This opponent (Burnley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Burnley
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.77
1.43
1.79
1.38
1.75
vs Stronger (9)
1.00
2.67
0.00
3.50
1.29
2.43
vs Similar (21)
1.57
1.38
1.67
1.50
1.44
1.22
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
10% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.7%
Under 1.5
24.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.4%
Under 2.5
49.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.4%
Under 3.5
71.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
37.9%
No
62.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0 ✓
15.6%
1-0
13.8%
3-0
11.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
0-0
7.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-0
6.0%
Wolves goals ↓
Burnley goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.6%
2.9%
1.0%
0.2%
0.0%
1
14%
8.7%
2.2%
0.4%
0.1%
2
16%
8.5%
2.3%
0.4%
0.1%
3
11%
6.1%
1.7%
0.3%
0.0%
4
6.0%
3.3%
0.9%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Wolves goals (down), columns = Burnley goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Newcastle
2.71
Sheffield Weds
2.50
Tottenham
2.40
Fleetwood Town
2.33
Crystal Palace
2.25
Blackpool
2.00
Leyton Orient
2.00
Everton
2.00
Fulham
2.00
Brighton
2.00
Coventry
2.00
Derby
2.00
Wycombe
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Watford
2.00
Liverpool
2.00
Arsenal
1.80
Stoke
1.75
Brentford
1.75
Southampton
1.75
Preston
1.75
Walsall
1.67
Birmingham
1.50
Tranmere
1.50
Swansea
1.50
Cardiff
1.50
Sheffield United
1.50
Doncaster
1.50
Rotherham
1.50
Wolves
1.50
Oxford
1.50
Plymouth
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Crawley Town
1.50
Harrogate
1.50
Chelsea
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.50
West Ham
1.50
Huddersfield
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Millwall
1.50
Norwich
1.50
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
QPR
1.33
Leicester
1.33
Barrow
1.33
Bolton
1.33
Barnsley
1.33
Notts County
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Exeter
1.00
Ipswich
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Luton
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Reading
1.00
Grimsby
0.50
Shrewsbury
0.50
Colchester
0.50
Bournemouth
0.00
Swindon
0.00
Leeds
0.00
Salford
0.00
Stockport
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Portsmouth
0.00
Burton
0.00
Stevenage
0.00
Crewe
0.00
Peterboro
0.00
Bristol City
0.00
Charlton
0.00
Lincoln
0.00
West Brom
0.00
Wrexham
0.00
Carlisle
0.00
Gillingham
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Cambridge
0.00
Port Vale
0.00
Chesterfield
0.00
Burnley
0.00
Hull
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Bromley
0.00
Sunderland
0.00
Cheltenham
0.00
Newport County
0.00
Morecambe
0.00
Accrington
0.00
Wolves is 1.50 points better than Burnley in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 0.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester United
5.00
Blackburn
3.50
Notts County
3.00
Stevenage
3.00
Brighton
3.00
Watford
2.67
Stoke
2.50
Cardiff
2.50
Crystal Palace
2.50
Southampton
2.50
Chelsea
2.50
Huddersfield
2.50
Liverpool
2.50
Sheffield Weds
2.25
Arsenal
2.20
Swindon
2.00
Blackpool
2.00
Leyton Orient
2.00
Leicester
2.00
Sheffield United
2.00
Everton
2.00
Wrexham
2.00
Wolves
2.00
Ipswich
2.00
Port Vale
2.00
Crawley Town
2.00
Reading
2.00
Norwich
2.00
Preston
2.00
Newcastle
1.86
Tottenham
1.80
Fleetwood Town
1.67
Tranmere
1.50
Swansea
1.50
Fulham
1.50
Brentford
1.50
Rotherham
1.50
Shrewsbury
1.50
Plymouth
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.50
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
QPR
1.33
Wycombe
1.33
Bolton
1.33
Walsall
1.33
Stockport
1.00
Crewe
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Lincoln
1.00
West Brom
1.00
Exeter
1.00
Doncaster
1.00
Grimsby
1.00
Coventry
1.00
Gillingham
1.00
Oxford
1.00
Cambridge
1.00
Chesterfield
1.00
Barrow
1.00
Hull
1.00
Derby
1.00
Bromley
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Luton
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Newport County
1.00
Harrogate
1.00
Colchester
1.00
West Ham
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Barnsley
0.67
Birmingham
0.50
Millwall
0.50
Bournemouth
0.00
Leeds
0.00
Salford
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Portsmouth
0.00
Burton
0.00
Peterboro
0.00
Bristol City
0.00
Charlton
0.00
Carlisle
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Burnley
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Sunderland
0.00
Cheltenham
0.00
Morecambe
0.00
Accrington
0.00
Wolves is 2.00 goals better than Burnley in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 0.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Newcastle
0.43
Everton
0.50
Fulham
0.50
Oxford
0.50
Derby
0.50
Millwall
0.50
Blackpool
0.67
Coventry
0.67
Wycombe
0.67
Watford
0.67
Sheffield Weds
0.75
Bournemouth
1.00
Birmingham
1.00
Portsmouth
1.00
Stoke
1.00
Fleetwood Town
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Bristol City
1.00
Swansea
1.00
Charlton
1.00
Exeter
1.00
Plymouth
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Luton
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Chelsea
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Preston
1.00
Walsall
1.00
Liverpool
1.17
Brentford
1.25
Crystal Palace
1.25
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
QPR
1.33
Leyton Orient
1.33
Arsenal
1.40
Sheffield United
1.50
Doncaster
1.50
Rotherham
1.50
Wolves
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Colchester
1.50
Huddersfield
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Leicester
1.67
Brighton
1.67
Tottenham
1.80
Tranmere
2.00
Salford
2.00
Crewe
2.00
Peterboro
2.00
Lincoln
2.00
West Brom
2.00
Carlisle
2.00
Ipswich
2.00
Northampton
2.00
Cambridge
2.00
Chesterfield
2.00
Burnley
2.00
Hull
2.00
Bristol Rvs
2.00
Bromley
2.00
Sunderland
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Southampton
2.00
Bolton
2.00
Reading
2.00
Barrow
2.33
Cardiff
2.50
Shrewsbury
2.50
Middlesbrough
2.50
West Ham
2.50
Barnsley
2.67
Leeds
3.00
Notts County
3.00
Grimsby
3.00
Gillingham
3.00
Port Vale
3.00
Cheltenham
3.00
Crawley Town
3.00
Harrogate
3.00
Morecambe
3.00
Accrington
3.00
Norwich
3.50
Swindon
4.00
Burton
4.00
Stevenage
4.00
Wrexham
4.00
Newport County
4.00
Milton Keynes Dons
5.00
Stockport
6.00
Wolves is 0.50 goals better than Burnley in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Wolves
For 3.5 · Against 6.4 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 12.2 · Total 25.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Burnley
For 3.4 · Against 6.1 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 8.9 · Total 22.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Wolves
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.6
10.0
4.9
5.7
4.1
24.1
23.9
24.2
vs Stronger (22)
10.9
10.9
10.8
4.8
6.2
3.5
24.1
25.1
23.1
vs Similar (28)
9.8
10.3
9.4
4.9
5.3
4.6
24.0
22.9
25.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
54%
52%
56%
76%
88%
64%
70%
68%
72%
% under line
46%
48%
44%
24%
12%
36%
30%
32%
28%
This opponent (Burnley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Burnley
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.5
10.3
4.2
3.7
4.7
21.4
20.5
22.2
vs Stronger (14)
10.6
10.6
10.7
4.2
3.6
4.9
20.0
19.9
20.1
vs Similar (34)
10.3
10.4
10.2
4.2
3.7
4.7
22.1
20.8
23.4
vs Weaker (2)
10.5
-
10.5
3.5
-
3.5
20.0
-
20.0
% over line
60%
58%
62%
62%
46%
77%
44%
33%
54%
% under line
40%
42%
38%
38%
54%
23%
56%
67%
46%
This opponent (Wolves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Manchester United
12.5
Plymouth
12.3
Tottenham
12.2
Coventry
11.8
Bournemouth
11.7
Exeter
11.7
Tranmere
11.7
Bromley
11.7
Fleetwood Town
11.6
Southampton
11.5
Peterboro
11.3
Everton
11.3
Liverpool
11.3
Middlesbrough
11.2
Grimsby
11.2
Blackburn
11.2
Wrexham
11.2
Derby
11.1
Harrogate
11.1
QPR
11.1
Luton
11.1
Huddersfield
11.0
Port Vale
10.9
Stoke
10.9
Crewe
10.9
West Brom
10.8
Notts County
10.8
Morecambe
10.8
Charlton
10.7
Fulham
10.7
Bolton
10.7
Mansfield
10.7
Wycombe
10.6
Sheffield United
10.6
Walsall
10.6
Hull
10.6
Oxford
10.6
Sheffield Weds
10.6
Crawley Town
10.5
Norwich
10.5
Colchester
10.5
Leeds
10.5
Brentford
10.5
Barnsley
10.5
Birmingham
10.5
Newcastle
10.5
Swindon
10.5
Bristol City
10.5
Manchester City
10.5
Ipswich
10.5
Burnley
10.4
Nottingham Forest
10.4
Bristol Rvs
10.4
Reading
10.4
Sunderland
10.3
Leyton Orient
10.3
Swansea
10.3
Doncaster
10.3
Wolves
10.3
Shrewsbury
10.3
Rotherham
10.3
Accrington
10.2
Millwall
10.2
Cheltenham
10.2
Chelsea
10.1
Bradford
10.1
Crystal Palace
10.0
West Ham
10.0
Portsmouth
10.0
Newport County
10.0
Leicester
9.9
Stevenage
9.9
Gillingham
9.9
Carlisle
9.9
Watford
9.8
Salford
9.8
Cambridge
9.7
Aston Villa
9.7
AFC Wimbledon
9.6
Blackpool
9.6
Lincoln
9.5
Barrow
9.5
Brighton
9.5
Preston
9.4
Milton Keynes Dons
9.4
Cardiff
9.4
Stockport
9.3
Wigan
9.3
Arsenal
9.2
Northampton
9.0
Chesterfield
9.0
Burton
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Wigan
5.2
Brighton
5.0
Portsmouth
5.0
Aston Villa
4.9
Wolves
4.9
Southampton
4.9
Chelsea
4.8
Sunderland
4.8
Tottenham
4.7
Lincoln
4.7
Newcastle
4.6
Colchester
4.6
Crawley Town
4.6
Stevenage
4.5
Salford
4.5
Bradford
4.5
Doncaster
4.5
Notts County
4.4
Crewe
4.4
Bristol Rvs
4.4
Morecambe
4.4
Bolton
4.4
AFC Wimbledon
4.3
QPR
4.3
Milton Keynes Dons
4.3
Exeter
4.3
Oxford
4.3
Coventry
4.3
Sheffield Weds
4.3
Watford
4.2
Stoke
4.2
Cambridge
4.2
Blackpool
4.2
Leicester
4.2
Burnley
4.2
Charlton
4.2
Leeds
4.2
Hull
4.2
Cheltenham
4.2
Manchester United
4.2
Brentford
4.1
Swansea
4.1
Fleetwood Town
4.1
Tranmere
4.1
Norwich
4.1
Millwall
4.1
Nottingham Forest
4.1
Chesterfield
4.1
Liverpool
4.1
Gillingham
4.1
Blackburn
4.0
Crystal Palace
4.0
Plymouth
4.0
West Ham
4.0
Bournemouth
4.0
Barrow
4.0
Port Vale
4.0
Mansfield
4.0
Walsall
3.9
Barnsley
3.9
Burton
3.9
Ipswich
3.9
Wycombe
3.9
Sheffield United
3.9
Luton
3.9
Birmingham
3.9
Shrewsbury
3.9
Accrington
3.8
Leyton Orient
3.8
Swindon
3.8
Middlesbrough
3.8
Huddersfield
3.8
Wrexham
3.8
Derby
3.7
Arsenal
3.7
Fulham
3.7
Everton
3.7
Manchester City
3.7
Preston
3.6
Stockport
3.6
Reading
3.6
Bromley
3.6
Cardiff
3.5
West Brom
3.5
Grimsby
3.5
Northampton
3.4
Peterboro
3.4
Newport County
3.4
Carlisle
3.3
Bristol City
3.2
Harrogate
3.2
Rotherham
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Stevenage
25.2
Portsmouth
24.8
Wigan
24.6
Accrington
24.5
Tottenham
24.2
Wolves
24.1
Luton
23.8
Cheltenham
23.7
Crystal Palace
23.6
Watford
23.6
Doncaster
23.5
Bolton
23.5
Birmingham
23.4
Newcastle
23.4
Aston Villa
23.4
Bromley
23.3
Milton Keynes Dons
23.3
Salford
23.3
Chelsea
23.2
Sunderland
23.2
Cambridge
23.1
Grimsby
23.0
Brighton
22.9
Swansea
22.9
Huddersfield
22.9
Bristol Rvs
22.9
Bournemouth
22.9
AFC Wimbledon
22.8
Coventry
22.8
Leeds
22.8
Hull
22.8
Ipswich
22.8
QPR
22.8
Preston
22.7
Stockport
22.7
Bradford
22.6
Sheffield Weds
22.5
Stoke
22.5
Blackpool
22.4
Lincoln
22.4
Millwall
22.2
Liverpool
22.2
Southampton
22.2
Plymouth
22.1
Arsenal
21.9
Burton
21.9
Fleetwood Town
21.9
Shrewsbury
21.8
Newport County
21.7
Exeter
21.7
Oxford
21.7
Barrow
21.7
Everton
21.7
Nottingham Forest
21.7
Reading
21.6
Middlesbrough
21.5
Crewe
21.5
Burnley
21.4
Colchester
21.3
Walsall
21.3
Derby
21.2
Norwich
21.2
Brentford
21.2
Crawley Town
21.1
Mansfield
21.1
Wycombe
21.1
Leicester
21.1
West Ham
21.0
Chesterfield
21.0
Morecambe
21.0
Fulham
21.0
Charlton
20.9
Rotherham
20.8
Swindon
20.8
Gillingham
20.7
Wrexham
20.5
Leyton Orient
20.5
Port Vale
20.4
Bristol City
20.4
Barnsley
20.3
Peterboro
20.3
Northampton
20.2
Cardiff
20.1
Harrogate
20.0
Carlisle
20.0
Tranmere
20.0
Sheffield United
19.9
Manchester United
19.9
Blackburn
19.7
Notts County
19.6
Manchester City
19.0
West Brom
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
51.3%
Under 9.5
48.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
76.9%
Under 3.5
23.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
76.3%
Under 21.5
23.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Wolves or Draw✓ Hit
92.7%
Avg Implied -
74%
19%
7%
covers Wolves + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Wolves or Burnley✓ Hit
81.0%
Avg Implied -
74%
19%
7%
covers Wolves + Burnley
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Burnley✗ Miss
26.2%
Avg Implied -
74%
19%
7%
covers Draw + Burnley
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Wolves over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
88.3%
Under
11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
63.2%
Under
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
36.2%
Under
63.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
17.0%
Under
83.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
42.0%
Under
58.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
10.4%
Under
89.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
1.8%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.2%
Under
99.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Wolves, so a minus line means Wolves give that many goals of a start and Burnley receive them. At -1, Wolves must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Wolves win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Wolves)Actual: Draw
Wolves -2
27.0%
Draw -2
22.7%
Burnley +2
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Wolves)Actual: Wolves
Wolves -1
49.7%
Draw -1
24.1%
Burnley +1
26.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Wolves)Actual: Wolves
Wolves +1
92.7%
Draw +1
5.5%
Burnley -1
1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Wolves)Actual: Wolves
Wolves +2
98.3%
Draw +2
1.5%
Burnley -2
0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Wolves
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.97
0.53
0.73
0.60
1.20
vs Stronger (13)
0.38
1.38
0.40
1.20
0.38
1.50
vs Similar (17)
0.71
0.65
0.60
0.50
0.86
0.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Burnley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Burnley
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.83
0.50
1.00
0.62
0.69
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
1.22
0.00
1.50
0.43
1.14
vs Similar (21)
0.67
0.67
0.58
0.92
0.78
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Wolves over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Wolves
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.90
0.87
0.93
0.60
0.87
vs Stronger (13)
0.92
1.15
1.40
1.60
0.62
0.88
vs Similar (17)
0.59
0.71
0.60
0.60
0.57
0.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Burnley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Burnley
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.93
0.93
0.79
0.75
1.06
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
1.44
0.00
2.00
0.86
1.29
vs Similar (21)
0.90
0.71
1.08
0.58
0.67
0.89
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Wolves over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 3.5 goals
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
94.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
89.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home win
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Wolves
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Matheus Cunha44%
Jørgen Strand Larsen32%
Marshall Munetsi12%
Rayan Aït Nouri12%
Gonçalo Guedes12%
Pablo Sarabia11%
Rodrigo Gomes11%
João Gomes10%
Hee-Chan Hwang8%
Matt Doherty6%
Emmanuel Agbadou6%
Mario Lemina5%
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde5%
Tommy Doyle4%
Nélson Semedo0%
José Sá0%
Daniel Podence0%
Sam Johnstone0%
Craig Dawson0%
Daniel Bentley0%
Toti Gomes0%
Santiago Bueno0%
Boubacar Traoré0%
Yerson Mosquera0%
André0%
Carlos Forbs0%
Alfie Pond0%
Nasser Djiga0%
Pedro Lima0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yerson Mosquera40%
João Gomes28%
Nélson Semedo24%
Mario Lemina21%
Toti Gomes21%
André19%
Carlos Forbs18%
Matt Doherty17%
Rayan Aït Nouri17%
Emmanuel Agbadou17%
Pablo Sarabia14%
Jørgen Strand Larsen13%
Craig Dawson12%
Matheus Cunha11%
Santiago Bueno9%
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde8%
Tommy Doyle8%
José Sá7%
Gonçalo Guedes3%
Daniel Podence0%
Marshall Munetsi0%
Sam Johnstone0%
Daniel Bentley0%
Hee-Chan Hwang0%
Boubacar Traoré0%
Rodrigo Gomes0%
Alfie Pond0%
Nasser Djiga0%
Pedro Lima0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daniel Podence33%
Pedro Lima17%
Mario Lemina16%
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde15%
Gonçalo Guedes15%
Rayan Aït Nouri15%
Matheus Cunha14%
Nélson Semedo14%
Jørgen Strand Larsen13%
Pablo Sarabia7%
Marshall Munetsi6%
Matt Doherty6%
João Gomes5%
Hee-Chan Hwang4%
Tommy Doyle4%
Toti Gomes3%
Santiago Bueno3%
José Sá0%
Sam Johnstone0%
Craig Dawson0%
Daniel Bentley0%
Emmanuel Agbadou0%
Boubacar Traoré0%
Yerson Mosquera0%
André0%
Carlos Forbs0%
Rodrigo Gomes0%
Alfie Pond0%
Nasser Djiga0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Matheus Cunha39%
Jørgen Strand Larsen16%
Marshall Munetsi12%
Mario Lemina11%
Gonçalo Guedes9%
João Gomes5%
Toti Gomes3%
Santiago Bueno3%
Rayan Aït Nouri2%
Nélson Semedo0%
José Sá0%
Daniel Podence0%
Pablo Sarabia0%
Matt Doherty0%
Sam Johnstone0%
Craig Dawson0%
Daniel Bentley0%
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde0%
Hee-Chan Hwang0%
Emmanuel Agbadou0%
Tommy Doyle0%
Boubacar Traoré0%
Yerson Mosquera0%
André0%
Carlos Forbs0%
Rodrigo Gomes0%
Alfie Pond0%
Nasser Djiga0%
Pedro Lima0%
Burnley
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Josh Brownhill36%
Vitinho33%
Zian Flemming28%
Manuel Benson20%
Jaidon Anthony16%
Marcus Edwards12%
Jay Rodriguez10%
Jeremy Sarmiento8%
Luca Koleosho7%
Ashley Barnes7%
Lyle Foster7%
Connor Roberts5%
Josh Cullen5%
Bashir Humphreys4%
Hannibal Mejbri3%
Josh Laurent2%
CJ Egan-Riley2%
Maxime Estève2%
Han-Noah Massengo0%
Joe Worrall0%
Jonjo Shelvey0%
Nathan Redmond0%
John Egan0%
Václav Hladký0%
Luke McNally0%
Oliver Sonne0%
James Trafford0%
Andreas Hountondji0%
Lucas Pires0%
Enock Agyei0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Josh Cullen25%
Lucas Pires22%
Hannibal Mejbri21%
Manuel Benson20%
Joe Worrall17%
CJ Egan-Riley16%
James Trafford16%
Luca Koleosho14%
Lyle Foster13%
Connor Roberts12%
Josh Brownhill11%
Han-Noah Massengo11%
Jeremy Sarmiento11%
Josh Laurent9%
Jaidon Anthony9%
Zian Flemming8%
Bashir Humphreys7%
Ashley Barnes7%
Marcus Edwards6%
Maxime Estève6%
Jay Rodriguez5%
Vitinho0%
Jonjo Shelvey0%
Nathan Redmond0%
John Egan0%
Václav Hladký0%
Luke McNally0%
Oliver Sonne0%
Andreas Hountondji0%
Enock Agyei0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Vitinho33%
Nathan Redmond33%
Lyle Foster17%
Jaidon Anthony14%
Josh Brownhill14%
Hannibal Mejbri13%
Han-Noah Massengo11%
Zian Flemming11%
Joe Worrall8%
Bashir Humphreys7%
Connor Roberts7%
Josh Cullen7%
Ashley Barnes7%
Marcus Edwards6%
Josh Laurent5%
Lucas Pires3%
CJ Egan-Riley2%
Manuel Benson0%
Jonjo Shelvey0%
John Egan0%
Jay Rodriguez0%
Václav Hladký0%
Luke McNally0%
Oliver Sonne0%
James Trafford0%
Andreas Hountondji0%
Maxime Estève0%
Jeremy Sarmiento0%
Luca Koleosho0%
Enock Agyei0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Zian Flemming36%
Vitinho33%
Jaidon Anthony19%
Josh Brownhill11%
Lyle Foster10%
Jeremy Sarmiento3%
Josh Laurent2%
Han-Noah Massengo0%
Joe Worrall0%
Manuel Benson0%
Jonjo Shelvey0%
Ashley Barnes0%
Nathan Redmond0%
John Egan0%
Jay Rodriguez0%
Connor Roberts0%
Josh Cullen0%
Marcus Edwards0%
Václav Hladký0%
Luke McNally0%
Oliver Sonne0%
James Trafford0%
Andreas Hountondji0%
Maxime Estève0%
Hannibal Mejbri0%
Bashir Humphreys0%
CJ Egan-Riley0%
Lucas Pires0%
Luca Koleosho0%
Enock Agyei0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
BOL (22)
€17m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
LIN (24)
€12m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
SAL (26)
€8m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
PV (23)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
CHE (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
BR (24)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
ROT (19)
€5m
CRE (20)
€4m
BRO (19)
€4m
SWI (22)
€4m
GRI (18)
€4m
TRA (21)
€4m
COL (20)
€4m
SHR (17)
€3m
CT (19)
€3m
NOR (18)
€3m
GIL (16)
€3m
CHE (19)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
WAL (20)
€3m
FT (18)
€3m
ACC (18)
€2m
NC (16)
€2m
BAR (11)
€2m
HAR (14)
€1m
CAR (1)
€0m
MOR (1)
€0m
Wolves's squad is €158m more valuable than Burnley's (€273m vs €115m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
LIN (7)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
CHE (9)
€3m
SAL (9)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BR (10)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
SWI (8)
€2m
CRE (6)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
CT (7)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
COL (7)
€1m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
GRI (8)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
TRA (7)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
ACC (7)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
FT (6)
€1m
WAL (4)
€1m
BAR (3)
€0m
SHR (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
HAR (4)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
MOR (0)
€0m
Wolves's attack is €9m more valuable than Burnley's (€79m vs €70m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
FUL (3)
€28m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
MKD (6)
€7m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
LUT (6)
€4m
BOL (4)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
PV (7)
€2m
SAL (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
GIL (8)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
SHR (4)
€1m
CHE (6)
€1m
TRA (6)
€1m
CRE (7)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
FT (4)
€1m
ROT (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CT (7)
€1m
BAR (5)
€1m
WAL (5)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
ACC (5)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
HAR (4)
€1m
BR (4)
€0m
COL (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
GRI (1)
€0m
MOR (1)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
Wolves's midfield is €70m more valuable than Burnley's (€79m vs €8m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
BUR (11)
€37m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CHA (13)
€10m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
PV (11)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
SAL (12)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
BR (10)
€3m
GRI (9)
€2m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
CHE (10)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
ROT (8)
€2m
COL (10)
€2m
WAL (11)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
CRE (7)
€1m
NC (10)
€1m
TRA (8)
€1m
FT (8)
€1m
ACC (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
CT (5)
€1m
BAR (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
MOR (0)
€0m
Wolves's defence is €79m more valuable than Burnley's (€116m vs €37m).
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
England: Championship 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Liverpool
Arsenal
Manchester City
Chelsea
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Brighton
Bournemouth
Brentford
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Everton
West Ham
Manchester United
Tottenham
Leicester
Ipswich
Southampton
Leeds
Sheffield United
Sunderland
Coventry
Bristol City
Blackburn
Millwall
West Brom
Middlesbrough
Swansea
Sheffield Weds
Norwich
Watford
QPR
Portsmouth
Oxford
Stoke
Derby
Preston
Hull
Luton
Plymouth
Cardiff