This opponent (Austria Lustenau) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Austria Lustenau
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.28
1.60
1.62
1.69
0.92
1.50
vs Stronger (15)
0.73
1.93
0.88
2.25
0.57
1.57
vs Similar (10)
2.10
1.10
2.80
0.80
1.40
1.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
24% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.6%
Under 1.5
23.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
51.0%
Under 2.5
49.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.9%
Under 3.5
71.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.0%
No
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.5%
0-0
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.1%
0-1
7.1%
2-2
5.5%
WSG Wattens goals ↓
Austria Lustenau goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.8%
7.1%
5.2%
2.1%
0.7%
1
8.5%
13%
7.6%
3.1%
1.0%
2
7.1%
8.9%
5.5%
2.3%
0.7%
3
3.5%
4.3%
2.7%
1.1%
0.4%
4
1.3%
1.6%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = WSG Wattens goals (down), columns = Austria Lustenau goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Red Bull Salzburg
2.41
Sturm Graz
2.06
Lask Linz
1.69
Austria Vienna
1.38
Rapid Vienna
1.31
Wolfsberger AC
1.30
Austria Lustenau
1.29
Austria Klagenfurt
1.19
WSG Wattens
1.19
TSV Hartberg
1.03
SCR Altach
0.88
Ried
0.72
WSG Wattens is 0.10 points worse than Austria Lustenau in terms of average points per game (1.19 vs 1.29).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Red Bull Salzburg
2.09
Austria Vienna
1.79
Sturm Graz
1.78
Lask Linz
1.69
Wolfsberger AC
1.58
Rapid Vienna
1.56
Austria Lustenau
1.49
Austria Klagenfurt
1.41
WSG Wattens
1.38
TSV Hartberg
1.22
SCR Altach
0.91
Ried
0.84
WSG Wattens is 0.11 goals worse than Austria Lustenau in terms of goals scored per game (1.38 vs 1.49).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Red Bull Salzburg
0.69
Sturm Graz
0.91
Lask Linz
1.19
Rapid Vienna
1.47
Austria Vienna
1.56
Ried
1.56
Wolfsberger AC
1.58
WSG Wattens
1.66
SCR Altach
1.66
Austria Lustenau
1.74
TSV Hartberg
1.75
Austria Klagenfurt
1.97
WSG Wattens is 0.09 goals better than Austria Lustenau in terms of goals conceded per game (1.66 vs 1.74).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Red Bull Salzburg
56%
Lask Linz
55%
Austria Vienna
53%
Rapid Vienna
52%
Sturm Graz
49%
Wolfsberger AC
49%
WSG Wattens
49%
SCR Altach
49%
Austria Lustenau
48%
TSV Hartberg
47%
Austria Klagenfurt
46%
Ried
46%
WSG Wattens is 0.8 percentage points better than Austria Lustenau in terms of average possession (49% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
WSG Wattens
For 4.8 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.2 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 12.6 · Total 23.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Austria Lustenau
For 3.5 · Against 5.8 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.3 · Against 13.5 · Total 28.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
WSG Wattens
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (25)
9.7
9.6
9.8
3.8
3.9
3.6
23.1
21.4
24.6
vs Stronger (13)
10.2
10.7
9.5
3.2
3.0
3.3
23.2
21.0
25.7
vs Similar (12)
9.2
8.0
10.0
4.4
5.2
3.9
23.0
22.0
23.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
48%
50%
46%
52%
50%
54%
60%
42%
77%
% under line
52%
50%
54%
48%
50%
46%
40%
58%
23%
This opponent (Austria Lustenau) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Austria Lustenau
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (25)
10.0
9.2
10.8
4.4
4.1
4.8
27.7
28.5
26.8
vs Stronger (15)
10.6
9.4
12.0
4.2
3.8
4.7
28.3
29.0
27.6
vs Similar (10)
9.1
9.0
9.2
4.7
4.6
4.8
26.7
27.8
25.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
52%
46%
58%
68%
54%
83%
88%
92%
83%
% under line
48%
54%
42%
32%
46%
17%
12%
8%
17%
This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Wolfsberger AC
11.4
Rapid Vienna
10.6
Ried
10.5
Austria Vienna
10.2
Austria Lustenau
10.0
Lask Linz
10.0
Red Bull Salzburg
9.8
WSG Wattens
9.7
Sturm Graz
9.7
Austria Klagenfurt
9.3
SCR Altach
9.2
TSV Hartberg
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Sturm Graz
5.3
SCR Altach
4.8
Rapid Vienna
4.7
Austria Klagenfurt
4.7
TSV Hartberg
4.6
Austria Lustenau
4.6
Lask Linz
4.3
Austria Vienna
4.3
Red Bull Salzburg
4.2
Ried
4.1
WSG Wattens
3.9
Wolfsberger AC
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Rapid Vienna
28.0
Austria Lustenau
27.7
SCR Altach
26.1
Lask Linz
26.0
Austria Klagenfurt
25.7
Sturm Graz
25.7
Austria Vienna
25.4
Wolfsberger AC
25.3
TSV Hartberg
25.1
Ried
24.2
Red Bull Salzburg
23.8
WSG Wattens
23.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
55.9%
Under 9.5
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
61.0%
Under 3.5
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
70.9%
Under 21.5
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
WSG Wattens
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.88
0.64
1.08
0.50
0.69
0.77
vs Stronger (13)
0.69
0.77
0.71
0.71
0.67
0.83
vs Similar (12)
1.08
0.50
1.60
0.20
0.71
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
44% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Lustenau) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Austria Lustenau
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.64
0.60
0.85
0.46
0.42
0.75
vs Stronger (15)
0.40
0.53
0.50
0.50
0.29
0.57
vs Similar (10)
1.00
0.70
1.40
0.40
0.60
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
52% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
WSG Wattens over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WSG Wattens over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WSG Wattens over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Lustenau over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Lustenau over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Lustenau over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
WSG Wattens
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.92
0.33
1.25
0.85
0.62
vs Stronger (13)
0.54
1.23
0.43
1.57
0.67
0.83
vs Similar (12)
0.67
0.58
0.20
0.80
1.00
0.43
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
44% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Lustenau) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Austria Lustenau
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.64
1.00
0.77
1.23
0.50
0.75
vs Stronger (15)
0.33
1.40
0.38
1.75
0.29
1.00
vs Similar (10)
1.10
0.40
1.40
0.40
0.80
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
48% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
WSG Wattens over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WSG Wattens over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WSG Wattens over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Lustenau over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Lustenau over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Lustenau over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
WSG Wattens
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tim Prica24%
Nik Prelec23%
Thomas Sabitzer18%
Sandi Ogrinec17%
Alexander Ranacher11%
Julius Ertlthaler11%
Žan Rogelj10%
Valentino Müller10%
Lautaro Rinaldi8%
Kofi Schulz7%
Dominik Stumberger6%
Denis Tomić6%
Lukas Sulzbacher4%
Johannes Naschberger4%
Justin Forst4%
Felix Bacher3%
Raffael Behounek3%
Ferdinand Oswald0%
Osarenren Okungbowa0%
Benjamin Ožegović0%
Bror Blume Jensen0%
David Jaunegg0%
Cem Üstündag0%
Stefan Skrbo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cem Üstündag33%
Julius Ertlthaler28%
Lukas Sulzbacher27%
Raffael Behounek26%
Nik Prelec23%
Osarenren Okungbowa20%
Benjamin Ožegović20%
Dominik Stumberger18%
Felix Bacher17%
Valentino Müller17%
Lautaro Rinaldi17%
Sandi Ogrinec17%
Stefan Skrbo12%
Bror Blume Jensen12%
Johannes Naschberger12%
Alexander Ranacher11%
Tim Prica10%
Thomas Sabitzer9%
Kofi Schulz7%
Žan Rogelj7%
Denis Tomić6%
Ferdinand Oswald4%
David Jaunegg0%
Justin Forst0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sandi Ogrinec28%
Stefan Skrbo25%
Bror Blume Jensen16%
Lukas Sulzbacher15%
Thomas Sabitzer14%
Lautaro Rinaldi8%
Kofi Schulz7%
Tim Prica7%
Valentino Müller7%
Dominik Stumberger6%
Justin Forst4%
Žan Rogelj3%
Felix Bacher3%
Ferdinand Oswald0%
Alexander Ranacher0%
Raffael Behounek0%
Osarenren Okungbowa0%
Julius Ertlthaler0%
Benjamin Ožegović0%
Johannes Naschberger0%
Denis Tomić0%
Nik Prelec0%
David Jaunegg0%
Cem Üstündag0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nik Prelec31%
Tim Prica21%
Thomas Sabitzer14%
Lautaro Rinaldi8%
Valentino Müller7%
Sandi Ogrinec6%
Johannes Naschberger4%
Justin Forst4%
Alexander Ranacher4%
Raffael Behounek3%
Ferdinand Oswald0%
Felix Bacher0%
Dominik Stumberger0%
Osarenren Okungbowa0%
Julius Ertlthaler0%
Benjamin Ožegović0%
Bror Blume Jensen0%
Kofi Schulz0%
Žan Rogelj0%
Lukas Sulzbacher0%
Denis Tomić0%
David Jaunegg0%
Cem Üstündag0%
Stefan Skrbo0%
Austria Lustenau
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lukas Fridrikas41%
Bryan Silva Teixeira25%
Emrehan Gedikli20%
Yadaly Diaby16%
Michael Cheukoua16%
Anderson16%
Anthony Schmid15%
Darijo Grujcic12%
Stefano Surdanović12%
Nemanja Motika6%
Tobias Berger5%
Adriel5%
Hakim Guenouche3%
Matthias Maak3%
Jean Hugonet3%
Pius Grabher3%
Dániel Tiefenbach0%
Ammar Helac0%
Domenik Schierl0%
Fabian Gmeiner0%
Cem Türkmen0%
Torben Rhein0%
Yuliwes Bellache0%
Henri Koudossou0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pius Grabher27%
Lukas Fridrikas25%
Anderson22%
Darijo Grujcic21%
Bryan Silva Teixeira19%
Henri Koudossou17%
Cem Türkmen16%
Stefano Surdanović15%
Yuliwes Bellache14%
Adriel14%
Hakim Guenouche13%
Dániel Tiefenbach13%
Matthias Maak13%
Nemanja Motika11%
Michael Cheukoua11%
Tobias Berger10%
Domenik Schierl9%
Jean Hugonet9%
Fabian Gmeiner7%
Ammar Helac0%
Emrehan Gedikli0%
Torben Rhein0%
Yadaly Diaby0%
Anthony Schmid0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bryan Silva Teixeira31%
Anderson19%
Lukas Fridrikas19%
Yadaly Diaby12%
Anthony Schmid11%
Hakim Guenouche10%
Stefano Surdanović9%
Darijo Grujcic8%
Torben Rhein8%
Fabian Gmeiner7%
Dániel Tiefenbach7%
Pius Grabher0%
Ammar Helac0%
Domenik Schierl0%
Michael Cheukoua0%
Matthias Maak0%
Adriel0%
Tobias Berger0%
Jean Hugonet0%
Emrehan Gedikli0%
Cem Türkmen0%
Yuliwes Bellache0%
Nemanja Motika0%
Henri Koudossou0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bryan Silva Teixeira12%
Anthony Schmid11%
Tobias Berger10%
Anderson9%
Lukas Fridrikas9%
Yadaly Diaby4%
Jean Hugonet3%
Stefano Surdanović3%
Hakim Guenouche0%
Pius Grabher0%
Darijo Grujcic0%
Dániel Tiefenbach0%
Ammar Helac0%
Domenik Schierl0%
Michael Cheukoua0%
Matthias Maak0%
Fabian Gmeiner0%
Adriel0%
Emrehan Gedikli0%
Cem Türkmen0%
Torben Rhein0%
Yuliwes Bellache0%
Nemanja Motika0%
Henri Koudossou0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (31)
€105m
SG (26)
€52m
RV (33)
€46m
LL (22)
€44m
AV (30)
€23m
WA (28)
€12m
TH (27)
€10m
SA (23)
€9m
RIE (24)
€7m
WW (22)
€7m
AL (22)
€5m
WSG Wattens's squad is €2m more valuable than Austria Lustenau's (€7m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (11)
€47m
SG (11)
€26m
RV (11)
€16m
LL (5)
€13m
AV (11)
€9m
SA (9)
€4m
WA (9)
€3m
WW (7)
€3m
TH (9)
€3m
AL (10)
€2m
RIE (7)
€2m
WSG Wattens and Austria Lustenau have a similar attack value (both €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (6)
€29m
SG (4)
€14m
LL (6)
€11m
RV (6)
€10m
AV (5)
€7m
WA (5)
€3m
TH (7)
€3m
RIE (8)
€3m
WW (7)
€2m
SA (3)
€1m
AL (3)
€1m
WSG Wattens and Austria Lustenau have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (14)
€29m
LL (11)
€20m
RV (16)
€19m
SG (11)
€13m
AV (14)
€7m
WA (14)
€6m
TH (11)
€5m
SA (11)
€4m
WW (8)
€3m
RIE (9)
€3m
AL (9)
€2m
WSG Wattens and Austria Lustenau have a similar defence value (both €3m).
Austria: Bundesliga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: Bundesliga stats & trends →
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Red Bull Salzburg
Sturm Graz
Lask Linz
Austria Vienna
Wolfsberger AC
Rapid Vienna
Austria Klagenfurt
TSV Hartberg
SCR Altach
Ried