.4%
Under
76.7%
@ 1.23+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.80
Superbet
3.80
Marathonbet
3.74
Betano
3.60
Under
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
Southend over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.6%
@ 9.12-2.6%
Under
92.4%
@ 1.04+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
10.00
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.2%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.1%
âś“ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.9%
âś“ Hit
Under 6.5
96.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+1.0%
âś“ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.1%
âś“ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.9%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+2.2%
âś“ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
92.4%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
-
-
-
+2.6%
âś“ Hit
Under 5.5
91.0%
1.04
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Betfair
1.01
-0.2%
âś“ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
89.4%
1.05
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.04
-
-0.4%
âś“ Hit
Away +2 handicap
88.5%
1.08
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.06
-
-
+3.5%
âś“ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.2%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
-0.5%
âś“ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
86.3%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.09
BetVictor
1.08
+0.9%
âś“ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.5%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
William Hil
1.10
BetVictor
1.07
+0.0%
âś“ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
83.9%
1.12
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
-
+1.5%
âś“ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
83.2%
1.19
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
BetVictor
1.18
+5.2%
âś“ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
82.2%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-0.2%
âś“ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
82.2%
1.20
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.17
+5.1%
âś“ Hit
Over 1.5
82.0%
1.23
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
10Bet
1.25
+6.8%
âś“ Hit
Under 4.5
80.5%
1.12
Betano
1.16
Unibet
1.15
Pinnacle
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
-2.2%
âś“ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
78.2%
1.20
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
+1.0%
âś“ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
76.7%
1.23
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
-
+1.4%
âś“ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
74.7%
1.26
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.28
+1.2%
âś— Miss
Draw or Away
73.7%
1.28
Betano
1.35
10Bet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
+1.6%
âś“ Hit
Away +1 handicap
73.7%
1.28
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Marathonbet
1.26
+5.1%
âś“ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
73.5%
1.20
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
-3.6%
âś“ Hit
Home +2 handicap
72.9%
1.22
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Unibet
1.23
Betfair
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
+0.5%
âś“ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.3%
1.34
Betano
1.40
BetVictor
1.37
1xBet
1.34
Pinnacle
1.34
Marathonbet
1.34
+3.0%
âś“ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
72.1%
1.34
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Betano
1.35
Pinnacle
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
+2.9%
âś“ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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đź’° 14. Squad value
đź’° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (11)
€2m
HAR (14)
€1m
FG (4)
€1m
BU (6)
€1m
EAS (5)
€1m
SOU (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€1m
SOL (3)
€0m
ALT (5)
€0m
ALD (4)
€0m
WOK (3)
€0m
YEO (3)
€0m
SCU (2)
€0m
TAM (4)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
WEA (2)
€0m
HAL (2)
€0m
GAT (1)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
Woking and Southend have a similar squad value (both €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (3)
€0m
FG (2)
€0m
ALD (3)
€0m
HAR (4)
€0m
ALT (3)
€0m
SOL (2)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
SCU (1)
€0m
GAT (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
TAM (2)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
WOK (1)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
SOU (0)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
WEA (0)
€0m
Woking and Southend have a similar attack value (both €0m).
đź§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (5)
€1m
HAR (4)
€1m
SOU (2)
€0m
BU (2)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
TAM (2)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
SCU (0)
€0m
FG (0)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
GAT (0)
€0m
ALD (0)
€0m
SOL (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
WOK (0)
€0m
Woking and Southend have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€0m
BU (3)
€0m
EAS (3)
€0m
FG (2)
€0m
WOK (2)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
SOL (1)
€0m
SOU (1)
€0m
SCU (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
ALD (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
GAT (0)
€0m
TAM (0)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
Woking and Southend have a similar defence value (both €0m).
England: National League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: National League stats & trends →