This opponent (Sturm Graz) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sturm Graz
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.03
1.56
0.94
1.29
1.14
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
3.00
1.00
2.50
0.50
3.50
vs Similar (13)
1.38
1.00
1.86
1.00
0.83
1.00
vs Weaker (13)
1.69
0.46
1.43
0.43
2.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.9%
Under 1.5
19.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
57.4%
Under 2.5
42.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.0%
Under 3.5
65.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.4%
No
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%
0-2 ✓
10.0%
1-2
10.0%
0-1
9.1%
0-3
6.7%
1-3
6.6%
0-0
6.0%
2-1
5.0%
WSG Wattens goals ↓
Sturm Graz goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.0%
9.1%
10%
6.7%
3.3%
1
4.0%
11%
10.0%
6.6%
3.3%
2
2.5%
5.0%
4.9%
3.3%
1.6%
3
0.8%
1.6%
1.6%
1.1%
0.5%
4
0.2%
0.4%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = WSG Wattens goals (down), columns = Sturm Graz goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sturm Graz
2.09
Red Bull Salzburg
2.09
Lask Linz
1.62
Austria Vienna
1.57
Rapid Vienna
1.41
Wolfsberger AC
1.39
TSV Hartberg
1.32
Austria Klagenfurt
1.22
FC BW Linz
1.00
SCR Altach
0.97
WSG Wattens
0.81
Austria Lustenau
0.66
WSG Wattens is 1.28 points worse than Sturm Graz in terms of average points per game (0.81 vs 2.09).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Red Bull Salzburg
2.31
Sturm Graz
1.75
TSV Hartberg
1.47
Rapid Vienna
1.47
Lask Linz
1.34
Wolfsberger AC
1.27
Austria Klagenfurt
1.25
Austria Vienna
1.14
FC BW Linz
1.03
WSG Wattens
0.91
SCR Altach
0.84
Austria Lustenau
0.69
WSG Wattens is 0.84 goals worse than Sturm Graz in terms of goals scored per game (0.91 vs 1.75).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Sturm Graz
0.72
Red Bull Salzburg
0.91
Austria Vienna
1.03
Lask Linz
1.03
Rapid Vienna
1.09
Wolfsberger AC
1.24
SCR Altach
1.25
FC BW Linz
1.50
Austria Klagenfurt
1.56
TSV Hartberg
1.62
WSG Wattens
1.72
Austria Lustenau
1.81
WSG Wattens is 1.00 goals worse than Sturm Graz in terms of goals conceded per game (1.72 vs 0.72).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Red Bull Salzburg
59%
Austria Vienna
56%
Lask Linz
55%
Rapid Vienna
54%
TSV Hartberg
53%
Sturm Graz
50%
Wolfsberger AC
50%
WSG Wattens
48%
Austria Klagenfurt
48%
FC BW Linz
44%
SCR Altach
44%
Austria Lustenau
40%
WSG Wattens is 1.4 percentage points worse than Sturm Graz in terms of average possession (48% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
WSG Wattens
For 5.5 · Against 5.4 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 11.2 · Total 21.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sturm Graz
For 5.0 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 13.1 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
WSG Wattens
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.5
10.0
4.4
4.5
4.2
23.1
22.7
23.4
vs Stronger (24)
10.5
10.8
10.2
4.0
4.0
4.0
23.0
21.9
24.1
vs Similar (26)
9.0
8.2
9.8
4.7
5.0
4.4
23.1
23.4
22.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
46%
44%
48%
60%
60%
60%
58%
56%
60%
% under line
54%
56%
52%
40%
40%
40%
42%
44%
40%
This opponent (Sturm Graz) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sturm Graz
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
10.0
9.6
4.3
4.3
4.3
24.7
23.9
25.4
vs Stronger (5)
8.4
8.7
8.0
2.4
3.7
0.5
21.8
21.0
23.0
vs Similar (21)
9.9
9.7
10.0
4.9
5.0
4.8
26.3
25.6
26.9
vs Weaker (24)
10.1
10.6
9.6
4.2
3.8
4.5
23.8
23.2
24.4
% over line
58%
64%
52%
68%
64%
72%
74%
68%
80%
% under line
42%
36%
48%
32%
36%
28%
26%
32%
20%
This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Austria Vienna
10.7
Wolfsberger AC
10.5
Rapid Vienna
10.3
Lask Linz
10.1
SCR Altach
9.9
Sturm Graz
9.8
WSG Wattens
9.7
Red Bull Salzburg
9.6
FC BW Linz
9.6
Austria Lustenau
9.3
TSV Hartberg
9.3
Austria Klagenfurt
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Austria Vienna
5.3
Rapid Vienna
5.0
SCR Altach
4.8
TSV Hartberg
4.7
Austria Lustenau
4.6
Red Bull Salzburg
4.6
Lask Linz
4.5
Wolfsberger AC
4.4
Sturm Graz
4.4
WSG Wattens
4.4
Austria Klagenfurt
4.3
FC BW Linz
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Rapid Vienna
27.1
Lask Linz
26.5
Austria Vienna
26.4
SCR Altach
26.4
FC BW Linz
25.1
Sturm Graz
24.7
Austria Klagenfurt
24.4
Wolfsberger AC
24.4
Austria Lustenau
24.3
TSV Hartberg
23.4
Red Bull Salzburg
23.3
WSG Wattens
23.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
47.1%
Under 9.5
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
71.4%
Under 3.5
28.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
67.3%
Under 21.5
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
WSG Wattens
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.67
0.73
0.47
0.47
0.87
vs Stronger (13)
0.38
0.69
0.57
0.43
0.17
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.76
0.65
0.88
0.50
0.67
0.78
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Sturm Graz) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sturm Graz
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.63
0.88
0.56
0.57
0.71
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.50
0.50
1.00
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (13)
0.69
0.69
1.00
0.71
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (13)
0.85
0.31
0.86
0.29
0.83
0.33
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
WSG Wattens over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WSG Wattens over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WSG Wattens over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
WSG Wattens
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
1.20
0.53
1.33
0.33
1.07
vs Stronger (13)
0.38
1.15
0.57
1.29
0.17
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.47
1.24
0.50
1.38
0.44
1.11
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Sturm Graz) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sturm Graz
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.40
0.69
0.38
0.71
0.43
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.50
0.50
1.50
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (13)
0.69
0.31
0.86
0.29
0.50
0.33
vs Weaker (13)
0.85
0.15
0.57
0.14
1.17
0.17
Clean sheet %
67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
WSG Wattens over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WSG Wattens over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WSG Wattens over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
WSG Wattens
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Denis Tomić25%
Nik Prelec25%
Mahamadou Diarra14%
Luca Kronberger13%
Julius Ertlthaler12%
Stefan Skrbo10%
Osarenren Okungbowa4%
Sandi Ogrinec4%
Felix Bacher4%
Matthäus Taferner3%
Aleksander Buksa3%
Lukas Sulzbacher3%
Kofi Schulz3%
David Gugganig0%
Alexander Ranacher0%
Adam Stejskal0%
Dominik Stumberger0%
Valentino Müller0%
Bror Blume Jensen0%
Johannes Naschberger0%
Thomas Geris0%
Cem Üstündag0%
Justin Forst0%
Yannick Votter0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Julius Ertlthaler31%
Luca Kronberger30%
Matthäus Taferner28%
David Gugganig27%
Mahamadou Diarra27%
Felix Bacher25%
Denis Tomić25%
Cem Üstündag24%
Osarenren Okungbowa17%
Lukas Sulzbacher17%
Johannes Naschberger16%
Valentino Müller15%
Dominik Stumberger14%
Kofi Schulz10%
Thomas Geris8%
Bror Blume Jensen7%
Alexander Ranacher6%
Adam Stejskal6%
Nik Prelec3%
Aleksander Buksa0%
Sandi Ogrinec0%
Stefan Skrbo0%
Justin Forst0%
Yannick Votter0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Stefan Skrbo20%
Nik Prelec12%
Matthäus Taferner10%
Luca Kronberger9%
Bror Blume Jensen7%
David Gugganig5%
Mahamadou Diarra5%
Felix Bacher4%
Aleksander Buksa3%
Kofi Schulz3%
Alexander Ranacher0%
Adam Stejskal0%
Dominik Stumberger0%
Osarenren Okungbowa0%
Julius Ertlthaler0%
Valentino Müller0%
Sandi Ogrinec0%
Lukas Sulzbacher0%
Johannes Naschberger0%
Denis Tomić0%
Thomas Geris0%
Cem Üstündag0%
Justin Forst0%
Yannick Votter0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nik Prelec16%
Aleksander Buksa14%
Denis Tomić12%
Mahamadou Diarra9%
Bror Blume Jensen7%
Kofi Schulz7%
Sandi Ogrinec4%
Matthäus Taferner3%
David Gugganig0%
Alexander Ranacher0%
Felix Bacher0%
Adam Stejskal0%
Dominik Stumberger0%
Osarenren Okungbowa0%
Julius Ertlthaler0%
Valentino Müller0%
Luca Kronberger0%
Lukas Sulzbacher0%
Johannes Naschberger0%
Thomas Geris0%
Cem Üstündag0%
Stefan Skrbo0%
Justin Forst0%
Yannick Votter0%
Sturm Graz
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mika Biereth37%
Otar Kiteishvili25%
Alexander Prass17%
Manprit Sarkaria16%
Tomi Horvat15%
William Bøving15%
Szymon Włodarczyk14%
Jon Gorenc Stanković12%
Seedy Jatta10%
Amady Camara10%
Gregory Wüthrich8%
Mohammed Fuseini7%
Dimitri Lavalėe7%
David Affengruber5%
Jusuf Gazibegović5%
David Schnegg0%
Alexandar Borković0%
Stefan Hierländer0%
Bryan Silva Teixeira0%
Kjell Scherpen0%
Amadou Dante0%
Vítězslav Jaroš0%
Niklas Geyrhofer0%
Max Johnston0%
Javier Serrano0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dimitri Lavalėe30%
Otar Kiteishvili28%
Javier Serrano23%
Stefan Hierländer21%
David Schnegg18%
Jon Gorenc Stanković18%
Alexander Prass17%
Gregory Wüthrich16%
Bryan Silva Teixeira13%
David Affengruber12%
Jusuf Gazibegović12%
Mika Biereth11%
Manprit Sarkaria8%
Max Johnston7%
Amadou Dante6%
Seedy Jatta5%
Kjell Scherpen4%
William Bøving2%
Alexandar Borković0%
Tomi Horvat0%
Szymon Włodarczyk0%
Vítězslav Jaroš0%
Niklas Geyrhofer0%
Mohammed Fuseini0%
Amady Camara0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Otar Kiteishvili17%
Tomi Horvat15%
William Bøving12%
Alexander Prass12%
Jusuf Gazibegović12%
David Schnegg12%
Mika Biereth11%
Manprit Sarkaria8%
Bryan Silva Teixeira7%
Amadou Dante6%
David Affengruber5%
Max Johnston4%
Szymon Włodarczyk3%
Gregory Wüthrich3%
Alexandar Borković0%
Stefan Hierländer0%
Jon Gorenc Stanković0%
Kjell Scherpen0%
Dimitri Lavalėe0%
Vítězslav Jaroš0%
Niklas Geyrhofer0%
Seedy Jatta0%
Javier Serrano0%
Mohammed Fuseini0%
Amady Camara0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Otar Kiteishvili19%
Mika Biereth16%
Alexander Prass12%
Manprit Sarkaria12%
Tomi Horvat10%
Szymon Włodarczyk8%
David Affengruber5%
Seedy Jatta5%
Amady Camara5%
Jon Gorenc Stanković2%
William Bøving2%
Jusuf Gazibegović2%
Gregory Wüthrich0%
David Schnegg0%
Alexandar Borković0%
Stefan Hierländer0%
Bryan Silva Teixeira0%
Kjell Scherpen0%
Dimitri Lavalėe0%
Amadou Dante0%
Vítězslav Jaroš0%
Niklas Geyrhofer0%
Max Johnston0%
Javier Serrano0%
Mohammed Fuseini0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (31)
€105m
SG (26)
€52m
RV (33)
€46m
LL (22)
€44m
AV (30)
€23m
WA (28)
€12m
TH (27)
€10m
SA (23)
€9m
WW (22)
€7m
FBL (21)
€5m
AL (22)
€5m
WSG Wattens's squad is €45m less valuable than Sturm Graz's (€7m vs €52m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (11)
€47m
SG (11)
€26m
RV (11)
€16m
LL (5)
€13m
AV (11)
€9m
SA (9)
€4m
WA (9)
€3m
WW (7)
€3m
TH (9)
€3m
AL (10)
€2m
FBL (9)
€2m
WSG Wattens's attack is €23m less valuable than Sturm Graz's (€3m vs €26m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (6)
€29m
SG (4)
€14m
LL (6)
€11m
RV (6)
€10m
AV (5)
€7m
WA (5)
€3m
TH (7)
€3m
WW (7)
€2m
FBL (4)
€1m
SA (3)
€1m
AL (3)
€1m
WSG Wattens's midfield is €12m less valuable than Sturm Graz's (€2m vs €14m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (14)
€29m
LL (11)
€20m
RV (16)
€19m
SG (11)
€13m
AV (14)
€7m
WA (14)
€6m
TH (11)
€5m
SA (11)
€4m
WW (8)
€3m
FBL (8)
€2m
AL (9)
€2m
WSG Wattens's defence is €11m less valuable than Sturm Graz's (€3m vs €13m).
Austria: Bundesliga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: Bundesliga stats & trends →
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Red Bull Salzburg
Austria Vienna
Lask Linz
Wolfsberger AC
Rapid Vienna
TSV Hartberg
Austria Klagenfurt
FC BW Linz
SCR Altach
Austria Lustenau