This opponent (Sturm Graz) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sturm Graz
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.90
1.50
2.25
1.25
1.50
1.79
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (9)
1.89
1.89
2.75
0.75
1.20
2.80
vs Weaker (17)
2.29
1.41
2.67
1.56
1.88
1.25
Clean sheet %
17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolfsberger AC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.5%
Under 1.5
20.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.1%
Under 2.5
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.8%
Under 3.5
67.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.1%
No
40.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.7%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
7.6%
0-1
7.6%
0-2
6.9%
0-0
6.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-2
6.0%
Wolfsberger AC goals ↓
Sturm Graz goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.7%
7.6%
6.9%
3.6%
1.4%
1
6.2%
13%
9.0%
4.7%
1.9%
2
4.8%
7.6%
6.0%
3.1%
1.2%
3
2.1%
3.3%
2.6%
1.4%
0.5%
4
0.7%
1.1%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Wolfsberger AC goals (down), columns = Sturm Graz goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sturm Graz
1.97
Austria Vienna
1.88
Red Bull Salzburg
1.78
Wolfsberger AC
1.72
Lask Linz
1.71
Rapid Vienna
1.38
TSV Hartberg
1.33
FC BW Linz
1.19
WSG Wattens
0.94
Grazer AK
0.88
Austria Klagenfurt
0.84
SCR Altach
0.81
Wolfsberger AC is 0.25 points worse than Sturm Graz in terms of average points per game (1.72 vs 1.97).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sturm Graz
2.06
Wolfsberger AC
1.88
Red Bull Salzburg
1.66
Lask Linz
1.60
Austria Vienna
1.47
Rapid Vienna
1.38
TSV Hartberg
1.21
FC BW Linz
1.16
WSG Wattens
1.09
Grazer AK
1.06
Austria Klagenfurt
1.03
SCR Altach
0.91
Wolfsberger AC is 0.19 goals worse than Sturm Graz in terms of goals scored per game (1.88 vs 2.06).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Austria Vienna
1.00
Red Bull Salzburg
1.12
Lask Linz
1.14
Wolfsberger AC
1.19
Sturm Graz
1.22
TSV Hartberg
1.27
Rapid Vienna
1.32
FC BW Linz
1.41
SCR Altach
1.44
WSG Wattens
1.56
Grazer AK
1.69
Austria Klagenfurt
2.19
Wolfsberger AC is 0.03 goals better than Sturm Graz in terms of goals conceded per game (1.19 vs 1.22).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Red Bull Salzburg
62%
Lask Linz
58%
Rapid Vienna
57%
Austria Vienna
54%
Sturm Graz
52%
TSV Hartberg
50%
SCR Altach
47%
Wolfsberger AC
46%
WSG Wattens
45%
Austria Klagenfurt
45%
FC BW Linz
41%
Grazer AK
41%
Wolfsberger AC is 5.9 percentage points worse than Sturm Graz in terms of average possession (46% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Wolfsberger AC
For 5.4 · Against 3.2 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 12.5 · Total 22.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sturm Graz
For 3.9 · Against 5.3 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 11.0 · Total 21.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Wolfsberger AC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.2
10.3
4.6
4.5
4.7
23.3
23.8
22.8
vs Stronger (7)
10.4
10.7
10.2
5.0
5.3
4.8
20.6
21.0
20.2
vs Similar (23)
9.8
8.6
10.9
5.1
4.8
5.3
24.1
24.0
24.2
vs Weaker (20)
9.5
9.4
9.5
4.0
4.0
3.9
23.4
24.6
22.1
% over line
46%
39%
52%
76%
72%
80%
59%
52%
65%
% under line
54%
61%
48%
24%
28%
20%
41%
48%
35%
This opponent (Sturm Graz) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sturm Graz
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
8.7
10.3
3.8
3.5
4.1
23.7
22.1
25.1
vs Stronger (4)
11.5
10.7
14.0
3.0
3.7
1.0
22.5
22.0
24.0
vs Similar (19)
10.0
9.1
10.6
3.7
3.9
3.6
23.5
22.6
24.2
vs Weaker (27)
8.9
7.9
9.8
4.0
3.3
4.6
24.0
21.7
26.0
% over line
50%
36%
62%
42%
38%
46%
63%
45%
79%
% under line
50%
64%
38%
58%
62%
54%
37%
55%
21%
This opponent (Wolfsberger AC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Rapid Vienna
10.3
Wolfsberger AC
10.0
Austria Vienna
9.8
WSG Wattens
9.7
Sturm Graz
9.5
Lask Linz
9.5
Grazer AK
9.4
TSV Hartberg
9.4
Austria Klagenfurt
9.3
Red Bull Salzburg
9.2
SCR Altach
8.9
FC BW Linz
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Austria Vienna
5.8
Grazer AK
5.8
SCR Altach
5.6
TSV Hartberg
5.2
Wolfsberger AC
5.1
Austria Klagenfurt
5.0
Rapid Vienna
4.8
Lask Linz
4.6
WSG Wattens
4.6
FC BW Linz
4.5
Sturm Graz
4.2
Red Bull Salzburg
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SCR Altach
26.9
Austria Vienna
25.6
Grazer AK
24.7
Sturm Graz
23.8
TSV Hartberg
23.4
Wolfsberger AC
23.3
Lask Linz
23.0
WSG Wattens
23.0
FC BW Linz
22.8
Rapid Vienna
22.8
Austria Klagenfurt
22.6
Red Bull Salzburg
20.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Wolfsberger AC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.57
0.53
0.53
0.87
0.60
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.25
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (15)
0.47
0.60
0.14
0.71
0.75
0.50
vs Weaker (11)
1.00
0.64
0.83
0.50
1.20
0.80
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Sturm Graz) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sturm Graz
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.50
1.00
0.44
0.93
0.57
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.50
0.33
0.67
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (9)
0.78
0.44
0.75
0.00
0.80
0.80
vs Weaker (17)
1.24
0.53
1.33
0.56
1.12
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolfsberger AC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Wolfsberger AC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolfsberger AC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolfsberger AC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Wolfsberger AC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
0.60
1.33
0.73
1.67
0.47
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (15)
1.80
0.73
1.43
1.00
2.12
0.50
vs Weaker (11)
1.36
0.64
1.50
0.67
1.20
0.60
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Sturm Graz) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sturm Graz
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.00
1.25
0.81
0.57
1.21
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.33
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (9)
1.11
1.44
2.00
0.75
0.40
2.00
vs Weaker (17)
1.06
0.88
1.33
1.00
0.75
0.75
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolfsberger AC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Wolfsberger AC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolfsberger AC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolfsberger AC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Wolfsberger AC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Thierno Ballo32%
Erik Kojzek30%
David Atanga27%
Dejan Zukić26%
Alessandro Schöpf25%
Markus Pink14%
Emmanuel Agyemang8%
Chibuike Nwaiwu8%
Angelo Gattermayer7%
Thomas Sabitzer7%
Dominik Baumgartner7%
Maximilian Ullmann7%
Simon Piesinger7%
Sandro Altunashvili6%
Adis Jašić4%
Ervin Omić4%
Nicolas Wimmer0%
Nikolas Polster0%
Sankara Karamoko0%
Tobias Gruber0%
Boris Matic0%
Cheick Mamadou Diabate0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alessandro Schöpf38%
Sankara Karamoko33%
Dominik Baumgartner29%
Chibuike Nwaiwu24%
Thierno Ballo23%
Thomas Sabitzer21%
Adis Jašić21%
Ervin Omić21%
Simon Piesinger17%
Dejan Zukić16%
David Atanga13%
Angelo Gattermayer11%
Maximilian Ullmann10%
Cheick Mamadou Diabate9%
Nicolas Wimmer7%
Sandro Altunashvili6%
Erik Kojzek5%
Boris Matic5%
Nikolas Polster3%
Markus Pink0%
Tobias Gruber0%
Emmanuel Agyemang0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dejan Zukić26%
Emmanuel Agyemang21%
Thierno Ballo19%
Boris Matic18%
Erik Kojzek15%
Adis Jašić12%
Angelo Gattermayer11%
Maximilian Ullmann10%
Ervin Omić8%
Simon Piesinger7%
David Atanga7%
Markus Pink5%
Cheick Mamadou Diabate5%
Chibuike Nwaiwu4%
Nicolas Wimmer4%
Alessandro Schöpf0%
Thomas Sabitzer0%
Sandro Altunashvili0%
Dominik Baumgartner0%
Nikolas Polster0%
Sankara Karamoko0%
Tobias Gruber0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Angelo Gattermayer19%
Maximilian Ullmann13%
Thierno Ballo13%
Erik Kojzek10%
Dejan Zukić10%
Markus Pink9%
Ervin Omić8%
Adis Jašić4%
Emmanuel Agyemang4%
Dominik Baumgartner4%
Simon Piesinger3%
Alessandro Schöpf0%
Thomas Sabitzer0%
Nicolas Wimmer0%
Sandro Altunashvili0%
David Atanga0%
Nikolas Polster0%
Sankara Karamoko0%
Tobias Gruber0%
Chibuike Nwaiwu0%
Boris Matic0%
Cheick Mamadou Diabate0%
Sturm Graz
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mika Biereth45%
Otar Kiteishvili28%
William Bøving24%
Leon Grgić21%
Seedy Jatta17%
Erencan Yardımcı15%
Malick Yalcouyé12%
Tomi Horvat10%
Tochi Chukwuani9%
Arjan Malić7%
Jusuf Gazibegović5%
Lovro Zvonarek5%
Gregory Wüthrich4%
Niklas Geyrhofer4%
Max Johnston3%
Jon Gorenc Stanković3%
Emanuel Aiwu3%
Dimitri Lavalėe3%
Stefan Hierländer0%
Emir Karić0%
Kjell Scherpen0%
Daniil Khudyakov0%
Emran Soglo0%
Belmin Beganović0%
Amady Camara0%
Jacob Hödl0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jusuf Gazibegović47%
Belmin Beganović33%
Erencan Yardımcı31%
Emanuel Aiwu27%
Daniil Khudyakov25%
Dimitri Lavalėe22%
Tochi Chukwuani21%
Emir Karić20%
Jon Gorenc Stanković19%
Malick Yalcouyé18%
Jacob Hödl17%
Gregory Wüthrich16%
Seedy Jatta14%
Max Johnston14%
Niklas Geyrhofer12%
Leon Grgić11%
Mika Biereth9%
Otar Kiteishvili8%
Arjan Malić7%
Lovro Zvonarek5%
Tomi Horvat5%
Stefan Hierländer0%
Kjell Scherpen0%
William Bøving0%
Emran Soglo0%
Amady Camara0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tomi Horvat18%
Max Johnston17%
Mika Biereth14%
William Bøving13%
Jon Gorenc Stanković13%
Leon Grgić11%
Otar Kiteishvili8%
Seedy Jatta7%
Emir Karić7%
Tochi Chukwuani6%
Dimitri Lavalėe5%
Jusuf Gazibegović5%
Stefan Hierländer5%
Malick Yalcouyé3%
Gregory Wüthrich0%
Emanuel Aiwu0%
Kjell Scherpen0%
Erencan Yardımcı0%
Niklas Geyrhofer0%
Daniil Khudyakov0%
Lovro Zvonarek0%
Emran Soglo0%
Belmin Beganović0%
Arjan Malić0%
Amady Camara0%
Jacob Hödl0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mika Biereth18%
Leon Grgić16%
Otar Kiteishvili15%
William Bøving13%
Tomi Horvat13%
Erencan Yardımcı8%
Tochi Chukwuani6%
Jusuf Gazibegović5%
Lovro Zvonarek5%
Amady Camara4%
Gregory Wüthrich4%
Jon Gorenc Stanković3%
Malick Yalcouyé3%
Stefan Hierländer0%
Emir Karić0%
Emanuel Aiwu0%
Kjell Scherpen0%
Dimitri Lavalėe0%
Niklas Geyrhofer0%
Seedy Jatta0%
Max Johnston0%
Daniil Khudyakov0%
Emran Soglo0%
Belmin Beganović0%
Arjan Malić0%
Jacob Hödl0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (31)
€105m
SG (26)
€52m
RV (33)
€46m
LL (22)
€44m
AV (30)
€23m
WA (28)
€12m
TH (27)
€10m
GA (23)
€9m
SA (23)
€9m
WW (22)
€7m
FBL (21)
€5m
Wolfsberger AC's squad is €40m less valuable than Sturm Graz's (€12m vs €52m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (11)
€47m
SG (11)
€26m
RV (11)
€16m
LL (5)
€13m
AV (11)
€9m
SA (9)
€4m
WA (9)
€3m
WW (7)
€3m
TH (9)
€3m
GA (7)
€2m
FBL (9)
€2m
Wolfsberger AC's attack is €22m less valuable than Sturm Graz's (€3m vs €26m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (6)
€29m
SG (4)
€14m
LL (6)
€11m
RV (6)
€10m
AV (5)
€7m
WA (5)
€3m
TH (7)
€3m
WW (7)
€2m
FBL (4)
€1m
SA (3)
€1m
GA (3)
€1m
Wolfsberger AC's midfield is €11m less valuable than Sturm Graz's (€3m vs €14m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (14)
€29m
LL (11)
€20m
RV (16)
€19m
SG (11)
€13m
AV (14)
€7m
WA (14)
€6m
GA (13)
€6m
TH (11)
€5m
SA (11)
€4m
WW (8)
€3m
FBL (8)
€2m
Wolfsberger AC's defence is €7m less valuable than Sturm Graz's (€6m vs €13m).
Austria: Bundesliga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: Bundesliga stats & trends →
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Lask Linz
Austria Vienna
Red Bull Salzburg
Rapid Vienna
TSV Hartberg
FC BW Linz
WSG Wattens
Grazer AK
Austria Klagenfurt
SCR Altach